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TECHNOLOGY, INDUSTRY, & ECONOMICS 1914 - PRESENT ECONOMIC SYSTEMS • • 4 Economic Questions: Who produces, what they produce, for whom and how much Traditional Economies – Historic tradition determines answers to four economic questions • • – – – • Regulation by government massive to absolute Government sets taxation, makes policies, regulates market place, prices Tells people what to produce, when, how much Can be labor intensive, capital is often technological Innovation not all that common, trade exists but can be regulated to controlled Common since history began often mixed with traditional aspects In 20th century, absolute command economies aspects of Communism, Nazism Wartime economies in the Western world tend to be command economies, too Mercantilism is a mild form of a command economy Often political, social goals motivate government decisions Laissez Faire Economies – – – – – • Feudalism, traditional caste systems, serfdom are common examples Common prior to 1750 outside of Europe Almost totally vanished in 20th century except when government fails Command Economies – – – – – – – – – – • Labor intensive, low capital, low technology Subsistence economies, no trade Market place of buyers, sellers determine answers to four economic questions Interaction creates a fair market price; maximization of profit is major concern Abhors government regulation except to secure currency, enforce free trade Tend to be technology intensive, capital intensive, reward for entrepreneurship, risk takers Labor is allowed to freely seek its value, private property absolutely protected Mixed Economies – – Once civilization begins, mixed economies are most prevalent Most economies today are a combination of command, laissez faire TECHNOLOGY & CULTURE • • 19th Century: Era of Transportation 20th Century: Era of Telecommunications – – – – – – – • Newspapers: 1890s Radios, Movies, Teletypes: 1920s News magazines, journals: 1930s Television: 1950s Personal Computers, Fax: 1980s Internet, World Wide Web, Email: 1990s Cell Phones: 1990s Mechanization of the Home – – – – Major aspect of consumerism Began with electrification of 1910s, 1920s Refrigerators, washing machines, vacuum machines Home computers, microwaves, advanced entertainment • Service Industries – Largest sector of Western economies is now service related – Service industries are retail, entertainment, sales, technology support WORLD IN 1914 & 1919 & 1945 • Standard – – – – – • Wartime Effects – – – • 1914: Between developed countries especially US, Western Europe 1919: No change except Germany eliminated International Finance – – • 1914: Great Britain, Germany, US 1919: US, Great Britain, France USA was the world’s largest industrial nation and producer of foodstuffs Trade – – • European industry forced to convert to war effort US industry supplies all types of goods, services to countries at war US finances, supplies allies 1917-1919 Industry Leaders – – – • Heavy Industry Agricultural Production Exports over Imports Capital to lend and invest Domestic and foreign companies, assets 1914: UK (London) was the center of finance capital 1919: US (New York) was the center of finance capital Pattern repeated during World War II – – – Germany, Japan, France, United Kingdom eliminated as competitors US was the great economic superpower USSR joined statistics of heavy industry, foodstuffs but many aspects illusionary GREAT DEPRESSION • Weaknesses of postwar global economy – – – – – – • Germany, Austria borrowed money from United States to pay reparations Allies used the money to pay war debt to United States 1928 U.S. lenders withdrew capital from Europe; financial system strained 1928: Austria unable to repay loans to US, defaults also on reparations Industrial innovations reduced demand for raw materials--rubber, coal, cotton Agriculture depressed in Europe, United States, Canada, Argentina, and Australia Crash of 1929 – – – • U.S. economic boom prompted many to speculate, invest beyond their means Black Thursday (24 October 1929): stock prices dropped, investors lost life savings Lenders called in loans, forcing investors to keep selling Economic contraction in world economy – – – • Overproduction and reduced consumer demand Widespread business failure and unemployment By 1932 U.S. industrial production and national income dropped by half Industrial economies felt banking crisis, unemployment – – – • Germany, Japan unable to sell manufactured goods to purchase fuel and food Germany: 35 percent unemployment, 50 percent decrease in industrial production European industrial states and Japan unable to sell to United States because of tariffs Primary producing economies especially vulnerable – – – – – – Export prices declined sharply after 1929: sugar, coffee, beef, tin, nitrates, and so on Latin American states enacted import tariffs that actually helped domestic industry Brazil under dictator Betulio Dornelles Vargas built up steel and iron production Impact on colonial Africa varied: exports hurt, but not local markets China not integrated into world economy, less affected Philippines was a U.S. colony; its sugar production protected by the United States REACTIONS TO DEPRESSION • Great Depression caused enormous personal suffering – – – – • Millions struggled for food, clothing, and shelter Marriage and birthrates declined, suicide increased Intensified social divisions and class hatreds John Steinbeck's Grapes of Wrath criticized U.S. policy of "planned scarcity" Governmental Reaction to the Depression – Economic nationalism • • • • – Government policies • • • Favored over international cooperation High tariffs, import quotas, and prohibitions to promote economic self-sufficiency Trade restrictions provoked retaliation by other nations International trade dropped 66 percent between 1929 and 1932 Reduce female, minority employment, especially of married women Massive deficit spending, money to unemployed – Some nations not overly effected (USSR) Economic experimentation – – – John M. Keynes challenged classical economic theory • Classic theory: capitalism self-correcting, operated best if unregulated • Keynes argued the depression was a problem of inadequate demand, not supply • Governments should play active role in stimulating economy, consumer demand • Government to influence economy through spending (fiscal policies), interventions The New Deal of President Franklin Delano Roosevelt anticipated Keynes's ideas • After 1932, protected banking system, massive public works, farm subsidies • Also, legislation established minimum wage, social security, workers' unions • Military spending in WWII ultimately ended the depression in United States Dictatorships, change in governments, Nazism = experimentation, reaction to Depression GLOBAL ECONOMY • Global Economy – Technology impacts globalization • • – Containerized, intermodal shipping helped create • • • Trade, exports became largely commodities, necessities Costs decreased, efficiency increased National Economies – – – – • Without it, globalization would be impossible Prior to 20th century, world was still small, localized Competition, everywhere all at once Barriers of time, distance eliminated Surplus labor will attract industry, move to places of work Off-shore, outsourcing of industry, capital common Service Industries and Leisure Time – Non-farming, non-technological jobs arose • • – – – – Primary responsibility is serving the consumer economy Called gray collar work force: in Western economies, it is largest single employer Machines reduced workers, need to work to minimum: free time results 19th to 20th Century: 12-14 hour work days, six days a week or more common Late 20th Century: 8 hour day, 5 days a week – trend is now to 35 hours/week Leisure Time means leisure industry • • Hobbies, past times, vacations, resorts, tourism Sports, entertainment industries (music, TV, movies) GLOBALIZATION • World War II, the Cold War globalized the western economy – – – – • Council for Economic Cooperation and Development – – • Expanding trade, foreign investments, privatization of industry Free trade: free of state-imposed restrictions Perils of the new economy: vulnerable to global forces – – • Formed in 1947 as vehicle to promote free trade In 1994, 123 GATT members created Word Trade Organization (WTO) Dramatic growth in world trade, 1966-1990 Global economy evident after collapse of communism – – • American led economic effort to cooperate in capitalism, free trade, development of industry Pumped billions through Marshall Plan into allies to prevent communist takeover General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) – – – • Western allies coordinated their resources to defeat Axis and communists US took the lead especially in aid to develop economies Us built whole industries abroad to supply its troops, allies: became world corporations American, European, Japanese companies began to operate outside of home country Investors withdrew support from Thailand in 1997 Ripple effect: contraction of other Asian economies Critics of globalization – To supporters • • – Global economy efficient Best path to global prosperity To critics • • • Widens gap between rich and poor Destroys environment Threatens local and traditional crafts and economies MULTI-NATIONAL CORPORTATION • Global corporations symbols of the new economy – As defined: Exxon, Ford, Boeing, Phillips, General Motors, Nissan Bank, Shell, Alcatel • • – Multinational businesses • • • • • • • An industry which only becomes cost efficient in large production Able to minimize costs, take advantage of mass production Exploit expensive technologies Transfer technologies, capital easily across borders Forces change from GNP to GDP – GNP: Gross National Product • • – – Value of all goods and services produced in your home country Includes difference between imports and exports GDP: Gross Domestic Product • • • Operate apart from laws and restrictions of any one nation Move capital to maximize profit (lower business costs) Able to get around expensive labor, labor restrictions Seek cheapest labor and resources Prefer lax environmental laws Pay less in taxes in developed world than formerly Economies of Scale – – – – • Branches in many different countries 25% of business is in a country other than home country Value of all goods and services produced in your home country And foreign countries IF the corporation is majority owned by a citizen, national corporation Switch shows influence of Trade, Multinational Corporations Problems – – – – MNC tend to diminish national sovereignty and ignore smaller nations’ laws MNC have no political or social agenda short of maximization of profit MNC ignore labor laws, environmental restrictions MNC will often sell products to countries totally at odds with mother country GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT MORE THAN $15,000 $10,001 TO $15,000 $3,001 TO $10,000 $1,000 TO $3,000 LESS THAN $1,000 MARKET SIZE BY G.D.P. SINGLE PRODUCT EXPORTERS ECONOMIC WORLDS • • Simplified way of looking at world c. 1980 - Present 1st World: US, Western Europe, Canada, Japan, Australia – – – – • 2nd World: PRC, former states of the USSR, Eastern Europe, N. Korea, Cuba, Vietnam – – – – • Nations with resources, educated population, capital to develop Hampered by wars, dictatorships, internal ethnic strife, including economic problems 4th World and 5th World: Most of West Africa, East Africa – – – – • Communist and ex-Communist command economies Tendency to outdated technology: heavy industry, mining; few consumer industries Means of production owned largely by state, private property limited Great environmental damage 3rd World: South Africa, Iran, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Peru, Colombia, Nigeria – – • Capitalist, high industrialized economies Stable democracies with high standard of living, social index Private property, economic decisions left up largely to free market Heavy trade and high technology sectors; large service sectors, capital markets Nations with few if any natural resources short of populace, which is poor, uneducated If any resources, tend to be cash crop or one crop, resource export dependent Often exist as subsistence economies: labor intensive, little capital, little trade 5th World is poorest: often seen as nations which exist merely on paper with simplest economy Newly Industrializing Nations: 4 Tigers, India, Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Chile – – – – – Often called Newly Industrialized Economies Former 3rd world nations which have significantly modernized industries, trade, resources Population has education, abilities to advance, innovate, progress Private property generally respected; active participants in trade Rule of law and government stability relatively new, or stability subject to strife ECONOMIC WORLDS ECONOMIC FREEDOM TRADING BLOCS • Western Europe – European Coal and Steel Union • • Begun as a coal and steel tariff union of Italy, France, West Germany, Benelux Became Economic Communities (EEC) in 1970s – – • • – Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark, UK, Austria, Switzerland Many nations have today joined the EU COMECON: Communist version of the Warsaw Pact Treaty nations Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) – – – – • Expectations of eventual European political union leads to European Union Eleven members adopted a common currency, the Euro, in 1999 EFTA: European Free Trade Association • • • • Added UK, Ireland, Greece, Denmark in 1970s; Spain, Portugal join in the 1980s A common market, free trade, free travel within the Union Cartel established in 1960 to raise global oil prices After Arab-Israeli war of 1973, OPEC placed embargo on oil to United States Price of oil quadrupled from 1973 to 1975, triggered global recession Overproduction, dissension among members diminished influence Regional trade associations – – Formed to establish free-trade zones for member states Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) • • – North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) • – Grew from Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Philippines in 1967 Today includes Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar (Burma) Signed in 1993: US, Canada, Mexico MERCORSOR • 1993: Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, Chile form, trend is to link it and NAFTA ASSOCIATION OF SOUTH EAST ASIAN NATIONS (A.S.E.A.N.) DRAW CONCLUSIONS • Using the information on the past slides, describe the following modern nations: – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – Nigeria South Africa Egypt Algeria Peoples Republic of China Japan Korea Brazil Argentina Mexico Cuba Iran Pakistan Turkey India Vietnam