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BDT Transits Working Group Review Alessandro Sozzetti INAF-Osservatorio Astronomico di Torino (On behalf of the BDT Transits WG) Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 BDT Transits Working Group • Cristina Afonso ([email protected]) • Roi Alonso ([email protected]) • David Blank ([email protected]) • Claude Catala' ([email protected]) • Hans Deeg ([email protected]) • John Lee Grenfell ([email protected]) • Coel Hellier ([email protected]) • David W. Latham ([email protected]) • Dante Minniti ([email protected]) • Frederic Pont ([email protected]) • Heike Rauer ([email protected]) • Alessandro Sozzetti ([email protected], Coordinator) Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 BDT Transits WG: Goal Gauge the potential and limitations of transit photometry (and follow-up techniques) as a function of depth of the science investigation, project scale and detectable exoplanet class Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 * Observable: decrease of stellar brightness, when planet moves across the stellar disk Transit Photometry * Condition of observability: planetary orbit must be (almost) perpendicular to the plane of the sky * The method allows a determination of parameters that are not accessible to Doppler spectroscopy, e.g. ratio of radii, orbital inclination, limb darkening of the star Probability of Eclipses: It is easier to detect an eclipse by a planet on a tight orbit Must combine with RV in order to derive mass and radius of the planet Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Transit Depth and Duration Warning! Prone to a variety of astrophysical false alarms Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Mimicking Planetary Transits Eclipsing binaries: - Grazing - Low-mass companions - Multiple systems and blends Typically, 95%-99% of detections… Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Transiting Systems Highlights: 63 transiting planets of main-sequence stars known today (and many more to come): Super-massive (7-13 MJ) hot Jupiters: WASP-18b, HAT-P-2b, WASP-14b, XO-3b Very inflated (~1.8 RJ) Jupiters: WASP-12b, TrES-4, WASP-17b The first to be tidally disrupted on a short timescale: WASP-18b The tilted, most eccentric transiting planet: HD 80606b The first transiting planet in a multiple system: HAT-P-13b The first transiting brown dwarf: CoRot-3b The first transiting Super Earth: CoRot-7b Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 THEORETICAL INPUT - internal properties - structure and heat content - atmospheric properties OBSERVABLES Evolutionary properties as a function of irradiation conditions and orbital distance: - mass, - radius, - temperature, - age, - emergent spectrum, composition Pathways to Habitable Planets Strongly Irradiated Planets Burrows 2005 Burrows et al. 2007 Barcelona, 14 September 2009 The Mp-Rp Relation Coreless? Transiting planets come in many flavors! What are their actual interiors? Very large core? Roughly OK How did they form? Neptunes Super Earth Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Transiting Systems Follow-up (1) Holman et al. 2005 Winn et al. 2007 Pathways to Habitable Planets Visible Transits: radius, density, composition, moons or other planets, spinorbit alignment Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Transiting Systems Follow-up (2) Infrared Transits: Temperature, reflectivity and composition, rotation, winds Charbonneau et al. 2005 Burrows 2007 Knutson et al. 2007 Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Ground-based Searches for Transiting Exoplanets Credits: Heike Rauer Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Photometric Precision • 0.002-0.003 mag is achieved from the ground (high-cadence, meter-sized telescopes) • For Earth-sized companions / solar-type stars, need better than 0.0001 mag • The latter cannot be achieved from the ground Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Space-Based Searches for Transiting Exoplanets instrument in service Telescope diameter Limiting Mag Performance (σph) Sky Coverage N targets CoRoT ongoing 27cm V~14 1,00E-04 37 deg2 50000 Kepler 2009 1m V~14 1,00E-05 106 deg2 100000 Plato (ESA) 2017 0.75m V~13 3,00E-05 3600 deg2 50000 > 2012 12cm V~14 1,00E-04 40000 deg2 2500000 TESS (NASA) Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Space: Internal Composition of Transiting Systems Kepler PLATO CoRoT TESS-like All-sky?? Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Space: Atmospheric Characterization THESIS HST SPICA Spitzer Pathways to Habitable Planets JWST Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Roses Have Thorns! • Main-stream approach: main-sequence stars astrophysics is a solved problem, for practical purposes • Reality: for transiting systems, the star is most of the time the limit (brightness, activity levels, age, rotation, mass, radius, limb-darkening, composition)! Characterization of transiting planets requires the most accurate knowledge of their stellar hosts Pathways to Habitable Planets bright/nearby stars are privileged targets challenge = survey of large samples of bright stars Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Followup Decision Tree Confirmation Observations • Very time-consuming • For CoRoT/Kepler (and Plato) confirmation (via radial-velocity measurements) may not even be feasible below a certain radius size (depending on spectral type) • Could make use of some R&D K = 9 cm/s for an Earth-like planet Credits: TESS Team Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 The BDT Perspective: A Grid Approach Motivation: to understand the interplay between families of techniques, project scale, scientific potential, and detectable exoplanet class Project Scale: Scientific Potential: 1: Statistical study of planetary systems 2: Identify systems suitable for follow-up 3: Full spectroscopic characterization Green: existing Yellow: ground, 30MEUR, 5 yr Orange: space, 450 MEUR, 10 yr Red: 650-1000 MEUR, 15-20 yr Target Systems: Hot Jupiters around F-G-K-M stars, other Jupiters around F-G-K-M stars, hot telluric planets (Earths and Super Earths) around F-G-K-M stars, telluric planets in the Habitable Zone of M dwarfs, telluric planets in the Habitable Zone of F-G-K dwarfp Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Transits: Target Class, Science Potential, Project Scale * 3 ? * ? * 3 ? * See the THESIS concept too. Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 Summary • Transit photometry allows to characterize the bulk composition of a planet • It identifies systems for atmospheric characterization • It requires large amounts of follow-up work • The primary can often be the limiting factor • Ongoing and future programs have the potential to nail the occurrence rate of habitable planets around main-sequence stellar hosts, and characterize those around stars with favorable spectral type. • The relevant technology for transit detection of terrestrial-type planets is already there. Not all tools for further characterization are ready • Is there a need for an L/XL-class project? Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009 If You Like Transits-Related Science: • Listen to: Tinetti, Rouan, Clampin, Nakagawa, Latham, Swain, Català, Enya, Ricker • Carefully read some 17 posters • Go to the following satellite meetings: a) PLATO (coordinators Alcalà and Pollacco), b) panel P1 (“Can we characterize habitable planets with transits?”, coordinator Sasselov) Pathways to Habitable Planets Barcelona, 14 September 2009