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Example one: Fat Tax Topic: The Overweight Problem and Fat Tax Relevant economics topics: Market intervention; efficiency and equity; public finance Type of material: Statistics, news, comics Question design (Total marks: 26) Elementary questions (18 marks); Advanced-level questions (8 marks) Rationale of design: The overweight problem is one that most students will find familiar, as they will be preequipped with the knowledge through studies in other subjects (e.g. Biology, Liberal Studies). In this example, the overweight problem serves as an point of entry where students may apply economics concepts to analyse issues arising from the overweight problem, so that they may understand the chief concerns in the government’s formulation of relevant policies (Questions (a) to (e)), and ultimately identify their own stance and evaluate whether the government should levy a fat tax to address the overweight problem among the Hong Kong population. (Question (f)). As the economy develops, the quality of life of the general populace has seen substantial improvement, and subsequently the overweight issue has become one of the most pressing public health issues in Hong Kong and around the world. Economists have pointed out that levying a fat tax on junk food may help alleviate the problem of obesity. 1 Source A: Overweight Population Worldwide and Projections Source: World Health Organisation Source B: Economic losses brought about by unhealthy diet According to worldwide academic reports, over 2.1 billion persons are overweight or obese, accounting for nearly 30% of the global population. Prolonged consumption of foods with “three highs” (high sugar, salt and fat content) and saturated fats can lead to obesity, bringing various detrimental effects including health problems and lowering overall social productivity. Source: Consolidated from various sources, 2014 Source C: Fat Tax, also known as “Junk Food Tax”, is a per unit tax levied upon junk food containing “three highs” (high sugar, salt and fat content) and saturated fats (e.g. milk and meats). Its aim was to discourage citizens from ingesting such food items. Denmark is the first nation to levy the Fat Tax, which was nevertheless abolished by its government after one year as it has proven ineffective in changing eating habits, but has led to the emergence of “three-highs” food items in oversize packages. Source: Consolidated from various sources, 2012 2 Source D: Various stakeholders have different views on levying the fat tax, summarised as below: Given the current high production costs the fat tax will make business even more difficult. If SMEs close down as a result, it will further drive up Hong Kong’s unemployment rate. Potato chips manufacturer The Fat Tax covers daily consumption food items including milk, which will add an unfair burden upon grassroots citizens Legislator 3 Questions 1. Referring to Source A, describe the changing trends of the overweight population and analyse its impact upon future public health expenses. (3 marks) Answer: According to Source A, the overweight population is on the rise with overweight persons rising from 400 million to 700 million between 2005 and 2015, recording a nearly 60% increase. With the overweight population on the rise, future public health expenses are expected to rise. 2. Referring to Source B, analyse why the overweight issue can lead to an external effect. (3 marks) Answer: External costs are generated by the overweight issue. Prolonged consumption of food items with “three highs” and saturated fats create health problems. Meanwhile, as the overweight population rises productivity drops and the government needs to spend more on healthcare; overweight persons however do not compensate the society, leading to a divergence between private and social costs. 3. Referring to Source C, Denmark is the first nation to levy the Fat Tax. However, the tax was abolished by its government after one year as it proved ineffective in changing eating habits. Analyse the reasons using the concept of price elasticity of demand. (2 marks) Answer: There is a relatively low price elasticity of demand for “three-highs” food items among Denmark citizens. As citizens are used to consuming “three-highs” food items, even when the price is driven up by the tax they still need time to change their habits and find substitutes. Therefore, they have a low price elasticity for “three-highs” food items (i.e. percentage increase in price is higher than percentage drop in quantity demanded). 4 4. Referring to Source C, use a supply and demand diagram to illustrate how the Fat Tax will affect the quantity of “three-highs” food items purchased by the public. 5. (4 marks) Answer: Explanatory text Fat Tax drives up the marginal cost of per unit junk food, as a result the supply curve shifts upwards from S0 to S1. When other factors remain unchanged, the equilibrium price of “three-highs” food items rise from P0 to P1, while the quantity purchased by the public drop from Q0 to Q1. Diagram: Supply shifts upward from S0 to S1 Qt (Quantity) drops from Q0 to Q1 5 5. Referring to Source C, use the law of supply and demand to analyse why the levying of the Fat Tax results in emergence of “three-highs” food items in larger packages. (3 marks) Answer: After levying the Fat Tax, the same tax is chargeable for “three-highs” food items regardless of package size. While this drives up the price of “three-highs” food items of all package sizes, the levied tax takes up a lower percentage of the price of larger packages than of smaller packages. The relative price of large-sized “three-highs” food items will thus be lower. According to the law of demand, people tend to purchase food items of large-size packages, thus such packages are manufactured in larger quantities. 6. Referring to Source D, explain why the legislator believes the levying of the Fat Tax constitutes unfairness for the grassroots population. (3 marks) Answer: The Fat Tax is an indirect tax, and partly targets daily necessities. The tax takes up a larger percentage of the income of low-income individual than that of high-income individuals, thus constituting unfairness for the grassroots population. 7. Referring to the information above, and applying your knowledge in Economics, discuss whether the Hong Kong Government should levy a Fat Tax to tackle the overweight issue of the Hong Kong people. (8 marks) The answer may include the following: Should, for example: Discussing the validity of the measures - The Fat Tax can lower the supply of junk food, increase their market price, and reduce quantity of junk food purchased by the public. It should help to address the overweight issue and reduce future public health expenses. 6 Discussing other governmental/social benefits brought about by the measure: - The overweight population has a negative impact not only on personal health but on society as a whole, e.g. rising medical costs. The levying of the Fat Tax increases the private marginal costs of the manufacturers. If the amount levied is equal to the marginal external costs under efficient output level, the market will return to the level of efficiency when the manufacturer reduces the production. - Overweight-related health issues will drive down labour productivity and subsequently long-term supply, total productivity and full-employment output level will drop. The government should therefore levy the fat tax to address the overweight problem of Hong Kong people in order to promote local labour productivity and drive the economic development of the city. - Levying the Fat Tax can increase government income from taxes and help expand the existing narrow tax base. Should not, for example: Discussing the validity of the measures - If the Fat Tax is levied as a per unit tax, it will be a form of indirect tax. If the price elasticity of supply is lower than the price elasticity of demand, the tax may not lead to a significant increase in market equilibrium price and reduce quantity of transaction. Therefore the Fat Tax may not be effective in tackling the overweight issue of the Hong Kong people. - If the public believes that junk food is a daily necessity, their demand for junk food is a relatively price inelastic ,thus the percentage increase in price will be higher than the percentage decrease in quantity demanded. The consumption habits of the public may thus remain unchanged. Discussing other governmental/social benefits brought about by the measure: - If the Fat Tax is levied, the increase in tax revenue of the government will be less than the reduction in producer and consumer surplus, leading to a deviation from efficiency in the market, creating a net loss. - If the Fat Tax is levied in the form of per unit tax, it will be a type of regressive tax meaning the tax rate will decrease when the taxable income increases. As the same tax is levied for the same food item regardless of income, low-income individuals will contribute a higher percentage of their income to the tax compared to high-income individuals, aggravating the poverty gap. 7 - Levying the Fat Tax will increase the marginal costs of the producer and force down the production quantity. If certain producers are driven out of the market because of business difficulties, demand for labour in the labour market will drop and unemployed population may rise; if working population remains constant, the unemployment rates will increase. (Students may apply their knowledge in economics to make reasonable discussions to support their views. The arguments must however be structured and coherent with their positioning.) Marking scheme: 8 Marks Description of level achieved 7-8 Applies relevant economics theories to underline their positioning and accurately explain why the fat tax can/cannot resolve the overweight problem of the Hong Kong people. 4-6 Applies relevant economics theory to suitably explain why the Government’s levying of the fat tax can/cannot resolve the overweight problem of the Hong Kong people. 1-3 Roughly explains why the Government’s levying of the fat tax can/cannot resolve the overweight problem of the Hong Kong people.