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Transcript
National Programme
for the Development of Low-Emission Economy
2
Agenda
1. Background of the document
(global, European and national developments)
2. The Programme in the context of strategic papers
3. Guidelines for the Programme
3. The main target and the specific targets
4. Structure of the Programme
.
5. The timeline
6. Key conceptual issues
7. Identification of activities
8. Potential and estimated cost of reducing emissions
3
Background of the document
Transition to a low-emission economy
Transition to a low-emission economy:
• A response to climate change,
• A chance to build a material- and energy-efficient economy
(a competitive advantage).
Two issues for Poland:
• In the short- and mid-term – an economic slowdown may occur together
with an increase of financial burden for the economy
• In the long run – the economy should be modernised and boast new
.
technologies, thus increasing its competitiveness
The need for the transition has been highlighted by important institutions:
• The UN (work on the Durban Platform aimed at reaching a global
agreement that would substitute the 2012-expiring Kyoto Protocol)
• The OECD (the green growth as a key topic of the recent OECD review
on Poland),
• The EU.
4
Background of the document
The low-emission economy in the EU
Europe 2020 Strategy (the priorities):
· the smart growth,
· the inclusive growth,
· the sustainable growth
The Energy and Climate Package (ECP)
Binding targets for 2020
top-down
approach
.
Roadmap for moving to a competitive
low carbon economy in 2050
The proposal of an 80% reduction target for 2050
National Programme for the Development
of Low-Emission Economy
(the Polish low-emission programme)
top-down
approach
bottom-up
approach
5
The Programme
in the context of strategic papers
Strategy for innovativeness and efficiency of the economy 20122020 (SIEG) is the leading strategy for the Programme.
The Programme will also be consistent with other government initiatives,
including in particular:
• the Poland 2030 document,
• the mid-term strategy for the development of Poland,
• nine horizontal strategies, currently
under development (beside the
.
above-mentioned SIEG also the following ones: Energy security and
environment, Strategy of transport development, Strategy of
sustainable development of countryside and agriculture as well as
Regional development strategy).
The Programme will also be consistent with the ECP targets and with
the existing management system for emission of GHG and other
substances.
Guidelines for the Programme
6
The guidelines were adopted
by the Council of Ministers on 16th August 2011.
Key issues:
•
The essence of the Programme is to help generate economic, social
and environmental benefits resulting from actions reducing emissions
(among others through better innovativeness and implementation of new
technologies or decreased energy-intensity)
up to 2050.
.
•
The Programme and analyses prepared for its purposes will constitute
the basis for the Polish position in further discussions regarding
possibilities and costs of reducing GHG emissions.
7
Guidelines of the Programme
Key issues (continued):
•
The Programme will be directed to entrepreneurs from all sectors of the
economy, economic and territorial self-government, business
environment institutions and NGOs, but also to each Polish citizen.
•
The final result of the Programme will be a set of actions aimed (directly
or indirectly) at reducing GHG emissions,
as well as a set of support
.
instruments that will help all participants of the Programme to make
a successful transition to a low-emission economy.
8
The main target
The development of a low-emission economy
without prejudice to the country’s sustainable development.
The assessment of reduction actions will be made on the basis of the
so-called rolling costs.
The main target will be specified with a precise digit. The GHG reduction
level will be linked with relevant indicators of GDP growth, including these
presenting GDP-related emissions. (calculated as CO2 emissions per
GDP unit).
Reaching the main target requires defining, among others, the activities
supporting the reduction of emissions of GHG and other substances
(together with anticipated effects of the reduction), the priorities linked with
them, support instruments, emission reduction paths up to 2050 (divided
into ETS and non-ETS sectors) or checkpoints in the course of the
Programme (that enable measuring progress).
9
The specific targets
Six inter-linked targets that are supposed to help reach the main target.
1) Development of low-emission energy sources
Within this target, one will try and define the optimal energy-mix for
Poland up to 2050. Such definition would constitute useful information for
the power industry regarding directions of investment policy. That would,
in turn, greatly facilitate swift transition to a low-emission economy.
2) Better energy-efficiency
.
It concerns virtually all spheres of the economy and is inexorably linked
with the unification of the technical infrastructure.
The energy-intensity 2050 target level will be specified for the economy,
together with checkpoints and relevant actions aimed at reaching it. Much
potential in this area lies in the building sector, including public buildings.
10
The specific targets
3) Better raw material and resource-efficiency
Resource-efficiency will be based on the assessment of: demand for
resources, national production, international trade and trends regarding
production, trade turnover and consumption.
4) Development and use of low-emission
technologies
.
The technologies must be realistically implementable. Clean coal
technologies should be of particular significance.
11
The specific targets
5) Waste prevention and better waste management
The whole life cycle of products should be designed so that no or minimal
waste is created. There is great potential in selective collection of waste
and different types of recovering, including recycling.
6) Promotion of new consumption patterns
.
Implementation of new, sustainable consumption patterns must be closely
linked with education, already at its earlier stages.
12
Structure of the Programme
1. The diagnosis of socio-economic and legal situation
(with the use of SWOT and STEEPLE analyses)
2. The targets of the Programme
(indicators helping reach the main and the specific targets)
3. Identification of activities in individual sections of the economy
(according to the GHG reduction potential)
.
4. The priorities
(defined based on reduction effects for the identified activities)
13
Structure of the Programme
5. Directions of interventions and actions
(legislative changes, financial instruments etc.)
6. Monitoring and assessing the degree to which
the Programme’s targets are reached
7. The financial plan
(financing sources: the state budget,
. National Fund for Environmental
Protection and Water Management, EU funds etc.)
8. The evaluation report
9. The strategic environmental impact assessment (a legal obligation)
14
The timeline
The Timeline depicts a detailed list of tasks,
with each task and sub-task having its:
• coordinating unit with the responsible person,
• cooperating units with responsible persons,
• deadlines.
The Programme will be the result of close cooperation between the Ministry
of Economy, the Ministry of Environment as well as other ministries and
.
agencies (in the scope of their competence).
An important support role in
the work has been assigned to the Social Council of the Programme
(established on 29th June 2012), consisting of 45 independent experts.
Such wide-ranging approach to emission reduction should enable best
possible identification of horizontal solutions.
15
The timeline
State of play
Currently, the work on identification of activities in individual sections of
the economy is being conducted.
Working meetings in the following sections have already taken place:
transport, construction industry, energy, agriculture and fishery,
industry and forestry, with participation of representatives of relevant
ministries, agencies and the Social . Council of the Programme.
It is assumed that conceptual work will be finished in 2013.
16
Key conceptual issues
The bottom up approach is used, which means the Programme is based
on identification of activities in individual sections of the economy.
Advantage of such approach: it lowers the risk of overlooking an important
sphere of activity, e.g. as a result of repeating traditional patterns of
thinking.
The list of sections of the economy:.
(Polish Statistical Office nomenclature):
1. Energy, 2. Construction industry, 3. Transport, 4. Agriculture and
fishery, 5. Forestry, 6. Industry, 7. Trade and services, 8. Households,
9. Waste, 10. Social dialogue/Education, 11. Public administration
The activity – the smallest identifiable sphere of human activity that was
identified (in each section of the economy) by reason of its potential in
reaching the specific targets.
17
The activities
Identification
Identification of activities should lead to singling out an indivisible unit.
Identification of an activity does not mean that action must follow – the
actions will be specified after the prioritisation. The list of activities gives,
however, the idea about the spectrum of possibilities.
Examples:
•
Use of solar collectors for water heating,
•
Thermomodernisation of existing residential buildings (but the spheres of building/production
and exploitation have to be treated separately, just like education or information on these
issues),
.
•
Glues used to attach labels on bottles.
Hints:
Analysing of potential activities with each specific target in mind
(separately), e.g. activities from the Waste section (3.9) do not have to
come only under the specific target dealing with waste (2.5), but should be
identified bearing in mind other specific targets (2.1 – 2.6). There is also
a 1 activity – 1 specific target rule, so an activity implementing two
specific targets should be described as two separate ones.
Thank you for your attention
Ministerstwo
Gospodarki
Pl. Trzech Krzyży 3/5
00-507 Warszawa
tel +48 22 693 50 00
fax +48 22 693 40 46
email [email protected]
web www.mg.gov.pl