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WORLD IP TODAY REPORT PATENTED IN CHINA – THE PRESENT AND FUTURE STATE OF INNOVATION IN CHINA Eve Y. Zhou, Ph.D. and Bob Stembridge Scientific business of Thomson Reuters OVERVIEW • World IP Today latest issue to be published, analyzing patent activity in China using data drawn from Derwent World Patents Index (DWPI) • Report looks at current patent trends and speculates how the world of patent information will look in five years • Patent volumes and trends are explored, as well as the underlying causes of increased innovation in China, including economic and government policy factors KEY FINDINGS • China has become the third largest patent office in the world in a very short space of time and, if current trends continue, will dominate the patent information landscape by 2012 • Analysis of patent volumes over the last five years from the five major patent offices shows that inventions from China have been growing at a faster rate than any other region • Government incentives in place to embrace innovation • China’s shift from a manufacturing-based economy to a knowledge-based one requires foreign companies to reexamine their global IP strategies METHODOLOGY • Measurable attributes used to track innovation trends: – Total patent volume • Two components – domestic filings (basics) – foreign filings (equivalents) – Basic patent volume – Ratio of basics to total volume TOTAL PATENT VOLUME 2001-2007 AGGREGATE TOTAL PATENT VOLUME 2001-2007 BASIC PATENT VOLUME 2001-2007 AGGREGATE BASIC PATENT VOLUME 2001-2007 TWO YEAR GAP - TOTAL VS BASIC VOLUMES RATIO OF BASIC TO TOTAL VOLUME Ratio of Basic to Total JP US EP KR CN 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Average 65.5% 49.8% 29.4% 43.2% 29.7% 60.9% 46.6% 24.0% 45.3% 33.6% 59.4% 47.8% 19.2% 46.5% 32.8% 58.2% 43.0% 20.3% 45.6% 30.2% 55.9% 48.6% 20.2% 44.1% 36.4% 54.2% 46.2% 18.1% 43.4% 37.8% 49.5% 47.0% 18.1% 40.0% 40.7% 57.5% 46.8% 20.9% 43.8% 36.0% FUTURE PREDICTIONS • Based on average growth rates over the last five years, projections into the future for patent volumes from the five major patent offices are given for total patent volume and basic patent volume Region Average Total Volume Annual Growth Rate Average Basic Volume Annual Growth Rate JP US EP KR CN 2.0% 14.4% 5.6% 3.8% 26.8% -2.7% 13.0% -2.4% 2.6% 34.3% TOTAL PATENT VOLUME PROJECTIONS Forecast BASIC PATENT VOLUME PROJECTIONS Forecast DOMESTIC VS. FOREIGN PATENT APPLICATIONS CHINA’S INVENTION PATENT APPLICATIONS OVERSEAS • Chinese 11th Five Year Plan highlights innovation as a focus for the economy with the objective to become an "innovation-oriented" society by 2020 Patent Office Oversea Invention Applications by China in 2007 Increase from 2006 by China Increase from 2006 by All Applicants US 4140 9.9% 6.0% EP 1136 58.0% 3.7% JP 656 29.9% 3.0% • File in China first policy can have a serious impact on foreign companies conducting R&D in China CHINA’S TECHNOLOGY FOCUS TODAY CHINA'S WORLDWIDE CONTRIBUTION Field Information technology Worldwide Worldwide China Records China's Patent Growth Rate (2000-2004) Worldwide Applications (2004 relative to Share (2000-2004) 2000) China’s Worldwide Ranking 1,610,938 27.7% 112,766 7% 5th 585,230 12.8% 38,258 8% 4th 556,655 19.5% 46,818 6% 5th Telecommunications 541,788 12.4% 22,055 9% 5th Audio-visual technology 478,231 28.3% 33,399 8% 4th Consumer goods and equipment 441,094 12.1% 5,259 5% 6th Chemical engineering 245,589 -7.2% 48,761 13% 2nd Agricultural and food processing, machinery and apparatus 105,186 4.7% 31,927 5% 7th Electrical devices, electrical engineering, electrical energy Analysis, measurement, control technology TECHNOLOGY SHIFT - HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE Year 1995 2005 Top Five Fields Patent Applications Natural products and polymers 1,854 Other foods, food treatment incl additives 1,209 Fermentation industry 625 Digital Computers 584 Refractories, ceramics, cement incl. mfg. 520 Digital Computers 18,649 Telephone and Data Transmission Systems 12,997 Natural products and polymers 9,146 Fermentation industry 5,334 Computer Peripheral Equipment 4,838 TECHNOLOGY SHIFT - GEOGRAPHIC PERSPECTIVE Digital computers Total Domestic applications Foreign applications Domestic Applications % Foreign applications % Natural products and polymers Total Domestic applications Foreign applications Domestic Applications % Foreign applications % 1995 584 269 315 46% 54% 1995 1,854 1,700 154 91% 9% 2005 19,340 6,355 12,985 33% 67% 2005 9,146 8,195 951 90% 10% Growth Rate 3212% 2262% 4022% Growth Rate 393% 382% 518% GOVERNMENTAL POLICIES AND GOVERNMENT’S ROLE IN INNOVATION • R&D Budget – Growth planned from 1.4% in 2006 to 2.5% of GDP by 2020 – GDP growth targets of 7.5% p.a. to 2010, then 7.0% to 2020 – Represents a 440% increase in R&D funding by 2020 • Tax and Financing – Tax deductions for R&D expenses – Increased government-backed lending – Discounted interest rates for R&D investment • Indigenous Innovation and Technology Standard – Royalty payments for local inventors – Particularly applied in telecommunication and electronics industries GOVERNMENTAL POLICIES AND GOVERNMENT’S ROLE IN INNOVATION • Government’s role in academia and enterprise – Chinese academic sector contributes a significantly higher proportion of patent applications to the national total compared to many other countries • Monetary Incentive for domestic inventors – Additional subsidies and fee reimbursements available Percentage of patents from Academia 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% China Japan U.S. Korea PATENT QUANTITY VS. QUALITY • Subsidies are a factor driving rapid growth in patent applications • Levels of patent protection in China – Invention patents – Utility model patents – Design patents • Quality initiatives are on-going in the Chinese Patent Office (SIPO) • Quality as measured by success rate of granted patents yet to be determined over time CONCLUSIONS • Foreign companies conducting business in China – Impact of law changes on IP strategies – Challenge of recognising quality innovation • Chinese companies and institutions – Need for awareness of international prior art and patent positions • Chinese government agencies and quasi-governmental organizations – Identification of technology gaps and potential partners to help fill them • Information industry – Challenges posed by huge and rapidly growing volumes of nonRoman character patent information