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Issues in fisheries sustainability • What is a “fishery”? • The global status of fisheries: will we soon be eating only jellyfish? • What does “sustainability” mean, and what is the ecological basis for it? • What does it mean to “manage” a fishery? What is a “fishery” • A linked dynamic relationship between a set of valued fish and a set of fishermen who pursue those fish Catch Fishing “fleet” Fish stock(s) Mortality The global status of fisheries The global status of fisheries, revisited From Branch et al. 2010. The trophic fingerprint of marine fisheries. Nature, doi:10.1038/nature09528 From Mullon et al. 2005. The dynamics of collapse in world fisheries. Fish and Fisheries 6: 111-120. (an examination of 1500 catch time series) 20 Relative catch 1 0.5 0 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 0 2 0 Years before collapse Smooth Relative catch 31 12 16 38 1 0.5 0 10 8 6 4 Years before collapse Erratic 5 17 8 16 1 Relative catch Many (25-30%) of the world’s fisheries have “collapsed” to catches less than 10% of historical peak Plateau 0.5 0 10 8 6 4 Years before collapse Where are fisheries collapsing? Newfoundland India North sea China California current Indonesia Australia Benguela What does “sustainability” mean? • Lack of collapse? • Capable of recovery after collapse, especially for collapses not caused by fishing? • Harvested at near maximum sustainable yield? • Harvested at near maximum sustainable harvest rate? Sustainable fisheries depend on creation of “surplus production” 30000 Biomass 25000 Production Catch x 10 Food consumption 20000 Biomass • Surplus production is biological production (growth) that can be translated either into catch or into population growth. • On average, surplus production is zero in unharvested natural populations • High fishing mortality rate can result in sustainability, but at low biomass and catch 15000 10000 5000 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Fishing m ortality rate F 0.8 1 What causes surplus production to occur when fishing reduces stock size? • “Compensatory” improvement in juvenile survival rates and/or growth rates • These compensatory improvements result from – Reduction in predator abundances (uncommon) – Increase in food abundance (more common) – Increase in available food abundance leading to better growth and/or reduced predation risk (very common) – Reduction in juvenile mortality due to cannibalism (common) What does it mean to “manage” a fishery? • Protect the ecological basis for production (biophysical habitat, forage base) • Control the quality (size, age) of fish harvested • Regulate the fishing mortality rate F – Input control: control fishing activity, area swept by fishing – Output control: control the catch, given estimate of biomass (since F=catch/biomass) • Seek balance in situations where fishing impacts multiple stocks so as to create tradeoffs Most fisheries impact multiple stocks, create tradeoffs where not all stocks can be harvested at best rates • Fishing may “target” particular stocks/species, but fishing activity typically causes catch of other species • Discarding non-target stocks is typically wasteful • “collateral damage” reduces biological diversity and threatens ecological basis for sustainability Fraser sockeye salmon have returned to near historical peak levels, but there has been a worrisome decline Total Fraser River sockeye run size, Pacific Salmon Commission estimates 50,000,000 Total Run Spawners Total run size 40,000,000 30,000,000 20,000,000 10,000,000 0 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 Productive fisheries often depend on diverse mixtures of individual spawning stocks, most obvious with Pacific salmon Fraser sockeye abundance by stock latemisc 12,000,000 harrison cultus portage 10,000,000 weaver early shuswap adams 8,000,000 birkenhead stellako late stuart 6,000,000 quesnel chilko upi 4,000,000 gates nadina estuart 2,000,000 seymour scotch raft 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972 1968 1964 1960 1956 1952 0 fennell bowron Hilborn showed a similar pattern of shifting contributions for major Bristol Bay stocks There is a severe tradeoff between harvesting and maintenance of stock structure (biodiversity) 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 15000000 0.6 0.5 10000000 0.4 0.3 5000000 0.2 0.1 0 Total Harvest Total Escapement Pextinct Poverfished Is it wise or just for people who will not pay the bill to demand that fishers give up 50% of their income as an insurance policy for biodiversity? Tradeoff between catch and stock "health" Fraser River sockeye 1 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1 Overall exploitation rate At the harvest rate expected to produce maximum average yield, about 50% of the (mostly small) stocks would be overharvested, and about 10% would be threatened with extinction. The tradeoff will be even worse if diverge in productivity continues Proportion of stocks not overfished Catch, Escapement 20000000 Proportion of stocks overfished or extinct 25000000 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 2000000 4000000 6000000 8000000 10000000 12000000 14000000 16000000 Average long term catch