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PA X ADMIRAL Mark P FITZGERALD, US NAVY Commander JFC Naples Athena ‘09 Crisis Management International Conference MARITIME ENVIRONMENT: SECURITY ISSUES IN EUROPE & AFRICA PA X Energy Operational Environment: • Few Regional Security Structures • Drug / Human Trafficking / Illegal Weapons / Piracy • Weak Governance in Some Countries • Energy Security at Risk • Balkans • Iran Drugs NATO Enlargement Migration Kosovo Energy Flows Algeria Georgia Lebanon TBM from Iran Al-Qaida in the Lands of the Islamic Maghreb Drug-Terrorism links? Darfur Eritrea Chad Guinea Tanzim Al Qaida Somalia Oil bunkering Piracy Illegal fishing Energy Flows Kenya Piracy REGIONAL CAPACITY BUILDING PA X COLD RESPONSE BALTOPS Enhance: • Counter Terrorism Black Sea • Energy Security East Med • BMD W. Europe / N. Atlantic FRUKUS • HA/DR Balkans • Counter-Piracy SEA BREEZE BSPC OAE PHOENIX EXPRESS Efforts Focused Regionally PA X NATO’s COMPREHENSIVE APPROACH: THE TWISTED ROPE Law Enforcement Infrastructure Information Social Economic Military Political NATO UNCLASSIFIED RELEASABLE TO PfP NRF SEVEN MISSION AREAS PA X • NATO’s quick reaction force Joint Force: – Non-combatant Evacuation Ops (NEO) – Support Consequence Mgt (CM) – Crisis Response Ops – Embargo Ops – Initial Entry Force Ops – Demonstrative force package to support democracy – Support to counter terrorism - Brigade Equivalent - Maritime Task Force - 200 Air Sorties / Day Train To Comprehensive Approach EXCESS ORDNANCE PA X 24K tons; Requires destruction (site, method) ~30K tons; Requires destruction (ongoing) Weapons for sale, donation Issues: • Dangerous • Costly • Threat to security • IC expectations • Managing consequences ~9K tons; Requires destruction (site, method) Regional Next Steps: • Reaffirm the Stability Pact FYRO * M* • Commit to destroy • Coordinate with nations and IC ~84K tons; Requires (NAMSA, OSCE, DARPA) destruction (ongoing) • Establish national/regional plans * FYROM - Turkey recognizes the Republic of Macedonia with its constitutional name • Educate across levels • Execution Regional ‘Disposal’ Approach: Destroy, Sell, Donate KOSOVO SOCIO-ECONOMIC SITUATION PA X Unemployment Unemployment 323.200 332.200 Slightly Rising MW/h KEK Power Supply 1300 300.000 Winter Electricity Demand 1100 900 100.000 Summer Electricity Demand 700 500 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Source: Early Warning Report Kosovo June 07 Electricity Produced 300 2005 2006 2007 Source: UNMIK Pillar IV – KEK Daily Report Economic Situation Unemployment GDP stagnating Foreign Assistance decreasing Personal Income 2500 Public Income Budget Deficit 1500 GDP Power Supply 500 2001 est. 2002 est. 2003 est. 2004 est. 2005 est. 2006 2007 est. est. Source: Aide Memoire, IMF Staff Mission to Kosovo May 07 Privatization Process Natural resources FIGHTING PIRACY PA X Operational – Detention policy unresolved – Develop robust ROE profile and mandate/legal framework early – Intel gathering / sharing required – Information Campaign was limited Political – Effects not synergized across multiple regional actors – MOUs required to use Vessel Protection Detachments (VPD) on commercial vessels – Legal status needed for liaison officers Resourcing – Force Generation needs additional Immediate Response capabilities to ensure responsiveness – Cultural Awareness and Maritime Situational Awareness crucial REQUIRES A COMPREHENSIVE APPROACH SUMMARY PA X Earthquake in Pakistan Volcano Eruption Mount Vesuvius Non - Combatant Evacuation Lebanon Piracy Horn of Africa