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Metodi Quantitativi per Economia, Finanza e Management Lezione n°2 Management & Quantitative Methods Management & Quantitative Methods 112 Keywords 57 Data Analysis & Quantitative Methods Management & Quantitative Methods Gartner's(*) Top Three Predictions for 2009-2010 • IT Cut Costs. Inside of traditional Information Technology we're going to find a lot of new ways to quickly cut costs. …. • High-Scale BI. Business Intelligence (BI) will require a move up scale to larger sets of data, larger sets of content, and more mingling or joining of disparate types of data and content in order to draw inferences about what the customers are willing to do and pay across both B2B and B2C activities. • Social Data-CRM Mash-ups. The role of social media and networks will continue to grow and be impactful for enterprises, as marketers and sales-people begin to look to these organizations from the metadata and inference about what customers are willing to buy, particularly under tight economic conditions. There's going to be a need to tie traditional Customer Relationship Management (CRM) and sales applications with some sort of a process overlay into the metadata that's available from these Web-based cloud environments, where users have shared so much inference and data about themselves. I look for some mash-ups between social data and the sales and business development applications and data. (**) (*) Gartner, Inc. (NYSE: IT) is the world’s leading information technology research and advisory company. Management & Quantitative Methods Metodi Quantitativi per Economia, Finanza e Management Agenda: • Business Intelligence & Data Sources • Internal Data - External Data • Le ricerche di mercato • Il Campionamento Business Intelligence Business intelligence(*) (BI) refers to skills, knowledge, technologies, applications, quality, risks, security issues and practices used to help a business to acquire a better understanding of market behavior and commercial context. For this purpose it undertakes the collection, integration, analysis, interpretation and presentation of business information. BI applications provide historical, current, and predictive views of business operations, most often using data already gathered into a Data Warehouse or a Data Mart. BI applications tackle sales, production, financial, and many other sources of business data to support better business decisionmaking. Thus one can also characterize a BI system as a Decision Support System (DSS). (*) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_Intelligence Business Intelligence & Data Sources Business Intelligence systems are data-driven DSS. Internal Data • Operational digital transaction • CRM digital transaction External Data • Public Data Base (Bureau of Census, Central Bank,..) • Private Data Base (Consodata, D&B,..) • Market Research Business Intelligence & Internal Data Operational & Strategic Marketing Hints Business Intelligence DW agents call center Management systems portals operations data collection data modelling & processing data analysis Business Intelligence & Internal Data Data Warehouse Multi Level Summary OLAP DMA Analisi Statistica Business Intelligence & Internal Data • • • • Interaction between Customers & Company Digital transactions Billions of data Data Warehousing – Marketing Data Mart - Customer DataBase • Data Mining(*) • Customer Profiling (*) Data Mining is the process of extracting hidden patterns from data. As more data are gathered, data mining is becoming an increasingly important tool to transform this data into information. It is commonly used in a wide range of profiling practices, such as marketing, fraud detection and scientific discovery. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_Intelligence Customer Profiling & Data Mining Segmentation How to select target marketing segments? Evaluation of results Identify business area Marketing Datamart Make behavioural Marketing plan data available implementation Analysis and classification Strategic decisions Marketing Datamart Propensity Models Who are the best prospect to target for the campaign? Identification of prior cross-selling segment Evaluation of results Campaign implementation Marketing Datamart Extract sample data Scoring model building Tactical actions Customer Profiling & Data Mining Scoring Model Behavioural Segmentation Credit Scoring Basel II Credit Scoring Acceptance Score Card Needs Based Segmentation 2000 1990 Mail Order Teleco New Media Finance Publishing Social Network Analysis