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QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Chapter11 Two-Sample Tests and One-Way ANOVA (Part I) Outcomes: 1. Conduct a test of hypothesis for two independent population means - Use z-test when σ1 and σ2 are known - Use pooled-variance t test when σ1 and σ2 are unknown but equal - Use separate-variance t test when σ1 and σ2 are unknown and unequal 2. Conduct a test of hypothesis for paired or dependent observations, using the paired t-test 3. Conduct a test of hypothesis for two population proportions using the z test 4. List the characteristics of the F distributions 5. Conduct a test of hypothesis to determine whether the variances of two populations are equal, using the F Test 6. Discuss the general idea of Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) and its assumptions 7. Conduct the F Test when there are more than two means 8. Discuss multiple comparisons: The Tukey-Kramer procedure 9. Conduct Levene’s Test for Homogeneity of Variance Winter2011 1 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Example1 Ryerson Car magazine is comparing the total repair costs incurred during the first three years on two sport cars, The R123 and the S456. Random samples of 45 R123 cars are $5300 for the first three years. For the 50 S456 cars, the mean is $5760. Assume that the standard deviations for the two populations are $1120 and $1350, respectively. Using the 5% significance level, can we conclude that such mean repair costs are different for these two types of cars? Calculator Output 2-Sample z Test µ1 ≠ µ2 z = -1.8137025 p = 0.06972353 x1 = 5300 x 2 = 5760 n1 = 45 n 2 = 50 Winter2011 2 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Step1 Let µ1 be the population mean repair cost for sport car R123 Let µ2 be the population mean repair cost for sport car S456 Step2 H o : µ1 = µ2 H A : µ1 ≠ µ2 Step3 Level of significance = 0.05/2=0.025 Step 4 2-sample mean z test Step5 = -1.8137 0.06972353 z statistic z critical = p-value = Step6 Since the p-value > 0.05, do not reject the null hypothesis. There is not enough evidence to conclude that such mean repair costs are different for these two types of cars Winter2011 3 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Example2 Mark is the owner of the Appliance Patch. Mark observed a difference in the dollars value of sales between the men and women he employed as sales associates. A sample of 50 days revealed the men sold a mean of $1560 worth of appliances per day. For a sample of 60 days, the women sold a mean of $1650 worth appliances per day. Assume the population standard deviation for men is $204 and for women $259. At the 0.05 significance level, can Mark conclude that the mean amount sold per day is larger for women? Calculator Output 2-Sample z Test µ1 µ2 z = p = x1 = x2 = n1 = n2 = Winter2011 4 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Step1 Define the parameter(s) Step 2 State the null and alternative hypothesis Step3 Level of significance = Step 4 Test statistic Step5 (Determine the test statistic, the p-value, and the critical value) z statistic = z critical = Winter2011 p-value = 5 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Step6 (Statistical Decision and Business Conclusion) Example3 The operations manager of Ryerson Light Bulb factory wants to determine if there is any difference in the average life expectancy of bulbs manufactured on two different types of machine. The process population standard deviation of machine A is 112 hours and of machine B is 127 hours. A random sample of 35 light bulbs obtained from machine A indicates a sample mean of 379 hours, and a similar sample of 35 from machine B indicates a sample mean of 368. Using the 1% significance level. Calculator Output 2-Sample z Test µ1 µ2 z = p = x1 = x2 = n1 = n2 = Winter2011 6 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Step1 Define the parameter(s) Step2 State the null and alternative hypothesis Step3 Level of significance = Step 4 Test statistic Step5 (Determine the test statistic, the p-value, and the critical value) z statistic = z critical = p-value = Winter2011 7 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Step6 (Statistical Decision and Business Conclusion) Example4 Ryerson Computer Manufacturer offers a help line that purchasers call for help 24 hours per day, 7 days a week. Clearing these calls for help in a timely fashion is important to the company’s image. After telling the caller that resolution of the problem is important the caller is asked whether the issue is “software” or “hardware” related. A mean time takes a technician to resolve a software issue is 18 minutes with a standard deviation of 4.2 minutes. This information was obtained from a sample of 35 monitored calls. For a study of 45 hardware issues, the mean time for a technician to resolve a problem was 15.5 minutes with a standard deviation of 3.9 minutes. This information was also obtained from monitored calls. Assume both population standard deviations are the same. At the 0.05 significance level is it reasonable to conclude that it takes longer to resolve software issue? Winter2011 8 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Calculator Output 2-Sample t Test µ1 > µ2 t = 2.75012089 p = 3.7008E-03 d. f = 78 = 18 x1 x 2 = 15.5 sx 1 = 4.2 sx 2 = 3.9 sp = 4.0335 n1 = 35 n 2 = 45 Step1 Let µ1 be the population mean time for resolving software issues Let µ2 be the population mean time for resolving hardware issues Step2 H o : µ1 ≤ µ2 H A : µ1 > µ2 Step3 Level of significance = 0.05 Winter2011 9 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Step 4 2-sample mean t test- pooled variance “on” Step5 t statistic = 2.7501 degree of freedom = p-value = 0.0037 t critical = Step6 Since the p-value <0.05, reject the null hypothesis. There is enough evidence to conclude that it takes longer to resolve software issue Example5 The Commercial Bank and the Trust Company are studying the use of it automatic teller machines (ATM). Of particular interest is whether young adults (under 25 years) use the machines more than senior citizens. To investigate further, samples of customers under 25 years of age and customers over 60 years of age were selected. The number of ATM transactions last month was determined for each selected individual, and the results are shown below. Assume the number of times of using ATM machine for both groups are to be normally distributed and both population Winter2011 10 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 standard deviations are equal. At the .05 significance level, can bank management conclude that younger customers use the ATM more? Under25 10 10 11 15 7 11 10 9 Over60 4 8 7 7 4 5 1 7 4 10 5 Calculator Output 2-Sample t Test µ1 > µ2 t = 4.28210973 p = 2.5201E-04 d . f = 17 x1 = 10.375 x 2 = 5.6363 s1 = 2.2638 s 2 = 2.4605 sp = 2.3815 n1 = 8 n 2 = 11 Winter2011 11 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Step1 Let µ1 be the population mean number of time using ATM machine for younger adults (under 25) Let µ2 be the population mean number of time using ATM machine for senior (over 60) Step2 H o : µ1 ≤ µ2 H A : µ1 > µ2 Step3 Level of significance = 0.05 Step 4 2-sample mean t test Winter2011 12 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Step5 t statistic = 4.2821 p-value = 0.000252 degree of freedom = t critical = Step6 Since the p-value <0.05, reject the null hypothesis. There is enough evidence to conclude that that younger customers use the ATM more. Example6 Mark is the budget director for Aplus Proces Company. He would like to compare the daily travel expenses for the sales staff and the audit staff. He collected the following sample information. Sales ($) Audit ($) 121 120 125 93 136 118 156 133 124 139 131 110 129 At the 0.10 significance level, can she conclude that the mean daily expenses are greater for the sales staff than the audit staff? Winter2011 13 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Calculator Output 2-Sample t Test µ1 t µ2 = = d. f = p x1 x2 s1 s2 sp = = = = = n1 = n2 = Winter2011 14 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Step1 Define the parameter(s) Step2 State the null and alternative hypothesis Step3 Level of significance = Step 4 Test statistic Step5 (Determine the test statistic, the p-value, and the critical value) t statistic = t critical degree of freedom = = p-value = Step6 (Statistical Decision and Business Conclusion) Example7 Bradley is the Vice president of Human Resources for Ryerson Manufacturing Company. In recent years he has noticed an increase in absenteeism that he thinks is related to the general health of employees. Three years ago, in an attempt to improve the situation, he began a yoga program in which employees practice yoga during their lunch hour. To evaluate this program, he selected a random sample of 10 participants and found the number of days each was absent in the last twelve months before the yoga program began and in the last twelve months. Below are Winter2011 15 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 the results. At the 5% significance level, can he conclude that the number of absences has declined? Employee Before After Alex Brian Clare Diana Ellen Felix Gary Howard Ivan Johnny 14 12 15 16 9 17 11 10 19 20 11 8 10 9 6 12 14 12 15 16 Calculator Output 1-Sample t Test µ1 > 0 t = 3.0338 p = 7.0785E-03 x =3 s = 3.1269 n = 10 Winter2011 16 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Step1 d = before – after Let µd be the population mean difference in the number of days absent in the last twelve months before the yoga program had begun and in the next twelve months after the yoga program had begun. H o : µd ≤ 0 Step2 H A : µd > 0 Step3 Level of significance = 0.05 Step 4 Paired observation mean t-test Step5 t statistic = 3.0338 degree of freedom = p-value = 0.0070785 t critical = Step6 Winter2011 17 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Since the p-value <0.05, reject the null hypothesis. There is enough evidence to conclude that the number of absences has declined Example8 On-line grocery stores provide customers with the convenience of shopping at home, but this convenience often comes with a lofty price tag due to the high costs on-line grocers incur related to handling and delivery. In 2008 the largest on-line grocer was Ryerson Inc. with over $58 million in revenue. A new company, Yes Frills Inc. began operations in 2009, a nineitem shopping list from the two on-line grocers in downtown Toronto for January 8,2010 is given in the following. ITEM Ryerson Yes Frills ABC 2% or 1% or skim milk $3.94 $3.53 4 liters ABC Ultra, liquid detergent $7.58 $8.79 Fuji apples, 3lbs $2.41 $2.97 APlus Peanut butter Cookies, 350g $2.60 $2.50 Old Treasure long grain white rice, $8.99 $9.49 8 kg Unicare vegetable oil, 3 liter $3.97 $4.97 Tropicare Pure Premium orange $6.49 $6.49 juice, original or homestyle 3.78 L No Name liquid dish detergent $1.98 $1.79 Colgate, regular toothpaste, 85 ml $1.19 $0.99 At the 0.05 level of significance, is there evidence of a difference in the average price for items purchased from Ryerson and Yes Frills? SPSS Output Winter2011 18 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Calculator Output 1-Sample t Test µ t = p = x = s = x n = Step1 Define the parameter(s) Step 2 State the null and alternative hypothesis Step3 Level of significance = Step 4 Test statistic Step5 (Determine the test statistic, the p-value, and the critical value) t statistic = t critical = degree of freedom = p-value = Step6 (Statistical Decision and Business Conclusion) Winter2011 19 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Questino#9 Of 150 adults who tried a new organic chocolate, 87 rated it excellent. Of 200 children sampled, 123 rated it excellent. Using the 0.10 level of significance, can we conclude that there is a significant difference in the proportion of adults and the proportion of children who rate the new organic chocolate excellent? 2-Prop Z Test p1 p2 z = p = ˆ1 = p ˆ2 = p x ˆ = p x n1 = n1 n2 = Winter2011 20 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Step1 Define the parameter(s) Step 2 State the null and alternative hypothesis Step3 Level of significance = Step 4 Test statistic Step5 (Determine the test statistic, the p-value, and the critical value) z statistic = z critical = p-value = Step6 (Statistical Decision and Business Conclusion) Winter2011 21 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Question#10 The research department at the head office of Ryerson Insurance Company conducts ongoing research on the causes of automobile accidents: the characteristics of the drivers, and so on. A random sample of 500 policies written on single persons revealed 120 had at least one accident in the previous three-year period. Similarly, a sample of 700 policies written on married persons revealed that 150 had been in at least one accident. At the 0.05 significance level, is there a significant difference in the proportions of single and married persons having an accident during a three-year period? 2-Prop Z Test p1 p2 z = p = ˆ1 = p ˆ2 = p x ˆ = p x n1 = n1 n2 = Winter2011 22 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Step1 Define the parameter(s) Step 2 State the null and alternative hypothesis Step3 Level of significance = Step 4 Test statistic Step5 (Determine the test statistic, the p-value, and the critical value) z statistic = z critical = Winter2011 p-value = 23 www.notesolution.com QMS202-Business Statistics II Chapter11 Step6 (Statistical Decision and Business Conclusion) Winter2011 24 www.notesolution.com