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Engaging With Aboriginal Communities Offers the Potential of Big Financial Rewards by derek burleton Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist (Canada), TD Bank Financial Group FROM A CANADIAN BUSINESS PERSPECTIVE, THE POTENTIAL RETURNS OF ENGAGING WITH ABORIGINAL COMMUNITIES ARE LIKELY TO ACCELERATE OVER THE NEXT DECADE. WHILE THE MOST OBVIOUS POTENTIAL IS IN THE AREA OF RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT, COMPANIES IN OTHER SECTORS TOO ARE INCREASINGLY COMING TO GRIPS WITH THE FACT THAT PARTNERING WITH ABORIGINAL PEOPLES IS A SMART BUSINESS STRATEGY: » Many employers are worried about longer-term structural labour shortages and actively looking for solutions. One avenue is making more effort to connect with under-represented populations and groups such as Aboriginals; » While much of the focus is on the supply side of the economy, many companies are increasingly regarding Aboriginal people in Canada as a growing consumer market for their goods and services; » Many of these financial benefits of engagement are direct in nature. Still, there is growing recognition by the private sector of the potential indirect payback to their operations. For example, more and more companies are linking addressing Aboriginal education and social issues with Canada’s future prosperity challenges. This fact has been underscored in the research of economists, who have calculated that closing the education gap could yield huge improvements in economic activity and government fiscal positions. Many companies are taking the view that what’s good for the country is good for their respective business environment. The upside potential offered by partnerships would not be possible without the expectation of large mutual benefits. For example, as Aboriginal communities increasingly seek out opportunities in the market economy, they can take advantage of the deep pockets, experience and talent of the broader private sector. RESOURCE SECTOR PROVIDES THE MOST POTENTIAL FOR BENEFITS The brightening fortunes of the resource sector over the past decade have opened the doors to significant partnership opportunities. Canada is among the world leaders in production of energy and minerals, with overall resource activity accounting for as much as one-fifth of Canadian GDP. And not only are many Aboriginal communities located close to mining operations, but a significant amount of land and resources are controlled by Aboriginal people, underpinned by land claim and treaty entitlement negotiations. It has been estimated that since 1973, 21 comprehensive land claims have been settled – providing a total settlement of some $2 billion to Aboriginal communities – while about 60 are currently underway.1 A major impetus for the growing trend of engagement within the resource sector took shape with two Supreme Court decisions in 2004. These decisions established that governments have a duty to consult Aboriginal communities about possible resource development projects and to accommodate potential adverse impacts. Those landmark decisions reverberated through the resource sector, since they have encouraged provincial/territorial governments and the private sector to more fully partner with Aboriginal communities in the planning, development and implementation of natural resource projects. Impact benefit agreements between resource companies and Aboriginal communities have delivered tangible benefits to these communities, often in the form of equity ownership, business development, employment and royalty payments. There remain challenges to successful engagement – chief among them are restrictions under the federal Indian Act, cultural differences and the large diversity among Aboriginal communities. Still, a number of businesses and Aboriginal communities have been managing to work around these hurdles with the help of past experience. For example, rather than beginning formal relationships with Aboriginal communities late in a project’s life cycle, many companies are proactively entering into agreements. Case in point, a report by the Aboriginal Affairs and Northern Development Branch identified Kinder Morgan’s Trans Mountain Pipeline development as a best 12 THE joUrNal of aborIgINal maNagEmENT practice. In this example, this project “demonstrated that real engagement and transparency can ensure that delays are minimized, even in complex cases where multiple boundaries, jurisdictions and over-lapping territories are in play.”2 While conditions in resource markets will always be vulnerable to cyclical ups and downs, there is widespread consensus that both demand and prices for key commodities will remain on a relatively high plateau over the foreseeable future, spurred in part by growing resource demand in emerging markets. As such, effective privatesector engagement with Aboriginal communities will be an important determinant in how successful Canada will be in leveraging these resource opportunities. RENEWED SPIRIT OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP Supported by resource wealth, there has been a growing trend towards Aboriginal entrepreneurship and “break out communities.” The 2007 SME Financing Data Initiative revealed that 2.4% of small businesses in Canada were majority-owned by Aboriginal Canadians. In absolute terms, this translates into about 25,000 businesses both on- and off-reserve. The range of businesses that Aboriginal people are running is not isolated to one or two industries, but essentially covers the gamut – from airlines to mining supply to business services. Among Aboriginal businesses, economic development corporations (EDCs) – the economic and business development arm of an Aboriginal government that pursues economic activity – have been becoming particularly prominent over the past decade. According to the Canadian Council for Aboriginal Business, there are more than 250 active development corporations, which, on average, employ about 185 individuals and have been in business for almost 20 years.3 Derek Burleton received his Bachelor of Commerce from Queen’s University and an M.Sc. in Economics from the London School of Economics. Derek has more than ten years of experience as an economist in the financial industry. In June of 2010, Derek was promoted to Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist for TD Bank Group. In his current position, he heads a team that provides leading analysis on the Canadian economy, financial markets and government finances. Derek has authored reports on health care sustainability, infrastructure and other important policy areas that have garnered considerable national attention. He frequently travels across the country to meet with TD’s clients and is often quoted in the media on economic issues. An important catalyst for the emergence of Aboriginal enterprises is the growing belief that Aboriginal people can move into the mainstream economy without sacrificing their core values. Chief among them is the protection of land and the environment. Today, many Aboriginal communities are making a mark in establishing environmentally-focused ventures in areas such as renewables and alternative energy development. POTENTIAL TO FILL LABOUR SHORTAGES There continues to be considerable focus on the challenge of skills shortages facing Canada’s companies. This attention reflects shorter-term cyclical pressures but also the longer-term trends of an aging population and the declining labour force participation rates of older workers. In the resource sector alone, it has been estimated that one out of every two current mining industry workers will need to be replaced in the next decade. As such, tapping into under-utilized and valuable sources of available labour – and notably Aboriginal peoples – will become increasingly important to bridging the skills gap. The Aboriginal population is well positioned to take up some of the slack, given that it is very young and growing fast. Indeed, Aboriginal population gains outstripped those of Canada overall by about four times in the 2006 census, while more than half of the Aboriginal population was under 30 years of age. Second, Aboriginal people are becoming more educated and skilled. While 2011 census figures on Aboriginal labour market outcomes have yet to be released, the 2006 figures did show some narrowing in the gap in education attainment with non-Aboriginals. Significant differentials still clearly exist, especially with respect to high school completion rates. Nonetheless, a 2009 report by TD Economics discusses a number of promising shifts in education that could help to narrow the gap further over the longer haul.4 THE INDIRECT BENEFITS OF ENGAGEMENT ENORMOUS To the extent that Aboriginals perform better in job markets, the indirect knock-on effects to Canada’s business sector would accrue. In May 2009, the Centre of the Study of Living Standards (CSLS) issued a report that estimated the following financial rewards to Canadian society of closing the gap in both education and labour market performances with the non-Aboriginal population.5 1 Government of Canada Ministry of Aboriginal Affairs and Northern Development Canada. 2 Policy and Coordination Branch, Lands and Economic Development Sector, Aboriginal Affairs and Northern Development Canada. Report prepared for the Calgary Roundtable: June 8, 2012. 3 Canadian Council for Aboriginal Business, “Community and Commerce – A Survey of Aboriginal Economic Development Corporations”, 2010 4 Aboriginal People in Canada: Growing Mutual Economic Interests Offer Significant Promise for Improving the Well-Being of the Aboriginal Population; June 11, 2009. Available at www.td.com/economics. 5 Andrew Sharpe, Jean-Francois Arsenault and Simon Lapointe, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, The Potential Contribution of Aboriginal Canadians to the Labour Force, Employment, Productivity and Output Growth in Canada, 200117, November 2007. 13 ENgagINg wITH aborIgINal CommUNITIES AMONG THE KEY AREAS, THE FASTEST GROWING INCOME SEGMENT WAS BUSINESS. LED BY THE GROWING REVENUE BASE OF EDCS, THE TOTAL INCOME OF ABORIGINAL BUSINESS GREW FROM AN ESTIMATED $4 BILLION IN 2001 TO ABOUT $9 BILLION IN 2011. » Under a best case scenario, where gaps in education attainment and labour market participation rates are fully closed, real economic activity was estimated to be $401 billion higher between 2001 and 2026 (cumulatively). About $180 billion of that increase was attributed to erasing the differential in education attainment alone. » Under the status-quo, the estimated cost of the Aboriginal population’s above-average use of government services as a result of “sub-par levels of social well-being” was projected to rise to $8.4 billion in 2026 (2006 dollars). Not only would that cost be eliminated under the best case scenario, but federal and provincial coffers would benefit from a total revenue gain of $5.8 billion. Over the 25-year period, this would provide a cumulative benefit of $115 billion. » These benefits would be most pronounced in western provinces, where Aboriginal populations make up the largest share. As well, First Nations people, particularly those living on reserve, are deemed to be the largest potential contributors to labour force participation and growth in the CSLS analysis. BUDDING CONSUMER MARKET FOR CANADIAN BUSINESSES These are sizeable impacts, but what do they mean from a Canadian business perspective? For one, the benefits to fiscal coffers point to the prospect of lower tax rates and improved government services compared to businessas-usual outcomes. As important, to the extent that Aboriginal people in Canada – both on and off reserve – become more prosperous and flex their economic muscles, they represent a rapidly and potentially lucrative consumer market for Canadian businesses. In a 2011 report, TD Economics estimated the combined income of Aboriginal households, businesses and government sectors to be about $24 billion, or roughly twice the level recorded a decade earlier. The implied growth rate in income in the 2001-11 period was an impressive 8% per year, roughly twice that of the economy as a whole. The growth reflected rising job creation, especially among Aboriginal people off-reserve and within the resource and construction sectors. Among the key areas, the fastest growing income segment was business. Led by the growing revenue base of EDCs, the total income of Aboriginal business grew from an estimated $4 billion in 2001 to about $9 billion in 2011. Lastly, discretionary government transfers, which grew moderately over the decade, made up the remainder of the pie. TD Economics projects that the continued strength in resource development will set the stage for Aboriginal incomes to eclipse $32 billion by 2016. If that level were achieved, the total income of Aboriginal peoples would be greater than the level of nominal GDP of Newfoundland & Labrador and Prince Edward Island combined. On a per-capita basis, the income tally remains considerably lower than the Canadian average. That being said, given the growing financial clout of Aboriginal communities, Canada’s business community is likely to increasingly take note and market their products and services accordingly. SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY ANOTHER “HIDDEN” ECONOMIC BENEFIT The business case for engagement is being further driven by the growing requirement to act in a socially responsible way. To this end, improved reputation and branding can result in a financial payback. Even in cases where the requirements are embedded in legislation – for instance, under the Employment Equity Act, federallyregulated businesses are required to conduct workplace analyses in order to determine the internal representation of Aboriginal people (along with other diversity groups) and to compare that to representation in the external workforce – many large companies are beginning to see that progress in closing these gaps is in their best economic interests. In order to up their game, businesses are developing successful supplier relationships with Aboriginal firms, helping to build capacities of Aboriginal firms and communities in financial management through mentorships. This is just an example of areas that can be tapped. 14 THE joUrNal of aborIgINal maNagEmENT Furthermore, there has been a number of cases in the last five years where poor relations with Aboriginal people and communities have impacted the image of a company. Certainly the disputes involving mining companies Platinex in Ontario and Taseko Mines in BC caused significant delays, regulatory hurdles and in the case of Platinex a shelving of the project. There are various socially responsible financial indices, such as the Dow Jones Sustainability Index and the Jantzi Social Index, which lists relationship with indigenous communities as a factor to determine whether a company is socially responsible. …THOSE BUSINESSES THAT FAIL TO ENGAGE COULD SUFFER LOST OPPORTUNITIES AND PROFITS IN THE FUTURE. THE BOTTOM LINE A number of key developments – from the legal requirement to consult about possible resource development, to high resource prices, to labour shortages, to a budding consumer market – have raised the ante with respect to the need for non-Aboriginal enterprises to engage with their Aboriginal counterparts. The corollary is that those businesses that fail to engage could suffer lost opportunities and profits in the future. 15