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International Comparison Program 2005 Preliminary Results 17 December 2007 1 What are PPPs? Purchasing Power Parities (PPPs) convert values in local currency prices to “real” values in a common currency. They are based on multilateral comparisons of prices between countries. They permit the comparisons of real levels of output or income between countries, just as price deflators or a consumer price index allow real comparisons over time. 2 How are PPPs used? 1993 System of National Accounts calls for real comparisons between countries to be done using PPPs. The World Bank uses PPPs as an input to establish international poverty lines and compare standards of living. IMF and World Bank publications report the size of economies and aggregate growth rates in PPP terms. EU allocates structural funds to member states. UNDP includes GNI measured at PPP in the Human Development Index. 3 ICP 2005: What has been achieved Most intensive effort ever to measure PPPs. New methodology and improved data collection for better data quality. National accounts reviewed and improved. China for the first time; India first since 1985. New governance arrangements. Framework established for continuous improvement. 4 OECD Eurostat Latin America W. Asia Ring Total consumption General Government Construction Equipment CIS Food and non - alcoholic beverages Alcoholic beverages and tobacco Clothing and footwear Housing and utilities Furnishing and household equipment Health Transportation Communication Recreation and Culture Education Restaurants Misc. .goods and services Asia Category Africa Scope and coverage of data collection 356 41 128 21 95 144 55 19 49 7 51 34 223 19 78 17 85 112 65 19 70 7 25 56 198 20 104 22 91 75 47 16 79 7 45 36 422 72 319 64 460 244 365 81 336 5 117 136 147 8 136 18 77 51 33 8 54 10 14 22 353 21 162 12 83 69 29 12 59 11 20 31 281 30 132 35 124 162 96 28 96 7 60 44 1000 50 34 108 776 50 34 108 740 50 34 108 2621 50 34 108 578 50 34 108 862 50 34 108 1095 50 34 108 5 Organization the ICP ICP Organization of of the ICP under auspices of the UN Statistical Commission ICP Executive Board Global Office World Bank Africa (48 countries) Asia & Pacific (23 countries) CIS (10 countries) South America (10 countries) Technical Advisory Group West Asia (10 countries) Eurostat/ OECD (45 countries) 6 Historical global ICP participation Number of countries participating 146 7 A snapshot of the world in 2005 Purchasing Power Parities Size of the world Economic well being Relative living costs 8 A new view of world economy World Share of GDP World Share of GDP Based on market exchange rates Based on PPP Low-income economies, 7% Low-income economies, 2% Middle-income economies, 19% Middle-income economies, 32% High-income economies, 78% High-income economies, 61% 9 The size of the world economy ICP 2005 GDP @PPP Previous GDP @PPP GDP @ Market exchange rates World---146 countries 54,980 59,712 44,306 High income: OECD 31,422 31,726 33,342 964 1,264 486 10,971 16,367 4,221 China 5,333 8,819 2,244 India 2,341 3,779 779 CIS 2,269 2,171 968 South America* 2,698 2,911 1,411 West Asia 1,158 932 588 GDP 2005 ($ billions) Africa* Asia and Pacific* * Excludes oil-exporting countries. Note: Regional totals do not include all ICP participants. 10 People and their spending 70 60 50 World Population (%) 40 30 20 World PPP GDP (%) 10 0 Low Middle High 11 The largest dozen Twelve economies account for two-thirds of world expenditures. The five largest are US, China, Japan, Germany, and India. Seven are high income economies: US, Japan, Germany, the UK, France, Italy, and Spain. And five are low- or middle-income economies: China, India, Russia, Brazil, and Mexico. 12 Economic well being – PPP consumption per capita PPP- Based Actual Individual Consumption per capita, $ 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Eurostat/OECD CIS South America Western Asia Asia/Pacific Africa 13 The richest economies GDP per capita Consumption per capita Luxembourg Luxembourg Qatar United States Norway Iceland Brunei Darussalam United Kingdom Kuwait Norway 14 And the poorest economies GDP per capita Consumption per capita Congo Dem Rep Congo Dem Rep Liberia Liberia Zimbabwe Zimbabwe Guinea Bissau Guinea Bissau Ethopia Ethopia 15 Average PPP consumption across 146 economies PPP consumption per capita (US$) 35,000 20,000 5,000 1,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 World Average 6,096 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 16 Comparing price levels Price level indexes are the ratio of an economy’s PPP to its exchange rate with another economy Measure cost of living or cost of doing business Or simply the most expensive or cheapest places to travel 17 Most and least expensive Most expensive Least expensive Iceland Tajikistan Denmark Ethiopia Switzerland Gambia Norway Kyrz Republic Ireland Bolivia 18 Higher prices in rich countries 200 Iceland Denmark Switzerland Norway Price level index (World=100) 180 160 Japan 140 United States 120 Fiji 100 80 Brazil 60 Congo, D.R. China 40 India 20 Bolivia 0 GDP per capita 19 What is being released? Press release with summary of results for the GDP plus background material. 2005 International Comparison Program—Preliminary results: Tables showing PPPs, nominal and real expenditures, nominal and real per capita measures, and price level indices for Actual individual consumption, collective government consumption and gross fixed capital formation. Summary of major findings. Technical notes describing methodology and procedures. Annexes with history of the ICP, governance, other technical matters, glossary, and brief references. More detailed data to be released in February 2008 www.worldbank.org/data/icp 20 Thank you! www.worldbank.org/data/ICP 21 What is being released? Press release with summary of results for the GDP plus background material. 2005 International Comparison Program—Preliminary results: Tables showing PPPs, nominal and real expenditures, nominal and real per capita measures, and price level indices for Actual individual consumption, collective government consumption and gross fixed capital formation. Summary of major findings. Technical notes describing methodology and procedures. Annexes with history of the ICP, governance, other technical matters, glossary, and brief references. More detailed data to be released in February 2008 www.worldbank.org/data/icp 22