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Rules of Thumb Unsettled weather (clouds and precipitation) is typically associated with Low pressure systems ! Relatively tranquil weather is usually found in the vicinity of high pressure systems. ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 3 Rule of thumb When: – Air temperature falls to within 2 to 3 Fahrenheit degrees of dewpoint and – Winds are light Then: – Fog often forms. ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 4 Rule of thumb If you can expect – Clear skies – Near Calm conditions Then: – Afternoon dewpoint provides good predictor of following morning’s low temperature. ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 5 Rule of Thumb Tightly packed isobars, means stronger winds! ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 6 Rule of Thumb The tighter the packing of the isobars, the stronger the winds! ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 7 Rules of Thumb Other things being equal: –Cloudy nights have higher temperatures than clear nights. –Cloudy days have lower temperatures than clear days. ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 8 Rules of Thumb Unsettled weather (clouds and precipitation) is typically associated with Low pressure systems ! Relatively tranquil weather is usually found in the vicinity of high pressure systems. ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 9 Rules of Thumb From Table 16.5 (p. 391) Moran & Morgan (1997) At night, air temperatures will be lower if the sky were clear thin if the sky were cloud-covered. Why? ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 10 Rules of Thumb From Table 16.5 (p. 391) Moran & Morgan (1997) Clear skies, light winds and a fresh snow cover favor extreme radiative cooling and very low air temperature by dawn. Why? ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 11 Rules of Thumb From Table 16.5 (p. 391) Moran & Morgan (1997) Falling air pressure may indicate the approach of stormy weather, whereas rising air pressure suggests that fair weather is approaching. Why? ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 12 Rules of Thumb From Table 16.5 (p. 391) Moran & Morgan (1997) The appearance of cirrus, cirrostratus, and altostratus clouds (in that order) indicates overrunning ahead of a warm front and the possibility of precipitation. Why? ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 13 Rules of Thumb From Table 16.5 (p. 391) Moran & Morgan (1997) A counterclockwise wind shift from NE to N to NW (called backing) is usually accompanied by clearing skies and cold air advection. Why? ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 14 Rules of Thumb From Table A.1 AMS Datastreme/OLWS (2002) A clockwise wind shift from E to SE to S (called veering) is usually accompanied by clearing skies and warm air advection. Why? ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 15 Rules of Thumb From Table 16.5 (p. 391) Moran & Morgan (1997) A wind shift from NW to W to SW is usually accompanied by warm air advection (and increasing clouds). Why? ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 16 Rules of Thumb From Table 16.5 (p. 391) Moran & Morgan (1997) If radiation fog lifts by late morning, a fair afternoon is likely. Why? ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 17 Rules of Thumb From Table 16.5 (p. 391) Moran & Morgan (1997) With west or northwest winds, a steady or rising barometer and scattered cumulus clouds, fair weather is likely to persist. Why? ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 18 Rules of Thumb From Table 16.5 (p. 391) Moran & Morgan (1997) Towering cumulus clouds by midmorning may indicate afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Why? ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 19 Rules of Thumb For Large Scale Pressure Systems From Chap.1 AMS Datastreme/OLWS (2002) Highs are typically fair-weather systems. Winds circulate in a clockwise outflow from a surface high. Lows are usually stormy-weather systems. Winds circulate in a clockwise outflow from a surface high. ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 20 EJH: From as02-map.ppt GENERAL RULES for ISOPLETHS Determine appropriate isopleth interval; Maintain a particular convention (e.g., working from highest to lowest); Isopleths never cross; Isopleths may form a closed loop; Isopleths do not end abruptly; Smooth isopleths with appropriate interpolation; Label isopleths with appropriate numbers. ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 21