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Skills & Employer Responsiveness Programme: Challenges, Opportunities and Priorities Clive Howarth Head of Employer Services 1 Purpose • To update you on the changing skills ‘landscape’ • To outline skills priorities for this region • To provide information on which the sector can make its own decisions and decide its own actions in response 2 Coalition Government: • Policy commitments set out in ‘The Coalition: Our Programme for Government’ (May 2010)……..against a backdrop of reducing public spending: £17 billion reduction in BIS spending by 2014-15 • BIS Secretary of State’s Grant Letter to the Skills Funding Agency (17 June 2010) set out the Government’s key goals and ambitions: – Supporting progression and strengthening supply of technician level skills, particularly through Level 3 Apprenticeships – Reducing the number of 18-24 year-olds who are NEET – Opportunities for the unemployed to get the skills needed for work-readiness and sustainable employment – Inform and empower individuals and employers through independent careers guidance and Lifelong Learning Accounts whilst giving colleges and training organisations the flexibility to respond. – Increased participation in adult and community learning 3 Coalition Government (2) • To coincide with the issuing of the Revised Grant Letter, John Hayes also announced a range of freedoms and flexibilities: – Removal of the Summary Statement of Activity for post-19 provision – Single post 19 budgets – Streamlined Performance Management • These arrangements, alongside the refocusing of Train to Gain to support additional Apprenticeships and FE capital investment, aimed to free up providers to deliver a responsive and flexible offer to learners and employers • Skills Funding Agency confirmed operational arrangements through Guidance Note 4 and 5 (all Guidance notes available on Agency website) 4 Role of Skills Funding Agency • The policies of the new Government changes both the role of the Agency and the nature of the relationship: – Focus on funding and regulation – Limited intervention – only by exception- no ‘hand-holding’ – Aiming for ‘the right balance between consistency, equity and new freedoms and flexibilities for the sector’ • Providers assume much greater responsibility and autonomy…. for planning, prioritising, managing data queries, quality and responding to learner and employer need • Providers take on more active role in local communities – for example, Local Enterprise Partnerships and Employment & Skills Boards 5 The emerging landscape: • Budget announced £17 billion reduction in departmental spending by 2014-15- an average departmental real cut of 25%. Actual reduction known following outcome of the Comprehensive Spending Review (CSR) on 20th October. • Pressure on 16-19 funding rates will intensify with the reducing cohort plus post-19 scenarios and priorities • HE funding also under pressure - it is part of the same overall BIS departmental settlement from the CSR. • Savings expected to be met as far as possible efficiencies, not frontline services. Concern: the possible impact on the financial health of providers is immense with the potential for many to move into inadequate financial health 6 Budget impact on an ‘average’ college 7,000 6,000 £ (000s) 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Scenario 1: 10% reduction Scenario 2: 15% reduction Scenario 3: 20% reduction Scenario 4: 25% reduction over 4 years over 4 years over 4 years over 4 years 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 This is based on an ‘average’ FE College, with a 19+ income of £6.4m 7 Impact of scenarios on College financial health Scenario 4 (25% reduction) Scenario 1 (10% reduction) 100% 100% 80% 80% . Outstanding Outstanding 60% Good 60% Good 40% Satisfactory 40% Satisfactory Inadequate 20% Inadequate 20% 0% 0% 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 These graphs show forecast of the proportions of colleges by financial health categories based on two scenarios and assuming that limited mitigating action has been taken by every college 8 Future opportunities • Increased opportunities for sub-contracting, collaboration and new organisational models as the number of providers with direct contracts reduces as minimum contract value is implemented from 2011/12. • Greater scope/need to increase co-funding through increased engagement with businesses and other partners • Government ambitions on growth of Apprenticeships (only 25% of this funding currently goes to Colleges) • More flexibility to respond to the needs of employers, stakeholders and the community • Freedoms and flexibilities help providers manage within tighter budgets • Challenges are still great… 9 How providers are already responding • There is already good practice across the sector where providers are taking decisive action to cut costs and improve efficiency. • Need the sector to share this best practice and learn from each other to deliver greater efficiencies. • Examples of actions governing bodies are either taking or considering include improved efficiency of delivery: – Reduce staffing costs through redundancies, reducing use of variable hours staff, staff pay. – Improved floor space utilisation – Upgraded facilities – More effective procurement – such as joint procurement, including for example exam fees – Other delivery models and options 10 How providers are already responding • Developing organisational models with other providers – Taking on new sub-contractors – Federations – Shared services – Mergers/acquisitions • Repositioning their offer – Grow provision in areas of growth (e.g. Apprenticeships) – Increase market share on any or all programmes (and decrease in others?) – Review curriculum offer in light of market competition – Review curriculum in light of emerging sectors and skills priorities – Robust management of sub-contracting to remove poor provision and develop more ‘expert’ offer. • Securing increased investment from employers and learners • Benchmarking and peer review with others to improve efficiency. 11 Regional Priorities Regional Skills Priority Statement • Produced by each RDA following consultation across their region. Process led by Agency staff seconded to RDA. • Identifies key challenges and issues in region’s economy • Articulates priority skills for the region, not the only skills for the region 12 Regional Skills Priority Statement Key points: • Good progress over past 10 years in improving adult skills and raising young people’s educational achievement • Still too many with no or low skills and too few with higher level skills • One challenge is to give those in work the skills to keep them there and to enable them to progress • Another challenge is to get people into the jobs market with skills and attitude to learning that will keep them there • Spatial imbalance of skills across the region and danger of communities being ‘left behind’ • We lack clear ladder of progression and opportunity as an incentive to achievement of higher level skills 13 Regional Skills Priority Statement • Need to re-balance the economy by supporting private sector recovery and address impact of public sector cuts • Region wants to see: - investment directed to the right skill areas - intervention where the market fails - raising of business and individual aspirations for skills development - deployment of people’s skills effectively - strengthened case for sectoral targeting of skills investment - responses to geographical and local variations in skills demands through utilising supply side interventions aimed at improving productivity: outcome not output - commitment from the supply side to respond to demand side information and intelligence 14 Sectors driving the demand for skills Group 1 – Rising employment at level 4 and 5 but declining employment at lower levels Group 2 – Rising demand for intermediate skills (levels 2 and 3) Group 3 – Rising demand at intermediate and higher level Group 4 – Rising demand at level 2 and level 4 Group 1 Group 2 Banking and Insurance. Other Financial and Education Business Services. Other (mainly Public) Health Group 3 Retail Group 4 Food, Drink and Tobacco. Other Manufacturing. Construction. Services. Electrical and Optical Equipment. Communications. Transport. Hotels and Catering. Chemicals Oil and Gas Extraction. Machinery & Equipment. Metals. Other Mining. Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing. Textiles and Clothing. Rubber and Plastics. Wood and Wood products. Wholesaling. Business Services. Paper, Printing and Publishing. Public Admin and Defence. 15 Sectors of Economic Significance Volume Employment Sectors Key support sectors and those of New Technology ‘Driver’ Sectors sub-regional importance Business Services Financial and Business Services Health & Social Care Tourism Retailing Distribution & Logistics Advanced Manufacturing Composites Low Carbon: Carbon Capture & Construction Storage Wholesaling Low Carbon: Civil Nuclear Low Carbon: Offshore Wind Technologies 16 Final key messages • Days of on-going budget growth are over for foreseeable future, if not forever! • Government expects to see an even bigger economic return on public investment and increasing shared investment between state: employer: individual • Budget pressures will change the structure of the sector within the life of this Parliament but: • significant numbers of adults in our region still lack the skills they need to find and keep work and progress within work. The need is at least as great as ever. • the region needs to increase in prosperity and skills is seen as a major solution. The demand is still there and new markets are emerging. • freedoms and flexibilities offer a real opportunity for providers able to adapt and adopt new ways of working. 17