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Chapter 7 The Government Sector Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-1 Chapter Objectives • • • • • • • Government spending The graphing of the C + I + G line Types of taxes The average and marginal tax rates Sources of government revenue Principles of taxation The economic role of government Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-2 Introduction: The Growing Economic Role of Government • Most of the growth over the past seven decades was due to the Depression and World War II • Since 1945 the roles of government at the federal, state, and local levels have expanded – The seeds of that expansion were sown during the Roosevelt administration • The government exerts four basic influences – – – – It spends more than $2.5 trillion It levies almost that amount in taxes It redistributes hundreds of billions of dollars It regulates our economy Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-3 Whe re it com e s from ... Social Insurance Receipts 34% Corporate Income Taxes 10% Other 4% Excise Taxes 4% Whe re it goe s ... Individual Income Taxes 48% Fe de ral tax re ve nue : $2,019 billion National Def ense 16% Non-Def ense Discretionary 19% Other Means-Tested Entitlements 6% Other Mandatory 6% Medicaid 7% Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Net Interest 11% Social Security 23% Medicare 12% Fe de ral s pe nding: $1,835 billion 7-4 2002 Proposed Spending by Category Budget of the United States Government , Fiscal Year 1999 International A f f airs $21 B (1%) National Def ense $301 B (16%) Medicare and Medicaid $342 B (19%) A ll Other Mandatory $232 B (13%) Domestic Discretionary $309 B (17%) Social Security $422 B (23%) Net Interest $208 B (11%) Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-5 State and Local Government Spending • Main expenditures – Education – Health – Welfare • Spending is a little more than half the level of federal spending • Police protection and prisons are now straining state and local budgets Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-6 Government Purchases versus Transfer Payments • The government spends $2.7 trillion a year – GDP = C + I + G + Xn – Approximately half is “transfer payments” • The largest transfer payment is social security • These payments end up in the “C” part GDP – Approximately half is “government purchases” • The largest government purchase is defense • These end up in the “G” part of GDP Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-7 Federal and State and Local Purchases Relative to GDP, 1960-2000 25 Total Government Purchases Total government purchases have been declining since the late 1960s and now constitute 16 percent of GDP 20 15 State and Local Purchases 10 5 Federal Purchases 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 Y ear Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-8 Federal and State and Local Transfer Payments as a Percentage of GDP, 1960-2000 Federal transfer payments have risen sharply since the mid-1960s, while state and local transfer payments have also grown substantially since the early 1970s. 16 Total Government Transfer payments 14 State and Local Transfer Payments 12 10 8 6 Total government transfer payments have risen from just 6 percent of GDP in 1960 to more than 15 percent today 4 Federal Transfer Payments 2 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 Year Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-9 Graphing the C + I + G + Xn Line To keep the graph as simple as possible, we are assuming the government spends a constant amount of money regardless of the level of disposable income 3,000 C+I+G C+I 2,000 C 1,000 45û 1,000 2,000 Disposable income ($) Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 3,000 7-10 Graphing the C + I + G + Xn Line How much is G? 3,000 C+I+G C+I 2,000 C Answer: 400 1,000 45û 1,000 2,000 Disposable income ($) Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 3,000 7-11 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level Marginal Tax Rate Tax Total Taxes Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Average Tax Rate 7-12 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level 0 - $100 Marginal Tax Rate 0 % Tax Total Taxes 0 $0 Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Average Tax Rate 0.0 % 7-13 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level 0 - $100 $101 - $200 Marginal Tax Rate 0 % Tax $0 Total Taxes $0 Average Tax Rate 0.0 % $10 Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-14 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level 0 - $100 Marginal Tax Rate 0 % $101 - $200 Tax $0 Total Taxes $0 Average Tax Rate 0.0 % $10 Additional Taxes Paid MTR = ( $10) -------------------------------- ---------Additional Taxable Income ($100) Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-15 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level Marginal Tax Rate Tax 0 - $100 0 % $0 $101 - $200 10 % $10 Total Taxes $0 Additional Taxes Paid MTR = Average Tax Rate 0.0 % ( $10) -------------------------------- ---------Additional Taxable Income ($100) Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-16 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level Marginal Tax Rate Tax 0 - $100 0 % $0 $101 - $200 10 % $10 Total Taxes $0 Additional Taxes Paid MTR = Average Tax Rate 0.0 % ( $10) -------------------------------- ---------- Additional Taxable Income ($100) The Marginal Tax Rate (MTR) is the rate you pay on the last dollars you earned Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-17 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level Marginal Tax Rate Tax Total Taxes 0 - $100 0 % $0 $0 $101 - $200 10 % $10 $10 Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Average Tax Rate 0.0 % 7-18 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level Marginal Tax Rate Tax Total Taxes 0 - $100 0 % $0 $0 $101 - $200 10 % $10 $10 Total Taxes Paid ATR = Average Tax Rate 0.0 % ( $10) -------------------------------- ---------Entire Income Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. ($200) 7-19 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level Marginal Tax Rate Tax Total Taxes Average Tax Rate 0 - $100 0 % $0 $0 0.0 % $101 - $200 10 % $10 $10 5.0 % Total Taxes Paid ATR = ( $10) -------------------------------- ---------Entire Income Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. ($200) 7-20 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level Marginal Tax Rate Tax Total Taxes Average Tax Rate 0 - $100 0 % $0 $0 0.0 % $101 - $200 10 % $10 $10 5.0 % Total Taxes Paid ATR = ( $10) -------------------------------- ---------Entire Income Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. ($200) 7-21 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level Marginal Tax Rate Tax Total Taxes Average Tax Rate 0 - $100 0 % $0 $0 0.0 % $101 - $200 10 % $10 $10 5.0 % Total Taxes Paid ATR = ( $10) -------------------------------- ---------Entire Income ($200) The Average Tax Rate (ATR) is the overall rate you pay on your entire income Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-22 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level Marginal Tax Rate Tax Total Taxes Average Tax Rate 0 - $100 0 % $0 $0 0.0 % $101 - $200 10 % $10 $10 5.0 % $201 - $300 12 % $12 $22 7.3 % Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-23 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level Marginal Tax Rate Tax Total Taxes Average Tax Rate 0 - $100 0 % $0 $0 0.0 % $101 - $200 10 % $10 $10 5.0 % $201 - $300 12 % $12 $22 7.3 % $301 - $400 15 % $15 $37 9.3 % Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-24 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level Marginal Tax Rate Tax Total Taxes Average Tax Rate 0 - $100 0 % $0 $0 0.0 % $101 - $200 10 % $10 $10 5.0 % $201 - $300 12 % $12 $22 7.3 % $301 - $400 15 % $15 $37 9.3 % $401 - $500 28 % $28 $65 13.0 % Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-25 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level Marginal Tax Rate Tax Total Taxes Average Tax Rate 0 - $100 0 % $0 $0 0.0 % $101 - $200 10 % $10 $10 5.0 % $201 - $300 12 % $12 $22 7.3 % $301 - $400 15 % $15 $37 9.3 % $401 - $500 28 % $28 $65 13.0 % $501 - $600 50 % $50 $115 19.2 % Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-26 The Average Tax Rate and the Marginal Tax Rate This is a hypothetical illustration Income Level Marginal Tax Rate Tax Total Taxes Average Tax Rate 0 - $100 0 % $0 $0 0.0 % $101 - $200 10 % $10 $10 5.0 % $201 - $300 12 % $12 $22 7.3 % $301 - $400 15 % $15 $37 9.3 % $401 - $500 28 % $28 $65 13.0 % $501 - $600 50 % $50 $115 19.2 % > $600 80 % Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-27 Types of Taxes • Direct taxes – A tax with your name on it • Indirect taxes – Taxes on things Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-28 Types of Taxes (Continued) • Progressive taxes – Places a greater burden on those best able to pay and little or no burden on the poor • Proportional taxes – Places an equal burden on the rich, the middle class, and the poor • Regressive taxes – Places a heavier burden on the poor than on the rich Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-29 a. Nominally progressive tax 20 16 12 8 4 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 A nnual income ($ thousands) Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-30 b. Nominally proportional tax 20 16 12 8 4 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 A nnual inc ome ($ thousands) Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-31 c. Nominally regressive tax 20 16 12 8 4 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 A nnual inc ome ($ thousands) Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-32 Sources of Federal Revenue • Personal Income Tax – The personal income tax is the largest source of federal revenue – Most of the poor pay little or no federal income tax Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-33 Federal Personal Income Tax:The Top Marginal Tax Rate, 1954-2001 91% 90 80 70 70% 60 50 50% 39.6% 40 30 31% 28% 20 10 1954 1960 1970 1980 *During World War II the top MTR w as 94%. Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 1990 2000 7-34 Top Marginal Tax Rates in 15 Leading Wealthy Nations, 2000 Top inc ome-tax rate, lates t, % Netherlands Denmark Finland Sw eden Belgium Franc e* Sw itz erland Germany ** Spain Italy Greec e Ireland Britain Portugal United States *Will be 52.5% in 2003. **Will be 42% by 2005. Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-35 Sources of Federal Revenue • The Social Security and Medicare taxes are the Payroll Tax • What you pay is matched by your employer • The social security tax by law is set at 6.2% with a wage based limitation of $80,400 • The inflation rate of the previous year raises the wage base • The Medicare tax of 1.45% applies to wages and salaries only. Income such as rental income, interest, dividends, and profit is exempt Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-36 Sources of Federal Revenue • You pay 6.2% in payroll tax on wages up to $80,400 and 1.45% on all wages • The Payroll Tax is the fastest growing source of federal revenue Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-37 The Incidence of the Social Security Tax at Various Income Levels in 1998 Level of Earned Income Taxes Paid Average Tax Rate $ 10,000 $ 620.00 6.2% 68,400 4,240,80 6.2% 100,000 4,240.80 4.24% 1,000,000 4,240.80 0.424% Note: The current social security tax by law is set at 6.2 % with a wage based limitation of $80,400 Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-38 The Corporate Income Tax • The corporate income tax is a tax on a corporation’s profits – The maximum rate is 35% • All corporations earning profits of at least $335,000 pay an average of tax rate of 35% – Loopholes in the tax law allow many corporations to pay much lower taxes Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-39 Excise Taxes • An excise tax is a sales tax aimed at specific goods and services • Most excise taxes are levied by the federal government – State and local governments also often levy taxes on the same items Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-40 Excise Taxes (Continued) • Excise taxes tend to reduce consumption of certain products of which the federal government takes a dim view (e.g., cigarettes) • Excise taxes are usually regressive Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-41 The Estate Tax • The estate tax is a tax on the estates of people who die – It is a graduated tax that rises to 55% • It is levied only on estates valued at $675,000 or more – More than 90% of estate taxes are paid by people with incomes above $200,000 a year Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-42 Sources of State and Local Tax Revenue • Sales Tax – Is a source of over half of all taxes collected by the states – Is a highly regressive tax • Property taxes – Provides 80% of all local tax revenue – Can distort business decisions about where to locate Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-43 The State and Local Fiscal Dilemma • Since World War II, state and local governments have been expected to provide an increasing number of services – Most notable are health, welfare, education, and police protection – Programs dropped at the Federal level must often be picked up at the state or local level Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-44 The State and Local Fiscal Dilemma (Continued) • During the 1960s and 1970s the federal government helped states with increasing grants-in-aid and general revenue sharing • The Reagan administration not only stemmed this increase, but strongly reversed it Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-45 The State and Local Fiscal Dilemma (Continued) • Neighboring states and local governments are in direct competition with one another for tax dollars – If one government’s tax rates rise too far above the levels of its neighbors, it citizens will vote with their feet • The 1998 Internet Tax Freedom Act declared a three-year moratorium for online sales Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-46 Government Tax Rates as a Percentage of GDP, 1929 and 2000 35 Total: 30.6% 30 Tax Rates are almost three times as high as they were in 1929 State and loc al 25 20 15 Total: 11% 10 5 State and loc al Federal Federal 0 1929 Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 2000 7-47 Tax Receipts as a Percentage of GDP in the United States and Selected Western European Countries, 1999 60 50 40 30 20 10 *Please note: These are 1999 f igures. By 2000, U.S. tax receipts were just 30.6 percent of GDP, and, assuming a major tax cut in 2001 they may soon f all below 30 percent of GDP. Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-48 Two Principles of Taxation: I • Ability to pay principle – Ability to pay • Rich people would pay a much higher proportion of their incomes than the middle class • Middle class would pay a higher proportion of their incomes than the poor – Is this fair? • Possibly, but only if you are solely concerned with people’s incomes • It also depends on how you define the rich and middle class Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-49 Two Principles of Taxation: II • Benefits received principle – Some people receive more benefits than others – Applying the benefits received principle strictly could end up with absurd results – We are not always clear about the value of any benefits received Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-50 Two Principles of Taxation (Continued) • An example of the ability to pay principle is the federal personal income tax • An example of the benefits received principle is the federal and state tax on gasoline, which is geared to the number of miles driven • A tax based on both principles cannot be devised because they appear to be mutually exclusive – Therefore, some taxes are based on the ability to pay principle while others are based on the benefits received principle Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-51 The Economic Role of Government • Provision of Public Goods and Services • Redistribution of Income • Stabilization • Economic Regulation Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-52 Provision of Public Goods and Services • Some examples – – – – – – – Defense of the country Maintenance of internal order Provision of a nationwide highway network Provision of a money supply Provision of public education Running the criminal justice system Environmental protection Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-53 Redistribution of Income • The government redistributes hundreds of billions of dollars every year – Social security redistributes money from those currently working to those who have retired – Welfare for the poor • Examples are food stamps, Medicaid, disability payments and unemployment benefits – Welfare for the rich • Examples are subsidies to corporate farmers and tax breaks for defense contractors, oil companies, and other large corporations Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-54 Stabilization • Two basic goals of economic stabilization by the federal government – Stable prices with little or no inflation – Low unemployment • An economic rate of growth high enough to keep the unemployment rate to a minimum Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-55 Economic Regulation • The government provides the economic rules of the game – This must be done within the social and political context in which the economy operates • The government must allow individuals and business firms to operate with the maximum degree of freedom • There is little agreement as to how far economic freedom may be extended without interfering with society as a whole or the economic rights of specific individuals or business firms Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-56 Adam Smith’s Dos and Don’ts • Do – Protect society from the violence and invasion of other countries – Establish an exact administration of justice – Erect and maintain certain public works and institutions where private enterprise could not profit from doing so • Don’t – Do anything else Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-57 Conclusion • Until the 1930s, the federal government more or less followed the role prescribed by Adam Smith • The government’s economic role has expanded tremendously these last seven decades • It will continue to grow in the coming years Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-58 Big government, like rock ‘n’ roll, is here to stay Copyright 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-59