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Integrated model management in the data warehouse era Daniel R. Dolk Naval Postgraduate School, CA, USA EJOR 122 (2000) 2000. 4. 6. 양 영 철 [email protected] Introduction Introduction Integrated Modeling Environment (IME) Modeling Data Warehouse 2 Retrospective of IME The concept of an IME 3 Modeling Integration Modeling Integration Model Definition Model Integration Model Operation 4 Modeling Integration 4 dimensions • • • • Organizational dimension Definitional dimension Procedural dimension Implementation dimension 5 Modeling Integration Organizational : Strategic modeling MANAGEMENT • An econometric ACTIVITY MODEL marketing model REQUIREMENTS • A discrete event simulation manufacturing Strategic Model Mktg-> model Planning Integration Mfg->Dist-> • A transportation Econ->Fin model Control Model • A pricing model Aggregate Aggregation Mktg, Mfg, etc • A financial model Operations Mktg Mft Dist Econ Fin Individual Models 6 Modeling Integration Definitional : Schema integration 7 Modeling Integration Procedural : Process integration 8 Modeling Integration Implementation : OO integrated modeling environment • CSML (Communicating SML) – Features • The basic structured programming constructs of sequence, selection, and iteration • Demons • Embedded SML statements for model definition • Parallel execution of processes • Transformation operators to solver data structures • Embedded SQL statements for data manipulation 9 Retrospective of IME 왜 MMS연구가 활발하지 못한가? • Lack of external demand • Paradigm-centric nature of MS/OR community • Software development effort • Complexity of structured modeling • Theoretical difficulties • Emergence of the Internet 10 Data warehouses Overview 특징 ? Data Warehouse 1. Time-series-based subsets of 기업의 의사결정 지원을 위한 주제 중심 적이고 통합적이며 시간성을 비휘 the universe of an가지는 organization’s 발성 자료의 집합 Operational DB 2. Very Large DB, Contain populations of data rather than samples 3. Multi-dimensional in nature 4. Conventional data modeling tech. are not relevant to DW 11 Data warehouses Environment • • • • • • Data transformation Metadata management Database engine OLAP and data mining tools Information delivery system Data warehouse administration 12 Data warehouses A modeler’s view • The largest bottleneck in model building is more likely to be the data than the model itself • The OLAP part of data warehouse is model-poor • Data mining is a fertile area for the application of MS/OR tech. And is currently being investigated vigorously 13 Decision metric Performance measurement • Performance measurement – The process of quantifying the efficiency and effectiveness of a action 14 Decision metric Anatomy (1/2) - Metric %MfcCapacityRealized MCR( s.USA Plant s Product p p.TV.Color.27in Time t ) t.Year.Quarter.Month 15 Decision metric Anatomy (2/2) • The primary attributes of metrics – – – – – – – – – Definition Computational procedure Dimension/units Thresholds : User Interface 구축에 필요 Periodicity Scale level Drilldown dimensions Data and/or model sources Report distribution profile 16 Decision metric Decision metrics in a DSS context Metric 17 Decision metrics & MM Decision metrics as outcomes of models • Decision metrics may be directly calculated from the outcomes of math models • The associated drilldown allows the users to specify “what if” analyses by arbitrarily changing the assigned weights of the factors and viewing the resulting evaluations 18 Decision metrics & MM Models as predictors of decision metrics • Models as a means of forecasting future values of metrics – A simple trending or exponential smoothing model – A more sophisticated approach • On-line discrete event simulation model • The shift in modeling emphasis – Metrics-oriented emphasis on customer satisfaction vs. traditional operational efficiency-oriented perspective 19 Decision metrics & MM Model warehouse • Stores the information about models – Model representations (모델 선언부) – Assumptions – Interfaces with solvers • Modeling language statements Minimize ( TotalCost ) SubjectTo ( testDemand, testStorage, testInventoryInitial, testInventoryBalance) For Product = “TV” Using CPLEX 20 Decision metrics & MM 21 Decision metrics & MM In order to Send across the WEB 22 Component-based IME Component-based IME • Intelligent agents • Component-based software development – CORBA, COM 23 Conclusions Conclusions • Component-based, network-based, warehouse-based IME • Distributed System과의 연동 – CORBA, ODBC • 의문점 – Complex data 처리 문제 • OODB의 이용을 고려…? 24 Reference References • Model integration and a theory of models;D.R.Dolk,J.E.Kottemann;DSS 9 (1993) • Meta-modeling Concepts and Tools for Model Management : A Systems Approach; W.A.Muhanna,R.A.Pick;Management Science 40 (1994) • Adapting on-line analytical processing for decision modeling : the interaction of information and decision technologies;Nikitas-Sprios Koutsoukis,Gautam Mitra, Cormac Lucas;DSS 26 (1999) 25