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CHAPTER 3: Monetary Policy Answers to End-of-Chapter Questions 1. What would happen to the monetary base if the U.S. Treasury collected $4 billion in taxes, which it deposited in its account at the Federal Reserve, and the Federal Reserve bought $2.5 billion in government securities? Do you know now why the Federal Reserve and Treasury try to coordinate their operations in order to have minimal effects on the financial markets? The $4 billion in taxes would be paid via a transfer from the Treasury tax deposits at commercial banks and would lower bank reserve deposits at the Federal Reserve and increase the Treasury deposits in the Federal Reserve by $4 billion. There is no change in the monetary base, but the bank reserve base has been reduced by $4 billion. If the Federal Reserve purchases $2.5 billion in government securities, $2.5 of the $4 billion reduction in bank reserves has been restored. With no other changes, this action reduces bank reserves, bank liquidity, and may increase the federal funds rate. In a day or two the Treasury will spend the taxes, the checks will be deposited in banks and the bank reserve accounts will go up by the amount of the clearing checks. The Federal Reserve will then have to sell government securities to return the bank reserve account level to its desired level. 2. If the Federal Reserve bought $3.5 billion in government securities and the public withdrew $2 billion from their transactions deposits in the form of cash, by how much would the monetary base change? By how much would financial institutions' reserves change? By how much would financial institutions' required reserves change if all proceeds from bond sales and all withdrawals from transactions accounts were deposited in or taken from accounts subject to a 10% reserve requirement? By how much would depository institutions' net excess reserves change? Assuming the banks replenished their cash stock; the bank reserve account would have been increased by the $3.5 billion purchase of government securities and decreased by the $2 billion payment for the Federal Reserve note issuance. The monetary base, comprised of Federal Reserve notes outstanding, bank reserve accounts, and Treasury and foreign bank deposits and Treasury coin would increase by $3.5 billion, the amount of the purchase of government securities. The purchase of cash is a wash, netting increases in Federal Reserve notes and decreases in bank reserve accounts to pay for the currency. 3. If a country named Lower Slobovia were to decide to use U.S. dollars as a medium of exchange and therefore withdrew $10 billion in cash from its transaction deposits in the United States, what would happen to the U.S. monetary base? What would happen to depository institutions' actual reserve holdings? What would happen to U.S. financial institutions' net excess reserves if the Lower Slobovians withdrew their money from bank deposits subject to a 10% reserve requirement? What would probably happen to the U.S. money supply? 2 Assuming the banks replenished their cash at the Federal Reserve, the monetary base will not change. The Federal Reserve notes will increase by $10 billion and the bank reserve deposit accounts will decrease by $10 billion. With the withdrawal of $10 billion in bank deposits, the banks' required reserve requirements would decline by $1 billion (10% of $10 billion), but their actual reserve balances would decline by $10 billion, assuming replenishment of cash. Assuming no excess reserves, the destruction of bank reserves would cause a decline in the money supply. Currency is a high power reserve; increases in currency in circulation decrease bank reserves. The Federal Reserve is likely to replenish the reserves, assuming no policy changes. 4. Assume a depository institution holds vault cash of $3 million, reserve deposits at the Federal Reserve of $25 million, and has borrowed $2 million from the Federal Reserve’s discount window. If that institution holds $300 million in transactions deposits and is subject to a 3% reserve requirement on the first $50 million of those deposits and to a reserve requirement of 10% on all transactions deposits over $50 million, what are its required reserves? What are its excess reserves? The bank has total reserves equal to the sum of their vault cash ($3) and reserve deposits at the Federal Reserve ($25) or $28 million. The required reserves amount is $26.5 million leaving the bank with $1.5 million in excess reserves. Of the $1.5 million in excess reserves, $2 million is borrowed from the Federal Reserve, leaving the bank in a -$.5 million net borrowed reserve position. 5. What is the essential difference between the Keynesian and the Monetarist view of how money affects the economy? In general the early monetarists assumed that velocity is relatively constant, so that controlling M1 is the essential factor in influencing the non-inflationary output of the economy. The Keynesians assumed that velocity is a variable so that changes in the money supply often affect only the financial sector (interest rates) and not necessarily the real sector of spending and investments. Investment spending is related to the expected rate of return on investments relative to the level of interest rates. The neo-Keynesians have a short-run view of the world. The quantity theorists take a long-run view - where labour markets and prices have time to adjust to equilibrium. 6. What effects are decreases in reserve requirements likely to have on: a. b. c. d. e. bank reserves Federal funds rates bank lending Treasury bill rates the bank "prime rate"? Explain your answers. a. b. c. d. e. none reduce them increase it reduce them reduce it 3 Reductions in reserve requirements will not directly affect the amount of reserves available to financial institutions. However, such a reduction would provide depository institutions with additional excess reserves. As financial institutions sought to invest their excess reserves to earn an interest return, first federal funds rates then Treasury bill rates and other short-term rates (such as the prime rate) would fall. Simultaneously, institutions with excess reserves would be more willing than before to make loans, and the demand for such loans would increase as the rate falls. 7. Given your answer to the above question, what, if anything, would you expect would happen to: a. b. c. d. e. f. g. housing investment plant and equipment investment intended inventory investment government expenditures consumption exports imports a. b. increase increase c. increase d. e. f. g. increase increase increase decrease Why? As market interest rates decline, loans become readily available, money supplies expand, the public's liquid asset holdings increase, and the market value of financial assets rises. In addition, disintermediation pressures may diminish. As a result of the decline in interest rate, increase in liquidity, and increase in credit availability more expenditures will be undertaken in all segments of the economy. A decline in interest rates and weak import demand from a recession, as in 1990-1991, weakened the dollar, enhancing exports. The decline in stock indexes in 2001 and 2002 weakened the dollar as foreign investors sold U.S. stocks and reinvested elsewhere, enhancing exports and raising the costs of imports.