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QG Analysis: Additional Processes Advanced Synoptic M. D. Eastin QG Analysis QG Theory • Basic Idea • Approximations and Validity • QG Equations / Reference QG Analysis • Basic Idea • Estimating Vertical Motion • QG Omega Equation: Basic Form • QG Omega Equation: Relation to Jet Streaks • QG Omega Equation: Q-vector Form • Estimating System Evolution • QG Height Tendency Equation • Diabatic and Orographic Processes • Evolution of Low-level Systems • Evolution of Upper-level Systems Advanced Synoptic M. D. Eastin QG Analysis: Vertical Motion Review: The BASIC QG Omega Equation 2 f 02 2 2 p f0 V g f p g Term A R 2 Vg T p Term B Term C Term B: Differential Vorticity Advection Z-top PVA PVA ΔZ PVA ΔZ Rising Motions Adiabatic Cooling ΔZ decreases Z-400mb ΔZ decreases Z-700mb Z-bottom Sinking Motions Hydrostatic Balance Thickness decreases must occur with cooling Adiabatic Warming • Therefore, in the absence of geostrophic vorticity advection and diabatic processes: An increase in PVA with height will induce rising motion An increase in NVA with height will induce sinking motion Advanced Synoptic M. D. Eastin QG Analysis: Vertical Motion Review: The BASIC QG Omega Equation 2 f 02 2 2 p Term A f0 V g f p g Term B R 2 Vg T p Term C Term C: Thermal Advection • WAA (CAA) leads to local temperature / thickness increases (decreases) • In order to maintain geostrophic flow, ageostrophic flows and mass continuity produce a vertical motion through the layer Z-top Z-400mb WAA ΔZ Surface Rose Z-top Z-400mb ΔZ increase Z-700mb Z-bottom Surface Fell Z-700mb Z-bottom • Therefore, in the absence of geostrophic vorticity advection and diabatic processes: WAA will induce rising motion CAA will induce sinking motion Advanced Synoptic M. D. Eastin Vertical Motion: Diabatic Heating/Cooling What effect does diabatic heating or cooling have? Diabatic Heating: Latent heat release due to condensation (Ex: Cumulus convection) Strong surfaces fluxes (Ex: CAA over the warm Gulf Stream) (Ex: Intense solar heating in the desert) • Heating always leads to temperature increases → thickness increases • Consider the three-layer model with a deep cumulus cloud Surface Rose ΔZ Z-top Z-400mb ΔZ increases Surface Fell Z-700mb Z-bottom • Again, the maintenance of geostrophic flow requires rising motion through the layer • Identical to the physical response induced by WAA • Therefore: Advanced Synoptic Diabatic heating induces rising motion M. D. Eastin Vertical Motion: Diabatic Heating/Cooling What effect does diabatic heating or cooling have? Diabatic Cooling: Evaporation (Ex: Precipitation falling through sub-saturated air) Radiation (Ex: Large temperature decreases on clear nights) Strong surface fluxes (Ex: WAA over snow/ice) • Cooling always leads to temperature decreases → thickness decreases • Consider the three-layer model with evaporational / radiational cooling Z-top ΔZ ΔZ decreases Surface Fell Surface Rose Z-400mb Z-700mb Z-bottom • Again, maintenance of geostrophic flow requires sinking motion through the layer • Identical to the physical response induced by CAA • Therefore: Advanced Synoptic Diabatic cooling aloft induces sinking motion M. D. Eastin Vertical Motion: Topography What effect does flow over topography have? Downslope Motions: Flow away from the Rockies Mountains Flow away from the Appalachian Mountains • Subsiding air always adiabatically warms • Subsidence leads to temperature increases → thickness increases • Consider the three-layer model with downslope motion at mid-levels Z-top ΔZ Surface Rose Z-400mb Surface Fell Z-700mb ΔZ increases Z-bottom • Again, maintenance of geostrophic flow requires rising motion through the layer • Identical to the physical response induced by WAA and diabatic heating • Therefore: Advanced Synoptic Downslope flow induces rising motion M. D. Eastin Vertical Motion: Topography What effect does flow over topography have? Upslope Motions: Flow toward the Rockies Mountains Flow toward the Appalachian Mountains • Rising air always adiabatically cools • Ascent leads to temperature decreases → thickness decreases • Consider the three-layer model with upslope motion at mid-levels Z-top ΔZ ΔZ decreases Surface Fell Surface Rose Z-400mb Z-700mb Z-bottom • Again, maintenance of geostrophic flow requires sinking motion through the layer • Identical to the physical processes induced by CAA and diabatic cooling • Therefore: Advanced Synoptic Upslope flow induces sinking motion M. D. Eastin QG Analysis: Vertical Motion Update: The Modified QG Omega Equation 2 f 02 2 2 p f0 V g f p g Vertical Motion Differential Vorticity Advection + Diabatic Forcing + R 2 Vg T p Thermal Advection Topographic Forcing Note: The text includes a modified equation with only diabatic effects [Section 2.5] Application Tips: • Differential vorticity advection and thermal advection are the dominant terms in the majority of situations → weight these terms more • Diabatic forcing can be important when deep convection or dry/clear air are present • Topographic forcing is only relevant near large mountain ranges Advanced Synoptic M. D. Eastin QG Analysis: Vertical Motion Application Tips: Diabatic Forcing • Use radar • Use IR satellite • Use VIS satellite • Use WV satellite → → → → → more intense convection → more vertical motion cold cloud tops → deep convection or high clouds? warm cloud tops → shallow convection or low clouds? clouds or clear air? clear air → dry or moist? Topographic Forcing • Topographic maps → Are the mountains high or low? • Use surface winds → Is flow downslope, upslope, or along-slope? Advanced Synoptic M. D. Eastin QG Analysis: System Evolution Review: The BASIC QG Height Tendency Equation 2 f 02 2 2 p f o Vg g f Term A f o2 R V T g p p Term B Term C Term B: Vorticity Advection • Positive vorticity advection (PVA) causes local vorticity increases PVA → g 0 t • From our relationship between ζg and χ, we know that PVA is equivalent to: g t 1 2 p therefore: PVA → 2p 0 f0 or, since: 2 PVA → 0 Thus, we know that PVA at a single level leads to height falls Using similar logic, NVA at a single level leads to height rises Advanced Synoptic M. D. Eastin QG Analysis: System Evolution Review: The BASIC QG Height Tendency Equation 2 f 02 2 2 p Term A f o Vg g f Term B f o2 R V T g p p Term C Term C: Differential Thermal Advection • Consider an atmosphere with an arbitrary vertical profile of temperature advection • Thickness changes throughout the profile will result from the type (WAA/CAA) and magnitude of temperature advection though the profile •Therefore: Advanced Synoptic An increase in WAA advection with height leads to height falls An increase in CAA advection with height leads to height rises M. D. Eastin System Evolution: Diabatic Heating/Cooling Recall: Clear Regions • Local diabatic heating produces the same response as local WAA • Likewise local diabatic cooling is equivalent to local CAA Z Diabatic heating max located near surface due to surface fluxes Evaluation: • Examine / Estimate the vertical profile of diabatic heating / cooling from all available radar / satellite data Net Result: Increase in cooling with height Height Rises Regions of Deep Convection Z Diabatic Heating max located in upper-levels due to condensation Diabatic cooling max located below cloud base due to evaporation Net Result: Increase in heating with height Height Falls Advanced Synoptic Diabatic Cooling max located in upper-levels due to radiational cooling Regions of Shallow Convection Z Diabatic Cooling max located in upper-levels due to radiational cooling Diabatic heating max located in lower-levels due to condensation Net Result: Increase in cooling with height Height Rises M. D. Eastin System Evolution: Topography Recall: • Local downslop flow produces the same response as local WAA • Likewise local upslope flow is equivalent to local CAA Evaluation: • Examine / Estimate the vertical profile of heating due to topographic effects Upslope Flow Downslope Flow Z Z No adiabatic heating No topographic effects above the mountains No adiabatic heating No topographic effects above the mountains Adiabatic Heating due to downslope flow Adiabatic Cooling due to upslope flow Net Result: Decrease in heating with height above heating max → height rises Decrease in heating with height below heating max → height falls Advanced Synoptic Net Result: Decrease in cooling with height above cooling max → height falls Decrease in cooling with height below cooling max → height rises M. D. Eastin QG Analysis: System Evolution The Modified QG Height Tendency Equation 2 f 02 2 2 p f 0 Vg g f Height Tendency Vorticity Advection + Diabatic Forcing f o2 R Vg T p p Differential Thermal Advection + Topographic Forcing Application Tips: • Differential vorticity advection and thermal advection are the dominant terms in the majority of situations → weight these terms more • Diabatic forcing can be important when deep convection or dry/clear air are present • Topographic forcing is only relevant near large mountain ranges Advanced Synoptic M. D. Eastin QG Analysis: System Evolution Application Tips: Diabatic Forcing • Use radar • Use IR satellite • Use VIS satellite • Use WV satellite → → → → → more intense convection → more vertical motion cold cloud tops → deep convection or high clouds? warm cloud tops → shallow convection or low clouds? clouds or clear air? clear air → dry or moist? Topographic Forcing • Topographic maps → Are the mountains high or low? • Use surface winds → Is flow downslope, upslope, or along-slope? Advanced Synoptic M. D. Eastin References Bluestein, H. B, 1993: Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology in Midlatitudes. Volume I: Principles of Kinematics and Dynamics. Oxford University Press, New York, 431 pp. Bluestein, H. B, 1993: Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology in Midlatitudes. Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems. Oxford University Press, New York, 594 pp. Charney, J. G., B. Gilchrist, and F. G. Shuman, 1956: The prediction of general quasi-geostrophic motions. J. Meteor., 13, 489-499. Durran, D. R., and L. W. Snellman, 1987: The diagnosis of synoptic-scale vertical motionin an operational environment. Weather and Forecasting, 2, 17-31. Hoskins, B. J., I. Draghici, and H. C. Davis, 1978: A new look at the ω–equation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 104, 31-38. Hoskins, B. J., and M. A. Pedder, 1980: The diagnosis of middle latitude synoptic development. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 104, 31-38. Lackmann, G., 2011: Mid-latitude Synoptic Meteorology – Dynamics, Analysis and Forecasting, AMS, 343 pp. Trenberth, K. E., 1978: On the interpretation of the diagnostic quasi-geostrophic omega equation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 106, 131-137. Advanced Synoptic M. D. Eastin