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NHS Right Care Deep Dive Northern, Eastern and Western Devon Clinical Commissioning Group Infectious Diseases South, Central and West Commissioning Support Unit October 2015 NEW Devon Deep Dive - Summary Report Table of figures Figure 1: Programme budget expenditure on infectious diseases. 2013/14 ......................................... 3 Figure 2: Infectious Diseases Primary Care Prescribing items and spend compared to national quintile performance……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..………………E rror! Bookmark not defined. Figure 3: Infectious Diseases outpatient spend, NEW Devon (highlighted yellow) compared with all CCGs in England. ..................................................................................................................................... 7 Figure 4: Infectious Diseases directly standardised non elective admission rates, NEW Devon compared with CCGs across England…………………………………………………………………………………………………9 Figure 5: Infectious Diseases directly standardised non elective admission rates, for NEW Devon CCG practice……………………………………………………………….........................…………………………………………………….9 2 NEW Devon Deep Dive - Summary Report Overview Figure 1: Programme budget expenditure on Infectious Diseases. 2013/14 Source: NHS England CCG Outpatient spend is in the highest quintile and so suggests some significant opportunity, however the varied national picture means this should be interpreted with caution There is some smaller opportunity in Elective/Day Case and Primary Care Prescribing, although the CCG benchmarks well for antibacterial drugs – by far the highest spending prescribing sub-category Although not an outlier, there may be some opportunity in A&E and Non-elective admissions for certain conditions Outcomes for Infectious Diseases area are mixed, with room for improvement in antibiotic prescribing and CD4 count tests for those diagnosed with HIV Areas under investigation* Septicaemia Other viral infection HIV/AIDS Measles Rubella Tuberculosis Mumps Meningococcal infection Herpesviral infection Retrovirus infections Haemophilus influenzae Other infectious diseases *including but not limited to 3 NEW Devon Deep Dive - Summary Report Key messages Outcomes are mixed with the CCG showing opportunity for improvement in its antibiotic prescribing and CD4 count test for those diagnosed with HIV. Childhood immunisation rates are good on the whole, however rates of five-year-olds receiving their booster also show room for improvement. Infectious Diseases are split into two subcategories with HIV/AIDS separated from all Other infectious Diseases. Data is not available for the majority of care sectors for HIV & AIDs, however the Programme Budget data for 2013/14 suggests potential for some savings in primary care prescribing - in the region of £40,000 - £80,000 - as NEW Devon CCG falls in the fourth highest spending national quintile. 90% of admissions in three diagnosis groups which is not a dis-similar pattern to national picture. There is however, significant variation between practices which may present opportunity if this could be addressed. The CCG benchmarks well on A&E spend in this area, and volumes are steady or declining and are fairly low. It is worth noting however, that Septicaemia which shows high inpatient activity - isn’t categorised under Infectious Diseases for A&E but in Blood Disorders. When we view this category it can be seen that A&E attendances are rising, which may be impacting upon admissions. For Other Infectious Diseases more data is available and the total spend is more significant allowing better review. Primary Care Prescribing spend falls within the middle quintile, and whilst spend for the largest sub-category – antibacterial drugs – is relatively low, the other four categories all show opportunity when viewed alongside the national picture and similar CCGs. The largest opportunity within the Infectious Diseases category presents in outpatients, although there is massive variation in the levels of spend in this area across the country. This could well be because of the availability of specialist clinics, or the coding of data across providers (or both), and so a moredetailed review of the pathway might be required here. In terms of non-elective admissions, the CCG benchmarks around the national average. This is true for both total Infectious Diseases and for the most common diagnosis – Viral Infection Unspecified. NEW Devon sees over 4 NEW Devon Deep Dive - Summary Report Population/Outcomes The NHS Atlas of Variation in Healthcare 2015 includes a quality indicator for antibiotic prescribing the percentage of all antibiotic prescription items in primary care that were for key antibiotics (2013). In primary care, antibiotics from these classes are widely considered to be ‘second-line’ treatment options for the most common community-acquired infections. Indiscriminate use creates unnecessary selection pressure for resistant pathogens including Clostridium Difficile. The goal is the reduction in proportion of broad-spectrum antibiotic items to less than 10% of total antibiotic items by CCG by 2018. In England in 2013, the median proportion of prescription items for key antibiotics (cephalosporin, fluoroquinolone and co-amoxiclav classes) in primary care by CCG was 11% of total antibiotic items. In NEW Devon CCG, the value of this indicator is 12.3%, i.e. above the 10% goal and in the fourth highest national quintile. The median for the 10 most similar CCGs was 10.9%, and for the best performing quintile 7.6%. Therefore, there is room for improvement in this indicator in NEW Devon, which as well as improving the quality of care may also generate financial savings, as - in general first line antibiotics have a lower cost than second line. Another quality indicator in this area is the percentage of people newly diagnosed with HIV who had a CD4 count test within one month of diagnosis. For optimal outcomes, people with newly diagnosed HIV infection require rapid access to HIV specialist services for clinical assessment, so that an appropriate management plan can be developed. The British HIV Association recommends that people who have a new diagnosis of HIV should expect to have a clinical assessment within two weeks of an HIV positive test result. Receipt of a CD4 count, a blood test measuring a patient’s immune status, can be used to assess an individual’s linkage to HIV care and is therefore monitored; the British HIV Association target is >95%. In NEW Devon CCG the value for this indicator is 93.2%, in the second best national quintile and exceeding the median for the 10 most similar CCGs, 90.3%. Although performing well from a national perspective, the median for the best quintile is 100% and the target of >95% has yet to be reached. In 2014/15, for immunisations with the 5 in 1 vaccine (diphtheria, tetanus, whooping cough, polio and Haemophilus influenzae type b) at 12 months age, 96.4% children in NEW Devon CCG had been immunised. This puts NEW Devon CCG in the second highest national quintile. The median for the 10 most similar CCGS was 95.6% - bettered by NEW Devon CCG - but that for the best performing quintile was 97.6%. For NEW Devon this would equate to the additional immunisation of 112 children. The percentage of immunisations achieved with the 5 in 1 vaccine was 98.2% for children aged 24 months - in the top national quintile, exceeding the median of the 10 similar CCGs and close to the median of the top quintile, 96.5%. However, the percentage of children aged 5 years old in NEW Devon CCG who have received the booster immunisation (diphtheria, tetanus, whooping cough and polio) was only 92.1% - in the third national quintile. This was just below the median for the 10 similar CCGs, 92.5%, and 3.6% below 6 NEW Devon Deep Dive - Summary Report the highest quintile. To achieve this level of performance, an additional 357 children would have to be immunised at age 5 years in NEW Devon CCG. Primary care Overall NEW Devon CCG spend on Primary Care Prescribing for infectious disease drugs falls within the middle quintile when compared with CCGs nationwide (figure 1). Deeper analysis for different categories of drugs reveals that NEW Devon CCG performs well on antibacterial drugs - by far the largest category - being in the second lowest spending quintile. However, prescribing at the level of the median of the lowest spending quintile would have the potential to save £340,000. Items Spend Figure 2: Infectious Diseases Primary Care Prescribing items and spend compared to national quintile performance Source: Health and Social Care Information Centre NEW Devon CCG primary care prescribing for antifungal drugs, antiviral drugs, antiprotozoal drugs and anthelmintics is in the two highest spending quintiles. However, as overall spend on these drug categories is relatively small - £545,000, maximum savings if the median of the lowest spending quintile was achieved would be £214,000. Spend per 100,000 (£000s) Difference with NEW Devon spend per 100,000 (£000s) Saving opportunity (£000s) National median 344.9 9.3 84.8 National best quintile median 297.6 56.6 512.7 Similar 10 CCGs median 346.5 7.7 69.4 Reduction scenario Table 1: Savings opportunities for NEW Devon CCG in infectious diseases primary care prescribing actual spend Source: Health and Social Care Information Centre Planned Care Overall NEW Devon CCG spend on outpatients in this area is high, being in the highest national quintile. There is however, significant variation between CCG spend across the country and so this information should be treated with caution. Figure 3 below highlights such variation – which could be driven by the availability of specialist outpatient clinics. The NEW Devon CCG rate of £179,033 per 100,000 of the population compares to the national top quintile median of £2,290, and the similar 6 NEW Devon Deep Dive - Summary Report CCGs median of £8,871. Figure 3: Infectious Diseases outpatient spend, NEW Devon (highlighted yellow) compared with all CCGs in England Source: NHS England With the above in mind, based on moving to a series of selected benchmarks there may be opportunity for savings of between £1.1M - £1.6M. Spend per 100,000 (£000s) Difference with NEW Devon spend per 100,000 (£000s) Saving opportunity (£000s) National median 56.0 123.1 1115.7 National best quintile median 2.5 176.5 1600.4 Similar 10 CCGs median 13.7 165.3 1498.7 Reduction scenario Table 2: Savings opportunities for NEW Devon CCG in Infectious diseases outpatient spend In terms of elective/day case admissions, whilst the CCG’s spend is in the second highest quintile nationally the associated savings are relatively small and there does not appear to be a pattern in terms of specific high-spending areas. The opportunities in this area are summarised below: Spend per 100,000 (£000s) Difference with NEW Devon spend per 100,000 (£000s) Saving opportunity (£000s) National median 36.8 -3.1 None National best quintile median 9.3 24.4 221.5 Similar 10 CCGs median 27.8 6.0 54.1 Reduction scenario Table 3: Savings opportunities for NEW Devon CCG in Infectious diseases elective/day case spend Non Elective The CCG does not benchmark high for non-elective spend, falling in the second lowest quintile nationally. This is true for both the total infectious diseases category and for the most common diagnosis, ‘Viral infection, unspecified’ when viewed alone. When reviewing admission rates and 7 NEW Devon Deep Dive - Summary Report standardising for the make-up of the population, the CCG still falls within the middle of all CCGs nationally (figure 3). Figure 4: Infectious Diseases directly standardised non elective admission rates, NEW Devon compared with CCGs across England There is however, some fairly significant variation in standardised admission rates across the practices within NEW Devon CCG. Figure 5 shows an almost six-fold variation between the highest and the lowest practice which, if addressed, could deliver a significant reduction in non-elective admissions. Figure 5: Infectious Diseases directly standardised non elective admission rates, for NEW Devon CCG practices 8 NEW Devon Deep Dive - Summary Report Given NEW Devon does not benchmark significantly high when compared to the national median or similar CCGs, table 4 below shows the opportunity if the CCGs were to move the national best quintile by addressing some of the variation identified in figure 5. Non-Elective admissions Spend per 100,000 (£000s) Difference to NEW Devon (£000s) Saving Opportunity (£000s) 408.5 -50.5 None 306 52.1 472.2 389.8 -31.7 None National Median National best quintile Median Similar 10 CCGs median Table 4: Savings opportunities for NEW Devon CCG in Infectious diseases Non-elective spend Table 5 below shows the diagnoses under which these non-elective admissions are falling. Admissions for NEW Devon CCG fall largely under the main three diagnoses – a picture not dissimilar to the national picture. England NEW Devon NEW Devon % % Adms ICD 10 Code B349 Viral infection, unspecified 49% 46% 1313 A419 Septicaemia, unspecified 23% 22% 629 R509 Fever, unspecified 14% 15% 442 A415 Septicaemia due to other Gram-negative organisms 3% 3% 93 B019 Varicella without complication 2% 1% 38 B279 Infectious mononucleosis, unspecified 1% 2% 52 B029 Zoster without complication 1% 1% 27 A410 Septicaemia due to Staphylococcus aureus 1% 1% 27 A418 Other specified septicaemia 1% 1% 15 Other 5% 8% Diagnosis Description Table 5: Non-elective Admissions for Infectious Diseases during 2014/15 by Primary Diagnosis A&E As with non-elective admissions, the CCG benchmarks well for A&E spend being in the lowest national quintile (figure 1). Table 6 below shows the distribution of the relatively low numbers of A&E attendances within the category (Note that Plymouth NHS Trust data is excluded from the A&E data below because there was no coding for 2013-14 and 2014-15). 9 NEW Devon Deep Dive - Summary Report Diagnosis 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 Infectious disease 404 330 318 Viral infection of unspecified site 10 6 2 Fever of unknown origin 4 1 3 Other septicaemia 2 4 1 Zoster [herpes zoster] 1 1 Unspecified parasitic disease 1 Bacterial infection of unspecified site 1 Other diseases caused by chlamydiae 1 Grand Total 422 343 325 Table 6: A&E Attendances for Infectious Diseases during 2014/15 by Diagnosis (excluding Plymouth NHS Trust) Attendances appear to be falling across years, however it should be noted that Septicaemia diagnoses - for which inpatient activity is high - are not categorised under 01X Infectious Diseases but under PB Category 03X – Blood Disorders. Table 7 below shows A&E attendances for the diagnoses which make up Blood Disorders, and show a doubling in attendances under Septicaemia in two years. This may partly be a switch in coding as it shows the opposite impact to the information in Table 6, however would warrant further investigation to understand the reasons for this rise and whether there was opportunity in this area. Diagnosis 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 Septicaemia 84 123 199 Haematological conditions 20 20 30 Other 4 4 3 108 147 232 Grand Total Table 7: A&E Attendances for Blood Disorders during 2014/15 by Diagnosis (excluding Plymouth NHS Trust) Opportunities Primary Prescribing Reducing Primary Care Prescribing spend: between £69,400 – £512,700 Planned Care - Outpatients Reducing Outpatient spend: between £1.1M - £1.6M Planned Care – Elective and Day Case Reducing Elective/Daycase spend: between £0 - £221,500 Unscheduled care – Non-electives Reducing Non-elective spend: between £0 - £472,200 10 NEW Devon Deep Dive - Summary Report Data sources Data source Programme budgeting Time period 2013/14 Link https://www.england.nhs.uk/resources/resourcesfor-ccgs/prog-budgeting/ HSCIC CCG Prescribing data (FP10) HSCIC Lifestyle Statistics Hospital Episode Statistics (HSCIC) NHS Atlas of Variation in Healthcare ONS Population Statistics 2014/15 http://www.hscic.gov.uk/gpprescribingdata 2013/14 http://www.hscic.gov.uk/lifestyles 2014/15 http://www.hscic.gov.uk/hes (access by permission only) http://www.rightcare.nhs.uk/index.php/atlas/nhsatlas-of-variation-in-healthcare-2015 http://ons.gov.uk/ons/taxonomy/ index.html?nscl=Population 2015 2014/15 11