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Grade 10 Applied Science – Climate Change Natural Causes and Human Activity NATURAL CAUSES Earth’s climate has been continuously changing. Moreover, these NATURAL changes have been both long and short term. NOTE: None of these natural causes account for the recent trend in global warming. Long-term Changes Over hundreds of millions of years, Earth’s land masses have moved and changed position. Recall the PANGEA from geography. The movement has resulted in the formation of mountains. As well, ocean currents and wind patterns have been altered which, in turn, affect the thermal energy transfer on Earth. Short-term Changes Volcanoes erupt and may release large amounts of dust and gas (e.g., sulphur dioxide) into the atmosphere. These materials reflect some of the Sun’s energy back into space. This action cause the Earth’s surface to cool. For example, average global temperatures dropped about 1OC for about two years after the 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo, Philippines, and very cold temperatures caused crop failures and famine in North America and Europe for two years following the 1815 eruption of Tambora, Indonesia (...the largest volcanic eruption in recorded history). Every three to seven years, El Niňo events occur in the Pacific Ocean. During an El Niňo, the ocean currents reverse direction. Warm surface water carrying moisture usually moves westward. In an El Niňo, the warm water goes east. Areas that are normally dry become very wet, while normally wet areas experience desert-like conditions. HUMAM SOURCES OF GREENHOUSE GASES As we know, Greenhouse Gases are a natural part of the Earth’s atmosphere. Yet, we are concerned about the levels of Greenhouse Gases in the atmosphere. Why? During the last 200 years, the concentration of Greenhouse Gases in the atmosphere has risen dramatically. For example, levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2) are close to 400 ppm (see Figure below), a level higher than any time in the last 650,000 years. Greenhouse Gases produced by human activity are called ANTHROPOGENIC. The main anthropogenic gases are CO2, methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O). The most important anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas is CO2. The primary source is human burning of FOSSIL FUELS (coal, oil and natural gas formed from the remains of organisms with high carbon content that is preserved in rocks and rock materials in the Earth’s crust). By burning more and more fossil fuels, humans are putting too much CO2 into the atmosphere. The other primary source of CO2 is DEFORESTATION. Trees and other plants are CARBON SINKS (i.e., plants remove CO 2 from the atmosphere and store it temporarily in plant materials). If trees are cut down or burned, the carbon is put back into the atmosphere. When this occurs, trees are a SOURCE of carbon. Many human activities release CH4 into the atmosphere. One important source is LANDFILLS. As garbage decomposes (i.e., breaks down), it releases gas. About 50% is CH 4. The other most important source is livestock farming. Farm animals, especially cattle, release CH 4 as they digest food. Anthropogenic sources of N2O include fertilizers and managing livestock waste. CARBON FOOTPRINT It is a term to describe the total amount of Greenhouse Gas emissions produced by an organization, event, product or person. The Greenhouse Gases are expressed as carbon dioxide equivalents. Typically, richer countries produced the most Greenhouse Gas emissions.