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New Frontiers with LSST: leveraging world facilities Tony Tyson Director, LSST Project University of California, Davis Science with the 8-10 m telescopes in the era of the ELTs and the JWST 1 IAC, La Palma, July 25, 2009 Long history of discovery via sky surveys 2 Technology drives the New Sky • Microelectronics • Software • Large Optics Fabrication 4 5 Comprehensive understanding of new astrophysical phenomena requires multi-wavelength and/or temporal investigations using a variety of instruments on multiple facilities. Because of cost these large facilities or instruments tend to be unique. Astronomy thus must evolve to a coordinated collaboration of world facilities. GTC is perfect for co-observing with LSST to leverage discovery. The shared sky overlap and the joint science discovery space is more than sufficient. 6 LSST All Hands Meeting at NCSA, May 19-23, 2008 8 3200 megapixel camera 10 11 12 The LSST site 13 7.5 arcminutes DSS: digitized photographic plates 14 Sloan Digital Sky Survey 15 LSST -- almost 2800 galaxies i<25 mag ~100 alerts per night GTC field of view 16 10-year simulation: limiting magnitude per band Opsim1.29 Dec 2008 17 The LSST surveys will overlap 11,500 deg2 with the GTC AO observable sky. In that overlap area there are: 2.3 billion galaxies brighter than 25th i AB mag with photometric redshifts in the LSST data, 5000 to 50,000 variable or transient alerts per night from LSST. In other words, the overlap area is not a constraint on GTC-LSST science. 18 LSST Science Charts New Territory Probing Dark Matter And Dark Energy Mapping the Milky Way Finding Near Earth Asteroids 19 20 Number of visits per field in Deep Wide Survey 21 22 LSST survey • 4 billion galaxies with redshifts • Time domain: 1 million supernovae 1 million galaxy lenses 5 million asteroids new phenomena 23 Data Management is a distributed system that leverages world-class facilities and cyber-infrastructure Data Access Centers U.S. (2) and Chile (1) 45 TFLOPS, 87 PB Archive Center NCSA, Champaign, IL 100 to 250 TFLOPS, 75 PB Long-Haul Communications Chile - U.S. & w/in U.S. 2.5 Gbps avg, 10 Gbps peak Mountain Summit/Base Facility Cerro Pachon, La Serena, Chile 25 TFLOPS, 150 TB 1 TFLOPS = 10^12 floating point operations/second 1 PB = 2^50 bytes or ~10^15 bytes 24 LSST Survey Begin operations in 2015, with 3-Gigapixel camera One 6-Gigabyte image every 17 seconds 30 Terabytes every night for 10 years 200-Petabyte final image data archive anticipated 20-Petabyte final database catalog anticipated Real-Time Event Mining: 10,000-100,000 events per night, every night, for 10 yrs Repeat images of the entire night sky every 3 nights 25 The Data Challenge ~3 Terabytes per hour that must be mined in real time. 20 billion objects will be monitored for important variations in real time. A new approach must be developed for knowledge extraction in real time. 26 27 DATA PRODUCTS 28 Risk taking: What is the role of 8-10m telescopes >2015? use of multiple facilities: planning, collaborations access to experimental observing modes and novel instrumentation experiments in an ELT/JWST era the 8-10m telescopes can play a critical enabling role for scientific discovery. The sociology may be novel, but so too will the scientific discoveries. 29 www.lsst.org We cannot guess what currently unknown types of objects or phenomena will be discovered. But we can rest assured that collaborations of world facilities will be required for the full exploration of the resulting science. 30 31 Currently planned LSST surveys Deep Wide Survey: 20,000 square degrees to a uniform depth of u: 26.7 g: 27.4 r: 27.7 i: 26.9 z: 26.1 y: 24.9 Northern Ecliptic: 3300 square degrees ~2.1 pairs per lunation Deep-Drilling: 500 square degrees Continuous 15 sec exposures Galactic Plane: 1700 square degrees to uniform depth of u: 26.1 g: 26.5 r: 26.1 i: 25.6 z: 24.9 y: 23.5 South Pole: 1700 square degrees to a uniform depth of u: 25.5 g: 26.4 r: 26.0 i: 25.3 z: 25.0 y:23.4 32 Currently planned LSST surveys Deep Wide Survey: 20,000 square degrees to a uniform depth of u: 26.7 g: 27.4 r: 27.7 i: 26.9 z: 26.1 y: 24.9 Northern Ecliptic: 3300 square degrees ~2.1 pairs per lunation Deep-Drilling: 500 square degrees Continuous 15 sec exposures Galactic Plane: 1700 square degrees to uniform depth of u: 26.1 g: 26.5 r: 26.1 i: 25.6 z: 24.9 y: 23.5 South Pole: 1700 square degrees to a uniform depth of u: 25.5 g: 26.4 r: 26.0 i: 25.3 z: 25.0 y:23.4 33 Example time window function 34