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Developing a Deep and Liquid Bond Market Experience of Sri Lanka Presentation by K.G.D.D.Dheerasinghe Assistant to the Governor Central Bank of Sri Lanka Development of the Bond Market Events of Significance 1923 - Issue of loans commenced under the Colonial Treasury Bill Ordinance by Crown Agents in U.K. 1937 - Issue of Rupee Loans commenced under RSSO No.7 of 1937 1941 - Issue of Treasury Bills commenced under LTBO (Chapter 287) 1950 - Public debt management was vested with the Central Bank under the Monetary Law Act. 1981 - A secondary market window was opened for Treasury Bills by the Central Bank. 1986 - Weekly Treasury Bill auctions commenced 1992 - Primary Dealers were appointed. Development of the Bond Market contd... 1993 - Repo window for Treasury Bills was introduced by the CBSL. 1994 - Primary Dealer system was recognised. 1995 - Non-competitive bidding at primary auctions was phased out. 1995 - Reverse Repo window was introduced by the CBSL. RSSO, LTBO and MLA were amended to enable scripless issue of Treasury Bills and Treasury Bonds. 1997 - Issue of Treasury Bonds commenced. 2000 - Dedicated Primary Dealers were appointed 2000 - Primary Dealer supervision commenced. Development of the Bond Market contd... 2001 - US Dollar denominated Sri Lanka Development Bonds were issued. 2002 - Fiscal Management Responsibility Act was enacted. 2003 - Issue of 10,15 & 20 year Treasury Bonds commenced. 2003 - Bloomberg Bond Trading System for Primary Dealers was introduced. 2004 - RSSO,LTBO & MLA were amended to enable the trading of scripless securities. Scripless Securities Settlement System (SSSS) and Central Depository System (CDS) commenced operations. Legal Framework (a) Appropriation Act - Authority for annual borrowing limit (b) Local Treasury Bills Ordinance - Issuence of T-Bills (c ) Registered Stock & Securities Ordinance - Issuence of T-Bonds & Rupee Loans (d) Foreign Loans Act - Borrowing from foreign sources (e) Monetary Law Act - Debt management as a function of Central Bank (f) Fiscal Management Responsibility Act - Guidelines and debt sustainability Organizational Framework PARLIAMENT - authority to borrow and accountable to the public MINISTER OF FINANACE - delegates authority to Central Bank MINISTRY OF FINANCE / TREASURY-Principal - authority & accountability - Contracting non-commercial foreign borrowing CENTRAL BANK - Agent - Iisuence and debt service PRIMARY DEALERS - market making BANKS, PENSION/PROVIDENT/INSURANCE FUNDS - Investors and Secondary Market Dealers Implementation of the Government Securities Programme Preparation of the borrowing calendar Release of information to the market Regular meeting of the Debt Management Committee ( weekly) Regular meeting with Primary Dealers (weekly) Issuance of domestic debt: e.g. Auction, Tap, Placements Organization of Public Debt Department Front Office - market/public relations, primary issuance, market information, investor awareness Middle Office - research inputs, risk analysis, issuance techniques, product development, database Back Office - payment and settlement, servicing of concessional foreign debt, CS-DRMS Support Services- human resources, training, IT support, maintenance. Budget Deficit and Borrowing Requirement (as a % of GDP) 1997 2000 2003 Total Revenue Total Expenditure Overall Deficit Finanacing 18.5 26.4 - 7.9 7.9 16.6 26.7 - 9.9 9.9 15.7 23.7 - 8.0 8.0 Foreign Domestic Other/Privatization 1.9 3.4 2.5 0.4 9.4 0.1 2.9 4.5 0.6 Composition of Tradeble & Non Tradeble debt in domestic debt 1997 2000 2003 value (Rs. Mil) % value (Rs. Mil) % value (Rs. Mil) % 1. Tradable debt 1.1 Treasury Bonds (medium - long term) 1.2 Treasury Bil s (short term 91-364 days) 2. Non Tradable Rupee Loans Total 10,000 2.74 204,124 33.85 483,107 50.81 114,996 31.55 134,996 22.39 219,295 23.06 239,475 364,471 65.70 100.00 263,888 43.76 603,008 100.00 248,414 26.13 950,816 100.00 Source : PDD, Central Bank of Sri Lanka Distribution of Bonds by Issuer 1 Government 2 Corporate Total 1997-98 value (Rs. Mil) 10,000 2,668 12,668 2000 % value (Rs. Mil) 78.94 125,322 21.06 2,056 100.00 127,378 2002-03 % value (Rs. Mil) 98.39 214,797 1.61 2,979 100.00 217,776 Source : PDD, Central Bank of Sri Lanka & CSE. Note. Corporate debt issues are for 1998, 2000 and 2002. % 98.63 1.37 100.00 Government Domestic Debt Indicators Govt. Debt/GDP Domestic Debt/GDP Total Debt Service/GDP Domestic Debt Service/ Govt. Revenue Domestic Debt Service/ Govt. Expenditure Domestic Interest/GDP Domestic Interest/ Govt. Current Expenditure 1997 2000 2003 85.8 43.6 9.4 38.6 23.4 5.5 27 96.9 53.8 14 67.9 31.6 4.9 24.5 105.9 57.9 19.6 108 46.9 6.4 39.9 Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka Domestic Financing of Fiscal Deficit By Instrument Long term Bonds Short Term Bills Non-tradable Securities US$ denominated Bonds Other Loans By Source Bank Borrowing Non-Bank Borrowing (Rs. billions) 1997 39.6 10 -4.7 33.5 -9.5 2000 118.5 90.6 6.1 1.8 15.8 2003 79.7 137.1 14.9 -39.3 -15.2 -18.3 39.6 -2.2 41.8 118.5 56.5 62 79.7 -20.9 100.7 Source : Central Bank of Sri Lanka Ownership of Government Securities Owner 1. Domestic Debt 1.1 Banking Sector Central Bank Commercial Banks 1.2 Non-Bank Sector Savings Institutions Sinking Funds Insurance Funds Provident and Pension Funds Official Funds Private Business and Individuals 1.3 Other 2. Foreign Debt Total 1997 value (Rs. Mil) % 2000 value (Rs. Mil) % 2003 value (Rs. Mil) % 19,770 80,766 2.59 10.57 97,778 101,252 8.02 8.31 44,587 183,824 2.39 9.86 63,028 100 9,292 144,406 15,438 48,638 6,302 376,331 764,071 8.25 0.01 1.22 18.90 2.02 6.37 0.82 49.25 100.00 87,263 100 18,969 218,615 24,640 120,116 7,927 542,040 1,218,700 7.16 0.01 1.56 17.94 2.02 9.86 0.65 44.48 100.00 138,939 100 24,828 333,289 40,739 246,209 7,453 843,882 1,863,850 7.45 0.01 1.33 17.88 2.19 13.21 0.40 45.28 100.00 Source : PDD, Central Bank of Sri Lanka Secondary Market - Participants - Ownership Structure - Taxation Policy - Yield Curve Government Securities Secondary Market Yield Curve 25/11/03 31/12/03 9.25% 9.00% 8.75% 8.50% 8.25% 8.00% 7.75% 7.50% 7.25% 7.00% 09/06/04 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Bond Market Infrastructure Online Electronic Bidding System Real Time Gross Settlement System Scripless Securities Settlement System Bloomberg Bond Trading System Colombo Stock Exchange - DEX System Transaction Numbers and Volumes of the SSS System Period February –2004 Number of Volume Transactions (Rs. Mil) 5,696 481,719.01 March –2004 14,037 503,271.56 April – 2004 11,500 523,349.47 May – 2004 11,833 598,636.56 Total 43,066 2,106,976.60 Source:CDS,PDD, Central Bank of Sri Lanka Growth of Depository Accounts of CDS Period No:Of Accounts February –2004 10,893 March –2004 12,483 April –2004 13,781 May – 2004 13,846 Source: CDS,PDD,Central Bank of Sri Lanka Regulatory Framework Licencing of Primary Dealers Primary Dealer Supervision - On Site Examination - Off Site Surveilance Regulations, Directions and Guidelines The End Thank You !