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Institutional Foundations of Economic Reform and Integration Bernard Wonder Head of Office Productivity Commission Tokyo 26 February 2007 1 Task Working regionally to develop national capacities 2 What can we usefully do? From the perspective of Australia’s Productivity Commission – the Australian Government’s principal review and advisory body on microeconomic policy and regulation; and – the institution most identified in Australia with microeconomic reform 3 Regional co-operation Share experiences Share institutional solutions Share priorities for reform agenda Focus on particular priorities 4 1. Share experiences Number 1 (beginning of 20th century) in world per capita incomes To Number 4 (of 23 OECD countries) in 1950 To Number 9 in the early 70s and 16 by late 80s 5 Australia’s relative productivity performance Average annual labour productivity growth GDP per hour 4.0 Australia OECD 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1950-1973 1973-1990 1990-2005 6 Why was this so? High cost manufacturing sector Low levels of innovation and skill development Outmoded technologies Inflexible work practices High cost government provided infrastructure services 7 Reform strategies that worked for Australia Opening the borders Unilateral liberalisation Gradual change Reform on a broad front Specific adjustment measures 8 Fall and rise of Australia’s economic ranking Rank based on GDP per capita, in 2005 EKS$, 23 OECD countries 1 3 Australia ranked 4th in 1950 5 Australia back to 6th in mid 2000s 7 9 11 13 15 17 Australia ranked 16th in late 1980s 19 21 23 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 9 2. Share institutional solutions to: – Obstacles to structural reform; and – Promoting and sustaining reform 10 Obstacles to structural reform Costs are concentrated. Benefits are diffuse Potential winners poorly informed Bureaucratic structures aligned with sectional interests Costs of reform front-loaded, benefits long term Multiple jurisdictions 11 Promoting and sustaining reform Neutralising vested interests Building community-wide support 12 Productivity Commission Model Well informed policy decision-making and public understanding on matters relating to productivity and living standards, based on independent and transparent analysis from a community-wide perspective. Supporting Government Regulation Research Commissioned Review Competitive projects Performance Neutrality Reporting Complaints Office 13 What is it about the Productivity Commission model that makes it work (in Australia)? Independent, transparent and economy-wide analysis Well researched advice that is impartial Extensive public input Draft and final reports Opportunity for governments to respond to Commission reports Wider awareness of the costs of existing policies and the benefits from reform 14 3. Share priorities for reform Agenda 15 The future agenda Strengthening the national electricity market Enforcing ‘water allocation and trading regimes Delivering a more efficient freight transport system Addressing costly regulation Addressing greenhouse gas abatement Improving consumer protection policies Reviewing the entire health system Examining vocational education and training 16 4. Focus on particular priorities What might be a good example? – regulation 17 Growth in Australian Government regulation Estimated growth in pages of Australian Government primary legislation 60 000 Total Pages Passed 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 0 1900s 1910s 1920s 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 18 The paper burden (a small business perspective) 19 Rethinking Regulation 20 Common regulatory problems Unclear or questionable objectives Failure to target the regulation at the ‘problem’ Undue prescription and complexity Overlap, duplication and inconsistency Excessive reporting and paper work Unwarranted differentiation from international standards 21 Recent decisions: New regulatory framework Australian Government responded to the Report of Regulation Task Force and announced the 'New Regulatory Framework’ on 15 August 2006 22 What might be the product of regional focus? Principles of good regulatory process? Better understanding of good regulatory analysis Compliance Cost checklist Competition assessment checklist Sharing of national approaches to regulatory assessment 23 24 Institutional Foundations of Economic Reform and Integration Bernard Wonder Head of Office Productivity Commission Tokyo 26 February 2007 25