Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Chapter 12: Learning Objectives The Demand for Money: The Micro View Cash Management: An Inventory Approach Theories of Money Demand: Quantity Theory Friedman’s Approach Velocity of Circulation: The Institutionalist Approach The Microfundations of Money Money (M1) is held for transactions purposes and incurs an opportunity cost and potentially a loss of purchasing power (1/P) The demand for money is a demand for “real balances” (M/P) A simple model: mtd = f(ct, Rt) An Inventory Model of Cash Management: The Baumol-Tobin Model Assume, initially, that income is paid at the beginning of the period Assume, initially, that consumption spending occurs at a constant rate throughout the period Figure 12.1 illustrates graphically Assume a constant opportunity cost of money and fixed transactions costs of obtaining money Optimal Cash Management: Inventory Approach (A) Constant Expenditures Through Monthly/bimonthly pay $2000 Md (income = $2000) $1000 Md (income = $1000) $500 1/2 1 1 1/2 Optimal Cash Management: Inventory Approach (b) Variable Expenditures through a Monthly pay period $2000 $1000 $500 1 2 The Mathematics of the Inventory Model Average Cash Holdings: Md = Y/2n Opportunity cost of holding cash: R(Y/2n) Marginal cost of another trip to the bank: b Optimum money demand is solution to: b =(RY/2n2 ) Optimum money demand is: Md = P (b/2P).5 y.5 R-.5 The Quantity Theory of Money Is perhaps one of the oldest economic theories and links the price level to the quantity of money in circulation Ms V = P y If velocity of money (V) and real income (y) are constant then changes in Ms lead to proportional changes in P Friedman’s extension Money is but one of many assets in a portfolio, including “human” capital Various simplifications lead to a theory, not supported by empirical results, which links the demand for money to permanent income Money Demand in Canada 600 500 Real balances (M2/CPI) Money Supply (M2) in millions of $ 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 400 300 200 100 0 0 0 200 400 CPI (1949=100) Full Sample 600 800 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Real GDP (1949 $) Post World War II Money Demand in Canada (cont’d) 40 600 Real balances (M2/CPI) Real balances (M2/CPI) 500 35 30 25 400 300 200 100 20 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 Long-term interest rate Pre World War II 0.07 0 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 Long-term interest rate (10 yrs + Govt. Can. bonds) Post World War II 0.20 Velocity of Circulation in Canada & the Institutionalist Hypothesis 2.0 Monetization phase Financial sophistication phase Velocity= Income/M2 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 v elocity "smoothed" v elocity 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 1880 1900 1920 1940 Y ear 1960 1980 Summary The demand for money arises because of transactions in a monetary economy and is constrained by opportunity cost and transactions costs considerations Money can be viewed as being held in an inventory The quantity theory of money expresses the proportional relationship between the money supply and the price level understanding velocity can help us understand the role of financial innovations over time