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JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 89, NO. B8, PAGES 6980-6994, AUGUST 10, 1984 Recent Movements of the Juan de Fuca Plate System ROBIN RIDDIHOUGH! Earth PhysicsBranch,Pacific GeoscienceCentre, Departmentof Energy, Mines and Resources Sidney,British Columbia Analysis of the magnetic anomaliesof the Juan de Fuca plate systemallows instantaneouspoles of rotation relative to the Pacific plate to be calculatedfrom 7 Ma to the present.By combiningthesewith global solutions for Pacific/America and "absolute" (relative to hot spot) motions, a plate motion sequencecan be constructed.This sequenceshowsthat both absolutemotions and motions relative to America are characterizedby slower velocitieswhere younger and more buoyant material enters the convergencezone: "pivoting subduction."The resistanceprovided by the youngestportion of the Juan de Fuca plate apparently resulted in its detachmentat 4 Ma as the independentExplorer plate. In relation to the hot spot framework, this plate almost immediately began to rotate clockwisearound a pole close to itself such that its translational movement into the mantle virtually ceased.After 4 Ma the remainder of the Juan de Fuca plate adjustedits motion in responseto the fact that the youngest material entering the subductionzone was now to the south. Differencesin seismicityand recent uplift betweennorthern and southernVancouver Island may reflect a distinction in tectonicstyle betweenthe "normal" subductionof the Juan de Fuca plate to the south and a complex "underplating"occurringas the Explorer plate is overriddenby the continent.The history of the Explorer plate may exemplifythe conditionsunder which the self-drivingforcesof smallsubductingplatesare overcomeby the influenceof larger, adjacentplates. The recent rapid migration of the absolutepole of rotation of the Juan de Fuca plate toward the plate suggests that it, too, may be nearingthis condition. INTRODUCTION plexity of movementsnear the two triple junctions at the The Juan de Fuca plate is one of the last continuing remnants of the Farallon plate, which convergedwith the western margin of North America over the last 150 million years.The collisionof the Pacific-Farallonridge with the American plate between25 and 30 Ma led to the independenceof the Juan de Fuca plate at about 20 Ma. (Ma is usedhere to denoteage in million years beforepresent.)Sincethat time its area has progressivelydiminishedas the bounding,southerntriple junction has migrated northward (for a recent review, see Riddihough [1982b]). A seriesof detailed magnetic anomaly maps [Raft and Mason, 1961; Potter et al., 1974; Curtie et al., 1982] provide a uniquely comprehensivedata basewith which to study the seafloorspreadingand plate motions of the Juan de Fuca plate region since 10 Ma. In general,the ridge and spreading changesare characterizedby reduction in spreadingrate and clockwiseridge and plate rotation [Riddihough,1977, 1980; Carlson, 1981a]. The principal period of change appears to north and south endsof the Juan de Fuca plate system(Figure 1) [e.g.,DavisandRiddihough, 1982;Silver,1971;Carlsonand Stoddard,1981] is certainlyindicativethat in the extremecase, platemotionsrespondin a complexinteractivemanner. However, as emphasizedby Hyndrnan[1972] and recently discussedin more detail by Dewey [1980], Uyeda and Kanamori [1979], and Molnar and Atwater [1978], many aspectsof plate motion can only be examinedthrough their motions relative to the underlying asthenosphere.In a subduction zone,platesmovedowninto the mantleso that at leastpart of the driving or resistingbuoyancyforce is a function of the speedof the plate relativeto the asthenosphere. A full examination of local plate interactionsmust thereforeinvolvedocumentation of "absolute" as well as "relative" motions. POLES OF RELATIVE MOTION OF THE JUAN DE FUCA SYSTEM Assessments of the geometryof presentand recentconvergence between the Juande Fuca plateand the Americaplate The pattern of ridge segmentationand rotation observedin the magnetic anomalieswas first suggestedby Menard and [e.g.,McKenzieand Parker, 1967;Atwater,1970;Silver,1971; Atwater [1968] as beinga responseto interaction betweenthe Riddihough,1977] have usuallybeen basedon completinga oceanic plates and the continental (America) plate. Certainly, planevectortrianglebetweenJuande Fuca/Pacificspreading assumedas parallel to the Blanco fracture zone and Pacithe proximity of the Juan de Fuca plate convergencezone to the ridge (Figure 1) makessomeform of interactionextremely fic/Americamotion derivedfrom global solutionsor the San have occurred between 6 and 3 Ma. likely. Examinations of the forcesdriving plate motions [e.g., Forsyth and Uyeda, 1975; Solomonet al., 1975] concludethat the buoyancyof the subductedslab and the resistanceto subduction at the convergencezone are important componentsof the forcescontrolling plate movement.The probable effecton small plates closeto triple junctions was detailed by Menard [1978] in the idea of "pivoting subduction."The local com- Andreas-Gulf of California system.To the extent that the NE Pacificregionis small,this approachgivessolutionswhichare essentiallycorrect but which mask any geographicalvariations in interaction rates. Attemptsto establishpolesof relativerotation betweenthe Farallon (later Juan de Fuca) and Pacificplatesusingspreading rate variationsand fracturezoneorientationsfor periods before25 Ma [Franchetauet al., 1970; Handschurnacher, 1976] • Now at Collegeof Oceanography, OregonStateUniversity,Corvallis. Copyright 1984 by the AmericanGeophysicalUnion. Paper number 4B0686. 0148-0227/84/004B-0686505.00 6980 showedthat suchpoleslay in the BeringSea-CanadaBasin region.One of the first attemptsto determinea contemporary poleof motionfor the Juande Fucaplatewasthat of Morgan [1972], whichwasinterpretedby Carlson[1976] as indicating a pole of relativeJuan de Fuca/Pacificmotion to the southwest of the plate near 30øN, 140øW. By contrast, Carlson RIDDIHOUGH' MOVEMENTS OF THE JUAN DE FUCA PLATE 6981 QUEEN ½ / Dellwood Smt, Scott Smts Explorer Explorer Plate Sovanco F.Z. tka Fault Cobb • \ Sea-• mounts % Juan • Fuca de Plate. - I I I I I I I N I Gorda South Plate Mendocino PACIFIC - PLATE San Francisco Fig. 1. Locationmap of the Juande Fuca platesystem. and Blanco fracture zone orientation [Riddihough, 1980] and numerical inversion via magnetic anomaly superposition[Nishimuraand Hey, 1980; Nishimura et al., 1981] have located 119øW. the present Juan de Fuca/Pacific pole near 15øS, 150øW, to Independentdeterminationsusingspreadingrate variations the southwestof the plate. Hey and Wilson [1982] have more [1976] usedfour earthquakefault plane solutions(two on the Blanco fracture zone and two on the Medocino fracture zone) to determine a pole to the northeast of the plate at 57øN, 6982 RIDDIHOUGH' MOVEMENTS OF THE JUAN DE FUCA PLATE recently calculated a sequenceof pole positions to form the basisfor their study of propagating rifts (seealso Nishimuraet al., [1984]). This is further discussedbelow. epochpole of Juan de Fuca/Pacificplate motion could be simple manner (with orthogonal and symmetric spreading), then spreadingrates along a ridge systemwould decreasesystematically toward the pole of rotation, fracture zones would always occur along small circlescenteredon the pole of rotation, and ridge segmentsand linear magneticanomalieswould alwaysfollow great circlespassingthrough the pole. Further, the senseand differencesin azimuth of equivalent anomalies on either side of a ridge system(fanning) would indicate the direction and amount of cumulative angular rotation between the two platesinvolved(Figure 2, left). In practice,divergences from such ideal behavior are widespread. Nevertheless, the geometrical concepts have formed the foundation of many plate tectonic analysesand often offer the only route to the determination of individual plate motions. Over the Juan de Fuca system,accuratecontouredmaps of magneticanomalies with predominantly north-south orientation in a high magnetic latitude provide an opportunity to attempt to use such conceptsin detail. Although transformfracture zonescommonly representone of the most important constraintsin determining plate motions, the Sovancoand Blanco fracture zones(F.Z.) (Figure 1) presenta number of problems.The SovancoF.Z. is not clearly definedby bathymetry,magneticanomalies,or seismicity[e.g., Milne et al., 1978]. The Blanco F.Z. may have had an extremely complex history [Hey and Wilson, 1982] and apparently contains a number of different segmentsof varying orientation including "pull-apart" basins(R. W. Embley, personal communication, 1984). For the purposesof examining the recenthistory of the Juan de Fuca system,neither fracture zone providesa clear record of past spreadingdirections. For this study, all data were determined from magnetic anomaly orientation and spacing.Anomaly ageswere assigned usingthe work by Ness et al. [1980], and individual anomalies or sequencesdisturbed by transforms or known "pseudofaults" were discounted.Anomalies were grouped into epochs of 1 million years duration, and measurementswere made as in Figure 2 (right). For Juan de Fuca relative to Pacific (JDF/PAC) plate spreading,it was assumedthat the great circle containing the limit on mean azimuth within all epochs except 4.5 Ma determined from the azimuths of anomalies on the Pacific plate.(Thoseon the Juande Fuca platewill havebeencumulativelyrotated.)This methodassumes orthogonalspreading; Method: Magnetic Anomaly Analysis however,any randomdeviationsfrom this conditionshould by sampling.In practice,the 95% confidence If plate tectonicswere always to occur in a geometrically be compensated Spreading i! rate decrease (-t-3.1ø)was -t-2øor less.Nevertheless, an arbitraryconfidence limit of _+5ø was assignedto this determination.Clearly,this methoddoesnot allow for systematicobliquespreadingalong the wholeridgefor periodsof 1 million yearsor greater. Spreadingratesweremeasuredperpendicular to anomalies as in Figure 2 (right) and projectedonto the Pacific plate anomaliesrepresenting the epochgreatcircle(ridge)in swaths of approximately1ø of colatitude.An exampleof the results for epoch3.5 Ma is shownin Figure 3. Plate tectonicgeometry requiresthat ideallythesespreadingrateswill conformto a sine function of colatitude.A simple test showsthat for all pointson sucha curvethe linearslopeovera distanceof less than 7ø will differ from the slope of the sine function at the meancenterpoint by lessthan 0.5%. For the presentanalysis, therefore,the slopewasdeterminedby linear regression, 95% confidencelimits beingassignedby the standardmethodsfor small samples.With the slopeand spreadingrate at the mean point (with confidence limits)known,the colatitudeand rotation rate of the pole can be uniquelydetermined.From this and from the greatcirclethe polecan be calculated. Instantaneousepochpolesdeterminedin this manner,relative to the Pacificplate,are shownin Figure4. The resulting "sector-shaped" 95% confidencelimits are a consequence of the independentdeterminationof colatitudeand azimuth. Juan de Fuca/PacificPoles Figure 5 comparesthe instantaneous polesderivedin this paperwith thoseof Hey and Wilson[1982] calculated from the finite rotationsnecessary to rotate isochronson the Juan de Fuca plateonto the corresponding isochronson the Pacific plate.Considering the uncertainties in the techniques, the resultscomparequite closely.One significantdepartureis in timing. Hey and Wilson [1982] considerthat there was a "drastic shift" in Juan de Fuca/Pacific motion betweenthe times of anomalies3a and 3 (around 5 Ma). In fact, detailed studiesof anomaly azimuths [Riddihough,1977, Figure 3; Carlson, 1981a, Figure 5] show that while there may be a slightincreasein the rate of clockwiseanomalyrotationat 5 Strike difference gives to pole angular W angular rotation r rotation z' A B ,, i I t to pole • , topole x+x'>¾+¾'>z+z' towards pole ( B relative to A ) Fig. 2. Pole determination parametersfrom magnetic anomalies used in this study. (Left) Theoretical geometry of spreading.(Right) Applicationto observedmagneticanomalies. RIDDIHOUGH.' MOVEMENTS OF THE JUAN DE FUCA PLATE '--.]. 6983 [1982] reconstructions assumethat spreadingremainsoblique aftera polechange(anomaliesare thuscreatedparallelto the old ridge)until a propagatorpassesthroughand reorientsthe ridge system.A difficultywith this is that, as noted earlier, anomaly azimuthsof the same age along the Juan de Fuca ridge are remarkablyconsistent.Further, the most striking contemporaryridgepropagationin the region(the Cobb propagator)separates ridgesectionswhichdifferin orientationby Epoch 3.5Ma 60- no more than 1ø or 2 ø. 5o,1 i Studiesof detailedridge structure[e.g., Macdonald,1982] i i COl' ATITU'DE ø i i Fig. 3. Spreadingratesalong the Juan de Fuca ridgeat 3.5 Ma. Colatitudeis measuredin degrees(111 km) along strike of magnetic anomalieson the Pacific plate; error bars are 95% confidenceintervals on rates and the mean (open circle and bar); dashedlines are 95ø/,,confidencelimits on the slope. Ma, the major change is between 3 and 4 Ma (Figure 6). At this time, most "fanning"ceases.Nishirnuraet al. [1984] considered that the major change occurred between 2.4 and 5.4 Ma with the instantaneouspole remaining in its presentposition since 2.4 Ma. The key to the timing discrepancymay lie in the argument that when plate motions change,it may take a finite amount of time for the centralrift creatingthe magneticanomaliesto adjustto the new directionof spreading.Hey and Wilson's o• / indicate that the "crustal accretion" and "neovolcanic" zone wherespreadingactuallyoccursmay be lessthan 2 km wide, althoughoff-axisvolcanismdoesexistand the activefaulting zonemay existto +__ 10 km of the axis.The speedwith whicha ridge can changeorientation without propagationand the extent to which preexistingstructure constrainschangesare unclear.The fact that propagatorsbreak into old crust in an apparentlycontinuousmanner [Hey and Wilson,1982] suggeststhat the constraintsmay not be strong.For the present studies,therefore, it is assumedthat anomaly orientations averagedover 1-million-yeartime periodsare perpendicular to plate motionsduringthe sameperiodand not thoseof a significantlyearlier time. Significantfeaturesof the pole positonsin Figure 4 are the eastwarddrift up to 4.5 Ma and then the rapid increasein distanceaway from the plate. This movementresultsin the o 25-11.5 ß JDF/AM 0 JDF/HS ß JDF/PAC • Hey & Wilson (1982) ß Nishimura et al. (1981) /x Nishimura et al. (1984) Fig. 5. Mean instantaneous Juan de Fuca/Pacific(JDF/PAC), Juan de Fuca/America(JDF/AM), and Juan de Fuca/hot spot Fig. 4. Juande Fuca/Pacific polesdetermined from this study. (JDF/HS) polesderivedin this paper.Numbersare epochdatesin together Numbersare epochdatesin millionyearsbeforepresent(Ma). The Ma. Polesderivedby otherauthorsare shownfor reference, Pacificpolesfrom Minster and Jordan[1978]. 95% confidence limits are keyedto eachpole positionby symbols. with contemporary For derivation, see text. Coastline is as at present. 6984 R•VV•HOUGH:MOVEMENTS OF THEJUANDE FUCA PLATE .øi EXPLORER 20 ø - 10 ø - ß ' ' ' ' 20ø'JUAN DE 10 I/•"•o--• ß• uc^,. ooo o•_.o/• 0ø1 ' ' o. I ' ' I 30 øO o 20 ø _ 10 ø- ß o oo GORDA R. (N)•dl mated that it came into existencearound 7 Ma (seealso Riddihough[1977]). However, determination of the pole of rotation sequencepresented here shows that this may not be geometrically necessaryand that the 3-4 Ma initiation is to be preferred. A sequenceof mean Explorer/Pacific (EX/PAC) poles from 3.5 Ma to the present is shown in Figure 7 and listed in Table 1. These were calculated using spreadingrates and anomaly azimuths for the Explorer ridge [Riddihough,1977] combined with the average Explorer/Pacific rotation rate determined from the fanning shown in Figure 6. As there is insufficient Explorer ridge length to observethe decreaseof spreadingrate toward the pole, the latter providesthe necessarythird parameter to determine the pole. This processintroduces a number of errors, not the least being the assumption of a constant rotation rate. Figure 8 shows the EX/PAC pole error space for epoch 0.5 Ma estimated using + 5ø great circle error and 95% confidencelimits on the rotation rate from the fanningregression. Gorda/Pacific Poles Riddihough [1980] confirmed that the South Gorda ridge beganto spread at a significantlydifferent rate from the North Gorda ridge betweeen2 and 3 Ma. Spreadingon the North lO 5 o Gorda ridge can be fitted to the same pole of rotation as the MaBP ß ANOMALIES ON PACIFIC PLATE remainder of the Juan de Fuca plate up to the present. The o ANOMALIES ON EXPLORER, JUAN DE FUCA South Gorda ridge must thereforehave had a separatepole of AND GORDA PLATES rotation relative to the Pacific plate sinceat least 3 Ma. RiddiFig. 6. Magnetic anomaly azimuthsplotted againstage for three hough [1980] showed that significant anomaly fanning besectionsof the Juan de Fuca ridge system.Open circlesare azimuths tween Gorda South and the Pacific plate stoppedat about 1 on the platesto the east of the ridge; solid circlesare from the Pacific Ma. Thus the pole must have becomemuch more distant for plate. epoch0.5 Ma. The question of whether or not the anomaly distortion of the Gorda plate is produced by fanning or someform of internearestemergentpole of the rotation axis being to the south nal deformation is being actively debated [e.g., Silver, 1971; rather than the north of the plate sinceapproximately2 Ma. Riddihough,1980; Carlson and Stoddard, 1981]. At this stage, Confidencelimits for the epoch-3.5-Ma pole put the closest the poles of Figure 7 and Table 1 (calculatedas for the Expole as definitely to the north; limits for the 0.5-Ma pole plorer ridge) are presentedas the geometricalconsequenceof constrainit to the southof the plate by that time. the fanning interpretation rather than the final answer to this problem. Explorer/Pacific Poles The change in Pacific plate anomaly (ridge) rotation at "Absolute"Poles of Motion .,, around 3 Ma can be seenin Figure 6 to occur for all three major sectionsof the ridge system(Gorda, Juan de Fuca, and Explorer). However, for the Explorer ridge it involves an almost 10øjump in azimuth followedby continuingrotation, not a cessation.It appearsthat at this time the Explorer plate becameindependentand no longer pivoted around the same pole relative to the Pacific plate as the rest of the Juan de Fuca system.This is supportedby the followingfacts: 1. All anomalieson the easternsideof the Explorer ridge are "fanned"clockwisein relation to thoseon the west,indicating a nearby pole to the southwestwith a rapid angular Calculation of instantaneousabsolute or "hot spot" poles for the Juan de Fuca systeminvolvesreconstructingthe posi- tion of the instantaneousJDF/PAC pole at the epoch concerned relative to the hot spot framework and solving the vectoraddition with the Pacific/hotspot (PAC/HS) poles.A numberof PAC/HS poleshave beencalculatedusinghot spot traceswithin the Pacific plate [e.g., Minster and Jordan, 1978; Minster et al., 1974; Chase, 1978; Turner et al., 1980; Duncan, 1981; McDougall and Duncan,1980]. In comparingthe orientation of seamount chains and features within the immediate rotation. region (in particular the Cobb, Scott, and Dellwood seamount systems; Figure 1), model AM1-2 of Minster and Jordan 2. The Explorer ridge spreadingrate for epoch 3.5 Ma is much larger than that of the northernJuan de Fuca ridge. [1978] seemsto producethe closestfit. This is the pole usedin all absolutemotion calculationsin this paper.The resulting This is inconsistentwith a singlepole to the north. 3. The Pacificplate anomalyazimuth changesof Figure 6 mean absolutepolescalculatedin this manner for the Juan de Fuca, Explorer, and Gorda South systemsare listedin Table 1 and are shownin Figures5 and 7. couldonly be accommodated within a singleplatesystemby a suddenwestwardExplorer ridgejump followedby continuing westward migration with a rotation pole to the north. This is inconsistentwith point 2. Hyndrnan et al. [1979] named the transform between the Explorer and Juan de Fuca platesthe Nootka Fault and esti- The main featuresof the Juan de Fuca/hot spot (JDF/HS) polesare that they occurcloseto the Juan de Fuca plate to the northwest until 4.5 Ma, then shift to the southeast,and progressivelymigrate northwestwardtoward the plate. The Explorer/hot spot (EX/HS) and Gorda/hot spot (GO/HS) RIDDIHOUGH' MOVEMENTSOF THE JUAN DE FUCA PLATE 2.5 ........... 6985 5 EX/HS 3.5 2.5 EX/AM 1.5 2.5 EX/PAC -4oo-•_ l•e3'5 J-- GS/ 2.5 • b Fig. 7. Mean instantaneous polesfor the Explorerand Gorda Southplates,PAC, Pacific;HS, hot spotframework; AM, Americaplate framework;EX, Explorer;GS, Gorda South' JF, Juan de Fuca. Numbersare epochdatesin Ma; directionsof plate rotation are shownby arrows.Coastlineis as at present. polesmay occurextremelycloseto or within the Explorerand Gorda platesand consistentlyinvolveclockwiserotation. (JDF/AM) pole at 29.11øN, 112.72øWat 1.05ø/Ma; this comparescloselywith the 0.5-Ma pole shownin Table 1.) Poles of Motion Relative to the America Plate ConfidenceLimitsfor Pole Determinations Calculation of mean poles relative to the American plate can be carriedout through reconstructionand vector addition usinga Pacific/Americapole. A numberof authorshave calculated such a pole for the present, but there remains some uncertaintyas to its applicabilityfor periodsolder than 5 Ma [e.g., Molnar and Atwater, 1978; En•tebretson, 1982]. This uncertainty is of undoubted importancein assessing motions of the Juan de Fuca plate relative to the America plate. However, for consistencythe poles listed in Table 1 (shownin Figures 5 and 7) have been calculatedassumingmodel RM2 of Minster and Jordan [1978] back to 6.5 Ma. (Using RM2, Nishirnuraet al. [1984] recentlycalculateda presentJuan de Fuca/America and Relative Motions The asymmetric,"sector-shaped"confidencelimits for instantaneousJDF/PAC and EX/PAC polesshownin Figures4 and 8 result from the calculation methods. To estimate confi- dence limits for JDF/AM, JDF/HS, Explorer/America (EX/AM), and EX/HS poles, the bounding and mean pole positions(and rotation rates)were convolvedwith the quoted mean polesand 2a limits on latitude, longitude,and rotation rate for RM1 and AM1-2. Ninety-five percent confidence limits on the resultingmatricesof polesare shownin Figures 8 and 9 for epoch0.5 Ma. (It shouldbe noted from Figure 4 that these0.5-Ma confidencelimits are probably the smallest 6986 RIDDIHOUGH' MovsMs•rrs OF THE JUAN DE FUCA PLATE TABLE 1. Mean InstantaneousRotation Polesof the Juan de Fuca Plate System Epoch, Ma Relative to Relative to Relative to Pacific Plate* Hot Spot Framework• America• øN øW ø/m.y. øN øW ø/m.y. øN øW ø/m.y. Juan de Fuca 6.5 73.5 121.8 + 1.42 57.3 195.0 +0.59 57.0 200.3 +0.83 5.5 69.5 124.0 + 1.54 56.1 176.4 +0.69 56.9 185.9 +0.93 4.5 3.5 65.7 74.9 118.3 80.0 + 1.87 +0.96 58.8 - 19.8 150.2 82.6 +0.98 -0.22 60.6 42.1 162.5 244.9 + 1.19 +0.43 2.5 73.6 +0.71 21.0 1Q6.1 -0.47 1.5 0.5 - 11.7 -9.9 145.3 146.1 12.3 -0.61 -0.62 38.5 39.2 117.7 119.4 - 1.16 - 1.18 -4.7 28.4 29.4 110.2 111.7 92.9 -0.50 - 1.07 - 1.09 3.5 40.2 134.9 - 3.1 45.7 125.4 - 3.9 43.0 123.4 - 3.8 2.5 42.1 137.1 - 3.1 47.6 127.6 - 3.9 45.2 125.3 - 3.8 1.5 0.5 43.5 44.2 136.3 135.7 - 3.1 - 3.1 49.0 50.0 127.3 127.4 - 3.9 - 3.9 46.7 47.8 124.7 124.5 - 3.8 - 3.8 2.5 1.5 0.5 38.1 39.0 30.0 127.8 128.0 129.2 - 13.5 - 13.2 - 1.1 - 14.5 - 14.0 - 1.9 39.3 40.2 41.2 125.4 125.5 108.0 + 14.2 - 14.0 - 1.7 Explorer Gorda Southe: 40.0 40.9 46.9 126.1 126.2 114.5 Poles are given in relation to Pacific, hot spot framework,and America consideredfixed in their presentpositions.Pole namedis the emergentpole closestto the Juan de Fuca plate. Rotationsare -, clockwise,and +, anticlockwiseviewed from the pole. *For confidencelimits, seeFigure 4. •'CalculatedusingPacificplate motion as determinedby RM1 and AM1-2 of Minster and Jordan [1978]. :[Polesassumingno internaldeformationof Gorda Southplate(seetext). of the set being considered.)Thesesimplifiedconfidencelimits tend to be slightly smaller than the conventional elliptical limits [e.g., Minster and Jordan, 1978] and are also nonsymmetricabout the third pole determinedby the vectoraddition of the two mean poles (e.g., JDF/PAC and Pacific/America (PAC/AM)). In terms of the significanceto be givento the resulting motionsof the Juande Fucaplate system,they neverthelessprovide at least a minimum assessment of the probable errors. For Juan de Fuca plate motions at 0.5 Ma, they suggest errorsof _+7 mm a-• and __+ 7ø relative to America and + 10 mm a-• and + 20 ø relative to the hot spot framework for a point in the center of the plate. Explorer plate motionsare lesscertain,having probableerrors for 0.5 Ma of __+ 15 mm a-• and _+12ørelativeto Americaand _+15 mm a-• and +__ 100ø (for a point near BrooksPeninsula that is within the confidencelimits of the absolutepole position (Figures1 and 8)). By comparison,similarcalculationsfor the errorsof JDF/AM motionat 3.5 Ma give _+13 mm a-• and _+17ø. ABSOLUTE MOTIONS OF TI-• JUAN DE FUCA SYSTEM Figure 10 presentsa sequentialpictureof the absolute(relative to hot spots)plate motions of the Juan de Fuca plate systemsince7 Ma. The motionsare shownon a geometryof the plate systemrelativeto the presentcoastlineand usethe mean calculatedpolesof Table 1 subjectto the uncertainties discussed above. This reconstruction does not include the ac- cretinghistory of the Blanco F.Z. by accumulatingpropagating offsetsas proposedby Hey and Wilson [1982]. For the understandingof the motions of the rigid plate systemover the mantle and relativeto the margin,this may not be critical. Americaabsoluteplate motion is as givenby AM1-2. For the periodfrom 7 to 4 Ma, motion of the plate is to the northeast with the slowest motion off Vancouver Island. The occurrenceof the slowestrate at the northern end is in agree- ment with the conceptof Menard [1978] that the youngest material(wherethe ridgeis closestto the subduction zone) providesthe greatestresistance to subduction. In effect,the platetendsto pivot about sucha point. Between 4 and 3 Ma there is a dramatic change. The youngestnorthernportionof the platethat wasprovidingthe maximum resistancebreaks off and beginsto move independentlyas the Explorerplate.(The approachof the easternend of the SovancoF.Z. to the margin may have contributedto this.)It immediatelybeginsto moveabouta verylocalpoleso that its motion into the convergence zone is severelyreduced. Even with the probableerror limits of pole positions,by 2.5 Ma it may be rotating about a point within itselfsuchthat in a translational senseit is no longer moving systematically toward the former subductionzone. This type of "spinning" motion continuesto 0.5 Ma. The pole uncertaintylimits includethe possibilitythat in the hot spotframeworkit couldbe moving away from its subductionzone with the America plate. At the time that the Explorer plate becomesindependent, the Juan de Fuca plate becomesnotably smaller, and the point of maximumresistance to movementprovidedby the youngest materialenteringthe subduction zoneshiftsto somewherein the Cape Blanco area. By epoch2.5 Ma, the mean absolutevelocityof the plate has droppedto 40% of its previous value, and the slowestmotion has shiftedto the southeastin conformitywith Menard's[1978] concept.The velocity of the platecontinuesto reduceuntil epoch0.5 Ma. The absolute velocitydeterminedfrom the meanpole now variesfrom 20 mm a-• near VancouverIslandto 10 mm a-• near Cape Blanco,the pole of absoluterotation beingin northernCalifornia. However, considering the uncertaintiesdiscussed above,it is now possiblethat the velocityof the southernpart of the platerelativeto the mantleis closeto zero. A separatepole of motion for the southernGorda plate is RIDDIHOUGH: MOVœM•NXS OF • JUAN DE FUCA PLATE 6987 ,EX/HS 50ø .•::.. :'••ii/i:•11:•!iii•i•i•:: 40 ø 30.... •i•!ii::::• :• o0• b b Fig. 8. The 95% latitude and longitudeconfidencelimits for epoch-0.5-Mapole determinationsfor the Explorer plate. Circlesare pole positionsderivedfrom vectoraddition of mean EX/PAC and PAC/AM or PAC/HS poles,not the mean of the covariance of confidence limits. probably significantat leastfrom 3 Ma. As with the Explorer plate, the resultantmotion is clockwiserotation arounda pole closeto or within the plate. A similar situation develops,that of little or no motion toward the Gorda/America convergence zone, perhapseven motion away from the convergencezone. The changein the Gorda South pole for epoch0.5 Ma retains docino. As with the absolute motions, the slowest movement is ing with the America plate. Over the succeeding2 million years,motions remain largely the same. Even taking into account the large uncertainties,the independenceof the Explorer plate by 3.5 Ma probably resultsin a sharp reduction in convergencerates along Vancouver Island (Figure 12). In relation to the America plate, the Explorer plate again rotatesclockwisearound a local pole probably to the southeast(see Figure 7), which appears to be migrating northward and becomingcloserto the Explorer plate itself. After the breakaway of the Explorer plate at 3.5 Ma, the remainder of the Juan de Fuca plate behavesin relation to the America plate much as it did when consideringabsolute motions. The convergencerate probably declinesfrom its 4.5-Ma value at all points along the convergencezone (Figure 12). By epoch 2.5 Ma, the JDF/AM pole has shifted to the southeast of the system,so that the slowestconvergenceis in the Cape Blanco area where the youngestmaterial is entering the subduction zone. Convergenceprobably continues to decline to the present,and the pole movestoward the plate. If, as before,the southernpart of the Gorda plate is treated as rigid, this plate apparently rotates clockwisearound a local pole close to or within the plate through epochs2.5 and 1.5 Ma. For epoch 0.5 Ma, convergencemay cease,and the plate off Vancouver Island where the youngestmaterial is converg- maymoveto the northwestat approximately 40 mm a- •. the clockwise motion but could result in movement that is significantlyaway from the subductionzone and the Mendocino escarpment. MOTIONS OF THE JUAN DE FUCA SYSTEM RELATIVE TO AMERICA Figure 11 presentsa sequentialpicture of the motions of the Juan de Fuca plate systemrelativeto the America plate on the same plate layout as Figure 10. Again, these are the motions given by the mean poles of Table 1 and subjectto considerable uncertainties. At 6.5 Ma, relative motion is to the north- eastat meanspeedsvaryingfrom 60 mm a-• alongthe VancouverIsland margin to 70 mm a-• south of Cape Men- 6988 RIDDIHOUGH: MOVEMENTS OFTHEJUANDEFUCAPLATE Fig. 9. The95% latitudeandlongitude confidence limitsfor epoch-0.5-Ma poledeterminations for theJuande Fuca plate.Dashed ovalis95%confidence interval forJDF/PACpolefromNishimura etal.[ 1984]. DISCUSSIONOF PLATE MOTIONS that therewasa strikingcorrelation betweenvelocityandthe In summary, theplatemotionsof theJuande Fucasystem length of trenchwith subductedslab. Chappieand Tullis thatthemajordrivingforcesareassocias shownby the mean rotationpolesboth in an absolute [1977] alsoconcluded a pulldueto thedowngoing slabacting (relativeto hot spots)and in a relative(to America)sense atedwithsubduction, show similar characteristics: on both upper and lower plates,and a resistanceto conver- gence.Recently,Carlson[1981b] and Carlsonet al. [1983] the balanceof forcesusingmultiplelinearregression 2. Themotionpatternis suchthattheyoungest converg- assessed ing materialmovesslowest;this patternis reestablished for and concludedagain that slab pull is the dominantforcein 1. Therateof motiondeclines beginning at 4 Ma. theJuande Fucaplateafter4 Ma whentheExplorer plate determiningplate velocities. The data assembled in Figure 10 can be usedto calculate velocities of theJuande Fucaplaterela3. After 4 Ma, all closestrotationpoleslie to the south themeanintegrated tive to the hot spot framework since7 Ma. Thesevelocities andprogressively movetowardtheplatesconcerned. becomesindependent. Theerrorsof polepositions androtationratesareprobably decreasefrom around 45 mm a-• at 6.5 Ma to 17 mm a-• at suchasto reducethesignificance of characteristic 1 above,but 0.5 Ma. Allowing for uncertaintiesof q-20 mm a- • for the both characteristics2 and 3 remain true at the 95% confi- olderepochs and q-10mma-x for thepresent, thissuggests that the velocityhaseitherremained similaror decreased by up to 50% duringthisperiod.Usingthegeometry of theplate dence limit. Driving Forces The enigmaof platedrivingforceshasbeenexamined,both systemshownin Figures10and 11,the total areaof theplate hasdecreased by approximately 50%duringthesameperiod. Theeffective ridgelength(normalized by totalperimeter) has theoretically and by the empiricalapproachof comparing decreasedby approximately25%, and the effectivetrench platespeeds withparameters suchasarea,ridgelength,trench lengthhas remainedalmostidentical.In qualitativeterms, length,etc. Forsythand Uyeda [1975] concludedthat there therefore, the resultsmay be compatible with otherglobal wasno obviousrelationbetweenplatevelocityand area but studies. , RIDDIHOUGH: MOVEMENTS OF THE JUAN DE FUCA PLATE 6989 6990 RIDDIHOUGH' MOVEMENTSOF Wl-IEJUAN DE FUCA PLATE RIDDIHOUGH'MOVEMENTS OF THE JUANDE FUCA PLATE at 50øN 128øW E i ! I ' I ' I I ' I ' I ' I at 46' N 125'W Ma + Ma ß total o orthogonal Fig. 12. Interaction rates (in millimeters per year) at two points near the continentalmargin versustime. Solid circles,movementrelative to America; open circles, convergenceperpendicular to the margin. Error bars are estimated and may be minimum for older epochs;seetext for explanation. Nevertheless,it is clear that many of the quantitative relations determined from global studiesdo not fit the Juan de Fuca plate. In particular, the model IV regressionof Carlson [1981b] predictsthat the mean velocity of the Juan de Fuca platewouldbe 98 mm a-• at 6.5 Ma and 94 mm a-• at 0.5 Ma. Figure 8 of Forsyth and Uyeda [1975] also suggeststhat to fit in with the global plate observations,the Juan de Fuca plate, with a presenteffectivetrench length of 40%, should havea velocityof 100mm a- • or greater.Usinga plateageat the margin of 10 Ma, the relation derived by Carlson et al. [1983] predicts an absolute velocity for the Juan de Fuca 6991 declinedto near zero suggeststhat it is its motion into the mantle which providedthe predominantresistance. The absenceof any fault plane solutionsshowing underthrusting[Milne et al., 1978;Rogers,1979] in the convergence zone of the Juan de Fuca plate system,the low-energyrelease of Juan de Fuca/America convergence[Hyndman and Weichert, 1983], and the steady "back tilting" of coastal areas [Ando and Balazs, 1979; Riddihough, 1982a; Reilinger and Adams,1982] have all been suggestedas indicating that Juan de Fuca/America interaction in this region is continuously aseismic.Although these observationscannot necessarilybe extendedto long-termprocesses, they do indicatethat at least on a short time scale, conditions of low resistanceto Juan de Fuca/America convergencecan exist. The fact that once the Explorer plate is detached,the remainder of the Juan de Fuca plate adjustsits motion so that its southern (youngest)part moves slowestis an apparently strongconfirmationof the pivotingsubductionconcept.However,a major dilemmais posedby the data of Figure 10: If the Explorer plate was providingthe maximum resistanceto Juan de Fuca motion, why doesthe mean velocityof the remainder of the Juan de Fuca plate decreaseand not increasewhen the Explorer plate becomesdetached?One solutionto this problem may be that the resulting decreasein plate size is the dominant factor in determiningplate speed.Another solution may involve other componentsof plate motion. Subductio n, Overriding,and "Rollback" Velocities Dewey [1980] and Uyeda and Kanamori [1979] rationalized the movementsof plates in a convergencezone into three components.Following Dewey's notation, these components are plateof 25-35 mm a-•. This is closeto the absolutevelocities calculatedfrom Figure 10. However, plate reconstructionsas in Figure 10 (see also Engebretson,[1982]) suggestthat the ridge has stayed approximately the same distance offshore since10 Ma. The ageof theplateenteringthetrenchhasthus remainedsimilar.If the mean speedhasdecreasedmarkedly in thisperiod,ageseemsunlikelyto be a significantfactor. Quantitatively, it would seem that the balance of forces controllingJuan de Fuca plate motions may not be the same balanceas for other, larger plates.As plates becomeas small as the Juan de Fuca, the simplelinear relationsbetweenforces suchas those proposedby Carlsonet al. [1983] may change or ceaseto apply. Vo absolutevelocityof the overridingplate; V, absolutevelocityof the underlyingplate (its rate of insertion into the asthenosphere); V, rate of rollback at which a trench movesoceanwarddue to the rate of "fall"of the subducting plate,V0, into the asthenosphere.(This is distinct from what might be termed the "forced" rollback due to the advance of an overlyingplate.) Both Dewey [1980] and Uyeda and Kanamori [1979] argue that the tectonicsof a convergencezone are highly dependent upon the relativevaluesof V, and Voand are much lessdependent upon V,. PivotingSubduction Explorerplate. The rapid declineof Explorer plate velociThe processsummarizedin Figures 10 and 11 seemsto ty and the movement of its pole of rotation has produced a supportMenard's [1978] conceptof pivoting subducti0nand situation where its present rate of insertion along its own providesa strikingexampleof the rate and styleof responseof length into the mantle, V•, may be near zero. Although there a small plate system.Some form of resistanceat the conver- is, presumably,a sectionof subductedExplorer plate beneath genceor subductionzoneis apparentlyan importantfactorin Vancouver Island, it is not coherentlymoving down into the determiningplate motion in this region. Ironically, because mantle. It seemsreasonableto argue that, in fact, the only both absolute and relative to America motions show the same reason that this portion of the plate was previously moving pattern, it is not immediatelyobviouswhether the predomi- down into the asthenospheremay have been becauseit was nant factor is the motion of the Juan de Fuca plate into the attachedto the older and larger Juan de Fuca plate. Once it mantle or its interaction with the overlyingcontinental plate. becamedetached,the sum of forcesdriving the Explorer plate The latter may provide frictional resistanceto convergence; changedradically, and it could no longer continue any downtheformermayprovidebuoyancy resistance asthematerialof ward movement.Dewey [1980] stressesthat rollback velocity the oceanicplate moves downward. However, if the detach- V, is independentof V•.However,if one of the dominantforces e buoyancyof subducted ment of the Explorer plate reflecteda balance point between drivingplate motion is the negativ its resistanceto motion and the strengthof its attachmentto slabs,then it seemslikely that, although independent,both V, the remainderof the Juan de Fuca plate, then the fact that its and V• will approachzero if this buoyancyceasesto be negaabsoluterather than relative translational movement rapidly tive. In the caseof the Explorer plate, V• is near zero, and it 6992 RIl•l•II-IOUC;I-I: MOVEMENTS OF THE JUAN DE FUCA PLATE would seemprobable that V. the "free" rollback velocity,may thus also be near zero. In tectonic and structural terms, the result of this situation could be as in Figure 13. The Explorer plate, havingceasedto descendinto the mantle under its own body forces, is still convergingwith the America plate and has been overridden by up to 70 km in a southwesterlydirection.It may thus be effectively underplating the northern part of Vancouver Island. Such a process would, presumably, involve an increasedstresscouplingwith the overlyingAmericaplate and a contrastin recentvertical movementhistory.Theseconditions plus the complexityof the interactionwith the America plate producedby the local pole of relative movementwould seem to ensurethat there should be a strong contrastbetweenthe tectonic processesaffecting northern Vancouver Island and those affecting southern Vancouver Island and the Washington and Oregon margins.This seemsto be true of present seismicity[Milne et al., 1978; Rogers,1979], in particular in the zone where the subductedNootka Fault [Hyndman et al., 1979] marks the boundary betweenthe two regimes.Rogers [1983] has also pointed out that the vertical movement pattern [Riddihough,1982a] and topographyof the northern part A seriesof cross sectionsderived from seismicity,seismic refraction,and gravity modeling were constructedby Riddihough [1979] (see also Ellis et al. [1983] and Michaelson [1983]). All showed an increase in dip or "bend" in the downgoingslab beneath the Georgia Strait and the Puget Sound.One of theseis shown in Figure 14 (top). Figure 14 (bottom three panels)suggestshow sucha bend could be pro- ducedby an increase in V•and V•relativeto Vo.Previous to 4 Ma, the relation between Vo(America absolutevelocity, ~ 23 mm a-•) and V• may have beensuchthat the marginwas "compressional" [Dewey,1980].At 4 Ma an increase in V•and V• producedby the detachmentof the Explorer plate could causethe bend in the plate at the trench to begin to "fall." This increasein V• might changethe characterizationof the margin at this time to somethingcloser to that defined by Dewey [1980] as "neutral." The aseismicnature of the Juan de Fuca plate convergence zone and the accretionarynature of the Washington-Oregon margin [e.g., Silver, 1972] seemto be in accordwith a neutral concept [Dewey, 1980]. The initiation of high Cascadevolcanism [e.g., McBirney, 1978] in the late Pliocenecould also be a responseto a changein asthenospheric flow betweenthe of Vancouver Island are distinct from the areas to the south. downgoingand overlyingslabsin a similar way to that sugJuan de Fuca plate. The dilemma of the apparently con- gestedby Barazangiand lsacks [1976] for the Nazca plate. tinuing reduction in motion of the Juan de Fuca plate after Certainly,the existenceof the bend in the downgoingslab in the detachmentof the resistiveExplorer plate may be resolv- the appropriatelateral position(100-120 km from the margin) able if the independenceof V• and V• suggestedby Dewey to have been producednear 4 Ma seemsto be an indication [1980] does hold true for the nonzero condition. As shown that a change in rollback velocity at about that time is a (Figure 10), V• for the Juan de Fuca plate apparentlycontinues possibleoccurrence. However,this explanationdoesnot accountfor the fact that to decline after 4 Ma. However, if the Explorer plate was providingbuoyancyresistanceto descentinto the mantle,then globally,most subductingslabshave a "knee bend" at a depth its removalmayhaveresulted in an increase in V•andthusV•, of between30 and 50 km [Pennington,1983]. The association the trench rollback velocity.Suchan increasewould not show of the bend in the Juan de Fuca plate with seismicitydue to in Figure 10 but might be detectablein a verticalcrosssection phasechanges[Rogers,1983] seemsto supportthe conceptof Pennington[1983] that the bend is a responseto the increase throughthe Juan de Fuca convergence zone. OVERRIDING BUT NO 'SUBDUCTION' OVERRIDING PLUS 'SUBDUCTION' EXPLORER PLATE AMERICA PLATE JUAN DE FUCA PLATE Fig. 13. Block diagram showingproposedplate configurationand contrastbeneathVancouver Island. "Subduction"is usedhereasmovementof the underlyingplate downwardinto the asthenosphere. RIDDIHOUGH'MOW•mNTSOFTim JUANDE FUCAPLATE Vancouver The reasonfor thetimingof theindependence of thispart of the Gorda plate at 3 Ma is not clear.It wasnot the youngest portionof the subducting Juande Fuca plate at that time, althoughthe recentdetachmentof the Explorerplate may have precipitateda redistributionof stresssuch that this cornerof the systembetweenthe marginand the Mendocino F.Z. becameparticularlyvulnerable.Beingsmall,onceit had broken away, it would presumablyhave little or no self- I. /'•, Georgia / •S/• 2.3 Tøfinø Basin 6993 Coast . ßMtns. --•__••_ _ 2.92 •0km 3.295.• , 6 Ma • , compressional • t100 , ;200 -•-•Vr lessthan ; drivingforce.It couldbe arguedthat the clockwise motion •Vo JF from 3 to 1 Ma was determinedeither by northwesterlyPacific absolutemotion or by the northwesterlyright-lateralshear appliedby Pacific/America relativemotion.The increasein absolutemotionby 0.5 Ma and the rapiddecrease in spreading on the southernGorda ridgesuggest that by this time at least,its motion was controlledby the northwesterlymoving Pacificplate. Given the lengthof the MendocinoF.Z., this seemsreasonable and may be part of the processof northward I I 4 Ma ' I ' Riddihough[ 1980]. change ,Vr increases • . migrationof the Mendocinotriplejunctionas suggested by ;Vo SUMMARY COMMENTS Althoughthere are undeniableuncertainties in the poles JF and rates of rotation determined for the Juan de Fuca plate ' 0 Ma ' I I ' I neutral •-•Vr equals• systemby the methodsusedhere,the resultscomparewell with otherapproaches to the problemand producea coherent patternof platemovements. This patternis valuablein that it may show in detail how the movementsof a small plate systemare affectedby a numberof factors,notablyby resistanceat the convergence zone.It affirmsthat at leastfor small plates, Menard's !-1978] concept of pivoting•subduction is iVø valid. The behavior of the most resistive,Explorer plate por- tion of the systemin eventuallybecomingdetachedand ceas- ingto movedownintothemantle isphysically re'asonable and bend 0 km . ,atVg . , 200 400 suggests that thedominantresistance to motion is in thiscase providedby theasthenosphere. Thebehaviorof theremainder of the Juande Fuca plateafterthe Explorerplatedetachment 600 Fig. 14. (Top panel)CrosssectionacrosssouthernVancouver suggests that verticalandhorizontalplatemovements relative to the mantle could be independent. Recentwork on the Winona Basin [Davis and Riddihough, Island[fromRiddihough, 1979].(Bottomthreepanels) Sequential mechanism for the possible production of an observed bendin the 1982] and continuingdebateon the southernpart of the downgoing slab.Sections arefixedin relationto themantle'America Gorda platetendto confirmthat closeto the triplejunctions, (AM) moveswestward at absolute velocityVo.At 6 Ma the trench small fragmentsof platesbecomedominatedby the moverollbackvelocityV• is lessthan Vo, and compressional convergence mentsof the larger,boundingplates.' In the Juande Fuca occurs. At 4 Ma, V•increases. Thisresults in anincrease in V•such systemit seemsthat an almostcontinuoussuccession from thatit equalsVoanda steepening of thedowngoing slab.Thetectonic larger, self-driven plates to small, interplate fragments can be styleisnowneutral[Dewey,1980],anda bendisproduced. seen.The fact that the absolutepoleof motionfor the Juande in negativebuoyancyproducedby the phasechanges. Its locationin the Juan de Fuca plate at a point which could infer changesin convergentstyleat around4 Ma may thus be a coincidence. Gorda South As stressedat the outset,motions for the southernpart of the Gorda platewhichapparentlymovedindependently from 3 Ma [Riddihough, 1980]havebeencalculatedassumingrigid platetectonics. The possibility of nonrigid,or at leastimbri- Fuca plate itselfmay now be almostwithin the'subducted portionof thisplate(Figure5) suggests that it, too,is rapidly slowingand will soonbe controlledby its largerneighbors. While it is a verysmallpart of the globalplatesystem,it may thusprovidea graphicexampleof the end points•ofthe plate tectonicprocess. Acknowledgments. The work presentedin this paper benefited considerably from discussions with C. Nishimuraand D. S. Wilson, who kindly providedpreprintsof their work on the Juan de Fuca plate.I am particularlygratefulfor a comprehensive reviewfrom T. 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