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DIFC Economic Activity 2010 Survey Results Value Added Accounting of DIFC Presentation to Media Roundtable 18 July 2011 Dr. Nasser Saidi, Chief Economist, DIFC Authority 1 Agenda Objectives of the Economic Activity Survey Distribution of DIFC Companies by Economic Activity GDP By Type of Economic Activity in DIFC Breakdown of GDP By Type of Economic Activity in DIFC for 2010 Employment in the DIFC 2 Objectives of the Economic Activity Survey 1. Measure the size and level of economic performance of the DIFC sub-economy and its contribution to Dubai’s and the UAE’s GDP. 2. Estimate & make projections of the trend and rate of DIFC economic growth in relation to other countries’ financial sectors and/or regional financial centers. 3. Understand the sectorial activities structure of the DIFC subeconomy and its variations. 4. Assist the DIFC Authority formulate strategy and appropriate development plans & policies. 6. To develop strategic targets for different business sectors in the DIFC 7. Help businesses in forecasting future demand for their services & products. 3 Data Collection Process • Data were collected using DIFCSTAT, the online portal that provides companies with a secure, interactive and web based platform to collect company data including statistical survey information. The link below shows the DIFCSTAT portal. A total of 477 entities completed the survey questionnaire (a high response rate of 62% out of a total population of 773). • The questionnaire consisted of 5 sections on different components of value added based on UN-OECD National Income Accounting standards. DIFCSTAT allowed an interactive data collection process where validation rules were applied to alert the clients to errors in data entry. • Following online submission, Economics Department staff reviewed the data to ensure data quality and integrity , and approved the forms accordingly. • In some cases, survey questionnaires were returned back to the clients with a request for further clarification. Clients accordingly had to review the data and re-submit again. This has ensured the highest possible quality of survey responses. While every effort was made to verify submission, we are not in a position to conduct on-site verification of data and rely on data provided by companies. 4 Distribution of DIFC Companies by Economic Activity Distribution of DIFC Companies by Economic Activity • • • • • In 2010, the number of active entities in DIFC rose at an 9.5% annual rate to reach 773. At end December 2010, there were 310 active DFSA-regulated and 459 active nonDFSA regulated companies at the Centre in addition to public administration, government & the DIFC Courts. They represented 40% and 59% respectively of the total companies operating within the DIFC’s business community. The regulated firms included 258 Authorized Firms, 50 Ancillary Service Providers and two Authorized Market Institutions (Nasdaq-Dubai and DME). These were supported by 459 non-regulated firms offering business infrastructure and services necessary for the activities of regulated firms. ISIC Code Economic Activities Year 2007 Year 2008 Year 2009 Year 2010 K Financial services 257 366 354 383 H,M,N,P,J Business services 199 287 290 302 Retails & Accommodations 44 59 58 84 Public Administration 5 3 4 4 505 715 706 773 G, I O Total Source: DIFC Economics 6 GDP By Type of Economic Activity in DIFC GDP By Type of Economic Activity in DIFC • The fourth survey of Economic Activity at the DIFC places the total value added of the DIFC sub-economy at USD 2.915 billion or approximately 1% of UAE GDP as estimated by the IMF and approximately 3.6% of Dubai’s estimated 2010 GDP. The sector breakdown shows that the financial sector accounts for 72% of the total value added within the DIFC, while the business services accounts for 27%. Public administration (DIFCA, DFSA, DIFC Courts) reported only a minor contribution. • ISIC Code Economic Activities Financial Intermediation No. No. (%) Value Value (%) 383 49.5 2,099.4 72.0 386 49.9 772.8 26.5 4 0.5 43.5 1.5 773 100 2,915.6 100 K H,M,N, Business services P,J O Public administration Total Source: DIFC Economics 8 Comparison with Previous Years According to the estimates, DIFC Nominal GDP increased from USD 2,771.7 million to 2,915.6 or by 5.2% between 2009 and 2010, in line with the growth in most major financial centers around the world due to global economic recovery and support of the banking & financial sectors. ISIC Code K Economic Activities Financial Intermediation H,M,N,P, Business services J O Public administration Total 2007 2008 2009 2010 1,514.7 2,224.6 2,029.6 2,099.4 295.2 550.7 687.5 772.8 28.8 64.2 54.5 43.5 1929.7* 2,839.6 2,771.7 2,915.6 Change (%) 3.4 12.4 (20.3) 5.2 Country % YOY Hong Kong 7.9% Luxembourg 16.8% UK 0.8% USA 5.4% Bahrain 5.8% Singapore 9.9% *The total GDP for 2007 also includes DIFC estimates for non-respondent companies; hence the breakdown by sector does not add up to the total. Source: DIFC Economics 9 Detailed Breakdown of GDP By Type of Economic Activity in DIFC for 2010 Breakdown of GDP By Type of Economic Activity in DIFC for 2010 • Within financial activities, insurance reported a comparatively low value added, while the broadly categorized Activities auxiliary to financial service and insurance, which include, capital market, advisory and investment banking has gained an importance on par with core financial activities. • Non-financial activities which make up a quarter of total value added in the DIFC are dominated by “Professional, Scientific and Technical activities”. ISIC Code Economic Activities Count % Value % K Financial Intermediation 383 49.5 2099.4 72.0 64 Financial service activities 194 25.1 1081.5 37.1 65 Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding 9 1.2 103.3 3.5 Activities auxiliary to financial service and insurance 180 23.3 914.5 31.4 Business services 386 49.9 772.8 26.5 66 M,N,P,J H Transportation and storage 2 0.3 62.2 2.1 J Information and communication 24 3.1 39.5 1.4 L Real estate activities 4 0.5 36.0 1.2 M Professional, scientific and technical 214 27.7 531.9 18.2 N Administrative and support service 44 5.7 61.4 2.1 P G Education 14 1.8 16.8 0.6 Retail & wholesale trade, Hotels & Restaurants 84 10.9 25.0 0.9 O Public administration 4 0.5 43.5 1.5 773 100.0 2915.6 100.0 11 Total Breakdown of GDP By Type of Economic Activity in DIFC for 2010 • Within the financial service activities class, Monetary Intermediation accounted for some 16% of sub-sector value added; the largest contribution was by Holding companies, 18%, and Investment companies at 17%. • The financial auxiliary class that comprises Managing Assets, Advising on Financial Products or Credit, Providing and Arranging Custody, Operating an Exchange etc. contributed an overall 44%. • The insurance sub-sector (mainly re-insurance) contribution was small at 5%. ISIC Code 64 Economic Activities Financial service activities, except insurance and pension funding Count % Value % 194 50.7 1,081.5 51.5 641 Monetary intermediation 15 3.9 334.7 15.9 642 Activities of holding companies 110 28.7 383.0 18.2 643 Trusts, funds and similar financial entities 69 18.0 363.8 17.3 9 2.3 103.3 4.9 180 47.0 914.5 43.6 383 100.0 65 Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding 66 Activities auxiliary to financial service and insurance Total 2,099.4 100.0 Source: DIFC Economics 12 Breakdown of GDP By Type of Economic Activity in DIFC for 2010 • Business activities was dominated by “Professional, Scientific and Technical activities” 69%. Within this class Head offices & Consulting and Legal & Accounting contributed 35% and 34% respectively. Classification of Business Activities Count % Value % H Transportation and storage 2 0.5 62.2 8.0 J Information and communication 24 6.2 39.5 5.1 L Real estate activities 4 1.0 36.0 4.7 M Professional, scientific and technical 214 531.9 69 Legal and accounting 50 55.4 13.0 263.4 68.8 34.1 70 Activities of head offices; management consultancy 164 42.5 268.5 34.7 ISIC 701 Activities of head offices 85 22.0 99.6 12.9 702 Management consultancy 79 20.5 168.9 21.9 N Administrative and support service 44 11.4 61.4 7.9 P Education 14 3.6 16.8 2.2 84 386 21.8 100.0 25.0 772.8 3.2 100.0 G, I Wholesale, retail trade & Accommodations Total Business Activities Sector 13 Employment in the DIFC Employment in the DIFC • According to the survey, DIFC companies employed 11,331 people, 7,427 men (66%) and 3,904 women (34%). • There is an estimated drop of 3.1% in total employment compared to 2009, with a significant decline attributable to the public administration sector, as a result of rationalization and restructuring measures. • Employment of UAE nationals was 247, or 3% of the total workforce. Expatriates account for 98% of total male employees & 97% of female employees. • The largest sector by workforce is financial intermediation and services, with 52% of the total. UAE Nationality Workers Economic Activities UAE Males UAE Females Non UAE Nationality Workers Total Workers Subtotal Non UAE Males Non UAE Females Subtotal Males Females Subtotal Financial Intermediation 76 54 130 3,946 1,622 5,568 4,022 1,676 5,698 Business services 29 16 45 3,220 2,067 5,287 3,249 2,083 5,332 Public administration 26 46 72 130 99 229 156 145 301 Total 131 116 247 7,296 3,788 11,084 7,427 3,904 11,331 15 Educational Attainment of the DIFC Workforce • • By education, the DIFC workforce constitutes 60.3% university graduates, while slightly more than a quarter hold post-graduate degrees. Around 85% of both men and women are university graduates and above, underscoring the availability of a highly skilled workforce, irrespective of gender. 16 DIFC Workforce Demographic Characteristics • • • Workforce in the DIFC is predominantly male, accounting for 65.5% of total. Breakdown by working status in the DIFC reveals that some 94.2% of the labour force is employed as salaried, while a similar percent (96.03%) belongs to the age group of between 25-59. While the age group 24 & below are few, those 60 and above mostly work for no wage/ non-remunerated or are self-employed. Working status of DIFC Workforce by Age Sex Working status Male Female 1. Employers 492 117 2. Self Employed 17 3 6,898 3,776 4. Work for no wage/non remunerated 21 8 Total 7,427 3. Salaried 3,904 Work for no wage/non remunerated Salaried Self Employed Employers 24 & below 25-59 60 & above 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 17 DIFC 2010 ECONOMIC ACTIVITY SURVEY Q&A