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European social model and common challenges – some provocative remarks Miroslav Beblavý Slovak Governance Institute Executive Director [email protected] Is tax harmonization an appropriate answer to bridge the current socioeconomic differences within the European Union? • What kind of tax harmonization? For what purpose? • European externalities? Social, environmental ones? Promoting efficiency and growth? Tax harmonisation? Tax rates, in % of GDP 4 3.5 3 2.5 excise+consumption 2 pollution corporate 1.5 1 0.5 0 EU-15 postcommunist NMS Austria-Hungary Nordics What to harmonize? • Is CIT the only serious candidate? • What about VAT – abolishing the lower rate or at least limiting it? • What about energy, environment and legal “drugs”? • Do we see social and environmental dumping and negative effects of competitiveness by old member states? CIT – what to harmonize? • Efficiency would argue ceteris paribus for a simple CIT, in which case a low rate with broad base is appropriate • Efficiency would argue for taxing income at the level of individuals rather than corporations, but for practical reasons might not be feasible • There is limited evidence that CIT differentials are driving movement of companies or that there is significant convergence Topic no: 2 • How can the EU be a catalyst for positive change and have 'soft' instruments, such as the Open Method of Coordination, the potential to play a meaningful role in the future of European policy? Employment rate, 15-64, % 70 68 66 64 EU-15 62 postcommunist NMS Austria-Hungary 60 58 56 54 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Topic no. 2 – cont. • The new social and economic challenge for NMS: Increasing employment rates • OMS can be instrumental Topic no. 3: • Can and should we develop pan-European strategies that tackle structural problems common to both Eastern and Western Europe, including high unemployment and rising inequalities? Unemployment, % 12 10 8 EU-15 6 postcommunist NMS Austria-Hungary 4 2 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Topic no. 3 – cont. • Are inequalities a problem in NMS? In Central Europe? Risk-of-pov erty, % 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 EU-15 postcommunist NMS Austria-Hungary Nordics Inequality, top 20% /bottom 20% 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 EU-15 postcommunist NMS Austria-Hungary Nordics Topic no. 3 – cont. • Austria-Hungary – the most equal in the EU together after Nordics • However, there is still a problem of the top run • The rest of the new member states: inequalities are high And now – let the debate begin...