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The Education for All – Fast Track Initiative (EFA-FTI) Fiscal Space and Capacity Issues: A Case Study of Selected Developing Countries of the EFA/FTI Fast-Track Initiative April 2009 Presentation by Kouassi Soman Senior Operations Officer and CF Trust Fund Manager, FTI Secretariat 1 Fiscal Space—Definitions: IMF: Fiscal space is the room in a government’s budget that allows it to provide resources for a desired purpose (i.e. Education Sector Plan) without jeopardizing the sustainability of its financial position, or the stability of its economy. UNDP: Fiscal space is the financing that is available to government as a result of concrete policy actions for enhancing resource mobilization, and the reforms necessary to secure the enabling governance, institutional and economic environment for these policy actions to be effective, for a specific set of development objectives. Fiscal Space Analysis tool:The Diamond IV. Reprioritisation & Efficiency of Expenditures (%of GDP) I. Domestic Revenues Mobilisation II. External Grants (incl. FTI funds) III. Deficit Financing 3 Fiscal Space Analysis Tool: The Diamond I. Domestic Resource Mobilization: Includes taxes, royalties, other nontax revenues, and privatization receipts. Key indicators are ratios to GDP, progressivity, and impacts on growth and poverty alleviation. II. External Support: Includes grant aid such as FTI funds, and debt relief and cancellations. Key indicators are aid predictability and dependence, modality, coordination and effectiveness. III. Deficit Financing: Includes net domestic finance (arrears and impacts on private sector development), and net foreign finance (indebtedness and longterm sustainability). IV. Re-prioritization & Efficiency of Public Expenditures: Includes difficult and politically-sensitive trade-offs across sector (health, education, social protection, security and public order, and infrastructures, etc.), investment versus recurrent expenditures, luxury versus pro-poor expenditures, procurement and financial management, minimizing corruptive practices, etc... The 22 selected FTI developing country partners are: Benin, Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Cameroon, Ethiopia, Ghana, Guinea, Kenya, Lesotho, Madagascar, Mali, Mauritania, Moldova, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Niger, Rwanda, Senegal, Tajikistan, The Gambia, Yemen, and Zambia. Table . Summary of Macroeconomic and Sector Data Sample of 22 FTI Country Partners I. Macroeconomic & Aggregated Data: 1. Total production (i.e. GDP) -- US$ billions 2. Total population (millions) -- all 22 countries 3. Primary/basic school enrollments (millions) 4. Average unit spending/student ($) --Basic Level II. 5. 6. 7. 8. Education Sector Finance: Actual/planned expenditures (US$ billions) Average %share of national budget Domestic revenues for education ($ billion) Financial shortfalls (deficit 5-7) III. Deficit Financing for Education: - 9. Domestic resources (including dom. Arrears) - 10. External sources of funding 11. Of which: External grants 12. External debt accumulation Year 2008 Estimated Average 2009-2011 Projected 207 357 62 $78 231 371 66 $80 9.1 18.5% 7.4 1.7 10.2 18.5% 8.2 2.0 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.3 0 IV. Details of Planned Expenditures: 13. Investment/capital spending (US$ billions) 1.7 1.9 14. Recurrent expenditures 7.4 8.3 15. %Share of total expenditures (14/5) 81% 81% 16. Number of personnel (in thousands) 1,875 1,945 17. Annual wage level (in US$: 6/7 times GDPPC) $3,468 $3,732 18. Average montly wage per person (in US$) $289 $311 19. Wage bill for the education sector ($billion) 6.5 7.3 Sources: Historical data from government consolidated fiscal operations (IMF); various World Bank Education Statistics; and author's calculations/projections for 2009-2011. Contact us at: [email protected] 6