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SKF Half-year results 2013 Tom Johnstone, President and CEO Highlights Q2 2013 New business • 10-year contract worth SEK 900 million with Turbomeca • service contracts worth SEK 200 million in Latin America • contract for wheel hub bearing units (HBU3) to Volvo Car Corporation Two new SKF Solution Factories Inaugurated in Madrid, Spain and Katowice, Poland Katowice, Poland Madrid, Spain Divestment, after quarter end SKF divested its metallic rods business including the operations at the SKF sites in St. Vallier sur Rhône, France and Monroe, Washington, USA. © SKF Group Slide 1 16 July 2013 Highlights Q2 2013 Research programme SKF and INSA Lyon started a research programme to study the behavior of lubricants under extreme conditions for aerospace. SKF Windfarm Management Conference SKF’s eighth SKF Windfarm Management Conference was held in Warsaw, Poland. Asset Management Conference SKF hosted an Asset Management Conference in Dallas, USA with more than 160 customers. SKF Distributor College awarded its 180,000th certificate. © SKF Group Slide 2 16 July 2013 New products - examples SKF Steering boot kits for cars and light trucks. SKF Telescopic pillars series CPMA and CPMB for medical equipment. © SKF Group Slide 3 16 July 2013 SKF Restructuring programme – costs and expected savings Restructuring activities launched in: Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Total One-off costs 200 250 190 640 Annual savings when fully implemented 150 100 80 330 SEKm The savings for the second half year 2013 will be around SEK 150 million, evenly split between the third and the fourth quarter. © SKF Group Slide 4 16 July 2013 SKF Group – Q2 2013 Financial performance Net sales, SEKm Operating profit, SEKm Operating margin, % Operating margin excl. restructuring,% Profit before tax, SEKm Cash flow, SEKm Organic sales growth in local currency: SKF Group: -2.2% Strategic Industries: -7.6% Regional Sales and Service: -4.8% Automotive: 7.7% 2013 16,392 1,837 11.2 12.4 1,627 1,147 2012 17,174 2,049 11.9 12.7 1,774 686 Europe: North America: Asia: Latin America: Key points Sales volumes down by -1.6% y-o-y Manufacturing relatively unchanged compared to last year Inventories 21.6% of sales © SKF Group Slide 5 16 July 2013 -4% -1% -4% 14% Organic sales growth in local currency % change y-o-y 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 - 10 2011 © SKF Group Slide 6 16 July 2013 2012 2013 Growth development by geography Organic growth in local currency Q2 2013 vs Q2 2012 Europe -4% North America -1% Asia/Pacific -4% Latin America 14% © SKF Group Slide 7 16 July 2013 Middle East & Africa -3% Growth development by geography Organic growth in local currency YTD 2013 vs YTD 2012 Europe -7% North America -6% Asia/Pacific -5% Latin America 11% © SKF Group Slide 8 16 July 2013 Middle East & Africa -4% Components in net sales 2011 Percent y-o-y 2013 2012 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 20.1 12.6 6.2 0.0 -0.8 -2.8 -5.0 -5.9 -8.7 -1.6 Structure 5.0 4.4 5.1 4.8 -0.1 0.0 0.8 1.0 1.5 2.6 Price/mix 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.8 1.9 2.0 0.5 0.7 0.7 -0.6 18.6 13.3 7.6 1.0 -0.8 -3.7 -4.2 -6.5 0.4 -6.3 -2.1 0.4 3.6 -2.7 -3.6 -4.0 -5.0 7.0 5.5 1.4 2.8 -6.4 -7.8 -10.5 -4.6 Volume Sales in local currency Currency -10.8 -12.2 Net sales © SKF Group Slide 9 26.4 15.6 16 July 2013 6.4 Growth in local currency, including structure % y-o-y 20 16.3% 15 10 5 0 -2.1% -5 -3.1% - 10 2011 © SKF Group Slide 10 16 July 2013 2012 Structure in 2011: 4.8% Structure in 2012: 0.4% Structure in YTD 2013: 2.0% YTD 2013 Operating profit SEKm 2 700 2 400 2 100 1 800 1 500 1 200 900 600 300 0 2011 One-time items © SKF Group Slide 11 16 July 2013 2012 2013 Operating margin % 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2011 2012 One-time items © SKF Group Slide 12 16 July 2013 2013 Operating margin % 16 14 12 14.7* 14.5 12.0* 11.4 10 11.9* 10.5 8 6 4 2 0 2011 One-time items * Excluding one-time items © SKF Group Slide 13 16 July 2013 2012 YTD 2013 Operating margin per business area % 18 15 9 Regional Sales and Service Strategic Industries 6 Automotive 12 3 0 -3 Q1 Q2 2011 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2012 Excluding one-off items © SKF Group Slide 14 16 July 2013 (eg. restructuring, impairments, capital gains) Q1 2013 Q2 Inventories as % of annual sales % 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 Q1 Q2 2011 © SKF Group Slide 15 16 July 2013 Q3 Q4 Q1 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2013 Return on capital employed One-off costs * Excluding one-off costs % 30 25 23.9* 20 23.6 15 17.2* 15.3* 16.2 13.8 10 5 0 2011 2012 YTD 2013 ROCE: Operating profit plus interest income, as a percentage of twelve months rolling average of total assets less the average of non-interest bearing liabilities. © SKF Group Slide 16 16 July 2013 Cash flow, after investments before financing SEKm 2 500 2 000 * 1 500 1 000 500 0 ** - 500 - 1 000 2011 2012 2013 * SEK 1,707 million, excluding acquisitions and divestments. ** SEK -69 million, excluding acquisitions and divestments. © SKF Group Slide 17 16 July 2013 Net debt SEKm 0 AB SKF, dividend paid (SEKm): 2011 Q2 2,277 2012 Q2 2,504 2013 Q2 2,530 - 2 000 - 4 000 - 6 000 - 8 000 - 10 000 - 12 000 Cash out from acquisitions (SEKm): 2012 Q3 829 2013 Q1 823 - 14 000 - 16 000 - 18 000 - 20 000 2011 2012 2013 Net debt: Loans and net provisions for post-employment benefits less short-term financial assets excluding derivatives. © SKF Group Slide 18 16 July 2013 Debt structure, maturity years EURm 600 500 500 500 400 300 265 200 100 100 100 100 110 2014 2015 2016 2017 100 0 2013 • Available credit facilities: EUR 500 million 2017 SEK 3,000 million 2017 © SKF Group Slide 19 16 July 2013 • 2018 2019 2020 No financial covenants nor material adverse change clause Second quarter 2013 2013 2012 16,392 17,174 1,837 2,049 Operating margin, % 11.2 11.9 Operating margin excl. one-offs, % 12.4 12.7 Profit before taxes 1,627 1,774 Net profit 1,104 1,244 2.36 2.63 1,147 686 SEKm Net sales Operating profit Basic earnings per share, SEK Cash flow, after investments before financing © SKF Group Slide 20 16 July 2013 Half year 2013 2013 2012 31,544 34,105 3,317 4,185 Operating margin, % 10.5 12.3 Operating margin excl. one-offs, % 11.9 12.7 Profit before taxes 2,864 3,730 Net profit 1,922 2,570 Basic earnings per share, SEK 4.10 5.44 Cash flow, after investments before financing 255* 1,382* SEKm Net sales Operating profit * excluding acquisitions and divestments, SEK 1,078 million (1,401). © SKF Group Slide 21 16 July 2013 July 2013: SKF demand outlook Q3 2013 Demand compared to the third quarter 2012 The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be slightly higher for the Group, Asia and North America as well as for all the business areas. It is expected to be relatively unchanged for Europe and higher for Latin America. Demand compared to the second quarter 2013 The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be relatively unchanged for the Group, Europe, Asia and North America as well as for all the business areas. It is expected to be slightly higher for Latin America. Manufacturing Manufacturing is expected to be slightly higher year over year and relatively unchanged compared to the second quarter. © SKF Group Slide 22 16 July 2013 SKF demand outlook Q3 2013, regions Share of net sales 2012 Sequential trend for Q3 2013 Q3 2013 vs Q3 2012 Europe 43% +/- Asia Pacific 24% + North America 23% + Latin America 7% ++ + Total © SKF Group Slide 23 16 July 2013 SKF demand outlook Q3 2013, business areas Share of net sales 2012 Sequential trend for Q3 2013 Q3 2013 vs Q3 2012 Strategic Industries 31% + Regional Sales and Service 39% + Automotive 27% + + Total © SKF Group Slide 24 16 July 2013 SKF sequential volume trend Q3 2013, main segments Share of net sales 2012 6% Aerospace 6% Energy 5% Trucks 29% Industrial distribution 13% Industrial, heavy, special and off-highway 13% Cars and light vehicles 12% Industrial, general 10% Vehicle after market 4% Railway 2% Two-wheelers and electrical © SKF Group Slide 25 16 July 2013 Guidance for the third quarter 2013* • Tax level: around 30% • Financial net for the third quarter: Around SEK -200 million • Currency impact on operating profit versus 2012 Q3: SEK -100 million Full year: SEK -450 million • Additions to PPE: Around SEK 1.7 billion for 2013 * Guidance is approximate and based on current assumptions and exchange rates © SKF Group Slide 26 16 July 2013 Key focus areas 2013 • Managing the uncertain and different demand environment - Profit and cash flow • Initiatives and actions to support long-term financial targets - New factories in Mysore and Bengaluru in India - New warehouse in Shanghai, China - SKF Campus in Shanghai, China, including: ‣ New factory for automotive ‣ Global Technical Centre China ‣ SKF Solution Factory ‣ SKF College - Integration of new acquisitions, GBC and BVI - Cost reduction and efficiency programme - New IT systems • Business Excellence and competence development One SKF and SKF Care as guiding lights © SKF Group Slide 27 16 July 2013 Cost reduction – specific programme 2012-2015 Main activities: • Consolidation of manufacturing - merger between sites - transfer to faster growing markets with more local production • Optimization and productivity improvements - in the manufacturing and demand chain processes - in administration and support functions • Reduction in purchasing cost - mainly through standardization and rationalization of the supplier base. Reduction of annual cost by SEK 3 billion by the end of 2015 - Total cost for the programme around SEK 1.5 billion - 2,500 people impacted, © SKF Group Slide 28 16 July 2013 SKF’s priorities Sustainable profitable growth • Expand the platform concept • Exploit the asset life cycle approach • Develop new products and grow SKF BeyondZero portfolio • Extend and grow second brands • Acquisitions Capital efficiency • Fixed cost reduction • Working capital efficiency Investments & Innovation • New and existing facilities • Research and development Cost reduction • Consolidation of manufacturing • Optimization and productivity improvements • Reduction in purchasing costs © SKF Group Slide 29 16 July 2013 Cautionary statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on the current expectations of the management of SKF. Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results could differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic, market and competitive conditions, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations in exchange rates and other factors mentioned in SKF's latest annual report (available on www.skf.com) under the Administration Report; “Important factors influencing the financial results", "Financial risks" and "Sensitivity analysis”. © SKF Group Slide 30 16 July 2013 © SKF Group Slide 31 16 July 2013