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Downloaded from www.ashishlalaji.net Pinnacle Academy Chapter Tests [CT] Series April 2015 Batch 201-202, Florence Classic, Besides Unnati Vidhyalay, Jain Derasar Road, Ashapuri Society, Akota, Vadodara-20. ph: 98258 561 55 Solution of Test of Portfolio Management [SFM – CA Final] Conducted on 31st October 2015 [Solution is at the end with marking for self-assessment] Q1 (a) Interpret following statements: (i) Return from zero beta asset is 8 %. (ii) Return of an asset having beta of 1 is 15 %. (iii) Investor can borrow and lend at rate of 6 %. (iv) Beta is 1.25 (b) (4 Marks) Answer the following: i. For A Ltd. expected return is 16 %. Its beta is 0.8. Market return is 18% and risk-free return is 5%. Is the share worth purchasing? ii. For B Ltd. beta is 1.75 and it is priced in such a manner that it offers return of 12.75%. Market risk premium is 7% and risk free return is 4%. It is known that slope of SML is 5. Is B Ltd. correctly priced? iii. For C Ltd. expected return is 25%. Market portfolio offers return of 15%. An investor requires return of 22%. What proportion of funds should be invested in C Ltd. and market portfolio to achieve target return? iv. D Ltd. and E Ltd. have risk (standard deviation) of 12% and 20% respectively. The correlation coefficient between the two securities is 0.3. What proportion of funds should be invested in D Ltd. and E Ltd. to ensure that portfolio risk is minimum? (1 + 1 + 2 + 4 = 8 Marks) 1 Downloaded from www.ashishlalaji.net (c) Following details are available for F Ltd. and market portfolio: Scenario pi Return F Ltd. Market I II III IV V 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 % 60 % 25 % 15 % 50 % 15 % 25 % Determine the following: i. ii. iii. iv. v. Risk of F Ltd. and of Market Coefficient of Variation of F Ltd. Covariance between returns of F Ltd. and Market Correlation coefficient between returns of F Ltd. and Market Ex-ante beta of F Ltd. (10 Marks) Q2 A presentation is required to be made to select foreign pension fund and hedge fund managers on equity rebalancing strategies. Constant Mix strategy is to be followed. Initial information is as under: Portfolio Value: Desired Equity Allocation: Desired Bond Allocation: $ 50 million 60% 40% Consider following cases independent of each other: i. ii. iii. iv. Equity stocks increase in value by 10% Equity stocks decrease in value by 10% Equity stocks increase in value by 100% Equity stocks decrease in value by 50% Demonstrate for each of the above scenarios the rebalancing between equity and bonds to maintain the constant mix. (8 Marks) 2 Downloaded from www.ashishlalaji.net Solution of Test of Portfolio Management Conducted on 31st October 2015 Q1 (a) (i) Risk free rate of return is 8 %. (ii) Market return is 15 %. (iii) Risk free rate of return is 6 %. (iv) There shall be 1.25 % change in required return of security with every 1 % change in market return in the direction of change in market return. Moreover, the security is aggressive. (1 Mark each i.e. 4 Marks in total) (b) i. CAPM required return = 5 + 0.8 [18 – 5] = 15.4 %. For A Ltd. expected return is 16%. Thus, the given share is under-priced and worth purchasing. (1 Mark) ii. For B Ltd., CAPM required return = 4 + 1.75 [7] = 16.25 %. Now, slope of SML for B Ltd. is: 16.25 – 4 / 1.75 = 7. But actual slope of SML is 5. Since, slope for B Ltd. is different from that given, B Ltd. is not correctly priced. (1 Mark) iii. Portfolio Return = rc wc + rMP wMP i.e. 22 = 25 wc + 15 (1 – wc) i.e. 22 = 25wc + 15 – 15 wc i.e. 22 – 15 = 10 wc i.e. wc = 7/10 = 0.7 wMP = 1 – 0.7 = 0.3 Thus, one should invest 70% in C Ltd. and 30% in market portfolio to obtain desired return of 22%. (2 Marks) iv. rDE = Cov (D,E) / σD σE i.e. Cov (D,E) = rDE σD σE i.e. Cov (D,E) = 12 (20) (0.3) = 72 W D = (20)2 – 72 / (12)2 + (20)2 – 2 (72) = 328 / 400 = 0.82 i.e. 82% W E = 1 – 0.82 = 0.18 i.e. 18% Thus, one should invest 82% in D Ltd. and 18% in E Ltd. to ensure that portfolio risk is minimum. (4 Marks) (c) Statistical Table: F Ltd. Market pi 20 30 40 50 60 25 15 50 15 25 0.1 -20 -6 12 40 3.60 0.2 -10 -16 32 20 51.20 0.4 0 19 0 0 144.40 0.2 10 -16 -32 20 51.20 0.1 20 -6 -12 40 3.60 0 120 254.00 40 40 40 40 40 31 31 31 31 31 (5 Marks) 3 Downloaded from www.ashishlalaji.net i. ii. iii. iv. v. σF = under-root of 120 = 10.95 %; σM = under-root of 254 = 15.94 % Coefficient of Variation of F Ltd. = 10.95 / 40 = 0.2738 Cov (F, M) = 0 [from table] rFM = Cov (F, M) / σF σM = 0 / (10.95) (15.94) = 0 Ex-ante beta of F Ltd. = 0 / 254 = 0 (5 Marks) Q2 Rebalancing shall be as under – (figures in millions) Sr. No. Initial Allocation Change in value Rebalancing Before Action After (i) Equity 30 Bonds 20 50 + 10% 33 31.80 Sell 20 21.20 53 53.00 Equity of $ 1.2 (iI) Equity 30 Bonds 20 50 - 10% 27 20 47 (iii) Equity 30 Bonds 20 50 + 100% 60 20 80 48 Sell 32 80 (iv) Equity 30 Bonds 20 50 - 50% 15 20 35 21 Buy Equity of $ 6 14 35 28.2 Buy Equity of $ 1.2 18.8 47.0 Equity of $ 12 (2 Marks each i.e. 8 Marks in total) CA. Ashish Lalaji Solution is available on www.ashishlalaji.net Solution prepared by Common Mistakes Observed: Question 1: (a) In (ii) market return is 15% was not interpreted. Instead interpretation for beta was provided. (b) (i) Expected return of 16% was interpreted as required return due to which the security turned out to be overpriced. It is CAPM return, which is required return. (ii) Slope of SML of B should be determined and compared with slope of SML provided. Instead, the given slope was used to determine required return of B leading to wrong conclusion. (iv) Formula for optimal portfolio of two securities was not used 4 Downloaded from www.ashishlalaji.net (c) Coefficient of variation (CV) was not calculated. It is SD / Return. Few of the students mixed up CV with Co-variance. Question 2: Each case was independent. A few of the students did cumulative calculations and hence lost marks. Solution prepared by CA. Ashish Lalaji 5