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Palliative Medicine http://pmj.sagepub.com/ Effectiveness of palliative home-care services in reducing hospital admissions and determinants of hospitalization for terminally ill patients followed up by a palliative home-care team: A retrospective cohort study Mirko Riolfi, Alessandra Buja, Chiara Zanardo, Chiara Francesca Marangon, Pietro Manno and Vincenzo Baldo Palliat Med 2014 28: 403 originally published online 23 December 2013 DOI: 10.1177/0269216313517283 The online version of this article can be found at: http://pmj.sagepub.com/content/28/5/403 Published by: http://www.sagepublications.com Additional services and information for Palliative Medicine can be found at: Email Alerts: http://pmj.sagepub.com/cgi/alerts Subscriptions: http://pmj.sagepub.com/subscriptions Reprints: http://www.sagepub.com/journalsReprints.nav Permissions: http://www.sagepub.com/journalsPermissions.nav >> Version of Record - Apr 22, 2014 OnlineFirst Version of Record - Dec 23, 2013 What is This? Downloaded from pmj.sagepub.com at SAGE Publications on May 12, 2014 517283 research-article2013 PMJ0010.1177/0269216313517283Palliative MedicineRiolfi et al. Original Article Effectiveness of palliative home-care services in reducing hospital admissions and determinants of hospitalization for terminally ill patients followed up by a palliative home-care team: A retrospective cohort study Palliative Medicine 2014, Vol. 28(5) 403–411 © The Author(s) 2013 Reprints and permissions: sagepub.co.uk/journalsPermissions.nav DOI: 10.1177/0269216313517283 pmj.sagepub.com Mirko Riolfi1, Alessandra Buja2, Chiara Zanardo2, Chiara Francesca Marangon1, Pietro Manno1 and Vincenzo Baldo2 Abstract Background: It has been demonstrated that most patients in the terminal stages of cancer would benefit from palliative home-care services. Aim: The aim of this study was to assess the effectiveness of appropriate palliative home-care services in reducing hospital admissions, and to identify factors predicting the likelihood of patients treated at home being hospitalized. Design: Retrospective cohort study. Setting/participants: We enrolled all 402 patients listed by the Local Health Authority No. 5, Veneto Region (NorthEast Italy), as dying of cancer in 2011. Results: Of the cohort considered, 39.9% patients had been taken into care by a palliative home-care team. Irrespective of age, gender, and type of tumor, patients taken into care by the palliative home-care team were more likely to die at home, less likely to be hospitalized, and spent fewer days in hospital in the last 2 months of their life. Among the patients taken into care by the palliative home-care team, those with hematological cancers and hepatocellular carcinoma were more likely to be hospitalized, and certain symptoms (such as dyspnea and delirium) were predictive of hospitalization. Conclusions: Our study confirms the effectiveness of palliative home care in enabling patients to spend the final period of their lives at home. The services of a palliative home-care team reduced the consumption of hospital resources. This study also provided evidence of some types of cancer (e.g. hematological cancers and hepatocellular carcinoma) being more likely to require hospitalization, suggesting the need to reconsider the pathways of care for these diseases. Keywords Health services research, home-care service, epidemiology, palliative medicine, comparative effectiveness research 1Palliative Care Team, Distretto Socio Sanitario Azienda ULSS 5 Ovest Vicentino, Arzignano, Italy 2Department of Molecular Medicine, Laboratory of Public Health and Population Studies, Institute of Hygiene, University of Padova, Padova, Italy Corresponding author: Alessandra Buja, Department of Molecular Medicine, Laboratory of Public Health and Population Studies, Institute of Hygiene, University of Padova, Via Loredan, 18, 35128 Padova, Italy. Email: [email protected] Downloaded from pmj.sagepub.com at SAGE Publications on May 12, 2014 404 Palliative Medicine 28(5) What is already known about the topic? •• The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends that all countries adopt a national palliative care policy for providing home-based care. •• The majority of terminally ill patients would prefer to stay and die at home. •• Providing palliative care at home enables patients to spend the final period of their lives in their own homes. What this paper adds? •• This study confirmed that terminally ill cancer patients, who were recruited and consent to being cared for by a palliative home-care team (PHCT) at home, are more likely to die at home, and to have fewer hospitalizations and shorter hospital stays in the last 2 months of their lives. •• The study found that patients in the care of a PHCT who had certain types of neoplastic disease, for example, hematological cancers and hepatocellular carcinoma, were more likely to be hospitalized. •• The study indicated that certain symptoms, for example, dyspnea, pain, and delirium, were predictive of patients in the care of a PHCT being hospitalized. Implications for practice, theory, or policy •• The services of a PHCT might reduce the consumption of hospital resources. •• This study revealed the need to reconsider the pathways of care for hematological cancers and hepatocellular carcinoma in terminally ill patients. Background Nowadays, cancer has become one of the leading causes of death worldwide. Franks et al.1 estimated that 25% of people in the terminal phase of cancer in the United Kingdom will require inpatient palliative care, and 65% will benefit from home-based palliative care. The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends that all countries adopt a national palliative care policy as a human right, providing different resources and settings, including home-based care.2 Providing palliative care at home preserves the dignity of terminally ill patients and allows them to spend the final period of their lives in their own homes, together with relatives who can offer them a more empathetic support. Quality of life is closely related to the chance to stay close to loved ones, to reduce the loneliness typical of all forms of hospitalization. The literature consistently demonstrates that the majority of terminally ill patients would prefer to stay and die at home,3,4 but unfortunately, most patients are unable to do so.5 In a prospective review and questionnaire study, Brogaard et al.6 recently showed that most patients declaring a preference concerning where they might receive care and wanted to be cared for (66%–84%) and to die (64%–71%) at home, but only half of them had their wish fulfilled. There also emerges from the literature a significant association between such patients’ wishes being fulfilled and contact with a palliative care team.6 Concerning the efficiency of palliative care services, other studies have demonstrated that changing the focus of care-providing policy from the hospital to the home reduces health-care costs by reducing hospital admissions and the length of hospital stays.7 Costantini et al.8 found the difference in the length of stay particularly evident in the last 6 months before death. Alonso-Babarro et al.9 found that, when an appropriate palliative home-care team (PHCT) was available, there were fewer deaths in hospital and a drop in the overall hospitalization rates for patients in the last 2 months of their life. Numerous studies from around the world were reviewed by Gomes and Higginson,10 who analyzed the factors (relating to the illness, individual characteristics, the health-care input and social support) affecting the place where terminally ill cancer patients die: there was consistent evidence of the influence of several factors on the place of death, and six of these factors were strongly associated with death at home, that is, patients’ functional status, their preferences, the availability of home care and its intensity, living with relatives, and extended family support. Aim The aim of this study was to assess the impact of appropriate home-based palliative care in reducing hospitalizations, and also to identify factors predicting the chances of patients in the care of a PHCT at home having to be hospitalized or dying at home. Methods Context The Italian National Health Service (NHS) is funded mainly through taxes and provides universal access to health services. Primary care lies at the core of the NHS. Downloaded from pmj.sagepub.com at SAGE Publications on May 12, 2014 405 Riolfi et al. General practitioners (GPs) act as gatekeepers to the health system. In each of the 21 regions of Italy, Local Health Authorities (LHAs) are responsible for the delivery of primary care provided by GPs to a geographically designated population. Traditionally, GPs have worked in solo practices. However, in the last 10 years, in an effort to increase coordination of care, the Italian NHS has introduced substantial reforms seeking to encourage collaborative arrangements among GPs and with other kind of physicians or other health-care personnel. In Italy, there is a law (L.38 15/04/2010)11 that ratifies the right of terminally ill patients to be treated and to die at home in the care of a team of GP, specialists, and nurses. The LHA No. 5 in Veneto Region (serving a population of 179,783) set up a PHCT in 2011. The team of this LHA consists of 2 palliative care physicians and 30 nonspecialist nurses, who cooperate with GPs. GPs have to guarantee their on-call availability, and they do not always recommend activating home care for their patients, either because of the burden of this kind of care or because they do not recognize the terminal phase of illness. The intensity of care depends on the patient’s condition: at least one specialist medical examination a week is guaranteed for all terminally ill patients being cared for at home, and this specialist medical examination is conducted daily in the last days of life. Nurses are called in to deal with any need for medication or infusion therapies. The services of a palliative care physician or nurse are assured from Monday to Friday (8.00 a.m. to 20.00 p.m.). On Saturdays and Sundays, there is a nurse on call (8.00 a.m. to 20.00 p.m.). During the night and weekends, patients, caregivers, and colleagues can always contact a palliative care physician by phone. The features defining a terminally ill patient were as follows: the absence of life-prolonging cancer treatment, ruled out by an oncologist; a predicted life expectancy of no more than 3 months; and patients’ and/ or their family members’ explicit consent to treatment at home. Patients and materials This was a retrospective cohort study enrolling all 402 patients who died with cancer as the first cause of death in 2011 in the area served by the LHA No. 5 in the Veneto Region of north-east Italy. During the first semester of 2012, the study collected information from administrative databases such as the ISTAT (Italian Statistics Institute) death registry and hospital discharge records, and from the palliative care team’s data. The ISTAT death registry also records the place of death and patients’ demographic data. For each case identified, details of the patient’s hospital admissions (number and length of stay) in the last 2 months of life were obtained from the hospital discharge records. The data recorded by the PHCT on the palliative care provided for patients at home concerned the presence of symptoms (“yes” or “no”), including pain, dysphagia, asthenia, dyspnea, cognitive impairment, wheezing, delirium; the Karnofsky Performance Status score; the patients’ awareness of their condition (dummy “disease and incurability,” “only of the diagnosis,” or “none”); the period of time spent in the care of the PHCT; the number of days when at least one health professional provided care at home; the PHCT service rate (i.e. the sum of the days spent at home in the PHCT’s care/number of days on which at least one health professional provided care at home); the need for therapeutic benzodiazepine sedation (“yes” or “no”); and the need for opioid therapy (“yes” or “no”). Approval for the study was obtained from the Ethical Committee of the Vicenza Provincial Authorities. Statistical methods All categories of tumors were considered separately in our descriptive analysis, but for the purposes of the inference analysis, any cancers with fewer than 20 cases were grouped into a category defined as “others.” Data were summarized as means with standard deviations for continuous variables, and as numbers (percentages) of patients for categorical variables. The χ2 was used to identify any significant differences in the frequency distribution of categorical variables by group, and student’s t-test was used to assess differences in means by group. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals were calculated with a logistic regression model with death at home as the dependent variable, and being taken into the PHCT’s care as the independent variable (yes or no). The other covariates included in the model were as follows: age, sex, and type of cancer (a dummy variable with lung cancer as the reference category). A linear regression analysis was also performed with length of hospital stay as the dependent variable and being taken into the PHCT’s care as the independent variable (yes or no). The other covariates included in the model were the same as those listed above. A Poisson regression analysis was also performed with the number of hospital admissions as the dependent variable and being taken into the PHCT’s care as the independent variable (yes or no). The other covariates included in the models were the same as those listed above. A logistic regression model was used to identify predictors of death at home among the patients taken into care by the PHCT, using death at home as the dependent variable, and the following independent variables: age, sex, symptoms (pain, dysphagia, asthenia, dyspnea, cognitive impairment, wheezing, delirium), the patients’ awareness of their condition (“disease and incurability,” “only of the diagnosis,” or “none”), period in the care of the PHCT, therapeutic sedation (yes or no), Karnofsky Performance Status, and type of cancer (with lung cancer as the reference category), Downloaded from pmj.sagepub.com at SAGE Publications on May 12, 2014 406 Palliative Medicine 28(5) Table 1. Bivariate analysis of the sample’s characteristics and outcomes by type of care group. Sex Age Cancer Place of death Time spent in hospital in last 2 months of life Number of hospitalizations in last 2 months of life Male, % (n) Mean age (±SD) Lung, % (n) Colorectal, % (n) Pancreas, % (n) Breast, % (n) HCC, % (n) Prostate, % (n) Hematological, % (n) Unknown, % (n) Others, % (n) Hospital, % (n) Home, % (n) Nursing home, % (n) Country hospital, % (n) Mean days (±SD) Total sample (N = 402) Not given palliative care (n = 242) Given palliative care (n = 160) p value 58.5% (235) 73.9 (±11.9) 22.1% (89) 11.7% (47) 7.2% (29) 5.2% (21) 6.5% (26) 5.0 % (20) 9.5 % (38) 1.8% (7) 31.1% (125) 53.5% (215) 26.1% (105) 10.7% (43) 9.7% (39) 57.4% (139) 75.1 (±11.9) 19.8% (48) 12.4% (30) 4.6% (11) 5.8% (14) 6.2% (15) 4.1% (10) 13.2% (32) 2.1% (5) 31.8% (77) 73.6% (178) 7.9% (19) 12.4% (30) 6.2% (15) 60.0% (96) 72.1 (±11.9) 25.6% (41) 10.6% (17) 11.2% (18) 4.4% (7) 6.9% (11) 6.2% (10) 3.8% (6) 1.3% (2) 30.0% (48) 23.1% (37) 53.8% (86) 8.1% (13) 15.0% (24) 0.610 0.012 0.017 13.4 (±17.6) 19.6 (±18.9) 4.4 (±10.4) <0.001 0.9 (±0.99) 1.3 (±1.0) 0.4 (±0.7) <0.001 Mean (±SD) <0.001 HCC: heaptocellular carcinoma; SD: standard deviation. that is, colorectal, pancreas, breast, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), stomach, prostate, hematological, genitourinary, and “others.” A linear regression model was used to find predictors of the number of days spent in hospital by patients in the care of the PHCT, considering hospitalization as the dependent variable and the independent variables listed in the previous paragraph. Finally, a Poisson regression model was used to identify predictors of the number of hospital stays for patients in the care of the PHCT, with hospitalization as the dependent variable and the above-listed independent variables. Results The patients were a mean 73.9 years of age, and the leading cause of cancer-related death was lung cancer for males (28.9% of all cancer-related deaths), and lung and breast cancers for females (12.6% and 12.0%, respectively). In our cohort, 26.1% of the patients died at home, and 53.5% in hospital; 39.9% of the whole cohort had been in the care of the PHCT. The characteristics of the sample by healthcare setting are shown in Table 1. Patients enrolled for the palliative care program were slightly younger (73.9 vs 75.1 years), more likely to die at home (53.8% vs 7.9%), and had fewer hospital stays (0.4 vs 1.3 admissions) and shorter stays (4.4 vs 19.6 days) in their last 2 months of life than patients who were not taken into the PHCT’s care. Table 2 shows the differences in the mean number of hospital admissions, lengths of hospital stay, and probability of dying at home by type of cancer and health-care setting, indicating that terminally ill patients with pulmonary, colorectal, pancreatic, and hematological cancers in the care of the PHCT had fewer admissions and spent fewer days in hospital than patients with the same diseases who were not in the care of the PHCT. These patients also had a higher chance of dying at home, as did breast cancer and HCC patients in the care of the PHCT. Table 3 shows the results of the three regression models: irrespective of age, gender, or type of cancer, patients who were in the care of the PHCT had higher odds (OR = 14.3) of dying at home than those who were not. The palliative care program was also associated with a reduction for hospital admissions and for days in hospital stays. Considering only the patients in the care of the PHCT (Table 4), delirium and pain predicted a higher number of days spent in hospital, while therapeutic sedation (administered to 28% of patients in the care of the PHCT) coincided with a higher probability of dying at home. Symptoms such as weakness, pain, and dyspnea, together with HCC and hematological tumors, were predictors of more hospital admissions. Discussion This study confirmed that terminally ill cancer patients who were recruited by their GPs and consent to being cared for by a PHCT at home are more likely to die at home, and to have fewer hospitalizations and shorter hospital stays in the last 2 months of their lives. In addition, this is one of the first cohort studies to address the predictors of days spent in Downloaded from pmj.sagepub.com at SAGE Publications on May 12, 2014 407 Riolfi et al. Table 2. Bivariate analysis of outcomes for each type of cancer by type of care group. Total sample Mean days in hospital in last 2 months of life Lung: days (±SD) 9.9 (±13.8) Colorectal: days (±SD) 14.3 (±17.5) Pancreas: days (±SD) 8.2 (±13.6) Breast: days (±SD) 10.4 (±13.5) HCC: days (±SD) 13.6 (±17.0) Prostate: days (±SD) 9.9 (±16.9) Hematological: days (±SD) 22.8 (±20.6) Unknown: days (±SD) 14 (±15.4) Others: days (±SD) 15.0 (±19.9) Mean number of hospitalizations in last 2 months of life Lung: number (±SD) 0.9 (±0.9) Colorectal: number (±SD) 0.8 (±0.9) Pancreas: number (±SD) 0.7 (±0.8) Breast: number (±SD) 0.6 (±0.7) HCC: number (±SD) 1.2 (±1.3) Prostate: number (±SD) 0.8 (±1.2) Hematological: number (±SD) 1.4 (±1.0) Unknown: number (±SD) 0.9 (±0.9) Others: number (±SD) 0.9 (±1.0) Death at home Lung, % (n) 22.1% (89) Colorectal, % (n) 11.7% (47) Pancreas, % (n) 7.2% (29) Breast, % (n) 5.2% (21) HCC, % (n) 6.5% (26) Prostate, % (n) 5.0 % (20) Hematological, % (n) 9.5 % (38) Unknown, % (n) 1.8% (7) Others, % (n) 31.1% (125) Not given palliative care Given palliative care p value 15.8 (±14.1) 21.2 (±18.7) 16.9 (±17.6) 13.6 (±14.9) 17.1 (±15.7) 16.6 (±21.5) 26.1 (±20.7) 19.6 (±14.7) 21.1 (±21.6) 3.4 (±10.1) 2.9 (±5.5) 2.8 (±6.4) 4 (±7.7) 8.8 (±18.3) 3.2 (±6.5) 5.8 (±8.2) 0 (±0) 5.6 (±12.2) <0.001 <0.001 0.004 0.129 0.228 0.075 0.025 0.135 <0.001 1.5 (±0.9) 1.1 (±0.8) 1.3 (±0.8) 0.8 (±0.7) 1.5 (±1.2) 1.1 (±1.5) 1.5 (±1.0) 1.2 (±0.8) 1.3 (±1.0) 0.3 (±0.6) 0.3 (±0.6) 0.3 (±0.6) 0.3 (±0.5) 0.8 (±1.3) 0.5 (±0.7) 0.7 (±0.8) 0 (±0) 0.4 (±0.7) <0.001 <0.001 0.001 0.107 0.202 0.273 0.049 0.113 <0.001 14.3% (7) 10.0% (3) 0.0% (0) 0.0% (0) 0.0% (0) 30.0% (3) 3.1% (1) 20.0% (1) 6.5% (5) 60.0% (24) 58.8% (10) 55.6% (10) 42.9% (3) 41.7% (5) 40.0% (4) 66.7% (4) 0.0% (0) 52.1% (25) <0.001 <0.001 0.002 0.008 0.007 0.639 <0.001 0.495 <0.001 HCC: heaptocellular carcinoma; SD: standard deviation. hospital or number of hospital admissions in the last 2 months of life for patients in the care of a PHCT. This study found a strong association between the involvement of palliative care services and the place of death, and would suggest that palliative home-care enables patients to spend the final days of their lives at home, a condition strongly related to the feasibility of preserving their relationship with loved ones. A Belgian study demonstrated the effectiveness of palliative care in reducing hospital deaths, showing that people were more likely to die in their usual place of residence if multidisciplinary PHCTs were involved.12 In Spain, a population-based study reported similar findings, suggesting that a PHCT can reduce inpatient deaths.13 In Norway too, a randomized controlled trial on palliative versus conventional care showed that palliative care enabled more patients to die at home, although the amount of time spent at home was not significantly longer, and the overall use of the hospital remained much the same.14 Our study seems to confirm the effectiveness of PHCT services in reducing the use of hospital resources, showing that the availability of a PHCT reduced patients’ hospital admissions and days spent in hospital in the last 2 months of life. Our findings are consistent with other studies conducted in Spain and Belgium,15 and strongly support the conviction that using palliative care services can help to contain the costs of providing health care as well as improving patients’ and their families’ quality of life. An English study exploring the cost of end-of-life care suggested that reducing the use of acute care facilities and expanding community-based care could release resources and better serve peoples’ preferences.16 This is an important issue because, although the focus of palliative care is the patients’ and their families’ quality of life, increasing attention should also have to be paid to the potential positive economic impact of palliative care services. End-of-life care in hospital is identified as by far the greatest cost, accounting on average for 33.2% of the total cost per patient,14 and despite this high cost of admissions for acute care, many studies have shown that end-of-life care in hospital is inappropriate for patients and Downloaded from pmj.sagepub.com at SAGE Publications on May 12, 2014 408 Palliative Medicine 28(5) Table 3. Stepwise regression analyses on the total sample of terminally-ill patients. Dependent variables: death at home (logistic regression), days spent in hospital (linear regression), hospital admissions (Poisson regression). Independent variables: being taken into care by a PHCT. Covariates: age, sex, and type of tumor. Death at home OR Age (y) Sex (male) Taken into care Colorectal Pancreas Breast HCC Prostate Hematological Others 1.01 1.25 14.30 0.79 0.56 0.27 0.33 0.91 0.54 0.58 Lower IC 95% 0.99 0.69 7.90 0.31 0.20 0.06 0.10 0.27 0.16 0.28 Upper IC 95% 1.03 2.26 25.86 2.00 1.57 1.23 1.10 3.03 1.81 1.20 p 0.353 0.465 0.000 0.621 0.270 0.090 0.071 0.880 0.315 0.145 Number of hospital admissions β Age (y) Sex (male) Taken into care Colorectal Pancreas Breast HCC Prostate Hematological Unknown Others −0.01 −0.07 −1.11 −0.11 −0.06 −0.47 0.26 −0.06 0.18 −0.08 −0.03 Lower IC 95% −0.02 −0.30 −1.38 −0.51 −0.56 −1.08 −0.15 −0.60 −0.18 −0.92 −0.32 Upper IC 95% −0.00 0.16 −0.84 0.28 0.44 0.14 0.68 0.49 0.54 0.76 0.26 p 0.007 0.560 0.000 0.561 0.816 0.131 0.216 0.837 0.328 0.851 0.852 Days spent in hospital Age (y) Sex (male) Taken into care Colorectal Pancreas Breast HCC Prostate Hematological Unknown Others β Lower IC 95% Upper IC 95% p −0.23 1.18 −15.06 3.68 0.57 −2.71 3.12 1.22 7.50 2.36 3.52 −0.37 −2.31 −18.36 −2.08 −6.19 −10.75 −3.84 −6.54 1.19 −9.98 −0.93 −0.09 4.67 −11.75 9.44 7.33 5.34 10.09 8.97 13.80 14.70 7.97 0.001 0.507 0.000 0.210 0.868 0.509 0.379 0.758 0.020 0.707 0.120 Bold values indicate statistically significant association (p <0.05) between the variable and the outcome. PHCT: palliative home-care team; HCC: heaptocellular carcinoma; CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio. their families, with inadequate symptom control, a higher likelihood of receiving unwarranted medication and a worse quality of death.17,18 The lack of an end-of-life care pathway in hospital and the “aggressive” care of patients are also associated with a greater difficulty for caregivers to adjust, more bereavement problems, and a higher risk of caregivers developing psychiatric conditions.19 Our findings need to be confirmed, however, because— although our cohort of patients was very homogeneous (served by the same Local Health Unit, accessing the same primary care system, referring to the same medical oncology specialist and hospital), and all the patients were presumably eligible for palliative home care (they all died of cancer within 2 months)—our analyses compared patients who did or did not join the PHCT program without adjusting for their characteristics, for example, symptoms or socio-economic status. If such characteristics are associated with exposure (GPs recruitment of patients and patients’ consent to palliative home care) and outcome (hospitalization), then our results may be biased. In an effort to at least partially remedy this limitation, our analyses were adjusted by type of cancer to enable the analysis of the case mix. Downloaded from pmj.sagepub.com at SAGE Publications on May 12, 2014 409 Riolfi et al. Table 4. Regression analyses on terminally-ill patients given palliative home care. Dependent variables: death at home (logistic regression); days spent in hospital (linear regression); number of hospital stays (Poisson regression). Independent variables for three models were: symptoms (pain, dysphasia, asthenia, dyspnea, cognitive impairment, wheezing, delirium), sex, age, type of tumor (reference category: lung cancer), i.e. colorectal, pancreas, breast, HCC, stomach, prostate, hematological, genitourinary, and ‘others’, awareness of illness (reference: awareness of disease and of incurability), Karnofsky performance status, time on palliative care, and use of therapeutic sedation and use of strong opioids. The table only shows the variables found associated with the outcome with a p value below 0.10. Days spent in hospital β Lower CI 95% Upper CI 95% p Age Delirium Pain Time on palliative care Therapeutic sedation −0.20 8.25 4.10 0.09 −3.67 −0.35 4.29 0.48 0.04 −7.66 −0.52 12.21 7.73 0.14 0.33 0.009 < 0.001 0.027 0.001 0.072 β Lower CI 95% Upper CI 95% p −0.02 0.03 0.98 0.74 0.73 1.23 1.74 −0.05 0.01 0.25 0.14 −0.12 0.21 0.33 OR Lower CI 95% Number of admissions Age Karnofsky Dyspnea Pain Weakness HCC tumor Hematological tumor 0.00 0.06 1.72 1.34 1.57 2.25 3.15 0.053 0.016 0.009 0.016 0.093 0.018 0.016 Death at home Age None awareness of condition Weakness Dysphagia Wheezing Therapeutic sedation 1.04 0.36 0.34 0.31 2.43 2.74 1.00 0.13 0.11 0.12 0.97 1.00 Upper CI 95% 1.08 0.98 0.97 0.83 6.11 7.48 p 0.038 0.045 0.043 0.021 0.058 0.050 PHCT: palliative home-care team; HCC: heaptocellular carcinoma; CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio. Considering only the patients taken into care by the PHCT, we tried to identify clinical predictors of hospital admissions, the number of days spent in hospital, and death at home. Factors determining where patients die seem to be social as much as medical, but in the present study, we focused only on the medical issues. Gomes et al.4 reviewed the data from 58 studies involving more than 1.5 million patients in 13 countries, finding 17 factors capable of influencing the place of death. The factors most strongly associated with death at home were the social environment, the health services available, and, on weaker evidence, solid tumors. Patients with more than one illness and with non-solid tumors were more likely to die in hospital.4 Our findings are consistent with those in the Gomes report: hematological cancers were positively associated with more hospital admissions. Such patients might be more likely to be hospitalized for multiple therapies, even in the advanced stages of their disease; as their disease evolves, they also usually respond well to treatment, and when they reach the terminal phase, they may be unprepared and unwilling to accept the withdrawal of any further treatments, especially in the absence of a clear explanation for this and good communications with specialists. We also found certain symptoms associated with hospital admission rates, that can be very challenging for patients and/or caregivers, prompting requests for hospitalization. For instance, we found dyspnea associated with more frequent hospital admissions, and states of delirium correlated with more days spent in hospital. Dyspnea and delirium are multidimensional symptoms and can cause severe physical, social, emotional, and functional distress in patients and their caregivers. Toward the end of life, there is a tendency for dyspnea and delirium to become more prevalent and more severe.20–23 When an acute attack occurs, caregivers may call in the emergency services, often resulting in patients being admitted to hospital (particularly during the night and at weekends, when the palliative care specialist can only be consulted by phone). Our findings are consistent with those reported by the Home Care Italy Group in 2012, that is, that the most common reasons for calling an emergency medical service for patients with advanced cancer being cared for at home were dyspnea, delirium, pain and loss of consciousness.24 Downloaded from pmj.sagepub.com at SAGE Publications on May 12, 2014 410 Palliative Medicine 28(5) As for medication, we found that administering palliative sedation as part of end-of-life home care can increase the probability to dying home. Sedation is a medical intervention designed to control refractory symptoms in patients with terminal cancer and, in this setting, it is considered part of a continuum of palliative care.25 Adequate symptom control by means of its appropriate prescription and administration, honestly sharing the methods and purposes of this procedure with the patient’s relatives, makes palliative sedation a feasible treatment option in selected patients. Our findings show that palliative sedation (not hastening the end) would help to improve symptom control for patients cared for at home and willing or wishing to die there. Controlling a patient’s suffering in the last days of life also relieves relatives’ distress, and prompts fewer requests for hospitalization. Conclusion •• Although they need to be confirmed, our findings indicate that palliative home care enables more terminally ill consenting patients, who were recruited by their GPs, to spend their last days at home with relatives; PHCTs would permit for these patients to reduce the consumption of hospital resources for the terminally ill, enabling their more appropriate use. •• Evidence that some diseases (e.g. hematological cancers and HCC) are more likely to require patients’ hospitalization might suggest the need to reconsider the pathways of care for such conditions. •• Evidence that some symptoms of sudden onset, like dyspnea and delirium, are more predictive of hospitalization probably means that a strategy is needed to train out-of-hours physicians on the appropriate management of these symptoms. •• Finally, our findings support the use of sedation as a therapeutic tool in the care of the terminally ill at home to control patients’ symptoms and alleviate relatives’ distress. 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