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Transcript
Updated Goals and Deliverables for Discussion
Goals – modified from existing draft

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Identify primary and secondary species for monitoring that meet CFLRP and FS needs
Develop hypothesized species response (≈ population trends) for each 1° and 2° species
Explicitly integrate spatial and temporal scales in species selection and sampling approach
Establish range of monitoring options that encompass cost and rigor spectrums as needed
Identify field sampling protocols for selected species
Describe potential analytical methods
Identify opportunities for collaborating entities to contribute to monitoring implementation
Deliverables – modified from existing draft
A final report to build from existing plan and include:
 Overview of field protocols, sampling approaches, and potential analytical approaches
 Options: balancing rigorous monitoring of 1° species and casual monitoring of 2° species
 Wildlife Team’s recommendations: based on funding, rigor, public interest
Practical (?) Wildlife Monitoring Groups
Ecologically
Informative
 functional groups
 PIPO specialists
 Trophic representation
Politically Prudent
 ESA listed & candidate spp.
 FS Sensitive Species
 State species of concern
 MIS
Economically /
Socially Important




Groups certainly not exhaustive, nor independent
Which meet the needs of the FS and CFLRP?
Game species
Watchable wildlife (enthusiasts)
Iconic and culturally important spp.
Other economically important spp.
Meeting Multiple Objectives – Win, Win, Win?
1.
2.
3.
4.
CFLRP Priority?
Who belongs here?
Of key interest to FS / CFLRP?
Win, win, win
Ecologically Informative
1
2
4
Politically Prudent
3
Economically /
Socially Important
Suggest species that not fall into an overlap area should not be a priority for rigorous monitoring. If
they can be monitored using a multi-species approach, inclusion makes sense.
Proposed Framework for Selecting Species for CFLRP
Monitoring
• Step 1: assign species to ‘monitoring’ groups
• Step 2: identify species that meet multiple objectives
• Step 3: for species that meet multiple objectives and select
‘single purpose’ speciesNTS:
– identify appropriate temporal and spatial monitoring scales
– Develop hypothesized population response to CFLRP mgmtNTS
• Step 4a: review sampling methods for species from step 3
• Step 4b: review existing data for species from step 3
• Step 5: identify potential stressors that may influence
population trends
Species Selection Framework – Filtering species from a
whole bunch to a practical few
Begin – 300+ species
From filter 2: ?? species
Final Filter: Step 6: identify
Filter 1: multiple objectives,
1° species for monitoring
consideration, as well as 2°
that could be monitored
coincident with 1° NTS
select ‘single purpose’ species
(Steps 1 – 3)
Reduced to ?? species
Reduced to 14 species
Filter 2: consider sampling
approaches, available data,
stressors
Reduced to ?? species
For Primary Species
- Power analysis or similar
- Cost / benefits of different
monitoring approaches
- Make recommendations that
include range of options
Filter 1 Process Step 1
• First: build species list
• Next: limit species to those whose range includes the ‘core’ of the CFLRP
footprint
– the species’ known or suspected distribution includes the majority of the
CFLRP footprint, elevations from ~6000 – 10000’
– Eliminate ‘marginal’ species and species not know to occur in or extirpated
from the CFLRP footprint
• Examples:
– Core: Abert’s squirrel, bighorn sheep (even though will likely be filtered later)
– Marginal: American marten
– Outside / extirpated: eastern cottontail, grizzly bear
• Result  ~145 species
Next – assign monitoring group ‘scores’ for each species
Meeting Multiple Objectives – Win, Win, Win?
1.
2.
3.
4.
CFLRP Priority?
Who belongs here?
Of key interest to FS / CFLRP?
Win, win, win
1
2
4
3
Suggest species that not fall into an overlap area should not be a priority for rigorous monitoring. If
they can be monitored using a multi-species approach, inclusion makes sense.
Ecologically
Informative
Filter 1, Process Step 2
Assign scores in monitoring groups
 functional groups
 PIPO specialists
 Trophic representation
Ecologically Informative criteria:
The degree to which species are ‘ecologically
informative’ based on three main factors:
a) their key ecological functions
b) degree of habitat specialization
c) reliance on lower montane forests to meet
life history requirements.
There is no ‘formula’, rather the team relies on
a gestalt (general assessment) for each species
Example A- pecies in higher trophic positions will
generally be considered more ecologically
informative than those in lower positions.
Example B- Among specialists that rely on a
similar type, those species that rely on specific
habitat elements related to certain stages of
succession or disturbance regimes are more
informative than those associated with
numerous configurations of the habitat.
Example C – Year-round residents of the lower
montane are more informative than seasonal
inhabitants or transients.
Ecologically
Informative
Filter 1, Process Step 2
Assign scores in monitoring groups
 functional groups
 PIPO specialists
 Trophic representation
House wren– Score = 0
The species is not a year-round resident of the lower
montane, is small-bodied and therefore not likely of
great importance in the food web, and is a habitat
generalist. And so on.
Abert’s squirrel – Score = 3
Rationale: The species is strongly associated with
ponderosa pine (PIPO) forests, is a year-round
resident, relies largely on cone crops for nutrition
and energy, requires some degree of interconnected tree crowns for secure movement,
and is an important food source for secondary
consumers (key ecological function; KEF)
particularly during winter when many other prey
species migrate or hibernate and are unavailable
to predators. And so on.
Black bear – Score = 1:
The species is a true generalist, providing and
performing many ecological functions and using a
wide range of habitats which include but are not
limited to the lower montane.
The broad set of ecological functions performed by
black bear make the species less ecologically
informative than species with fewer ecological
functions. Black bears may exert pressure on other
species through predation or herbivory. Many KEFs
are performed by other species.
Filter 1, Process Step 2
Assign scores in monitoring groups
Scoring Criteria as Follows
Politically Prudent
0 = Species does not appear on any special status list
 ESA listed & candidate spp.
 FS Sensitive Species
 State species of concern
 MIS
1 = Species appears on one special status list (e.g., CO
State Wildlife Action plan species of greatest
conservation concern, PIF, BLM sensitive, FS species
of local concern)
2 = Species is a FS Sensitive Species or Management
Indicator Species, appears on more than one special
status list, or is a candidate species under ESA
Examples
3 = Species is listed as Threatened or Endangered
under the ESA, or is proposed for listing
Pygmy Nuthatch = 1
Townsend’s big-eared bat = 2
Pawnee Montane Skipper = 3
Filter 1, Process Step 2
Assign scores in monitoring groups
Economically /
Socially Important
Several criteria – again, no forumula
Game species: species that are legally hunted or fished.
Species that generate large revenues should be ranked
higher than those that are legally hunted/fished, but do not
generate considerable revenues.
Watchable wildlife: ‘destination species’ for wildlife
tourism- most birds, charismatic mammals, some butterflies.
Iconic species: species recognizable to the majority of the
public as part of the forested or aquatic ecosystems in the
Front Range or beyond. Examples: mountain bluebird
Other species that evoke strong public awareness, either
positive or negative, and/or may have economically
important impacts on natural resources in the lower
montane (e.g., beavers as pests, mountain pine beetle,
rattlesnake)
Species of cultural importance




Game species
Watchable wildlife (enthusiasts)
Iconic and culturally important spp.
Other economically important spp.
What does it all mean?
Examples
Northern Goshawk: 3, 2, 1 = 6
mountain lion: 2, 0, 3 = 5
Pygmy nuthatch: 2, 1, 1 = 4
Western chorus frog: 0, 0, 0 = 0
Filter Criteria:
Sum of score ≥ 3 AND Ecologically informative score ≥ 1
OR
Ecologically informative score ≥ 2
Results – 73 species ish (Excel / Operator error…)
Species Selection Framework – Filtering species from a
whole bunch to a practical few
Begin – 300+ species
From filter 2: ?? species
Final Filter: Step 6: identify
Filter 1: multiple objectives,
1° species for monitoring
consideration, as well as 2°
that could be monitored
coincident with 1° NTS
select ‘single purpose’ species
(Steps 1 – 3)
Reduced to 73 ish species
Filter 2: consider sampling
approaches, available data,
stressors
Reduced to ?? species
Reduced to 14 species
For Primary Species
- Power analysis or similar
- Cost / benefits of different
monitoring approaches
- Make recommendations that
include range of options
Species Selection Framework, cont
• Step 6: synthesize all of the above to identify potential 1° and
2°species for monitoring:
– 1° species should (?) be resident species whose population trends will be
less influenced by off-site stressors, likely (?) to respond to CFLR
treatments and / or overall landscape condition, and able to be monitored
using cost-effective techniques.
– Ideally, 1° species will meet multiple objectives though single-purpose
species may be appropriate to meet agency / CFLRP needs.
– 2° species will be (?) species that can be monitored using techniques for 1°
species or other methods that are inexpensive; less rigor for 2° species
may acceptable
• Step 7: for 1° species, conduct power analysis to establish sampling
required to meet objectives
• Step 8: summarize costs / benefits of sampling effort for 1° species
• Step 9: make recommendations to LR team, with rationale…
Roundtable Wildlife Team—DRAFT High Level Work Plan
Roundtable Quarterly
meeting: 11/30/12
Roundtable Quarterly
meeting: 3/8/13
Nov
2012
Dec
Jan 2013
Revise
proposed team
goals,
deliverables,
timeframe,
scope (RT)
Agree on /
finalize team
goals,
deliverables,
timeframe,
scope
Check in with prior
effort leaders to learn
their methods for
species list; also get
sources (Craig, Tonya,
Ken, Janelle) (LD)
Summarize
from CFLR
proposal: what
restoration is,
expected
vegetation
trends, and
wildlife
monitoring
intentions (HG)
– need to post
(TL)
Make list of
criteria for how
to prioritize
species for
monitoring
(RT)
Create spreadsheet
matrix with criteria and
species (RT)
Schedule
calendar for
team (GB)
Check in with
Sara on team
composition
(LD)
Check in with
Craig & Leslie
on capacity (JB)
Send team
existing list of
Front Range
Lower & Upper
Montane
species (CC)
Ask CDPW’s
Kenny Kamire,
USFS Denny
Bohan) what
other fish
species to add
to list (CC)
Ask Mike
Welker about
importance of
including fish
(FQ)
Review Casey’s list and
bring to 1/22 mtg
additional species to
consider adding:
reptiles (LC),
amphibians (LD); fish
(JV), birds (CC),
mammals (JB),
pollinators CC), inverts
(FQ)
Propose additional
species to add to list
Start rating each
species by criteria
(spreadsheet), add
descriptive
information; divvy up
further research to fill
gaps
Feb
Do research to
fill in gaps
from criteria
spreadsheet
(e.g., Identify
monitoring
efforts already
underway)
Review new
research and
complete
filling in
matrix of
species and
criteria; try to
filter species
to smaller list
that meet the
most criteria
(or justified
for single
purpose);
begin
discussing
spatial and
temporal
scales and
which species
need what
type of
monitoring
Mar
Roundtable Quarterly
meeting: 5/31/13
Apr
MayJune
July-Aug
Collect and review existing data and sampling methods on remaining
list of species (interview experts, conduct literature search as needed)
Develop
hypothesize
d population
response to
CFLRP mgmt
identify
potential
stressors that
may influence
population
trends
Share draft
deliverables
with LR team on
4/10
Take stock; try
to synthesize
findings to
identify
potential 1°
and 2°species
for monitoring
(try to cut list
again)
Sep-Oct
Nov-Dec
Summarize costs / benefits of
sampling effort for 1° species
Conduct
power
analysis to
establish
sampling
required to
meet
objectives
Seek more funding or
capacity to conduct
research (?????)
Jan-Feb
2014
Make
recommendati
ons to LR
team, with
rationale…
Between meetings
During meetings
Completed
On track
Needs attention
Tentative
Make list of experts to
ask for broad (early) or
specific (later) help
Present plan to LR team
on 1/9 (RT+ CC)
15