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Transcript
The Future With Artificial
General Intelligence
…and the mind-boggling stuff it can do
THE MOST GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF AI
FIRST PRINTING PRESS
A FANCY REPRESENTATION OF AI
FIRST AIRPLANE
LOOKING BACK IN TIME
Artificial Intelligence is
a term coined by John
McCarthy at the 1956
Dartmouth
Conference.
John McCarthy
HOW HAVE THE LAST 61 YEARS BEEN?
• The Growth has been exponential, and
• We basically have managed to fit in Artificial Intelligence in a large part of our
digital nooks and crannies in it’s most narrow form.
(…..which doesn’t make it any less impressive though, it’s just what is to come is far more superior)
THE THREE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE APPROCHES
ARTIFICIAL NARROW
INTELLIGENCE (ANI)
ARTIFICIAL GENERAL
INTELLIGENCE (AGI)
The technology we
use almost daily:
Time until we reach AGI
A computing
structure as
smart as human
brain. :
Google’s Alpha Go*
Time required to
jump from AGI to
ASI
ARTIFICIAL SUPER
INTELLIGENCE (ASI)
Are We Ready?
RAW HORSEPOWER – HARDWARE REQUIREMENTS
 Can Do 10^16 (Ten Quadrillion
Calculations Per Second)
 It is restrained by it’s physical size and
shell, so upgradation is out of the
question.
 It ages over time and becomes slow.
 It cannot access the information
available in another brain easily.
 Can do 34*10^15 calculations per
second
 Can be Physically Upgraded and
tweaked
 Doesn’t age
 Can be daisy chained with a bunch of
other computers in order to access
information very fast.
So, we’re ready. Well, sort of….
Software to Run On the Hardware
There are several ways to create a software which could behave like a
human brain, there are basically three ways to go about that:
I. Uploading Our Brains onto the computers (Quite Literally)
II. Executing all the knowledge we have about Evolution on the
computers.
III. Make a computing architecture specifically to enrich itself with
information and improve, over and over again. (the most efficient
way to develop a software.)
Let’s imagine we figured
everything out!
…..which we will in probably the next 40 years or less
Artificial Intelligence is Inevitable
Just like the inevitability of the drop of Isaac Newton’s apple
Kindly pay Real Attention here
A Very Broad Picture
Artificial Super Intelligence will be far superior than any other
computing structure.
What will it give us?
What is the future of humanity?
What I envision ASI to achieve in future…
I made this list of things I believe ASI could achieve in the future,
observing what was around me:
Find us a Way to inhabit
other planets
Elon Musk’s dream might not be that far off…
Be A better driver than an
exhausted human driver
ASI, once achieved, would be a better driver than any other human and
it would solve the crisis of road deaths which accounted for 400 deaths
a day, 1.46 lakh in the year 2015
Give us a new medium to travel..
Really fast
Ever thought Hyperloop was a cool concept and there won’t happen any other
innovation in the realm of transportation? Well. You might be proven wrong in the
glorious coming years of ASI.
Give us a suggestion on a superior economic structure
• Out of the 4 types of economic systems that exist
today, most of them have some or the other
disadvantage and all the economic structures
deployed have seen a phase where economy has
plummeted at some point in time.
• So it’ll be notably interesting to see how our economic
future with highly advance Artificial Intelligence looks
like
Help businesses with real
time advice on investment..
Japanese Researchers have developed algorithms which can predict rise
and fall of the market with an astonishing accuracy of 68% (with human
accuracy capping at about 48%). It’s only a matter of time ASI arrives
and transform the trade in the stock market
Translate what my great grandmother says..
Researchers at University of Oxford have developed lip
reading system called LipNet which outperforms
human lip readers with an error rate of mere 6.6% at
it’s earliest stages, I could only imagine so far of its
capabilities once it achieves AGI.
I can’t be more excited to hear what my great grandma
has to say.
Remove Pollution
By suggesting a complex structure which converts all the effluents into something
actually beneficial or ASI could straight up blow our minds by suggesting
something we could not have thought of in a million years. Period.
Give us a cure for any and all incurable
diseases
 I have encountered people who experienced multiple kidney failures
and had to give up on their lives
 Cancer in all of it’s incurable forms
 Alzheimer's
 Parkinson's
 Ebola
 Polio
And a whole lot of other deadly diseases which hinder human
existence.
Gift us Immortality
That could certainly happen. If we take a look at an over simplified
reason for death; it is that our body ages, so do our organs, so do they
start malfunctioning once they’ve deteriorated down quite a bit.
How exactly do I believe AI would
be able to do all of that?
It seems like unimaginable sorcery.
Well it sort of is unimaginable inconceivable magic trick because:
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky explains…
“There are no hard problems, only
problems that are hard to a
certain level of intelligence. Move
the smallest bit upwards [in level
of intelligence], and some
problems will suddenly move from
“impossible” to “obvious.” Move a
substantial degree upwards, and
all of them will become obvious.”
This what the future looks like…
Bibliography
•
waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-1.html
•
http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-2.html
•
yudkowsky.net
•
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/416805/trading-shares-in-milliseconds/
•
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3452805/Will-AI-stock-market-Robotic-stockbrokers-starting-predict-changes-share-prices-better-humans.html
•
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/419341/ai-that-picks-stocks-better-than-the-pros/
•
https://blog.udemy.com/types-of-economic-systems/
•
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/400-road-deaths-per-day-in-India-up-5-to-1-46-lakh-in-2015/articleshow/51919213.cms
•
http://www.computerworld.com/article/3141617/artificial-intelligence/five-things-ai-can-do-better-than-us.html
•
https://www.howtogeek.com/223222/how-artificial-intelligence-will-change-our-lives-for-better-or-worse/
•
http://www.information-age.com/world-digital-assistants-why-everyday-ai-apps-will-make-iot-123460089/
•
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/peeking-future-ray-kurzweil-2/
•
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil
•
https://singularityhub.com/2010/08/19/when-will-computers-match-the-human-brain-kurzweil-vs-myers/
•
http://www.bbc.co.uk/timelines/zq376fr
•
http://www.enki-village.com/incurable-diseases.html
•
http://www.nickbostrom.com/
•
http://www.nickbostrom.com/ethics/ai.html
•
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accelerating_change#Kurzweil.27s_The_Law_of_Accelerating_Returns
•
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Singularity_Is_Near
•
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity
•
https://futurism.com/ibms-watson-ai-recommends-same-treatment-as-doctors-in-99-of-cancer-cases/
Credits:
• The Intelligence Ladder diagram: waitbutwhy.com
• Isaac Newton illustrations:
• Puru Mehra (Class XI)
• Brain and The computer PNG: vector.me
• All the other images used were from various websites I
researched from
(wherein I used them just to describe my point)