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Chapter 5 Consumer choice and demand decisions David Begg, Stanley Fischer and Rudiger Dornbusch, Economics, 8th Edition, McGraw-Hill, 2005 PowerPoint presentation by Alex Tackie and Damian Ward Four key elements in consumer choice • Consumer’s income • Prices of goods • Consumer preferences • The assumption that consumers maximise utility 1 The budget line Consider a student with a budget of £50 to spend on meals and films. Assume also that Pfilm = £10; Pmeal=£5 6 A 5 B 4 Films • Income and prices together determine the combinations of the goods that the consumer can afford. • The budget line separates the affordable from the unaffordable. G C 3 D 2 E 1 F 0 0 2 4 6 Meals • Slope BL = relative prices = Pmeal /Pfilm = PX /PY 2 8 10 12 Modelling consumer preferences • Assume the consumer prefers more to less. • Compared with point a: – the consumer would prefer to be to the north-east, e.g. at c – but prefers a to such points as b to the south-west. c a b Quantity of meals 3 Modelling consumer preferences (2) • a is preferred to all points in the dominated region Preferred region d c • but the consumer would prefer any point in the preferred region to a e • points like d and e involve more of one good and less of the other compared with a. a b Dominated region Quantity of meals 4 Modelling consumer preferences (3) • An indifference curve like U2U2 shows all the consumption bundles that yield the same utility to the consumer – ICs slope downwards (given our assumptions) – their slope gets steadily flatter to the right – ICs cannot intersect U2 U2 Quantity of meals 5 Characteristics of Indifference Curves Wrong! – ICs slope DOWNWARDS (given our assumptions) If they were to slope upwards, As one moves upward along the IC, the consumer would be consuming more and hence increasing her utility. This would be against the definition of the IC. U2 U2 Quantity of meals 6 Hence IC’s canNOT slope upwards. Characteristics of Indifference Curves – their slope gets steadily flatter to the right U2 This is due to the assumptionof DIMINISHING MARGINAL UTILITY: the more the consumer consumes of one good, the less the utility she derives from the consumption of each additional unit of that good. i.e. The more meals she has, the more hungry she becomes for films, and vice versa. U2 Quantity of meals 7 Slope IC = MRS og good Y for good X = ∆ no of films/ ∆ no of meals Characteristics of Indifference Curves – ICs cannot intersect U2 Otherwise, the consumer would be – indifferent between consumption bundles B and C; (as they both lie on U1U1) U1 B – indifferent between consumption bundles C and D; (as they both lie on U2U2) D C U2 – Yet B would be preferable to D (as B lies to the Northeast of point D) U1 Quantity of meals which is impossible 8 The consumer’s choice The point at which utility is maximised is found by bringing together the indifference curves (U) and the budget line (BL) U1 U2 U3 • The choice point is at C • where the budget line is at a tangent to an IC B • Points B and E are also affordable C U3 E BL U1 • but give lower utility, U2 Quantity of meals 9 • being on a lower IC. Adjustment to an income change • A change in the consumer’s income shifts the budget line • without changing the slope • The change in the pattern of consumer choice depends on the nature of the two goods 10 Films Normal goods When both goods are NORMAL, an increase in income induces a new choice point at C' BL1 BL0 C' C The quantity demanded of each good increases U2 U1 Meals 11 Films An inferior good and a normal good When “meals” is an inferior good the increase in income takes the consumer from C to C' BL1 BL0 C' The quantity of meals falls and the quantity of films increases U2 C U1 Meals 12 Adjustment to a price change • An increase in the price of one good shifts the budget line – altering its slope – which reflects relative prices. 13 Films An increase in the price of meals (1) The increase in price of meals shifts the budget line from BL0 to BL1 BL1 BL0 Meals The increase in price reduces purchasing power. 14 Films An increase in the price of meals (2) The consumer moves from C to E as the price of meals rises The overall effect is a reduction in quantity of meals demanded C E U2 H BL1 U1 BL0 Meals Tracing out more of such points at different prices enables us to identify the Demand curve. 15 Response to a price change • The response to a price change comprises two effects: • The SUBSTITUTION EFFECT – is the adjustment to the change in relative prices • THE INCOME EFFECT – is the adjustment to the change in real income. 16 Films The substitution effect The hypothetical budget line HH has the slope of the NEW relative prices and is tangent to the OLD indifference curve at D. H U2 U1 The SUBSTITUTION EFFECT is from C to D along U2U2. D C E U2 H BL1 U1 BL0 It is always negative. In this case an increase in the price of meals leads to a fall in demand as we move from C to D. Meals 17 Films The income effect • The INCOME EFFECT is from D to E H – it reflects the fall in real income at constant relative prices D – it may be positive or negative C E U2 H BL1 – depending on whether the good is normal or inferior U1 BL0 Meals 18 Films Income and substitution effects for an inferior good • The INCOME EFFECT is from D to E H – in this case, it is positive because the good is inferior – and income and substitution effects therefore have opposite effects on demand D C – but the substitution effect is greater, so the overall effect is a fall in demand U2 E H BL1 U1 BL0 Meals 19 Films Income and substitution effects for a Giffen good • The INCOME EFFECT is from D to E – in this case, it is positive because the good is inferior H D – and income and substitution effects therefore have opposite effects on demand C U2 – but the substitution effect is smaller, so the overall effect is an increase in demand E H BL1 U1 BL0 Meals 20 Transfers in cash and in kind AF is the initial budget constraint QF A' Films A On which the individual settles at e0 e0 Ae1F' is the new budget constraint e2 e Given A'e1F’, the best the individual can do is e1 1 An equivalent cash transfer gives a budget line of A'e1F' The individual can now be better off at e2 F 10 Meals F' 14 QM 21 Deriving the market demand curve The market demand curve is the horizontal sum of the individual demand curves Price Consumer 1 Consumer 2 5 Market 11 13 If at a price of £5, consumer 1 demands 11 units and consumer 2 demands 13 units then market demand at a price of £5 will be 24 units. 24 Quantity 22