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Chapter 21 Fiscal Policy • Key Concepts • Summary • Practice Quiz • Internet Exercises ©2002 South-Western College Publishing 1 What is a discretionary fiscal policy? The deliberate use of changes in government spending or taxes to alter aggregate demand and stabilize the economy 2 What are examples of expansionary fiscal policy? • Increase government spending • Decrease taxes • increase government spending and taxes equally 3 What are examples of contractionary fiscal policy? • Decrease government spending • Increase taxes • Decrease government spending and taxes equally 4 Government Spending to Combat a Recession 155 155 150 Price Level AS E2 E1 X AD1 Real GDP 0 AD2 full employment $6 $6.1 $6.2 5 Increase in the price level and the real GDP Increase in the aggregate demand curve Increase in government spending 6 With an MPC of 0.75, what is the spending multiplier? 1/MPS = 1/1/4 = 4 7 How much will real GDP increase by with an increase in government spending of $50 bil? 4 x $50 bil = $200 bil 8 What is the tax multiplier? The change in aggregate demand (total spending) resulting from an initial change in taxes 9 What happens when government cuts taxes by $50 bil? The multiplier process is less because initial spending increases only by $38 bil instead of $50 bil 10 What is the formula for the tax multiplier? 1 – spending multiplier 11 How much does real GDP increase by with a cut in taxes of $50 bil? 3 x $50 bil = $150 bil 12 Can we assume that the MPC will remain fixed? No, it can change from one time period to another 13 Can fiscal policy be used to combat inflation? Yes, this would happen when the economy is operating in the Classical or Intermediate range of the aggregate supply curve 14 What will happen to AD with a cut in G spending of 25 bil? -$25 bil x 4 = -$100 bil 15 Price Level Using Fiscal Policy to Combat Inflation AS E1 160 E´ 155 E2 AD1 AD2 0 $6 $6.1 full employment Real GDP 16 Decrease in the price level Decrease in the aggregate demand curve Decrease in government spending 17 What will happen to AD with a cut in taxes of 33.3 bil? $33.3 x -3 = -$100 bil 18 What is the balanced budget multiplier? An equal change in government spending and taxes, which changes aggregate demand by the amount of the change in government spending 19 What is an automatic stabilizer? Federal expenditures and tax revenues that automatically change levels in order to stabilize an economic expansion or contraction 20 What are examples of automatic stabilizers? • Transfer payments • Unemployment compensation • Welfare 21 What is a budget surplus? A budget in which government revenues exceed government expenditures in a given time period 22 What is a budget deficit? A budget in which government expenditures exceed government revenues in a given time period 23 $750 $500 $250 Automatic Stabilizers T Budget deficit $1,000 Government Spending and Taxes $2,500 G Real GDP $4 $6 $8 24 Budget offsets inflation Tax collections fall and government transfer payments rise Increase in real GDP 25 Budget offsets recession Tax collections fall and government transfer payments rise Decrease in real GDP 26 What is supply-side fiscal policy? A fiscal policy that emphasizes government policies that increase aggregate supply 27 What is the purpose of supply-side fiscal policies? To achieve long-run growth in real output, full employment, and a lower price level 28 250 200 Price Level Demand-Side Fiscal Policy AS E2 E1 full employment 150 AD2 100 AD1 Real GDP 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 29 Increase in the aggregate demand curve Increase in government spending; decrease in net taxes 30 250 200 Price Level Supply-Side Fiscal Policy AS1 AS2 E1 150 E2 100 0 full employment AD 2 4 6 8 Real GDP 10 12 31 Increase in the aggregate supply curve Decrease in resource prices; technological advances; subsidies; decrease in regulations 32 Supply-Side Policies Affect Labor Markets Before tax-cut labor supply W2 E1 Wage rate W1 After tax-cut labor supply E2 Labor Demand Q of Labor 0 L1 L2 33 Will an increase in taxes lead to higher government revenues? That depends on where the economy is on the Laffer Curve 34 What is the Laffer Curve? Puts forth the idea that increasing taxes from zero will increase tax revenues up to a certain point 35 What happens beyond a certain point? Tax revenues begin to decline as the economic pie begins to shrink 36 Why does the economic pie begin to shrink? Workers have less incentive to work and investors have less of an incentive to invest 37 R Federal Tax Revenue Rmax A 0 The Laffer Curve B C Federal Tax Rate Tmax D T 100% 38 Key Concepts 39 Key Concepts • What is a discretionary fiscal policy? • What are examples of expansionary fiscal policy? • What are examples of contractionary fiscal policy? • With an MPC of 0.75, what is the multiplier? • How much will real GDP increase by with an increase in government spending of $50 bil? 40 Key Concepts cont. • What is the tax multiplier? • What is the formula for the tax multiplier? • Can fiscal policy be used to combat inflation? • What will happen to ad with a cut in g spending of 25 bil? • What is the balanced budget multiplier? 41 Key Concepts cont. • • • • • What is an automatic stabilizer? What is a budget surplus? What is a budget deficit? What is supply side fiscal policy? What is the Laffer Curve? 42 Summary 43 Fiscal policy is the use of government spending, taxes, and transfer payments for the purpose of stabilizing the economy. 44 Discretionary fiscal policy follows the Keynesian argument that the federal government should manipulate aggregate demand in order to influence the output, employment, and price levels in the economy. 45 Discretionary fiscal policy requires either new legislation to change government spending or taxes in order to stabilize the economy. 46 Expansionary fiscal policy is a deliberate increase in government spending, a deliberate decrease in taxes, or some combination of these two options. 47 Contractionary fiscal policy is a deliberate decrease in government spending, a deliberate increase in taxes, or some combination of these two options. 48 Using either expansionary or contractionary fiscal policy, the government can shift the aggregate demand curve in order to combat recession, cool inflation, or achieve other macroeconomic goals. 49 Discretionary Fiscal Policies Expansionary Contractionary • Increase government spending • Decrease taxes • Increase government spending and taxes equally • Decrease government spending • Increase taxes • Decrease government spending and taxes equally 50 The tax multiplier is the multiplier by which an initial change in taxes changes aggregate demand (total spending) after an infinite number of spending cycles. 51 Expressed as a formula, the tax multiplier = 1 - spending multiplier. 52 A balanced budget multiplier is not neutral. A dollar of government spending increases real GDP more than a dollar cut in taxes. Thus, even though the government does not spend more than it collects in taxes, it is still stimulating the economy. 53 Combating recession and inflation can be accomplished by changing government spending or taxes. 54 The total change in aggregate demand from a change in government spending is equal to the change in government spending times the spending multiplier. The total change in aggregate demand from a change in taxes is equal to the change in taxes times the tax multiplier. 55 Increase in the price level and the real GDP Increase in the aggregate demand curve Increase in government spending 56 Decrease in the price level Decrease in the aggregate demand curve Decrease in government spending 57 A budget surplus occurs when government revenues exceed government expenditures. 58 A budget deficit occurs when government expenditures exceed government revenues. 59 Automatic stabilizers are changes in taxes and government spending that occur automatically in response to changes in the level of real GDP. 60 The business cycle creates braking power. A budget surplus slows down an expanding economy. A budget deficit reverses a downturn in the economy. 61 $750 $500 $250 Automatic Stabilizers T Budget deficit $1,000 Government Spending and Taxes $2,500 G Real GDP $4 $6 $8 62 According to supply-side fiscal policy, lower taxes encourage work, saving, and investment, which shift the aggregate supply curve rightward. As a result, output and employment increase without inflation. 63 The Laffer curve represents the relationship between the income tax rate and the amount of income tax revenue collected by the government. 64 END 65