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Social welfare and price changes Udayan Roy ECO61 Microeconomic Analysis Fall 2008 Price changes and consumer wellbeing • We have seen that price changes take the consumer from one indifference curve to another • Can we say something quantitative about the effect of a given price change on the consumer’s welfare? Consumer’s well-being • Can we measure the effect of a price change on the consumer’s well-being? • Economists use three concepts: – Compensating variation: what change in income would restore the consumer’s well-being to what it was before the price change – Equivalent variation: what change in the consumer’s income would have an equal effect on the consumer’s well-being as the price change – Change in consumer’s surplus: area to the left of the demand curve between the before and after prices L1 and I1 PD = price of DVDs = $20 PC = price of CDs = $15 M = Income = $300. Choice: e1 D, Movie DVDs, Units per year Compensating Variation 22.5 L* L2 and I2 PD = price of DVDs = $20 PC = price of CDs = $30 M = Income = $300. Choice: e2 15 L1 L* and I1 PD = price of DVDs = $20 PC = price of CDs = $30 M = Income = $450. Choice: e* L2 e* e1 e2 I1 CV = 450 – 300 = $150 I2 6 Income effect = -3 9 12 20 C, Music CDs Units peryear Substitution effect = -3 Total effect = -6 = Substitution Effect + Income Effect = -3 + (-3) 15 L1 and I1 PD = price of DVDs = $20 PC = price of CDs = $15 M = Income = $300. Choice: e1 D, Movie DVDs, Units per year Equivalent Variation L2 and I2 PD = price of DVDs = $20 PC = price of CDs = $30 M = Income = $300. Choice: e2 15 L1 L* and I2 PD = price of DVDs = $20 PC = price of CDs = $15 M = Income = $200. Choice: e* L2 10 L* e1 e2 e* I1 I2 6 8 12 20 C, Music CDs Units peryear EV = 300 – 200 = $100 Change in consumer surplus PC 30 15 Demand C • The area to the left of the demand curve for CDs between the before ($15) and after ($30) prices is another dollar measure of the welfare effect of the price change • How does this measure compare to our other two measures, CV and EV? L1 and I1 PD = price of DVDs = $20 PC = price of CDs = $15 M = Income = $300. Choice: e1 D, Movie DVDs, Units per year EV = CV when there is no income effect • • 20 L1* • 15 L1 The indifference curves have been drawn parallel to each other They have the same slope at any specific value of C. This is the reason why there is no income effect on the consumption of CDs L2 and I2 PD = price of DVDs = $20 PC = price of CDs = $30 M = Income = $300. Choice: e2 EV = CV = $100 L2 e1 10 L2* e2 I1 I2 6 8 20 C, Music CDs Units peryear The common value of EV and CV in this case is also equal to the dollar value of the amount of DVDs that would compensate for or be equivalent to the changes in the price of CDs. Well-being and the demand curve • When a change in the price of good X has no income effect on the consumption of good X, the equivalent and compensating variations of the price change are consistent dollar measures of the effect of the price change on the well-being of the consumer • The EV and CV of a price change can also be measured by making use of the demand curve Willingness to pay and the height of the demand curve • The height of the demand curve tells us a lot about the PX consumer’s well-being • When the quantity of good X is 12, the height of our demand curve tells us that the $20 price of good X is $20 • But the theory of consumer choice tells us that this must also be the dollar value of the additional amount of good Y that would be just as desirable as an additional unit of good X. Rational choice implies PX/PY = MRSXY. Therefore, PX = PYMRSXY. PYMRSXY Demand 12 X Willingness to pay • The consumer’s willingness to pay for an additional CD is measured by the dollar value of the additional amount of DVDs that would have an equal effect on the consumer’s well-being CDs Willingness to Pay First 100 Second 80 Third 70 Fourth 50 10 The Demand Curve Price of CD $100 First CD bought at this price 80 Second CD bought Willingness to Pay First 100 Second 80 Third 70 Fourth 50 3rd CD 70 4th CD 50 Demand 0 CDs 1 2 3 4 The height of the demand curve at any quantity shows the willingness to pay of whoever bought the last unit. Quantity of CDs Area of a Rectangle Area = Width × Height Height Width 12 Willingness to pay equals the area under the Demand Curve CDs Willingness to Pay First 100 Second 80 Third 70 Fourth 50 (a) Price = $80.01 Price of CD $100 The area under the demand curve measures the total willingness to pay for the quantity demanded. 80 70 50 Demand 0 1 Willingness to pay for 1st CD ($100) 2 3 4 Quantity of Albums Willingness to pay equals the area under the Demand Curve CDs Willingness to Pay First 100 Second 80 Third 70 Fourth 50 (b) Price = $70.01 Price of CD $100 The area under the demand curve measures the total willingness to pay for the quantity demanded. 80 70 50 Demand 0 Willingness to pay for 1st CD 1 2 3 4 Quantity of CDs Willingness to pay for 2nd CD Willingness to Pay from the Demand Curve (a) Willingness to Pay at Price P1 Price A The area under the demand curve measures the dollar value of the DVDs that would compensate for or be equivalent to Q1 CDs. P1 B C Demand 0 Q1 Quantity Consumer Surplus (a) Consumer Surplus at Price P1 Price A Consumer Surplus (ABC) + Total Payment (OBCQ1) = Willingness to Pay (OACQ1) Consumer surplus P1 B C Total Payment 0 Demand Q1 Quantity How the Price Affects Consumer Surplus Price A Initial consumer surplus P1 P2 0 The blue shaded area (under the demand curve and between the before and after prices, P1 and P2) measures the change in consumer surplus that is caused by the price change. This is also the dollar value of the other good—the one whose price is unchanged—that would compensate for the price change. This is also equal to the compensating and equivalent variations of the price change when the income effect is zero. C B F D E Q1 Q2 CS = EV = CV, when there is no income Demand effect. Quantity Consumer surplus: summary • When the income effect of a price change is zero, the change in consumer surplus is equal to the dollar amount that is equivalent to and would compensate the price change: CV = CS = EV • So, in this case, CS is an excellent measure of the effect of a price change on the consumer’s well-being • But even when the income effect is not zero, CS is a useful approximate measure of the effect of a price change on welfare – CV < CS < EV, when income effect is positive (normal good) – CV > CS > EV, when income effect is positive (normal good) Market Demand versus Individual Demand • Market demand refers to the sum of all individual demands for a particular good or service. • Graphically, individual demand curves are summed horizontally to obtain the market demand curve. Market Demand as the Sum of Individual Demands Effect of a price change on aggregate well-being • We have seen that, when the income effect of a price change is zero, the change in an individual’s consumer surplus is – The area to the left of the demand curve between the before and after prices – Equal to EV and CV and is, therefore, – A meaningful dollar measure of the change in the individual’s well-being Effect of a price change on aggregate well-being • Similarly, the area to the left of the aggregate demand curve between the before and after prices is a meaningful dollar measure of the effect of a price change on aggregate well-being … • … if you are a utilitarian PC Aggregate Demand C Social welfare • We have seen that if people have complete and transitive preferences, they can rank all possible goods bundles – So, if we know an individual’s preferences and also how her goods bundle has changed, we can tell whether or not she is better off • But if we know the preferences of all individuals and if we know how each person’s goods bundle has changed, would we know whether society as a whole is better off? Utilitarianism • According to this theory of social welfare, – Each individual has a utility function that spits out a number representing how happy she is with a particular goods bundle – If the sum of the utility numbers of all individuals—total utility—increases (decreases) it is meaningful to say that social welfare has increased (decreased) – Therefore, it should be the goal of government policy to increase total utility Utilitarianism • If the EV, CV, and CS for an individual is a meaningful measure of the effect of a price change on that individual’s welfare, then according to utilitarianism the aggregate value of EV = CV = CS is a meaningful dollar measure of social welfare • Indeed, the aggregate value of CS is widely used in economics as a measure of the change in social welfare • This reflects the widespread popularity of utilitarianism in economics John Rawls’s liberalism • Notwithstanding the popularity of utilitarianism in economics, there are other theories of social welfare • John Rawls has argued that a society’s welfare is equal to the utility of the unhappiest member of that society • So, the effect of a price change on a society’s welfare is, according to Rawls, the change in the consumer surplus of the unhappiest person in the society – This is the area to the left of the unhappiest person’s demand curve, between the before and after prices