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SYSTEM OF NATIONAL ACCOUNTS IMPLEMENTATION OF 2008 SNA 5/23/2017 National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 1 Outline 1. 2. 3. 4. Introduction and Background Evolution of the SNA’s purview SNA The 2008 SNA: Update of the 1993 Milestones for the implementation of 2008 SNA 5. Problems/Issues to be addressed 6. Towards the 2008 SNA 7. RWANDA National Accounts • Current Situation • Plans for improvement 5/23/2017 National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 2 Introduction and Background To implement the 2008 SNA (for the 2011-2015 period) is considered as the first pillar of the “Strategy for the Harmonization of Statistics in Africa” 5/23/2017 To meet the needs and Africa’s integration agenda of Heads of State and Government of the African Union The 2008 System of National Accounts (SNA 2008) should be fully implemented, in support of producing quality and comparable statistics for Africa. National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 3 Evolution of the SNA’s purview 1953 SNA: Simple set of tables and accounts in current prices 1968 SNA: Extended accounting system, including 1993 SNA: More detailed accounting structure SUT, Satellite accounts, chaining and index formulae 2008 SNA: More detailed presentation of topics 5/23/2017 input-output tables General principals on prices and volumes and Financial accounts Government accounts Informal sector and capital services National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 4 SNA The 2008 SNA: Update of the 1993 The update started with groups of experts considering new developments or problem areas over the previous decade. The decision was taken just to update the 1993 SNA, 5/23/2017 not to revise it, as the manual was still contemporary. Compared with the six “milestones” adopted by the UN Statistical Commission, which represent the six phases for full implementation of the SNA, one fifth of the total African countries (20%) have reached only to Phase 1 National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 5 Milestones for the implementation of 2008 SNA Pre-SNA Phases: Basic data: Phase 1: Basic indicators of GDP at CP and KP BOP, Monetary stock statistics, Price indices Supply and Use Table (GDP by Expenditure, GDP by industry), Other BOP transactions (income transfers, capital and financial), GFS transaction accounts Phase 2: GNI and other primary indicators: 5/23/2017 External account of primary income and current transfers, Capital and financial accounts for the rest of the world National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 6 Milestones for the 2008 SNA (Cont) Phase 3: Institutional sector accounts (first step): Phase 4-5: Institutional sector accounts Production accounts for all institutional sectors, Generation of income, Allocation of primary income Secondary distribution income Use of incomes and Cap. and fin. accounts for gen. Gvt Capital and Financial accounts for all institutional sectors Phase 6: Other flows, accounts and balance sheets 5/23/2017 Other changes in assets accounts for all institutional sectors National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 7 Problems/Issues to be addressed There are many challenges confronting the compilation of national accounts statistics in Africa Inconsistency and Incompleteness in the Coverage of the Economy 5/23/2017 inclusion of the informal sector in the National Accounts Lack of resources and weak capacity to carry out household and business surveys and censuses for data collection to meet the minimum requirement datasets for National Accounts National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 8 Problems/Issues to be addressed There are many challenges confronting the compilation of national accounts statistics in Africa Inconsistency and Incompleteness in the Coverage of the Economy 5/23/2017 inclusion of the informal sector in the National Accounts Lack of resources and weak capacity to carry out household and business surveys and censuses for data collection to meet the minimum requirement datasets for National Accounts National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 9 Towards the 2008 SNA A continent wide “study on the impact of the implementation of the 2008 SNA in African countries’ will be conducted by AfDB Objectives of the study are: 5/23/2017 Evaluate the capacities to implement the 2008 SNA. Identify the required technical assistance in national accounts for the 2008 SNA implementation Show possible differences in some core aggregates compiled according to the 1993 SNA and the 2008 SNA Rwanda is among the candidates for the pilot study National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 10 RWANDA National Accounts: Current Situation GDP by economic activity, i.e. GDP(P), are compiled on a quarterly and annual basis. Some components of GDP(E) are compiled on an annual basis. The difference between the sum of these components and total GDP(P) is reported as private consumption. Separate estimates for household final consumption expenditure, consumption of non-profit institutions serving households, and changes in inventories are not compiled. Current Situation (continued) The quarterly GDP(P) estimates are based on extrapolating 2006 benchmarks using various indicators. Annual estimates are derived by summing the quarterly estimates. The main sources for the indicators are: banking data, balance of payments, CPI, crop assessments, government finance data, population projections, PPI and trade data. The NISR is committed to improving the GDP estimates and to expanding the range of NAS aggregates. A number of improvements are being planned. Plans for Improvement (Short-Term) During 2011: Increasing access to, and/or use of, existing administrative source data (e.g. RARDA, RRA, RURA); Increasing use of existing NISR survey data (e.g. Pop. Census 2002, EICV2, NAS 2008); Replacing use of population indicators with more representative indicators (e.g. composite indicators, housing trends). Plans for Improvement (LongerTerm) During 2012 to 2014: Finalizing results of EICV3; Conducting benchmark agriculture, enterprise and NGO surveys, and Pop. Census; Developing detailed benchmarks based on InputOutput Tables (IOT) and Supply/Use Tables (SUT); Rebase of GDP to 2011 base year; Improved use of administrative data (e.g. income tax); Expanding and improving annual and sub-annual data collections (e.g. for Agriculture, PPI); and Redeveloping the NAS compilation methodology Rebase Plan of Action (1) An initial assessment of: Key data user requirements; Economic activities and products to be included in the IOT and SUT; Source data availability and quality; Data gaps identified and recommendations; Accessing available data and undertaking additional data collection to ensure appropriate coverage. (June 2012) Rebase Plan of Action (2) Data quality assurance and compilation of the initial estimates from administrative sources and surveys. (July 2012) Classification, coverage, timing and valuation (i.e. price and/or volume) adjustments made to the initial estimates to accord with FY 2010. (August 2012) Filling in the Input-Output and SUT cells and fine tuning of the estimates to the overall size of the different activities. (September 2012) Rebase Plan of Action (3) Balancing of the supply and use estimates, using supplementary information on the relative quality of the data sources used, similar adjustments made to the 2006 SUT, and from data suppliers and industry experts. (October 2012) Compilation of symmetric tables and coefficient matrices (i.e. benchmarks). (November 2012) Redevelopment of NAS compilation systems. (December 2012) End !!! 5/23/2017 National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 18