Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Grant MacEwan University Introduction to Statistics Stat 141 ( 140/101) Winter 2011 Instructor: Office: Phone: E-mail: Web Page(s): Office Hours: Lecture Time: Sunil Barran(M.Sc) CCC 5-173B 780-497-5212 [email protected] http://bb. macewan.ca & http://academic.macewan.ca/barrans/ Lecture Room: Course Hours: CCC 7-286 Lecture 45 T: 11-1; R: 11-12 & M: 9-10 in the Math Help Center 5-234; TR: 9:30-11:00 Lab 0 Seminar 0 Course Description: The course introduces students to the theory and application of statistics. Topics include: data description; probability theory; discrete and continuous random variables and their distributions; sampling distributions; elementary inference for population means and proportions; Goodness-of-Fit Test; Chi-Squared test for contingency tables; regression and correlation analysis; and analysis of variance. Note: Credit can only be obtained in one 100-level STAT course or SOCI 210 or PSYC 211. Course Objectives: The course provides an introduction to elementary concepts and techniques from Statistics which have applications to Science, Engineering, Business, and Social Sciences. Students will become familiar with basic data analysis and learn how to draw inferences from sample data. Course Prerequisite: Pure Math 30 or pass the Stat 141 advisory exam. Course Co-requisite: None Required Learning Materials: Text book: The Basic Practice of Statistics (5th edition) by David S. Moore, published by Freeman Other Learning Resources: Non-programmable scientific calculator Homework Assignments: All problems referred to are from the textbook. Your work should be neat and easy to read. Graders may deduct marks for work that is messy and difficult to follow. Staple the pages together. The completed homework assignment must be dropped off in the box labelled “Sunil Barran” near room 5-168 before 4 p.m. on the due date. Late assignments are not accepted. Make sure to write your name, Student ID, and lecture section on the front page of your assignment. Marked assignments will be returned in class. Solutions will be posted on Blackboard on the posting date. Logging in to Blackboard for Students In the address bar of your Web browser, type http://myMacEwan.ca and press Enter. 1 Login to myMacEwan.ca with your MacEwan network user ID and password. Click on “Distance and Online Learning” tab Note: Your initial password has been determined for you and is printed on your course registration sheet. Most often the id’s are assigned as Last name and first initial. With the first letter of your last name and first initial being capitalized. For example: First Name: Jack User Id: HenryJ If you do not know your MacEwan Last Name: Henry Password: 1234567 Network ID or password please Student Number: 1234567 contact the CNS HelpDesk at 4974357, or visit them in person in room 7-306. Assignment Number Problems 1 7.1, 1.4,1.6,1.8,1.32, 2.6 (for c use also the 1.5xIQR rule), 2.10 (a)-(b), 2.12, 2.29 4.4, 4.6, 4.10 (a)-(b) (for b you can also use the computing formula), 4.38, 5.30, 5.32, 7.24 10.6, 10.32, 10.36, 10.44, 10.46, 10.50, 12.4, 12.12, 12.40, 12.42, 16.24, 16.64 3.10, 3.29, 3.32, 7.15, 7.16, 7.17, 7.18, 8.4, 8.36, 8.46, 9.31, 9.48 11.8, 11.12, 11.32, 11.34, 11.38, 14.4,14.54, 16.20 2 3 4 5 6 Due Date 9 14.56, 15.6, 15.30, 16.14, 16.18, 16.48, 16.50, 17.28 17.8, 17.38, 17.42, 18.42, 21.6,21.20, 21.26, 21.41 19.8,19.34,19.38, 19.42, 20.4, 20.26, 20.28, 20.34 22.16, 22.31, 22.38, 22.40, 24.14, 24.26, 24.30 10 23.4, 23.10, 23.12 7 8 Solutions Posting date Friday Jan. Monday Jan. 21 24 Friday Jan. Monday 28 Jan. 31 Friday Monday Feb. Feb. 4 7 Friday Monday Feb. Feb. 18 21 Friday Monday March 4 March 7 Friday Monday March 11 March 14 Friday Monday March 25 March 28 Friday Monday April 1 April 4 Friday Tuesday April 8 April 12 Monday Wednesday April 11 April 13 Grade Evaluation: Term Examination(1) Term Examination(2) Final Examination Assignments 25% 25% 35% 15% 100% Examination Dates: Term examination 1: Thursday February 10, 2011 (in class) Term examination 2: Thursday March 17, 2011 (in class) Final Examination: Thursday April 21, 2011. ( Location to be announced) 2 (Note: Students are responsible for verifying the date of the final examination when the final examination schedule is posted later in the term.) Format of Examinations: All exams are closed book. The final exam is cumulative with more emphasis on post midterm exam materials. It might include short answers as well as multiple choice type problems. Format of Examinations: Final Grade: written A + A AB+ B BC+ C CD+ D F 95-100 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 0-44 Please Note: 1. Official final grades can be accessed through Web Advisor. Grant MacEwan University adheres to the Alberta Common Grading Scheme, which is a letter grade system. While instructors may use percentages to aid in their grade development, only the letter grade will appear on transcripts. 2. A minimum grade of C- is required to receive transfer credit or to satisfy a prerequisite for a higher level course. 3. In order to obtain a C- or better in the course, a student must obtain a minimum of 40% on the final examination. Student Responsibilities: Students are expected to be aware of their academic responsibilities as outlined in the Students’ Rights and Responsibilities section in the University Calendar. 1. ACADEMIC INTEGRITY: All forms of student dishonesty are considered unacceptable. MacEwan’s Academic Integrity policy (C1000) promotes honesty, fairness, respect, trust, and responsibility in all academic work. According to the policy, “Academic dishonesty involves participating in acts by which a person fraudulently gains or intentionally attempts to gain an unfair academic advantage thereby compromising the integrity of the academic process”. All incidents of academic dishonesty are reported and recorded by the Office of Academic Integrity. The penalties and sanctions for academic dishonesty can include the following: a mark reduction up to zero on a piece of academic work, a grade reduction up to an F in the course, and suspension or expulsion (with transcript 3 notation) from the University. Please see the academic policy at http://www.macewan.ca/web/services/ims/client/upload/C1000%20Aca demic%20Integrity.pdf for more details. You are responsible for understanding what constitutes academic dishonesty. 2. REGISTRATION STATUS: You are responsible for your registration status at the University. Program Advisors may assist you with the process of registration, including adding or dropping of courses, but it is your responsibility to verify that these changes have been officially completed. This verification can be done at any time using Web Advisor. You should check your official registration status before the last date to officially withdraw from the course. 3. WITHDRAWING FROM THE COURSE: If you stop attending class you must complete a Course Drop Form, have it signed by a Science Advisor, and submit it to the Registrar’s Office by the last day to withdraw as provided in the Academic Schedule in the University Calendar. Failure to officially withdraw will result in a grade being assigned based on course work completed. Late withdrawals are only allowed for exceptional circumstances. 4. ATTENDANCE AND PUNCTUALITY: Attend each lecture and lab. Take notes even you don’t understand fully. Please read the assigned materials before the lecture. Students are responsible for the materials covered in the class. 5. EXAMINATIONS: Your student photo I.D. is required at examinations. It is at the discretion of the instructor whether you will be allowed to write the examination if you arrive over 15 minutes after the examination has begun. You must remain in the examination room for at least 20 minutes from the time it commenced. Electronic equipment (iPods, cell phones, etc.), other than calculators that have been approved by the instructor, is not allowed to be used during examinations. Permission to use the washroom during examinations is at the discretion of the instructor and may require accompaniment. 6. MISSED TERM EXAMINATIONS: If you miss a term examination you must provide the instructor with an explanation within 24 hours or a mark of zero may be given. Notification may be provided through e-mail, voice mail, or direct contact with the instructor. Official documentation as to why the examination was missed will be needed to assess whether your absence will be excused or not. If your absence is excused the weight of this examination will be added to the weight of the final examination in the course. Medical excuses must include the date you were examined, the specific dates for the period of the illness, a clear statement indicating that the severity of the illness prevented you from attending school or work, and the signature of the examining physician (a signature by office staff on behalf of the physician is not acceptable). Medical notes obtained subsequent to the date of the examination are generally not accepted. A mark of zero will be given if the instructor considers the excuse inappropriate or inadequately substantiated. 7. DEFERRED FINAL EXAMINATIONS: A deferred examination will be granted if a student misses the final lecture examination for reasons considered by the Science Department to be unavoidable (deferred examinations do not apply to term or laboratory examinations). An application for a deferred examination must be provided to the Science Department no later than two business days after the date of the missed final examination. Application forms 4 are available from the Science Office and must be submitted with appropriate documentation. Students should advise the instructor prior to the examination if they know beforehand that they will be unable to attend the scheduled examination time. Deferred examinations are granted by a Chair in the Science Department, not by the course instructor. If you have any questions about the process please call the Science office at 780 497 5786. 8. LATE ASSIGNMENTS: Medical and other excuses are generally not accepted as a reason for late assignments as due dates for these assignments are generally known in advance. 9. CELL PHONES: Cell phones are to be turned off during lectures, laboratories, seminars, and examinations (except under exceptional circumstances in which approval has been given by the instructor). 10. STUDENTS WITH DISABILITIES: Students with disabilities who may have special requirements in this course are advised to discuss their needs with Services to Students with Disabilities located in the Student Resource Centre. You should advise the course instructor(s) of any special needs that are identified. See Policy E3400 Students with Disabilities. 11. STUDENT APPEALS: The University has a policy regarding Student Appeals (E3103). You should access this policy to become aware of the deadlines and guidelines that need to be followed if you are appealing a grade or other University assessment. 12. MYMAIL.MACEWAN EMAIL: All students are given a <name>@mymail.macewan.ca e-mail address. This e-mail address is available to the course instructor who may distribute relevant course information or announcements via e-mail. The Bachelor of Science Program regularly communicates with the students via e-mail. Check your mymail.macewan.ca email regularly or forward it to an e-mail address you check regularly. If you use email to communicate with your instructor you must use your mymail account. This is to protect your privacy; if a non-mymail account is used, there is no way for an instructor to verify the identity of the sender. 13. Calculators: Students can use a non-programmable scientific calculator for their homework and examinations. 14. Disclaimer: The information in this Course Outline is subject to change; any changes will be announced and distributed to the class or, if applicable, in the laboratory Lecture Topics: Week 1. Jan 5-7 No classes on Jan 3,4 2. Jan. 10-14 Tentative Lecture Schedule for Stat 141 Sections Chapter 1 Chapter 1(cont'd) 5 Description Picturing Distributions with Graphs Individuals and variables, Categorical variables: Pie charts and bar graphs, Quantitative variables: histograms Interpreting histograms, Quantitative variables: stemplots Chapter 2 3. Jan. 17-21 4. Jan. 24- 28 5. Jan 31-Feb 4 6. Feb. 7–11 7. Feb. 14-18 No classes on Feb 21-25 (reading week) 8. Feb. 28-March 4 6 Describing Distributions with Numbers Measuring centre: mean, median, Comparing mean and median, Measuring spread: the quartiles, Fivenumber summary and boxplots Measuring spread: standard deviation, Choosing measures of center and spread Chapter 4 Scatterplots and Correlation Explanatory and response variable, scatterplots, Interpreting scatterplots, Adding categorical variables to scatterplot, Measuring linear association: correlation Chapter 5 Regression Regression lines, the least-squares regression line, Facts about least-squares regression, Caution about regression and correlation Homework Assignment 1 due Chapter 10 (until Introducing Probability/General Rules of page 271) Probability The idea of probability, Probability models, Probability rules Chapter 12 Independence and multiplication rule, General addition rule, Conditional probability, General multiplication rule, Independence again Chapter 10 (from Discrete and Continuous probability models, page 271) Random variables Homework Assignment 2 due Chapter 3 Normal distributions: Density curves, Normal distributions The 68-95-99.7 rule, The standard Normal distribution, Finding Normal proportions, Using the table. Finding a value given a proportion Homework Assignment 3 due Chapter 13 (optional) Binomial distributions Chapter 8 Producing Data: Sampling Chapter 9 Population versus sample, Simple random samples, Inference about the population, Other sampling designs, Producing Data: Experiments Observation versus experiment, Subjects, factors, treatments, Randomized experiments Midterm 1, Thursday February 10 (chapters 1,2,4,5,10,12) Chapter 11 Sampling Distributions Parameters and statistics, Law of large numbers, Sampling distributions The sampling distribution of the sample mean, Central Limit Th. Chapter 14 (until Introduction to Inference: Confidence intervals page 366) Homework Assignment 4 due Chapter 14 Introduction to Inference: Tests of significance Chaper 15 Thinking about Inference : Conditions for inference in practice, How confidence intervals behave, How significance tests behave, Sample size Chapter 17 9. March 7-11 Chapter 17 Chapter 18 10. March 14-18 Friday, 18 last day to withdraw without academic penalty Chapter 19 11. March 21-25 Chapter 20 Chapter 22 12. March 28-April 1 Chapter 22 Chapter 24 13. April 4 -8 Chapter 23 14. April 11 Review 7 for confidence intervals, Type I and Type II errors Inference about a Population Mean Conditions for inference about a mean, The t distributions, The one-sample t confidence interval Homework Assignment 5 due Inference about a Population Mean The one-sample t test, Matched pairs t procedures, Two-sample Problems, Comparing two population means, Two-sample t procedures Homework Assignment 6 due Inference about a population proportion, Inference about a sample proportion, Large-sample and accurate confidence intervals, Choosing the sample size, Significance test for a proportion, Midterm 2 Thursday March 17 (chapters 3, 8,9,11,14,15) Comparing Two Population Proportions The sampling distribution, Large-sample and accurate confidence interval, Significance test for comparing two proportions Two categorical variables Two-way tables, Multiple comparison, Expected counts, The chi-square test statistic, Cell counts required Homework Assignment 7 due Two categorical variables Uses of the chi-square test, The chi-square distribution, Goodness of Fit Test One-way Analysis of Variance : Comparing several means Comparing several means, The analysis of variance F test, The idea of analysis of variance, Conditions for ANOVA, F distribution and degrees of freedom Homework Assignment 8 due Inference for Regression Conditions for regression inference, Estimating the parameters, Testing the hypothesis of no linear relationship, CI for the slope, Inference about prediction, Checking conditions for inference Homework Assignment 9 due Catch-up and review, Final Examination period begins on April 12th Homework Assignment 10 due