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Avon High School Section: 12.2 ACE COLLEGE ALGEBRA II - NOTES Samples and Surveys Analyzing Data Shapes Standard Deviation Mr. Record: Room ALC-129 Semester 2 - Day 53 Samples and Surveys When doing a survey, it is usually not practical to get the opinion of every member of a population. You can get a fairly accurate picture of the opinion of a population by surveying a sample of the population. A sample is a smaller group than the whole population. There are several ways to choose a sample. Convenience Self-selection Systematic Random choosing any people easily available having people volunteer to participate in the survey ordering the population and choosing participants at regular intervals (such as chosing every fifth person from the telephone book) all memebers of the population have an equal chance of being asked to particpate The way you choose the sample can introduce bias, or systematic error, into the survey. When a survey is biased, the results are inaccurate. Example 1 Analyzing Sampling Methods A newspaper wants to find out what percent of the city population favors a property tax increase to raise money for local parks. What is the sampling method used for each situation? Does the sample have bias? Explain. a. A newspaper article on the tax increase invites readers to call the paper and express their opinions. b. A reporter interviews people leaving the city’s largest park. c. A survery service calls every 50th listing from the local phone book. You can introduce bias into a survey by simply using poorly written questions. Survey question s should NOT be Confusing by asking about more than one issue or by using double negatives Ambiguous by offering answer choices that overlap Loaded by using words that might provoke strong reaction in all or some people Leading by suggesting that one particular answer is correct Analyzing Survey Questions Example 2 Determine if there is any bias in the survery questions below. a. Do you think farmers should use poison to control insects on crops? b. Don’t you agree that most childcare workers are overpaid? c. Do you think teachers should communicate frequently with students and their parents about class grades? Variation In the previous section, you studied range and inner quartile range. Each of these is a measure of variation. A measure of variation describes how the data in a data set are spread out. Variance and standard deviation are measures showing how much data values deviate from the mean. The Greek letter (lower case sigma) represents standard deviation. 2 (sigma squared) is the variance if the data being analyzed is considered to be a total population. For the purposes of this section, we will anayze data that is considered only to be a sample of the total population and therefore we will use the letter s to represent standard deviation and s2 to represent the variance. Finding Variance and Standard Deviation Step 1 2 Procedure Formula Find the mean of the n values in the dats set. We will call the mean, x . Find the difference between each value and the mean. This will give you n values that are each referred to as x x . 3 This will give you n values that are each Square each difference from Step 2. 2 referred to as x x . 4 This is the variance. Find the average (mean) of the squares from Step 3. 5 Take the square root of the variance. s 2 x x 2 n 1 This is the standard deviation. s x x x 2 n 1 2 and n represents the average of the data across the entire population. Note: When anayzing data from a total population, 2 x n 2 . Example 4 Finding Variance and Standard Deviation Consider the following set of data. 6.9 8.7 7.6 4.8 a. Find the mean. 9.0 b. Find the variance. c. Find the standard deviation. Finding Variance and Standard Deviation on the TI-Nspire --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Step 1 ------------------------------------------------------------Step 3 -------------------------------------------------------------Step 5 Step 2 ------------------------------------------------------Step 4 ----------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Use stat.sx for finding standard deviation of a sample size. You could also read this value from the List and Spreadsheet Page. Example 5 Using a Calculator to Find Standard Deviation Number of U.S. Hurricane Strikes by Decade Decade 1 signifies the 1850’s, Decade 15 signifies the 1990’s. Decade 1 19 Strikes 2 15 3 20 4 22 5 21 6 18 7 21 8 13 9 19 10 24 11 17 12 14 13 12 14 15 15 14 Source: National Hurricane Center a. Find the mean of this data set. b. Find the standard deviation of this data set. Example 6 Using Standard Deviation to Describe Data Use the U.S. hurricane-strike data from Example 2. Draw a number line representing this data according to the plan below. KNOW The data values, their mean, and their standard deviation. NEED The number of standard deviations from the mean that include all the data PLAN - Draw a number line. - Plot the dats values and the mean. - Mark off intervals of s on each side of the mean. a. Within how many standard deviations of the mean do all the values fall? b. How many values fall within one standard deviation of the mean?