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Earth System and Climate: Introduction (ESC-I) Coordinators: V. Valsala, R. Murtugudde and M. Baba Contents of ESC-Intro. course: • Earth System Science and Global Climate Change G • Global Energy Balance P • Global Carbon Cycle C • Recycling of Elements; C, N, O2, O3 depletion C • Global Biogeochemical Cycle- oceans C/B • Short-term Climate variability, Global Warming P/C/B Should be covered in 7-hours Where does the energy for earth system come from? © http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_System Continuous supply of energy for the earth systems- Solar Energy The solar energy drives the earth’s atmosphere and ocean. Energy from sun’s radiation. Nearly all the energy being at wavelengths 0.2µm to 4µm Electro Magnetic spectrum of solar radiation -----10% of energy-- -----40% of energy------ ---------50% of energy------ Blackbody radiation flux Wein’s law λmax = 2898/T Stefan-Botlzmann law F = σT4 Amount of radiation receives at surface of Earth Solar constant (S ~ 1368 W/m2) • S definition; Average energy ‘flux’ Solar heat flux from the sun at a mean radius of earth Latitude Reflectivity of earth surface and atmosphere Albedo. • Albedo The relative amount of solar insolation reflected back to the space by means of reflection by the earth surface as well as the atmosphere. Average albedo of earth ~ 0.3. Therefore net heat flux received from sun = 240W/m2 With an average of 240w/m2 influx from the sun, how much would be the atmospheric temperature? Earth with no-atmosphere. Earth with atmosphere. E = σT4 E = 240 w/m2 σ = 5.7x10-8 W/m2/k4 T = 250 Kelvin (~ -200C) E = σT4 E = 240 w/m2 = 5.7x10-8 W/m2/k4 Green house effect T = 300 Kelvin (~ 150C) The Green house effect. Sun Earth GH-effect helps the atmosphere to be warm at 150C The one-layer atmosphere model of Green-house effects Ts = 1.19*Te For average Te=255k, Ts = 303K ΔTg = Ts- Te Adopted from Lee Kump book Height Summary of Greenhouse heat budget (w/m2) Source: IPCC-AR4 report, 2007 http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtml Composition of the atmosphere. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmosphere_of_Earth Atmospheric Structure How atmospheric pressure varies with altitude P = F/A (Pressure = Force exerted on unit area) The pressure exerted by atmosphere at sealevel is defined as one atmosphere (atm) The SI unit of pressure is Pascal (Pa). 1 Pa = 1x10-5 bar = 9.9 x 10-6 atm. Atmospheric pressure decreases with height. Atmospheric Structure Atmospheric pressure decreases by a factor of 10 for every 16 km increase in altitude. 1 atm at surface 0.1 atm at 16 km 0.01 atm at 32 km … The vertical structure of the Atmospheric temperature. Vertical distribution of Ozone. Percentage of radiation absorbed in the atmosphere. Physical causes of greenhouse effect Molecules absorbs incident atmospheric radiation by mean of increasing its rotation. Example: Water vapor. Physical causes of greenhouse effect Molecules absorbs incident atmospheric radiation by mean of vibration or bending. Example: CO2 But diatomic symmetric molecules have little capacity to absorb electromagnetic radiation. Therefore N2 and O2 are not greenhouse gases Effects of clouds on radiation Types of clouds: (a) Cumulus clouds: white puffy clouds that look like balls of cotton. They are composed of water droplets and formed by convective activities. (b) Cumulonimbus clouds: Tall cumulus clouds giver rise to thunderstorms. (c) Stratus clouds: They are gray lowlevel water clouds that are more ore less continuous Various type clouds with altitude and temperature Opposing climate effects of cloud Have you noticed cloude days are colder whereas cloudy nights are warmer? o Albedo o Greenhouse effect Vertical “gradient” of atmospheric temperature Lapse rate: • Definition: “rate at which the temperature of the atmosphere decreases with height” • Stability of the atmosphere: Warm air is lighter than hot air leads to vertical motion by virtue of buoyancy (gravity). height Unstable Stable Cold air Warm air Warm air Cold air Lapse rate • Dry (adiabatic) lapse rate • Moist (adiabatic) lapse rate Radiative-Convective equilibrium; -No- horizontal motion models. Radiative-Convective equilibrium; with green house effect & no climate feed back These model predicts the green house warming ΔTg = 33 0C i.e. with CO2 = 300 ppm In test simulations with doubling the CO2, i.e. with 600 ppm (expected true value in near future), the additional ΔTg = 1.2 0C Why doubling CO2 produce meager changes in temperature? Radiation absorption spectrum by CO2 and other greenhouse gases (H20 vapor) are different Radiative-Convective equilibrium; with climate feedbacks Climate feedbacks are extremely important because they can either amplify or moderate the radiative effect of changes in greenhouse gas concentrations. We examined the feedbacks in chapter-2 in an imaginary “Daisy world” We analogically attribute such feedbacks to the earth system here. Water vapor feedback o Water vapor is an excellent absorber of IR radiation. o Unlike CO2, water vapor are at the edges of condensation, and if condenses and rainout, the average vapor concentration in atmosphere reduces. This can cause reduction in GH-warming o On the other hand, if average surface temperature increases by global warming, water vapor concentration increases and that will increase GH-warming further. Observed Climate changes. © IPCC-AR4 Satellite derived water vapor (total column water vapor) 1988-2004 (a) Water vapor feed back Ts Trend Atm. H2O +ve GHeffect Anomaly Radiative-Convective equilibrium; with water vapor feedbacks o Average surface temperature changes in doubling the CO2 experiment without climate feedback was 1.2 0C. o Whereas the above experiment with watervapor feedback causes the surface temperature rise by additional 1.2 0C. o Therefore the total change in temperature with water vapor feedback is 2.4 0C. o The feedback factor = 2.4/1.4 = 2 (strong positive feedback). Snow-ice albedo feedback o If surface Ts increases snow melts and albedo decreases o If albedo decreases surface temperature increases o This leads to a positive feedback loop which is unstable. Snow-ice feedback Snow and Ice Ts +ve Albedo Infrared-flux and Temperature feedback o If surface Longwave-Temperature feedback temperature Ts Longincreases, the Ts -ve wave outgoing long wave radiation (infraredflux increase) o This tends to cool down the surface temperature Climate feed backs of radiation-convection (a) Water vapor feed back Ts Atm. H2O (b) Snow-ice feedback +ve +ve Albedo GHeffect (c) Longwave-Temperature feedback Ts -ve Snow and Ice Ts Longwave Conclusion o Green house and radiation budget. o Earth is warmed by green house effect (from -15 0C to 15 0C) o H2O and CO2 are major GH-gases o Clouds affect radiation budget both by reflection and GH-effect. o Water vapor feedback (+) o Snow-ice feedback (+) o Outgoing Longwave Radiation (IR flux) – surface temperature feedback (-) Assignment 1. Surface heat budget. (a) Plot the global and annual reaching the earth surface (b) Plot the global and annual radiation (c) Plot the global and annual (d) Plot the global and annual (e) Plot the global and annual (f) Plot the global and annual mean shortwave radiation mean outgoing longwave mean mean mean mean sensible heat flux latent heat flux Precipitation rate Evaporation rate (g) From figure a to f, comment the total balance of heat fluxes on annual mean time-scale. (h) From figure a to f, discuss on the symmetry-asymmetry structures of the patterns and interpret its causes. (i) Plot the vertical profile of climatological atmospheric air-temperature for summer and winter at following locations. (1) at x=180e,y=0; (2) at x=80e, y=40s; (3) at x=300e, y=40n; Make a short note on the profiles.