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Federal Department of Economic Affairs, Education and Research EAER State Secretariat for Economic Affairs SECO Swiss Economic Cooperation and Development Colombia Country Strategy 2013-2016 Editorial Egypt, Ghana, South Africa, Indonesia, Vietnam, Colombia, Peru – all rapidly expanding economies on the threshold of global market integration yet still facing the problem of poverty. These have been SECO’s priority countries since 2008 and, together with Tunisia, they will remain the focus of our intervention over the next four years. All of SECO’s priority countries are classified as middle-income countries (MICs). As their role in the global economy expands, they continue to gain in significance, for example in providing global public goods. However, despite rapid growth rates in these countries, their development remains fragile. Poverty and social disparities persist, accompanied by other global challenges such as urbanisation, infrastructure bottlenecks and unemployment. Through its economic cooperation, SECO strives to integrate its partner countries into the global economy and to foster economic growth that is both socially responsible and environmentally friendly. These approaches correspond to the main challenges facing MICs. Middle-income countries are also important regional hubs of development for neighbouring States and serve as valuable examples. SECO’s activities are based on our many years of experience in international cooperation and our specific expertise in economic issues. Whether we are seeking to strengthen economic and fiscal policy, expand urban infrastructure and utilities, support the private sector and entrepreneurship, promote sustainable trade, or stimulate climate-friendly growth: all of our measures are aligned with Switzerland’s foreign trade policy and the Federal Council’s foreign policy objectives. In 2012 the Swiss Parliament passed the 2013-2016 Message on International Cooperation. For the first time, all of the tasks in international cooperation were presented in a single bill, incorporated into a joint, overall strategy. This has the overriding objective of sustainable global development that will reduce poverty and global risks. State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) SECO’s Economic Cooperation and Development Division is responsible for the planning and implementation of economic cooperation and development activities with middle income developing countries, with countries of Eastern Europe and the Commonwealth of Independent States (transition countries) as well as the new Member States of the European Union. It coordinates Switzerland’s relations with the World Bank Group, the regional development banks and the economic organizations of the United Nations. SECO is part of the Federal Department of Economic Affairs, Education and Research (EAER). The overriding objective of Switzerland’s international cooperation is sustainable global development that will reduce poverty and global risks. Accordingly, SECO’s economic and trade policy measures strive to integrate its partner countries into the global economy and foster economic growth that is both socially responsible and environmentally friendly. The Economic and Development Division bases its activities on its specific areas of competence and experience in promoting economic and fiscal policy, urban infrastructures and utilities, the private sector and entrepreneurship, sustainable trade and climate-friendly growth. Special emphasis is placed on issues relating to economic governance and gender. SECO is headed by the State Secretary Marie-Gabrielle Ineichen-Fleisch. SECO’s Economic Cooperation and Development Division employs 100 people at headquarter and spends approximately 380 million Swiss francs per year. Ambassador Beatrice Maser heads the division. The present Country Strategy is based on the framework credit for economic and trade policy measures, as described in the aforementioned Message. It is determined by our areas of expertise and comparative advantages and paves the way for our continued efforts over the next four years. We firmly believe that, in doing so, we can support our partner countries on their development path while also making a contribution to addressing global challenges. Marie-Gabrielle Ineichen-Fleisch State Secretary, Director of SECO Beatrice Maser Ambassador, Head of Economic Cooperation and Development SECO Colombia 3 Abbreviations Contents AML/CFT Anti-Money Laundering/Combating the Financing of Terrorism IDP Internally Displaced People APC Colombian Presidential Agency for International Cooperation IFC International Finance Corporation APEC Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation ILO International Labour Organization CAF Andean Corporation Bank IMF International Monetary Fund CDM Clean Development Mechanism IPR Intellectual Property Rights CHF Swiss Franc MDG Millennium Development Goals COOF Swiss Cooperation Office NDP National Development Plan CPC Cleaner Production Centre ODA Official Development Assistance CSR Corporate Social Responsibility OECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development EFTA European Free Trade Association PEFA Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability Programme EU European Union PFM Public Financial Management FARC Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia PPP Public-Private Partnership FATF Financial Action Task Force REDD+ Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation FDI Foreign Direct Investment SDC Swiss Agency for Cooperation and Development FTA Free Trade Agreement SECO GHG Green House Gas emissions GDP Editorial3 Abbreviations4 1. Country context 1.1 Political situation 1.2 Economic and social situation 1.3 Bilateral economic relations 6 6 7 10 2. Development cooperation context 2.1 Partner country development strategy 2.2 Donor landscape 2.3 Lessons learnt from 2009-2012 11 11 12 13 3. Development challenges and SECO’s response 15 4. Financial resources 21 State Secretariat of Economic Affairs 5. Results monitoring 22 SME Small and Middle-sized Enterprise 6. Partner institutions 24 Gross Domestic Product TBT/SPS Technical Barriers to Trade/Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures IBRD International Bank of Reconstruction and Development USD United States Dollar 7. Statistical annex 26 IDB Inter-American Development Bank WTO World Trade Organization 4 Colombia SECO’s economic and trade policy measures strive to integrate its partner countries into the global economy. Improved livelihoods thanks to organic and fair-trade standards in cocoa production. 1. Country context 1.1 Political situation Change in continuity: A new government with a positive reform mind-set. After two terms in office (2002-2010) and a clear rejection by the constitutional court of the possibility of a third term, Alvaro Uribe handed over presidency to his successor Juan Manuel Santos in 2010. Santos emerged as the clear winner of the second round of the election, obtaining close to 70% of the votes. He had assumed various ministerial positions during Uribe’s administration and, as former Minister of Defence, played a crucial role in implementing the “policy of democratic security” which resulted in a considerable weakening of the FARC (Fuerzas Arma- das Revolucionarias de Colombia). While retaining the central elements of the previous administration’s economic policy, the 80% majority in Congress of his “national unity” coalition allowed the new government to initiate a broad legislative reform agenda, including sensitive key issues such as the recognition of the victims of the armed conflict and the restitution of lands. The new government also endorsed a normalization of the previous tensions between the executive branch and the judiciary powers. Additionally, Colombia has resumed diplomatic relations with Ecuador and normalized its relations with Venezuela, giving hope to revived trade relations with two traditional and important commercial partners. A new government with a positive mind set. 1.2 Economic and social situation The official recognition of the very existence of an “armed conflict” in Colombia marked a fundamental departure from the more confrontational stance of the preceding government towards a more pragmatic and conciliatory position. The municipal and regional elections held in October 2011 did not result in a major fragmentation of political forces. The outlook for further important reforms is therefore positive for the years to come.1 Despite the government’s efforts to regain control over most of the national territory, internal security remains tense: Regardless of some key military successes and persistently high levels of military pressure, security outside the large urban centres remains fragile and a key challenge. Significant parts of Colombia are still ridden with the violence associated with narcotráfico (drug trafficking), and several former paramilitary groups have reconverted into armed gangs controlling various kinds of illegal activities in urban centres. In addition, the problem of internally displaced people (IDPs) remains a serious challenge: Colombia is 1 The next legislative and presidential elections are set for March and May 2014, respectively. 6 Colombia second only to Sudan, with some 4-5 million IDPs 2 seeking refuge in the slums of large cities like Bogotá, Medellin or Cartagena. Military clashes between national forces, FARC guerrilla and former paramilitary groups have doubled since 2008 despite serious blows to the FARC in 2010/11, including the death of its military and ideological leaders. Thus, even if the guerrilla and paramilitary groups are weakened and discredited, no end to the conflict is in sight. On a positive note, however, the Colombian government confirmed in August 2012 that it was holding exploratory talks with the FARC guerrilla with a view to possible peace negotiations. Serious governance issues remain: Several corruption scandals involving various offices have come to light since Santos assumed office. The new administration has therefore embarked on significant institutional reforms including an increase from 13 to 16 ministries, the closure of some agencies and the creation of six new special national agencies, including the National Agency for International Cooperation. While the new institutional setup attempts to clarify the division of responsibilities and competences, it could potentially create new inter-institutional coordination challenges. Regaining investment grade credit rating: Colombia has accomplished much in the past few years. Good economic policies have provided a higher level of macroeconomic stability and living standards have gradually risen. Combined with improved security, these factors led to a better economic environment and have contributed to Colombia regaining investment grade credit rating in mid-2011. Strong macroeconomic framework: Colombia is an upper-middle-income country, characterized by a solid and stable economy with a large domestic market and a rich natural resources endowment. Significant reforms implemented since the 1990s pursuing prudent fiscal management, inflation targeting and a flexible exchange rate have led to remarkable macroeconomic stability. This strong macroeconomic framework helped cushion the impact of the 2008-2009 global economic crisis, with GDP growth reaching 5.9% in 2011, compared to 1.7% in 2009. Private domestic demand, supported by higher consumer and investor confidence and access to cheap credit, has led the recovery process. On the supply side, the recovery was spearheaded by the oil/mining and financial sectors in the context of moderate infla- 2 As of end 2011, around 3.9 million people were internally displaced according to the government, and around 5.3 million according to the independent Observatory on Human Rights and Displacement (CODHES). Colombia 7 Remarkable economic performance have advanced Colombia to the second-best sovereign risk in Latin America. tion (3-4%). All of the above helped offset the current account deficit (3% of GDP) traditionally run by the country. FDI inflows have been the fastest growing of all Latin American countries, boosted by the robust expansion of exploration and production in the oil and mining sectors. Additionally, Colombia is now reaping the gains from the negotiation of several free-trade agreements (FTA) under the Uribe administration; with 10 FTAs currently in force (including the one with EFTA, which, in the case of Switzerland, became operational in 2011, and the much awaited FTA with the US, which entered into force in 2012) and the one recently signed with the EU and on-going negotiations with Panama, Israel, Turkey, the country is promoting trade diversification and integration into the world economy. The trend is now eastward, with increasing interest in an FTA with China, the signing of the FTA with Korea in July 2012, and a formal application to join APEC with a view to enhancing economic links with the Pacific Rim. All these reforms and the resulting remarkable economic performance have advanced Colombia to the second-best sovereign risk in Latin America, second only to Chile. As a testimony to Colombia’s new ambitions, President Santos also presented his country’s candidacy for OECD membership in spring 2011. This is likely to provide a stimulus for further economic and social reforms. Yet, despite such progress, many structural challenges to achieving balanced inclusive growth still remain. Poor public sector governance, inefficient public service delivery and a deficient tax system: Notwithstanding recent reforms, the Colombian public sector is still characterized by bureaucratic red tape, weak Improving working conditions and promoting corporate social responsibility contribute to a better quality of life. institutional articulation capacity and inter-institutional coordination challenges, leading to poor public service delivery. Even if the government has achieved significant progress in enhancing public finances – tax revenues are growing fast in real terms and non-financial public sector net debt is relatively low (27.5% of GDP) based on solid growth and active liability management – a number of challenges have not been fully addressed. Public spending remains inflexible, reliance on distortionary taxes persists and the tax revenue base is still very weak (at 11.7% of GDP, substantially below the global and even the Latin American average) due to a significant number of tax exemptions and widespread tax evasion, given the highly inefficient tax structure. Other macroeconomic challenges arise from the potential Dutch Disease effect of an appreciating real exchange rate as well as commodity price volatility, which increases economy-wide uncertainty. Considering that both national and sub-national budgets rely heavily on commodity revenues, this affects budget predictability and stability and hence the importance of further diversification of economic activity. Additional fiscal challenges relate to the government‘s obligation to provide health care and pensions, as well as increased economic losses and fiscal contingent liabilities as a result of recent natural disasters. Low productivity, high income inequality: Lacking productivity growth has constrained output growth, which, coupled with unequal income distribution, has left a large part of the population in poverty 3. Even if poverty levels according to national statistics fell between 2002 and 2009 from 49.7 to 37.2% and extreme poverty declined from 17.7 to 12.3% 4, Colombia’s progress in reducing poverty falls far below the performance of regional peers, with poverty levels remaining relatively high given the country’s income per capita. In part, this is explained by a highly unequal dis- 3 According to a World Bank study, the country is the seventh most unequal country in the world (comparable to countries such as Haiti and Angola) and the second in Latin America. 4 It is to be noted that the Colombian government introduced a new poverty index methodology in 2011, taking into account multidimensional aspects of poverty. 8 Colombia tribution of income, as reflected by the Gini coefficient. Labour market rigidities and structural skill mismatches are contributing to this underutilization of a considerable section of the potential labour force. Indeed, the Colombian labour market is still characterized by persistently high unemployment (9.5% in 2011) as well as pervasive labour informality, comprising 50-70% of the labour force, depending on the definition used. Vulnerability to climate change: Colombia has been experiencing some of the heaviest rainfall in recent history, leading to widespread flooding and landslides, caused by the La niña phenomenon. More than 3.5 million people, especially the poor, have been directly affected. Economic losses are expected to have exceeded 4.3% of GDP. The fiscal cost of the disaster increased the central government deficit by 1.5% of GDP in 2011. Total emergency relief, rehabilitation and reconstruction costs have been estimated at some USD 260 billion in the next five years, but the bill could rise even further, especially on the infrastructure side.5 Such numbers are clear evidence that Colombia is one of the countries most vulnerable to climate change 6, although it contributes only 0.37% of greenhouse gases at global level and has a “clean” energy mix. Further, Colombia’s population has predominantly settled in the highlands (Andes mountain range) or on the coast, i.e. areas prone to flooding and unstable grounds. In addition, due to the internal conflict, urban centres have grown extremely rapidly and unsystematically in recent decades. Nowadays, 70 to 75% of the population lives in urban areas 7, challenging the provision of good public services, especially in the area of waste management. 5 See “Análisis de la gestión del riesgo de desastres en Colombia”, World Bank, 2012. 6 According to the Center for Global Development, Colombia ranked 15th in the Extreme Weather Risk Country Index in 2008. 7 Average urban population worldwide is 50%. Colombia 9 Supporting the industrial resource efficiency, leads to increased competitiveness and a lower „environmental footprint“. 2. Development cooperation context 2.1 Partner country development strategy 1.3 Bilateral economic relations Excellent and fairly formalized: Bilateral economic relations can be described as excellent and fairly formalized through an array of bilateral agreements, initiated at the beginning of last century with the Treaty of Friendship, Establishment and Trade and followed by an agreement on technical and scientific cooperation in 1967. Further important milestones were the signing of the Investment Protection Agreement in 2006 and the Double Taxation Treaty in 2007, both of which have since come into force. This process culminated with the signing of a comprehensive free-trade agreement between the EFTA states and Colombia on 25 November 2008, which, in the case of Switzerland, came into force in July 2011. It covers a broad range of areas including trade in goods, trade in services, investment, intellectual property rights, government procurement, competition and cooperation. As part of the instruments establishing the free trade area, Switzerland and Colombia also ratified a bilateral arrangement on agricultural products that entered into force simultaneously to the FTA. Although trade with Colombia accounts for only 0.1% of total Swiss trade, Colombia was Switzerland’s fifth most important export destination in Latin America in 2011.8 Trade relations have intensified in recent years, with Swiss exports to Colombia reaching CHF 344 million in 2011, up by more than 100% compared to 2000. They proved resilient and remained stable during the 2008-2009 financial crisis. Chemicals and pharmaceuticals are the main export products (over 60%). Colombian exports to Switzerland were much more affected by the economic crisis and show major fluctuations over the past decade. They amounted to CHF 138 million in 2010, down from CHF 453 million in 2007, and rebounded again in 2011. Nevertheless, Switzerland was the 11th largest importer of Colombian goods in 2011, accounting for 1.7% of Colombian exports.9 Finally, Colombia is also one of the most important countries in Latin America for Swiss FDI 10, with a total stock of CHF 1.9 billion in 2010 and Swiss companies employing approximately 15,000 people in Colombia. 8 after Brazil, Mexico, Argentina and Venezuela 9 Whereas Swiss statistics have usually shown a slightly positive trade balance for Switzerland in recent years, Colombian statistics traditionally register a considerable trade surplus for Colombia due to the fact that Swiss official data do not include gold in bilateral trade statistics for confidentiality reasons but also because imported gold is, to a considerable degree, re-exported. In 2010, gold trade made up more than 27% of Swiss imports and 23% of overall exports. 10 Fifth in terms of volumes and fourth in terms of people employed. 10 Colombia The National Development Plan 2010-2014 – Prosperity for All: The National Development Plan for 2010-2014 (NDP) is a very ambitious roadmap which translates the electoral promises of President Santos into a broad action plan and was approved by Congress in June 2011. Following the mantra of change in continuity, it essentially retains the central elements of the previous administration’s economic policy, i.e. attracting foreign investment, fostering macroeconomic stability, addressing high unemployment and widespread informality, and improving the business environment. It was developed in close cooperation with state agencies, local authorities and civil society. The NDP is aimed at setting the guidelines for growth and improvement in the country and determines the processes to be carried out to meet these goals.11 The NDP estimates total investment needs at USD 317 billion, of which private investment should represent 40%, mainly in the coal, oil, mining, housing construction and transport infrastructure sectors (see growth drivers below). Its guiding principle is to achieve prosperity for all through the creation of jobs, less poverty and more security. The strategy has three main pillars: (1) Sustainable Growth and Competitiveness to increase employment, (2) Equality of Opportunities for Social Prosperity to reduce poverty, and (3) Consolidation of Peace to improve security. Moreover, it highlights five cross-cutting focuses: (a) Relevance of International Relations, (b) Environmental and Disaster Risk Management, (c) Good Governance in public policy delivery, (d) Innovation in new and existing productive activities and (e) Regional Development and convergence. 11 Such as a sustained economic growth level of above 5%, bringing an additional 2.5 million Colombians out of poverty, reducing unemployment to 9% and building one million housing units. In addition it identifies five “locomotives” or “growth drivers”: ■ Innovation to add value to productive processes by scaling-up investments into research and development, promoting technology transfers and addressing pending regulatory bottlenecks; ■ Agribusiness to develop world-class products and sectors to emulate the coffee precedent symbolized by the Juan Valdez trademark and particularly relevant for rural areas which suffer the most from the lack of sustainable economic opportunities; ■ Housing, focusing on the provision of sustainable social housing; ■ Transport infrastructure to address a serious con- straint to economic development and reduce merchandise trade costs due to deficient road, port and rail capacity; ■ Mining & Energy to generate growth and necessary income for redistribution programmes, through the responsible use of Colombian’s natural resource endowment based on transparent concession procedures. The National Strategy for International Cooperation 2012-2014: The strategy differentiates between international cooperation received and offered by Colombia. It outlines six broad priority areas for international cooperation destined to Colombia: 1) integral risk management and sustainable reestablishment of communities affected by natural disasters, 2) equality of opportunities for democratic prosperity, 3) economic growth and competitiveness, 4) environment and sustainable development, 5) governance and 6) victims, reconciliation and human rights. Each category regroups several sub-priorities with specific potential lines of intervention. At the same time, it also presents areas where Colombia is offering international cooperation which it expects to reach USD 8 million a year. Colombia 11 2.2 Donor landscape Aid focus and volume: Net ODA reached USD 1 billion in fiscal year 2010 (0.5% of GDP). Against the background of 5 million IDPs and large parts of the rural area still affected by the conflict, donor grants are still heavily focused on humanitarian and social aid often in rural areas. Much of the “economic” development assistance is financed by multilateral loans, making SECO one of the very few donors in that area. Nevertheless, some other bilateral donors have broadened the scope of their programmes traditionally restricted to security and humanitarian activities to also encompass economic development. Bilateral aid: Of the ten major bilateral donors, USAID still takes the lion’s share, with roughly 60% of total net ODA. The top five donors are the US, EU, Spain, Germany and the Netherlands, while Switzerland ranks 2.3 Lessons learnt from 2009-2012 eighth.12 With the current crisis in Europe, this order is likely to change in the coming years. It is also a declared objective of the Colombian national strategy for international cooperation to seek diversification of its aid sources with an increased focus on Asia, particularly China, Korea and Japan. Multilateral assistance: The World Bank Group remains the largest source of development financial assistance with a portfolio of roughly USD 7.5 billion, principally as IBRD loans. Colombia represents the World Bank’s third-largest exposure in Latin America, and the seventh globally. The Inter-American Development Bank’s (IDB) portfolio is roughly USD 3.5 billion, while the CAF’s portfolio is around USD 3 billion, with essentially the same characteristics, i.e. predominantly loans. Donor coordination: Donor coordination to date has generally been restricted to the humanitarian sphere, associated with the “Group of 24” (G24), a group of donors pursuing the objective of intermediating in the dialogue between the government and civil society in relation to the internal conflict. The government had hitherto also played a very limited role in donor coordination, often preferring bilateral interactions. This is likely to change in the future with the establishment of a new Colombian Agency for International Development Cooperation (APC), created in November 2011. The APC is mandated to guide and assume the technical and financial coordination of ODA received and provided by Colombia. In parallel, a new “Donor Group” was also formed at the end of 2011, including multilateral institutions. This aims at better structuring the dialogue with the Colombian government, in particular with the APC. 12 Swiss ODA in Colombia encompasses the programs of SDC, foreign affairs as well as SECO, and represents approximately USD 20 million annually. SECO’s added value may therefore not be in terms of volume but rather in terms of specific knowhow, best practices and a network of international experts. 12 Colombia SECO’s financial and technical assistance helps to improve drinking water and sanitation systems. SECO’s 2009-2012 country strategy for Colombia had proven relevant and in line with Colombia’s national development strategies. Among the major successes were the enactment of several key decrees simplifying the business environment and contributing to significant savings for the private sector at the national and sub-national level, the enactment of a new Law on Consumer Protection and the enactment of a national policy on National Disaster Risk Management. Another major outcome has been the enactment of a decree relating to the private sector’s responsibilities in managing electronic waste and the launching of the first collective compliance scheme for the collection and recycling of electronic waste in Latin America. The measures supported by SECO also helped to raise awareness and transfer knowledge on various innovative issues linked to national priorities, such as the preparation of a national “Green Building” code, the dissemination of corporate governance tools for family businesses, as well as new capital markets regulatory regime requirements. Some important lessons can be drawn from its implementation: Potential role of SECO: The financial additionality of SECO’s potential interventions is at times limited because of the availability of other financial resources. Several of SECO’s areas of work are addressed through huge multilateral and bilateral loans. SECO’s added value may therefore not be in terms of volume but rather in terms of specific knowhow, best practices and a network of international experts. Since national procurement rules complicate access to international experts, international cooperation is often the only means of accessing that expertise for many Colombian public actors. Furthermore, well-targeted, selected activities of a high quality allowed Switzerland to gain visibility and recognition with Colombian counterparts despite its modest contribution in relative terms. Colombia 13 3. Development challenges and SECO’s response Constraints in implementing the Paris Declaration – Using country systems and donor coordination has proven difficult: ■ Use of country system: The current legal frame- ■ Multi-bilateral cooperation: Most multilateral work of international cooperation is characterized by large “grey areas” not conducive to and limiting the use of country systems for cooperation implementation. Channelling ODA through the national budget system often proves administratively complicated as well as time-consuming. As a result, only around 10% of ODA is currently provided through the national budget and many government agencies prefer donors to set up parallel structures, which is clearly sub-optimal. The government has recognized this challenge and acknowledges it explicitly in its 2012-14 cooperation strategy. The APC, responsible for the effective implementation of the strategy, has vowed to streamline existing processes so as to facilitate the use of country systems. Another difficulty has been the complexity in receiving good project proposals, especially from the public sector. In part, this can be explained by their limited experience with grants / international cooperation project management (ODA in 2010 represented only 0.5% of GDP). As a result, deal sourcing and project structuring has proven more complex and time-consuming than expected. agencies face shareholder pressure to increase commitments and staff location in poorer countries (IDA countries), while restricting new operations in uppermiddle-income countries to projects linked to innovation. There is therefore clear pressure to embark on more regional approaches, where IDA countries have the lion’s share, but which also allow for operating in non-IDA countries. This may imply an increasing difficulty in developing multi-bilateral projects in the future, as well as efficiency problems in implementing regional programmes in countries such as Colombia due to the personnel policy of multilateral institutions (hire TA staff in IDA countries only). Based on the context analysis, and recognizing, that a political reform agenda is key to durable systemic change, SECO’s programme in Colombia aligns its interventions with the priorities as defined by the Colombian government in the NDP, the national strategy for inter national cooperation and related sector strategies. With its core competences, SECO is certainly well positioned to effectively and efficiently support Colombia in successfully addressing some of its key development challenges, namely in the field of institutional strengthening, promoting inclusive growth and addressing climate change and unsustainable urban development. Though presented separately, the different objectives overlap to a significant extent, allowing for the creation of synergies and ensuring the overall coherence of SECO’s portfolio in Colombia. Accordingly, a programme or project may address challenges and issues mentioned under different objectives. The development of the financial sector creates new investment opportunities for Colombian and international investors. ■ With the exception of humanitarian aid, donor coordination has been weak. Taking into account that several ministries/agencies generally work on the same issues, and multilateral institutions often support reforms with loans rather than grant money, project coordination is often inefficient and implementation prone to duplication. However, since the creation of the new National Cooperation Agency in November 2011, some promising first advances towards strengthening inter-institutional articulation and coordination can already be recorded. 14 Colombia Colombia 15 Objective 1: Strengthen public institutions to improve service delivery and governance Challenge: In order to fully exploit the potential opportunities, public institutions have to manage resources in a more efficient, effective and transparent way. New technologies (e.g. e-government) can help but, in addition, management capacities need to be improved and effective tools for planning and coordinating policies, programmes and projects put in place. Despite some promising reforms in recent years, bureaucratic red tape persists, and institutional articulation capacity remains generally weak combined with a low tax revenue base, negatively impacting the capacity and quality of public service delivery. Focus: SECO contributes to the institutional strengthening of the public sector with the objective of supporting a more efficient, effective and transparent management of its resources. To this end, management capacities in government institutions at all levels are improved, and effective tools for planning and coordinating policies, programmes and projects put in place with a view to ensuring stable, transparent and accountable public finances and addressing imbalances in service delivery at the national and sub-national level. This pillar also encompasses measures to further strengthen market institutions and improve the economic framework in areas such as financial, trade and business regulations, thereby facilitating the emergence of a competitive private sector. Finally, under this pillar, SECO plans to support public technical agencies in charge of implementing the government’s leading initiatives (i.e. land reform) through capacity building measures. Proposed SECO measures: Support stable macroeconomic framework conditions through targeted implementation assistance in the realm of monetary policy (macroeconomic analysis, international reserve management, macro-prudential supervision, etc.) Contribute to an improved investment climate through targeted business environment reforms Improve the managerial capacity of selected public technical entities Support public financial management reforms with a particular emphasis on tax policy and administration (including domestic tax simplifications, natural resource taxation and green taxation), fiscal decentralization and public service delivery at a sub-national level Assist the enhancement of the regulatory and supervisory framework of financial intermediaries (pension funds, banks, insurances), including the establishment of an efficient AML/CFT framework Contribution to Colombia’s country development objectives: Colombia’s strategy for international cooperation defines good public governance as a key requisite to achieving its overarching goal of democratic prosperity. The proposed measures aim at supporting Colombia in its effort to advance institutional strengthening at the national and sub-national level as a means of improving governance. Given the transversal character of strong public institutions, measures under this component will also contribute to all other five priority objectives of the Colombian cooperation strategy. SECO contributes to the institutional strengthening of the public sector with the objective of supporting a more efficient, effective and transparent management of its resources. 16 Colombia Objective 2: Enhance international competitiveness to achieve more inclusive growth and reduce inequalities Challenge: Colombia is characterized by one of the highest income-inequality rates globally. Despite persistently remarkable growth rates in the past decade, income and regional disparities have been rising. This is partly due to very low levels of productivity and a high concentration of economic activity in the primary resource sector and the major urban centres. Its economy is further characterized by high levels of informality, hampering competition and limiting SME access to finance and foreign markets. Therefore, the productive structure needs to be diversified and professional and technical training improved to generate more goodquality jobs and develop a more equitable society. These different constraints to private sector development need to be tackled in order to enhance Colombia’s international competitiveness. Focus: SECO supports Colombia’s efforts to maintain sustained and dynamic growth and for the growth pattern to become more inclusive. To this end, constraints to private sector growth are addressed, such as low factor productivity, insufficient financial market deepening and barriers to market access. The creation of a more conducive business environment will provide for more enterprises to enter the formal sector. This will reinforce SME competitiveness gains and further improve their access to finance and foreign markets. For growth to be sustainable, resources need to be used more efficiently and biodiversity preserved. Adequate entrepreneurial skills and good corporate governance further increase sustainability and positively impact economic performance. In order for growth to be more inclusive, this pillar also encompasses measures to promote innovation and the diversification of the economy to unlock new drivers for growth. Reforms of the productive structure coupled with improved vocational training are crucial for inclusive growth to generate more good-quality jobs and develop a more equitable society. SECO supports Colombia’s efforts to maintain sustained and dynamic growth and for the growth pattern to become more inclusive. Proposed SECO measures: Support economic diversification Enhance Colombia’s trade capacity to enable compliance with international standards and create export networks Assist the implementation of better governance structures to improve management and performance capacities of SMEs, leading to a decrease in bankruptcy/liquidation rates Support the provision of new innovative finance mechanisms to facilitate access to (longterm) financing and carbon finance Support efforts to reduce the mismatch between vocational training programmes on offer and the skills required by the market to improve employability and labour productivity Support industrial resource efficiency, leading to increased competitiveness and a lower “environmental footprint” Contribution to Colombia’s country development objectives: Measures under this component will particularly contribute to the two priority objectives of promoting economic growth and competitiveness and encouraging equality of opportunities for democratic prosperity. Colombia 17 Objective 3: Strengthen climate change risk management and sustainable urban development to mitigate the impact of climate change and manage rapidly growing urbanization Challenge: Natural threats, like the recent flooding, have shown that Colombia is one of the most vulnerable countries to climate change. This vulnerability is further exacerbated by rapid and erratic urbanization. This calls for strengthening disaster risk management policies and information systems in line with the newly established National Disaster Risk Management System (SNGRD) as well as urban development and management, focusing on sustainability aspects. Indeed, the rapid pace of growing urbanization poses specific challenges in terms of access to water and energy services, waste management and sanitation, as well as urban policies and planning in general, so as to create greener and more sustainable cities over time. Focus: SECO supports Colombia in its effort to strengthen climate risk management policies and information systems, focusing on climate-relevant information and data. This will allow Colombia to define and implement specific environmental policies and strategies in alignment with the priorities of the National Disaster Risk Management System (SNGRD), in terms of both adaptation to and mitigation of climate change. SECO also supports Colombia’s efforts to strengthen sustainable urban management. Key areas of support include integrated waste management systems including sanitation, urban planning, sustainable construction and housing, as well as the promotion of renewable/ non-conventional energies. SECO’s support in this field is aimed at contributing to the gradual emergence of greener and more sustainable cities over time, factoring in climate change risks and vulnerabilities. 18 Colombia Modality mix Economic governance and gender as cross-cutting issues SECO will continue to pursue a mix of modalities. Its programme will be implemented in line with the principles of Aid and Development Effectiveness: SECO will seek to align its programme with the government’s priorities and to harmonize it with other donors’ activities. SECO’s programme will be reinforced by thorough policy dialogue with key government partners and, whenever possible, will refer to country systems in order to foster ownership and effective institutions. To ensure effective development cooperation, SECO is committed to building capacity and interacting closely with public and private actors. Assistance will be provided through a mix of modalities of technical assistance and capacity building, predominantly on a specific project basis, either bilaterally, directly with the Colombian counterpart(s), or by co-financing a multilateral organization’s project and clearly defined and closely monitored investment projects. Given the public-private character of many interventions, particularly in the case of urban infrastructure, Public Private Partnership models may be an effective structure for efficient resource allocation and effective implementation, especially with a view to innovative initiatives. Finally, country specific measures are complemented by multi-country or even global programmes co-financed by SECO and implemented generally by multilateral organizations. The reinforcement of economic governance in the partner countries is an essential component of SECO’s support for the integration of partner countries into the global economy and the promotion of sustainable economic growth. Economic governance comprises all institutions, regulations, judiciary systems and norms that promote the effectiveness, non-discrimination, legitimacy and accountability of economic activity and therefore contribute to combating corruption. The majority of SECO’s interventions strengthen good economic governance at public and private levels. Proposed SECO measures: Support Colombia by enhancing its capacity with respect to environmental analysis, enabling it to collect and evaluate environmental and climate data in an up-to-date manner Facilitate Colombia’s market-readiness for new carbon market schemes Improve the managerial capacity of public services enterprises to enable financially sustainable operation and a better public service offering Support the establishment of specific environmental regulations (e.g. Green Building Code; energy labelling) to make existing growth drivers sustainable Support sustainable urban development and planning, including water and sanitation approaches Promote renewable energy solutions in order to contribute to a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions Improve Colombia’s institutional capacity to devise and implement cost-effective financial strategies for the fiscal protection of the state against natural disasters Contribution to Colombia’s country development objectives: The proposed measures are expected to contribute particularly to Colombia’s objective in the priority field of environment and sustainable development with its various sub-objectives, such as improved preparedness to climate change and sustainable urban development. SECO sees gender equality as an important element of poverty reduction and improving the economic prospects of partner countries. No projects should place women or men at a disadvantage. The gender dimension is integrated into project design and implementation, where it can contribute to the greater effectiveness of SECO’s projects. SECO’s activities are complementary to those of other Swiss cooperation actors. In addition to SECO’s economic development activities, Switzerland has been engaged in the fields of peace building and human rights for over ten years. Pursuing the overall objective of supporting the transformation of the internal conflict, this programme focuses its activities on the areas of improved human rights, dealing with the past processes and support for the civil society. Furthermore, Colombia is also a priority country for Switzerland’s humanitarian aid, focusing on protecting and improving the living conditions of the population hardest hit by the internal conflict and also on emergency relief. Colombia 19 4. Financial resources 5. Results monitoring SECO’s interventions under this strategy will be financed through the Swiss Framework Credit for International Cooperation 2013-16. The allocation of funds to individual countries, programmes and projects will depend on the identification of suitable transactions, the absorption capacity as well as the efficiency and effectiveness of the cooperation with the relevant partners in each priority country. The following table provides an overview of the future economic cooperation with the proposed monitoring and evaluation indicators at the outcome level and alignment with the Colombian development objectives. Accordingly, the following information on planned commitments for the four-year period of this strategy is indicative. It cannot be considered a firm commitment or claimed as such by the partner country. This information serves merely as a basis for the forward spending plans that are reviewed each year. Actual disbursements will depend on various factors, such as the changes in the project portfolio and the framework conditions of the partner country. Strengthening e-waste management allows for local recovery of valuable or dangerous metals/substances and supports the development of a recycling industry. Planned commitments for Colombia 2013-2016 CHF 55 million* The monitoring and evaluation indicators are selected examples; the success of implementation of this country Projected funds allocated to each strategic objective: 1. Strengthening public institutions 25% 2. E nhancing international competitiveness 30% 3. C limate change risk management and sustainable urban development 45% *Colombia also benefits from regional and global initiatives financed by SECO. When these measures cannot be earmarked to a specific country, they are not accounted for in the financial projections mentioned above. strategy will be measured in relation to the projects implemented by SECO. The different projects agreed upon will contain some of these indicators. This will make SECO and the Colombian partners accountable with regard to what has been achieved by the projects implemented in the framework of this country strategy. It is not SECO’s intention to measure Colombia’s development objectives as a whole. SECO’s overall objective for Colombia Support Colombia in its pursuit of economically, ecologically and socially sustainable growth to combat poverty and inequality and to pave the way towards beneficial and balanced integration into the world economy. Main objectives of SECO’s interventions Contribution by SECO’s program Colombia’s country development objectives 13 Objective 1: Strengthen public institutions to improve service delivery and governance • Economic reforms and improved financial policy lead to a transparent fiscal policy and a more reliable administration of public finances in Colombia • Institutional strengthening at national and sub-national level through – Transparency and accountability – Effective public management – Efforts to combat corruption – Improved public services – Strengthened monitor and evaluation systems – Adequate and effective fiscal control – Transversal support of the decentralization process (institutional strengthening) … to improve service delivery and governance Selected indicators: Public access to key financial information; PEFA indicators • Enhanced regulation and supervision of the financial sector (including in the area of AML/CFT) contribute to a stable, diversified and competitive financial market Selected indicators: Number and type of relevant measures for financial market regulation and super vision; compliance with FATF 40+9 recommendations • An improved business environment and efficient regulation framework promote competitiveness Selected indicators: “Doing Business” Indicators; number and type of impeding procedures eliminated; number and type of reforms • Support the reparation, restitution and reconciliation process (implementation of law 1448) through – Support for the consolidation of information and registry systems – Technical support for cadastral information • Improved information systems and technical capacities of public institutions support better economic policy formulation, implementation of national regulation as well as international agreements Selected indicators: Number and type of reforms; government efficiency indicators 20 Colombia Colombia 21 Main objectives of SECO’s interventions Contribution by SECO’s program Colombia’s country development objectives 13 Objective 2: Enhance international competitiveness to achieve more inclusive growth and reduce inequalities • Improved access to long-term investment capital through innovative and efficient financing instruments creates new jobs • Increased competitiveness of the economy and enhanced productivity of companies through – Strengthened commercial capacity for the implementation and the benefit of trade agreements recognizing Colombia’s environmental potential – Deepening of training strategies and SME assistance in corporate governance, environmental management and access to finance – Strengthened value chain organization focusing on adherence to international quality standards … to achieve more inclusive growth and to reduce inequalities Selected indicators: Number of jobs retained and created; type and number of new financing products created and in demand • More efficient production capacities improve SME productivity and international competitiveness Selected indicators: Number of producers with a higher net income; number of jobs retained and created • Strengthened entrepreneurship promotes the creation of new businesses and enhances the success of existing ones Selected indicators: Number of companies supported that receive a loan; number of entrepreneurs trained Objective 3: Strengthen climate risk management and sustainable urban development … to mitigate the impact of climate change and manage rapidly growing urbanization • Improve climate change mitigation policy formulation and implementation, including information and data management Selected indicators: Number and type of policy initiatives and reforms implemented; reduction in CO2 emissions • Create equal opportunities through better professional education • Better climate risk management through – Strengthened national and sub-national risk and climate-relevant information and management systems 6. Partner institutions In the past, most of SECO’s programmes in Colombia were carried out by its strategic partners, often multilateral institutions, with proven programme approaches and methodologies. These will remain important partners for SECO in Colombia. However, with a local presence now in Colombia, SECO will increasingly work directly with local partners, both public and private. Indeed, certain national and sub-national public entities, the national umbrella organization of the chambers of commerce, selected chambers of commerce and selected business associations have already become important project partners, directly or indirectly. These partnerships will be further strengthened under the present strategy. This is particularly true for measures related to the private sector development. Private sector support is crucial for the sustainability and effectiveness of such reforms. Their success depends largely on their ability to address and respond to effective private sector needs. It is therefore indispensable that these requirements be adequately taken into account and for the private sector to participate in the reform process. • Design of more efficient systems of waste water management, including sludge management • Enhance public utilities management and overall framework conditions to improve water supply as well as solid waste and wastewater management Selected indicator: Number of people having access to improved public utilities • Promote sustainable urban development and management • Better environmental urban management through: – sustainable cities developmentsystems – implementation of integrated waste management models Colombia is a highly urbanized country with 70-75% of the population living in urban areas posing specific challenges in terms of providing good public services. Selected indicator: Number and type of relevant measures • Increase financial resilience to natural disasters and improve the capacity to meet post-disaster funding needs without compromising fiscal balances Selected indicators: Type and number of new financing products created and in demand The strategy will be monitored on an annual basis, with the following purposes: Institutional learning: Documentation and replication of best practices or lessons learnt Monitoring of relevance, topicality, efficiency and effectiveness of SECO’s programmes and projects (and corrections/adaptations where necessary) Accountability: • between the field and headquarters • to the public • to the partner country 22 Colombia SECO’s strategy is aligned with the development strategy of Colombia. Therefore, the annual country strategy monitoring also seeks to verify that SECO’s portfolio does indeed contribute to the achievement of Colombia’s development goals. Adaptive or corrective measures will be implemented if major changes occur in the country context or development goals. 13 Based on Colombia’s national strategy for international cooperation 2012-2014 Colombia 23 Abbreviation Institution Local partners APC Agencia Presidencial de Cooperación Internacional Bancoldex Banco de Comercio Exterior de Colombia Confecamaras Confederación de Cámaras de Comercio de Colombia CAMACOL Cámara Colombiana de Construcción CNPMLTA Centro Nacional de Producción más Limpia y Tecnologías Ambientales DIAN Dirección de Aduanas e Impuestos Nacionales DNP Departamento Nacional de Planeación MADS Ministerio de Ambiente y Desarrollo Sostenible MCIT Ministerio de Comercio, Industria y Turismo MHCP Ministerio de Hacienda y Crédito Publico MINMINAS Ministerio de Minas y Energía MINTIC Ministerio de Tecnologías de Información y las Comunicaciones MVCT Ministerio de Vivienda, Ciudad y Territorio ProExport Superintendencia Financiera UNGRD 7. Statistical annex The following data from the respective years are based on statistics from the World Bank and other inter- national bodies, including the IMF 14, the World Economic Forum, the ILO and the UNDP. Sustainable Growth* 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (proj.) 2013 (proj.) GDP per capita (current international USD) 5.303 5.189 6.312 7.132 8.127 8.359 3.5 1.7 4.0 6.0 4.7 4.4 – – 69 68 68 – Real GDP growth (annual %) Global Competitiveness Index (rank) Superintendencia de Industria y Comercio External Debt Stocks (% of GDP) 19.0 22.1 21.8 – – – Superintendencia de Sociedades Government Gross Debt (% of GDP) 30.8 35.9 36.1 34.7 32.3 32.4 Gross Capital Formation (% of GDP) 23 22 24 – – – Inflation, average consumer prices (annual %) 7.0 4.2 2.3 3.4 3.5 3.1 55.3 61.5 65.6 – – – 7.4 6.9 5.7 – – – Unidad Nacional para la Gestión de Riesgo en Desastres Swiss partners COMCO Swiss Competition Commission EMPA Federal Material Testing Laboratory FiBL Swiss Research Institute for Organic Agriculture IPI Swiss Federal Institute for Intellectual Property SIFEM Swiss Investment Fund for Emerging Markets SIPPO Swiss Import Promotion Programme Swiss-contact Swisscontact Foundation Domestic credit provided by banking sector (% of GDP) Interest rate spread 15 International partners 24 Colombia AFD Agence Française de Développement HEID Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies IDB Inter-American Development Bank IFC International Finance Cooperation ILO International Labour Organization IMF International Monetary Fund ITC International Trade Centre KFW Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau PPIAF (WB) Public Private Infrastructure Advisory Facility UNCTAD United Nations Conference on Trade and Development UNIDO United Nations Industrial Development Organization UNDP United Nation Development Programme USAID United States Agency for International Development WB World Bank Strengthened integration in the world economy* 2008 2009 2010 2011 Exports of goods and services (E) (% of GDP) 18.2 20.4 16.3 – Imports of goods and services (I) (% of GDP) 20.4 16.3 18.3 – FDI (net inflows, BoP, current USD) (millions) 10.596 7.137 6.914 – 14 International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2012 15 Lending rate minus deposit rate (%) Colombia 25 Reduction of disparities* 2008 2009 2010 2011 57 57 56 – 11.4 12.0 11.8 10.8 Poverty headcount ratio at national poverty line (% of population) 46 45.5 – – Improved water source, urban (% of population with access) 99 – 99 – Improved sanitation facilities, urban (% of population) 55 – 82 – – 93.6 – – 2008 2009 2010 2011 53 37 39 42 – 97 99 87 a) Government Effectiveness (%) 56.3 53.6 60.8 – b) Regulatory Quality (%) 59.2 56.0 60.3 – c) Rule of Law (%) 39.9 42.7 45.0 – d) Control of Corruption (%) 51.0 49.3 43.1 – 2008 2009 2010 2011 CO2 emissions / population (tonnes per capita) 1.35 1.33 – – Share of renewable energy of TPES (%) 27.7 25.1 – – Energy use per unit of GDP (tonnes of oil equivalent per thousand US dollars) 18 0.08 0.08 – – Gini index 16 Unemployment rate (%), labour force survey Access to electricity (%) Improvement of economic governance* Ease of Doing Business (rank) Trade Across Borders (rank) Notes Governance Indicators of the World Bank:17 Improvement of environmental conditions* * Missing data due to one of the following reasons: – Depending on source, no projections available – Statistics collected only on perennial base – Data for the respective year not yet available 16 A value of 0 represents absolute equality, and a value of 100 absolute inequality. 17 Percentile rank indicates the percentage of countries worldwide that rate below the selected country. Higher values indicate better governance ratings. 18 The GDP data have been compiled for individual countries at market prices in local currency and annual rates. These data have been scaled up/down to the price levels of 2000 and then converted to US dollars using the yearly average exchange rates of 2000 or purchasing power parities (PPPs). 26 Colombia Colombia 27 Federal Department of Economic Affairs, Education and Research EAER State Secretariat for Economic Affairs SECO Imprint Federal Department of Economic Affairs, Education and Research (EAER) State Secretariat for Economic Affairs SECO Holzikofenweg 36 CH-3003 Berne Phone +41 31 324 09 10 www.seco-cooperation.ch [email protected] Editing/Coordination: SECO Cooperation Graphic Design/Concept: Casalini, Berne www.casalini.ch Project Photos: SECO/Alejandro Chaparro Copies may be ordered from [email protected] Phone +41 31 324 09 10 Berne 2013