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today • Tornadoes • Some review? Clickers please Thunderstorms form from 1. rapid updraft of warm, moist air that cools quickly 2. rapid downdraft of cold, dry air that warms quickly 3. slow updraft of warm, moist air, so slow cooling 4. rapid updraft of warm, moist air that cools slowly Thunderheads form the classic “anvil” shape because 1. rising cold air spreads as it reaches the tropopause 2. rising warm air moves up into the stratosphere, which is an extremely thin layer and so compresses the warm air 3. rising warm air spreads as it reaches the tropopause 4. the mix of warm and cold air high in the cloud causes the upper edge to flatten Which of these is true with respect to forming hail? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Frozen particles are always heavier than the cloud they are in Warm air can carry frozen particles with it Cold air always flushes frozen particles completely out of the cloud Hail should be more common than rain, since the particles are frozen in the cloud Hail is never larger than about dime size Tornadoes… • “Nature’s most violent storms” • How do they form? – the classic answer: "warm moist Gulf [of Mexico] air meets cold Canadian air and dry air from the Rockies" tornadoes may be spawned from thunderstorms but differ in a critical way Central US tornadoes • Warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico at low altitude; ~75oF on the ground • Middle-altitude, cold air mass moving from Canada • High-altitude jet stream moving ~ W to E The critical factor is wind shear -- areas of very different air pressure moving quickly along side each other (spin) Building a tornado • Supercell thunderstorm: differs from “normal” (single cell) storm – rotating updraft – tends to become tilted downwind – huge rotating mass in the center of the cloud called a mesocyclone Organizational stage • rising warm air masses are sheared by mid-level colder air to form mesocyclone • tilt allows warm air to rise in center, cooler air falls in front (rain/hail) and cooler, drier air in back Rotating mesocyclone http://ozreport.com/pub/images/supercell.jpg&imgrefurl Organizational stage Downdrafts in the trailing side of the cloud cause wall cloud www.uwm.edu/~kahl/images/weather/clouds/convective/wallcloud.jpg Organizational stage • Wall cloud rotates, rotating core pulls into tighter spiral, speed increases • Funnel cloud descends • Dust/debris on ground start to swirl (dustdevil) • If the two connect: tornado Mature stage • Funnel extends from ground to storm • Downward-moving air in core is surrounded by upward-spinning coneor cylinder-shape funnel: giant vacuum cleaner www.yorkville.k12.il.us/webquests/webqlanchance/images/tornado Mature stage • Highest speeds ~ 100 m above ground level • Ground speeds slowed by cars/trees/ houses/ground/etc • Most common in April/May/June/±July as winter weather patterns diminish and spring/summer patterns take over Mature stage • Weak tornadoes – – – – >85% of all tornadoes lifetime 1-10 minutes winds <110 mph <5% of tornado deaths • Strong tornadoes – – – – ~10% of all tornadoes lifetime 20 minutes or longer winds 110-205 mph 30% of tornado deaths • Violent tornadoes – – – – <1% of all tornadoes lifetime >1 hour Winds >205 mph 70% of tornado deaths Shrinking stage • Supply of warm air diminishes • Funnel width decreases, winds increase Rope stage • Erratic movement of thinning cloud www.stormeffects.com/images/52414-ChesterNEtor8arope.jpg Fujita scale (analogous to modified Mercalli) Highest wind speed I found: 318 mph (~500 kph), Oklahoma City, May, 1999 US deaths from tornadoes Mobile homes Permanent homes 41% 30% exterior rooms w/windows Car/truck/bus 10% far fewer in small cars School/church Outdoors Business “other” 6% 5% 5% 3% Risk: acceptable vs unacceptable • Where are you from (where have you spent most of your life)? • What is the major hazard there (eq, volcano, tornado, excessive heat or cold [can kill people])? Risk: acceptable vs unacceptable • Building a nuclear-power plant on the San Andreas fault • Farming in the Toutle River Valley on the north slope of Mount St. Helens • Putting a mobile-home park in Oklahoma City.