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* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
7th Grade Probability Carnival As we conclude our studies of Data and Statistics, we will be doing a group project with the Kindergarteners at BME. Your job is to create a carnival game through which you can collect data to demonstrate your understanding of probability, data charts and statistics. Most of the work for this project will be done in class, with the exception of anything requiring tools to build, which must be done at home. Each day you will complete a log of the activities you complete. As a class, we will: o Create an invitation to give out to the Kindergarten students o Develop and implement a survey to determine possible games the Kindergarteners would want to play o Choose prizes and determine the unit rate for each Your initial proposal for a game is due:________________ Your proposal must include: (this will count as a quiz grade) o A name for your game and a picture of your “inspiration” o Directions for how to play the game o A list of all materials needed to build the game (Document 1) o The theoretical probability of winning the game Once your proposal is approved, you may then begin building the game. Remember, this game must be STURDY and FUNCTIONAL, since there will be approximately 65 Kindergarteners playing the game in addition to your trial day. Any BUILDING using tools must be done at home. In class, you can paint, decorate, and create using tools you would be allowed to have in school. Your final game is due:___________________ You must: o Keep a running spreadsheet to show all materials purchased and used to create your game (Document 1) o Determine the amount of money you will charge each person to play your game o Determine the projected profit you will earn from your game during the carnival o Create an online survey for students to complete when they are done with your game (we will do this together in class) We will then have a trial day where we test the games, and then the actual carnival. Students will travel around the room playing each game, while you collect information. Trial Day:_____________________ Carnival Day:___________________ During the carnival, you must collect data to demonstrate the following: o Experimental probability of winning your game (Ex: amount of tries it takes to win, how many students win the game) o Profits gained o Student feedback/survey of how much each student enjoyed your game Once the carnival is over, you will prepare a final project to demonstrate your understanding of probability and statistics. Your final project must include: (this will count as a test grade) o Financial Report for running your game (Document 1) o A data display showing both your theoretical probability and experimental probability o A summary of the survey you gave students after they played your game o A summary of your game, what you would change, etc. o Any other data you feel would be appropriate to collect for your game FINAL PROJECT DUE:____________________________ Names of Students in Group: Name of Game: Category Requirement Game Proposal Students developed a game and submitted a picture of their “vision” Students wrote out explicit directions/rules for playing the game Students developed a list for all materials required to create their game (DOCUMENT 1) Students determined the theoretical probability of winning their game Game is sturdy and colorful/neat Game is playable, and has a chance of winning Students kept a running Game Construction Possible Points 5 2 3 15 15 10 3 Points Earned Data Analysis spreadsheet of costs associated with creating the game (Document 1) Students determined the price to charge each player to ensure making a profit (Document 2) Students created a survey for players to complete once they are finished with the game and a data display to organize results Students participated in a trial day and collected data to determine the projected experimental probability Students collected data during the carnival Students compiled a final financial report of their profits and expenses (Document 2) Students created a neat data display to show the results of their game Students wrote a paragraph explaining the outcomes of their game and reflection 3 3 15 15 3 3 5 100 TOTAL Document 1-Materials and Costs Item Needed Amount Needed Unit Price Total Price Document 2-Projected Profits Goal: to make enough money during the Probability Carnival to pay for the construction of our game, prizes, and to make a profit. BEFORE CARNIVAL Cost of Construction of Game Estimated # of Prizes Needed (based on theoretical probability) Unit Price per Prize Total Cost for Prizes TOTAL COST Cost per Player Expected Income Less Cost to Make Game POTENTIAL PROFIT AFTER CARNIVAL Actual Players Cost Per Player INCOME Less Actual Cost of Prizes Less Construction Costs TOTAL PROFIT Date:______________________________ Goal: What did we get accomplished? Any concerns? Goal for next time we work: Date:______________________________ Goal:________________________________________________ What did we get accomplished? Any concerns? Goal for next time we work: Date:______________________________ Goal:________________________________________________ What did we get accomplished? Any concerns? Goal for next time we work: Reflection (at least three paragraphs): Now that your project is completed and you have collected all your data, consider the following questions when you write a reflection: Was your game as successful as you thought it would be? Would you change anything next time? Was your experimental probability close to your theoretical probability? Why or why not? What did you learn from this project? What should I do differently next year? Go to the website Orientaltrading.com and create a list of 12 prizes to give out at the carnival. Use the spreadsheet to determine the UNIT price of each, and how many you would need for the carnival. There will be 65 students at the carnival. Product Price/Units Unit Price Amount Total Cost Choose the five prizes that are the most COST EFFICIENT that you would like to give out at the carnival with the TOTAL COST for 65 of them. Prize Price/Unit Unit Rate Total Cost