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JEAN MONNET MODULES, project " Good governance, strong democratic institutions, rule of law: prerequisites for investing in innovation" INVESTMENT CLIMATE IN EUROPE Analysis of the European Union The project has been funded with support from the European Commission. This presentation reflects the views only of the author, and the Commission cannot be held responsible for any use which may be made of the information contained therein. Structure of the presentation 1. What do we mean for investment climate (IC)? 2. Why the European Union for IC? 3. Analysis of the main features of the European Union EU governance (European Institutions) Common currency EU Single Market Definition of Investment Climate Investment climate are the economic and financial conditions in a country that affect whether individuals and businesses are willing to lend money and acquire a stake in the businesses operating there Factors affecting Investment climate government transparency and accountability poverty education crime property rights Factors workforce rule of law national security political instability taxes regime uncertainty Why Europe for IC? One of the biggest market in the world Geographic proximity to Russia Strong economic links EU-Russia Higher level of innovation Some good practices can be learnt? Key indicators - G20 First Market in terms of GDP About 25% of World GDP in EU-27 Third lagest market in the world in terms of number of consumers (population) Population (million) GDP (EUR million) EU-27 12 260 495 China 1 341.3 United States 10 897 714 India 1 224.6 China 4 329 304 EU-27 501.8 Japan 4 117 729 United States 310.4 Brazil 1 575 745 Indonesia 239.9 India 1 299 184 Brazil 194.9 Russia 1 116 258 Russia 143.0 World 47 570 320 World 6 895.9 Source: Eurostat (2013) Share of world GDP • About 25% of World GDP in EU-27 Source: Eurostat (2013) Share of world GDP, 2000 and 2010 Source: Eurostat (2013) Main G20 trading partners for EU-27 exports and imports of goods, 2011 • Russia is the 3rd commercial partner of the EU for exports • Russia is the 2nd commercial partner of the EU for imports Source: Eurostat (2013) Main features of the European Union Political and Economic integration Single Market Common Currency (€) EU Governance EU governance – Key aspects 28 EU Member States Supranational bodies and Insitutiions (ex. European Parliament, European Commission, European Central Bank and European Court of Justice) Supremacy of the EU law EU competences (enlarged since the EU was established) An ongoing process The EU enlargments 1951 Founding Members Belgium France Germany Italy Luxembourg Netherlands The EU enlargments 1973 First enlargment Denmark Ireland United Kingdom The EU enlargments 1981 Second enlargment Greece The EU enlargments 1986 Third enlargment Spain Portugal The EU enlargments 1995 Forth enlargment Austria Finland Sweden The EU enlargments 2004 Fifth enlargment Cyprus Czech Republic Estonia Hungary Latvia Lithuania Malta Poland Slovakia Slovenia The EU enlargments 2008 Sixth Enlargment Croatia Candidate Countries Former Yugoslav Macedonia Republic of Turkey Potential Candidate Countries Albania Bosnia & Herzegovina Montenegro Serbia including Kosovo under UN Security Council Resolution 1244 EU Multi-level governance EU level Member state level Local level / citizens The EU Institutions The EU Institutions European Commission • 27 Commissioners, representing the European perspective, each responsible for a specific policy area. • EU’s executive branch proposes legislation, manages Union’s day-to-day business and budget, and enforces rules. • Negotiates trade agreements and manages Europe’s multilateral development cooperation. European Commission President José Manuel Barroso The EU Institutions Council of the European Union • It is part of the essentially bicameral EU legislature, representing the executives of EU member states • The Council is composed of several configurations of twenty-eight national ministers (one per state) • Council presidency rotates among Member States every six months. • The Foreign Affairs Council (national foreign ministers) is however chaired by the Union's High Representative The EU Institutions European Parliament • Voice of European citizens – members elected for five-year terms. • It holds, together with the Council, the legislative power. • With the Council, passes EU laws and adopts EU budgets. • Approves EU Commissioners. The EU Institutions European Council • It comprises the heads of state or heads of government of the EU member states • It defines the general political directions and priorities of the Union • It has no formal legislative power • It has a permanent President European Council President Herman Van Rompuy European Union competences The common currency The €uro • In 1999, the euro area was established as a currency in eleven of the then fifteen EU Member States. • Of the 28 EU Member States today, eighteen have adopted the euro. • The countries of the Euro area gave their sovereignty in the monetary policy to the European Central Bank The common currency European Central Bank • The European Central Bank (ECB) is the central bank for Europe's single currency, the euro. • The ECB’s main task is to maintain the euro's purchasing power and thus price stability in the euro area. • The euro area comprises the 15 European Union countries that have introduced the euro since 1999. • The ECB operates independently from Member State governments. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi Three stages to Economic and Monetary Union Convergence criteria Countries must fulfill the convergence (or “Maastricht”) criteria Price Stability (low inflation) Public finance discipline (low government debt and deficit) Interest rate convergence Exchange rate stability % Convergence facilitates the task of monetary policy, which is to maintain price stability in the euro area and thereby to contribute to non-inflationary growth Convergence criteria Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) or Euro zone Not all the EU countries belong to the Euro zone or are expected to join it (UK and Denmark have a special status) Benefits and Costs of Adopting the Euro Price stability and security of purchasing power Price transparency 1€ across countries Elimination of transaction costs 2€ Elimination of exchange rate risks Countries cannot have an independent monetary policy If labour is not fully mobile and business cycles synchronised between nations, the same monetary policy may not suit all nations Economic policy making: the euro area and the US US Monetary policy Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen Euro area ECB President Mario Draghi Fiscal policy Treasury Secretary Jack Lew Eurogroup Finance Ministers Economic policy co-ordination is required for this complicated set-up to function! EU Single Market • The Single Market was launched at the beginning of 1993 • Jacques Delors, President of the European Commission (1985-95) called it: ‘one of the main engines of the EU’ The core goal of the European integration Main goals of the EU as set in Article 2 of Treaty of Rome (1957/58): "The Community shall have as its task, by establishing a common market and progressively approximating the economic policies of MS, to promote throughout the community a harmonious development of economic activities, a continuous and balanced expansion, an increase in stability, an accelerated raising of the standard of living and closer relations between the MS belonging to it". EU Single Market – main features • One of the biggest market in the world (3rd for population and 1st for GDP) • It is based on 4 freedoms: the free movement of people, goods, services and capital • Both internal and external dimension • Last stage of trade/economic integration after freetrade area and custom unions • Important to know it to make business in Europe • It enhances competition and innovation • It is still not yet completed Different stages of its implementation 1968 - customs union is established removing all tariffs on intra-EC trade and adopting a common external tariff 1993 - Internal market introduced • 1985 White Paper – starting the preparation for introduction of Internal market • 1986/1987 – Single European Act – provided for the adaptations required for introduction of the Internal Market 1999 - Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) started to work for initial 11 members fulfilling the 5 nominal (Maastricht) convergence criteria. Treaty on European Union, signed in Maastricht (1992/1993) Towards the political union - ? Different stages of its implementation Establishment of the EU Single Market How was it Created? • Removal of barriers to the four freedoms of movement (people, goods, services, capital) within the EU • Barriers were: regulatory, technical, legal, bureaucratic, cultural and protectionist • EU Directives telling member states’ governments to put changes into effect The Single Market – the internal dimension Free trade of goods The Single Market Programme → abolition of the following types of barriers in goods markets: 1. Physical frontiers: elimination of border formalities 2. Technical standards: Harmonisation and mutual recognition of technical standards in production, packaging and marketing (positive and negative harmonization) 3. Fiscal differences: Government reluctant to forego the right to alter rates Slow progress in harmonisation of VAT rates Minimum standard rate of 15% with reduced rates of 5% agreed, but no agreement on Commission proposal to set a maximum of 25% Free movement of workers • A worker on the territory of another MS is entitled to the same priority as the nationals of that MS as regards access to available employment and to the same assistance Non-discriminatory principle: recruitment may not be dependent on medical, occupational or other criteria which discriminate on the grounds of nationality. • Prohibition of any-discrimination based on nationality as regards - working and employment conditions entitlement to occupational - training and retraining measures. - social and tax advantages - equal treatment in respect of the exercise of trade union rights • Need for recognition of professional qualifications. Free movement of services • Services trade integration has been slower and more difficult than product market integration • Services trade not restricted by tariffs but by domestic regulatory regimes • EU Treaties distinguish between: Establishment - the professional has an infrastructure in the host member state; either he wants to transfer his main establishment in the host member state or he wants to have a secondary establishment. Cross-border provision of services - services are provided on a temporary and occasional basis (assessed in relation to duration, frequency, regularity and continuity of services). Case of not completion of the Single Market • EU Electricity regions, islands Free movement of capital • from 1 July 1990: full liberalisation of capital movements between MC - Capital movements include direct investments, investments in real estate, operations in securities and in current and deposit accounts, and financial loans and credits. • "safeguard clause“: protective measures to ensure liquidity of local banks and temporary restrictions in case of major disruptions in foreign exchange markets - shall not exceed six months period. The Single Market – the external dimension The Internal Market is not merely an inward-looking exercise Many European companies and financial institutions operates at global scale. Therefore, they need support The main external dimensions of the EU Single market are: EU-Enlargement (for candidate or associate countries) European Neighbourhood Policy (privileged relations with neighbours) Regulatory Dialogues (with third countries as USA, China, India and Russia) Multilateral Work: trade negotiations at a multilateral level (i.e. World Trade Organization (WTO) and in DOHA-Development Round) • Trade negotiations (bilateral or regional international agreements) • • • • The Single Market – Who Benefits? Who Benefits? • Consumers: lower prices, greater choice of goods and services, work within EU • Businesses: fair competition, economies of scale, expand to global markets