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Monthly Economic and Market Chartpack June 2006 Agenda • • • • Main economic indicators Overview of financial markets Exchange rates Valuations Main Economic Indicators • • • • • • • • US & Australian growth – closing the gap Recovery in employment continues US business investment strong, profits high Another oil price slick? Australian housing – softest landing on record RBA – bias to tighten further Inflation – moving on up, gradually $A peaked for now US & Australian growth – closing the gap Employment is steady US inflation creeping higher US profits highest on record (as share GDP) Another oil slick? Australian housing – touch (down) and go $A peaked for now Inflation – moving on up, gradually Overview of financial markets • • • Equities Bonds Currencies Equity market performance As at 05/07/06 Bond market performance As at 05/07/06 Currency market performance As at 05/07/06 Valuations • Listed property • US equity market • AU equity market Listed property As at 30 June 2006 US equity market valuation Expensive Long term average Cheap Australia equity market valuation Expensive Long term average Cheap