Download PPT

Survey
yes no Was this document useful for you?
   Thank you for your participation!

* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project

Document related concepts
no text concepts found
Transcript
Chapter 12
Supplementary Notes
GNP = Expenditure on a
Country’s Goods and Services
NationalY
income =
value of
production
=
Cd + Id
+
Gd
+ EX
expenditure
on production
= (C-Cf) + (I-If) + (G-Gf) + EX
= C + I + G + EX – (Cf + If +Gf)
= C + I + G + EX – IM
= C + I + G + CA
Domestic
expenditure
Net expenditure
by foreigners
National Income Accounts: GNP
(cont.)
Imports and Exports
As a Fraction of GDP
50%
45%
Percentage of GDP
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Canada
imports
France
Germany
Italy
Japan
Mexico
UK
exports
Imports and exports as a percentage of GDP by country, 2000. Source: OECD
US
GNP and GDP
• Gross domestic product measures the
final value of all goods and services that are
produced within a country in a given
time period.
• GNP = GDP + factor payments from
foreign countries - factor payments to
foreign countries
• GNP = GDP + net factor income from abroad
Expenditure and Production
in an Open Economy
CA = EX – IM = Y – (C + I + G )
• When production > domestic expenditure, exports >
imports: current account > 0, trade balance > 0
– when a country exports more than it imports, it earns more
income from exports than it spends on imports
– net foreign wealth is increasing
• When production < domestic expenditure, exports <
imports: current account < 0, trade balance < 0
– when a country exports less than it imports, it earns less income
from exports than it spends on imports
– net foreign wealth is decreasing
surplus
US Current Account As a
Percentage
of GDP, 1960–2004
2%
1%
0%
-1% 1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
deficit
-2%
-3%
-4%
-5%
-6%
year
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, US Department of Commerce
US Current Account, 1960–
2004
billions of current dollars
100
0
-100 1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
-200
-300
-400
-500
-600
-700
year
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, US Department of Commerce
US Current Account and
Net Foreign Wealth, 1977–2003
Saving and the Current Account
• National saving (S) = national income (Y) that is
not spent on consumption (C) or government
purchases (G).
Y–C–G
= (Y – C – T) + (T – G)
 S = Sp + Sg
• National saving = private saving + govt saving
How Is the Current Account
Related to National Saving?

CA = Y – (C + I + G )
CA = (Y – C – G ) – I
CA = S – I
current account = national saving – investment
current account = net foreign investment
Note: I is domestic investment
• A country that exports more than it imports
invests in foreign countries (by lending the CA
surplus to foreigners).
How Is the Current Account
Related to National Saving? (cont.)
CA = S – I
or
I = S – CA
• Countries can finance investment either by
saving or by acquiring foreign funds equal
to the current account deficit.
– a current account deficit or negative net
foreign investment implies a financial capital
inflow (through international borrowing).
How Is the Current Account
Related to National Saving? (cont.)
CA = Sp + Sg – I
= Sp – GD – I
• GD, Government deficit (= G – T), is negative
govt saving
• A high government deficit causes a negative
current account balance, all other things equal.
Inverse Relationship Between
Public Saving and Current
Account?
US current account and public saving relative to GDP,
1960-2004
Percent of GDP
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
-8%
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
current account
1985
1990
1995
2000
public saving
Source: Congressional Budget Office, US Department of Commerce
Balance of Payments Accounts
• A country’s balance of payments accounts
record its payments to and its receipts from
foreigners.
• Record all international transactions in goods,
services, assets
Services: travel, transportation, royalties, etc.
Assets: bank loans, deposits, stocks, bonds, etc.
US Balance of Payments Accounts,
2003 in Billions of Dollars
US Balance of Payments Accounts,
2003 in Billions of Dollars (cont.)
3 Broad Accounts
• The balance of payment accounts are separated
into 3 broad accounts:
– current account: accounts for flows of goods and
services (imports and exports).
– financial account: accounts for flows of financial
assets (financial capital).
– capital account: flows of special categories of
assets (capital), typically non-market, non-produced,
or intangible assets like debt forgiveness, copyrights
and trademarks.
Credit and Debit
• Double-entry bookkeeping: Each international
transaction enters the BoP accounts twice: once
as a credit (+) and once as a debit (-).
• Credit: sale of domestic goods, services, assets
to foreigners
• Debit: purchase of foreign goods, services,
assets from foreigners
Some useful tips
• Credit: we sell to foreigners
• Debit: we buy from foreigners
• Treat payment as if we sell the financial assets
(e.g., deposits). Receipts are treated as if our
purchase of financial assets.
• The payment part is recorded on the other side
of the BoP table.
• Exceptions: unilateral transfers, debt forgiveness
Example 1
• You import a DVD of Japanese anime by using your
debit card.
• The Japanese producer of anime deposits the funds in
its bank account in San Francisco. The bank credits the
account by the amount of the deposit.
DVD purchase
–$30
(current account)
Credit (“sale”) of bank account by bank
(financial account)
+$30
Example 2
• You invest in the Japanese stock market by buying $500
in Sony stock.
• Sony deposits your funds in its Los Angeles bank
account. The bank credits the account by the amount of
the deposit.
Purchase of stock
–$500
(financial account)
Credit (“sale”) of bank account by bank
(financial account)
+$500
Example 3
• US banks forgive a $100 M debt owed by the
government of Argentina through debt restructuring.
• US banks who hold the debt thereby reduce the debt by
crediting Argentina's bank accounts.
Debt forgiveness: non-market transfer
–$100 M
(capital account)
Credit (“sale”) of bank account by bank
(financial account)
+$100 M
More Terms
• Private financial transactions include direct
investment, portfolio investment (security
purchases), and bank claims and liabilities.
• Financial transactions are also classified either
short-term or long-term. Long-term means
maturity longer than or equal to 1 year.
• “Official” means assets treated as foreign
reserves. They include foreign currencies, gold,
Special Drawing Rights, and reserve position at
the IMF.
• Balance of payments = current a/c + capital a/c
+ non-reserve financial a/c
Capital inflow and outflow
• Financial (capital) inflow
– Foreigners loan to domestic citizens by acquiring domestic
assets.
– Foreign owned (sold) assets in the domestic economy are a
credit (+)
– A surplus on the financial account implies net inflow of foreign
capital.
• Financial (capital) outflow
– Domestic citizens loan to foreigners by acquiring foreign assets.
– Domestically owned (purchased) assets in foreign economies
are a debit (-)
– A deficit on the financial account implies net outflow of foreign
capital.