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The Republic of India Presented by: Team 3 James Draper Brandon Patch Marcus Robinson Shawn Stanford Debesh Shrestha India Background Economic Situation International Aspects Special Problems The Future Demographics • Located in South East Asia • Shares boarder with: – Afghanistan and Pakistan (West) – China, Nepal, and Bhutan (North East) and – Bangladesh and Myanmar (East) Demographics • 7th largest country of the world - Area covered (3.3 million sq. km) • 2nd highest population of the world - Population (1.1 billion) • Density (329 per sq. km) History • First civilization – Indus River Valley (3300 BC) • India = ‘Indus’ • Successor – Vedic civilization History • Small kingdoms – ‘Mahajanapadas’ • Unification – Emperor Ashoka the Great • Formed base of the Indian Culture and heritage History • • • • • British as traders East India Company British took over India Rebellion Mahatma Gandhi “Be the change you want see in the world.” Politics • Largest among democratic countries • Three branches of governance: - Legislature - Executive - Judiciary • President head of state • Prime Minister head of government Culture • Rich cultural heritage • Influenced by Islam – Taj Mahal • Music – Carnatic and Hindustani • Cuisine – Spicy and sweets (Bombay House) More Information • • • • • Capital – New Delhi Currency – Indian Rupees Official Language – Hindi Main Religion – Hinduism Nation animal – Lion India Background Economic Situation International Aspects Special Problems The Future India Is Tiger In Cage Before the last decade India was probably on the short list of the countries with the worst economic systems of almost every economist outside of India. 1947 History • Its annual per capita income was only $50 for its 350 million people – Life expectancy was only 32 years of age – Literacy rate was 17% India’s growth from 1960 to 1992 could have been much more substantial given India’s human, institutional, and natural capital at hand. Jagdish Bhagwati and other economists attribute this failure to “nearly three decades of illiberal and autarkic policies.” Indian Growth Miracle One cannot help but wonder what sparked this amazing growth in India’s economy over the last 15 years. According to Atanu Dey, “Some observers have called the change from an inward-looking autarkic economy to an open, marketdriven economy as the Indian Growth Miracle. The neoliberal economic reforms propelled India to become one of the fastest-growing economies in the world.” India’s Quasi-Socialist Economic System • Strict government control over – Private sector participation – Foreign trade – Foreign direct investment The average size of tariff for India is 22%, more than double the average in Asia's developing countries. India’s GDP growth rate is 8.9% making India the second fastest growing major economy in the world. India Background Economic Situation International Aspects Special Problems The Future Exports • • • • • • • Gems and Jewelry Ready-made Garments Leather Leather Products Agricultural Products Engineering Products Minerals Imports • Machinery • Transportation Equipment • Mineral Fuels Trade Partners • United States • Former Soviet Union • European Community • Japan Trade Improvements • Simplified Tariff • Less Import Restrictions - Eliminated Quantitative Restrictions -Removal of all import restrictions maintained for balance-of-payments reasons • Reduced Export Restrictions BBC News Oct. 27, 2006 India says it has agreed to meet US trade officials next month in a bid to hammer out differences in achieving a global trade agreement • “Indian trade minister Kamal Nath said he wanted the stalled Doha negotiations to resume as soon as possible.” • Nath said, ‘India could not open its markets to subsidized agricultural products from the US.’ Investment “Despite further liberalization of the FDI regime, India’s record in attracting investment remains disappointing, with FDI accounting for some 1% of GDP. The government has also taken various steps to improve enforcement of intellectual property rights which should help to attract FDI.” - India: June 2002, WTO.org India Background Economic Situation International Aspects Special Problems The Future Special Problems 1. Poverty 2. Corruption POVERTY The major causes for poverty have been: • • • • high population growth rate high illiteracy (about 35% of population) unemployment and under-employment protectionist policies pursued till 1991 that prevented high foreign investment NSSO Poverty Rate Year Poverty Rate 1977-78 51.3 1983 45.65 1987-88 39.09 1993-94 37.27 2000 26.09 2004-05 22.15 Outlook for Poverty Alleviation • The Eradication of poverty in India can only be a long-term goal. But, good progress is being made. CORRUPTION • “The chief economic consequences of corruption in India are the loss to the exchequer (revenue collector), an unhealthy climate for investment and an increase in the cost of government-subsidized services.” • Forms of Corruption – Bribes – Extortion – Embezzlement – Kickbacks Areas of corruption in Indian States • Study done by Transparency International • Darker regions more corrupt, meaning less transparency in government actions. CORRUPTION • The RIGHT TO INFORMATION ACT (2005) – “any citizen of India may request a department of the Central Government, State Government or Public Sector company or bank for information on almost any question related to the department or company's functioning.” Other Important Economic Factors • Unemployment • Uneven distribution of wealth India Background Economic Situation International Aspects Special Problems The Future India’s Promising Future • Infrastructure • Growth • Services • Education Infrastructure Development • $15 Billion Development • Shops in Bangalore, Mumbai, and Delphi • An Unusual Proposal • Infrastructure Vs. Internal Earnings • Water Dependent Growth • Smart Growth • Advantages: Promote Inner-city Development Preserve Natural Resources Reduce Sprawl Save Taxpayers Money Integrate Needs Growth • Further Initiatives still needed – Water Systems, Ports, Civil Aviation, Telecom, Roads • Foreign Investment Triggers Technology Efficiency of Resources Enterprise Development Contribution to Trade Service Sector • More than ½ of GDP • Fundamentals of a Developed Country • CAUTION! Could Distort Growth • But, FDI has risen from $671.4 M to $2 B Service Sector • Liberal Industry Policy – Will Keep Industry and Services Balanced – Evidence of Increasing Growth Already showing results: Auto Industry 16.49 Percent Growth within last year Education • Challenge: Acquiring Global Workplace Skills • Population: ½ Billion under age of 25 • Goal: Turn Youth into an Asset • Encourage the Brightest from Taking Their Expertise Elsewhere • Youth to Yield many Long-term Dividends Vision • An “Inclusive, Prosperous, Democratic, and Equitable India.” – Manmohan Singh (India’s Prime Minister) Questions ?