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1 OPEN SPACE INSTITUTE ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE RESILIENCE AND THE DELAWARE WATER GAP NATIONAL RECREATION AREA A UNIQUE PLACE: THE DELAWARE WATER GAP NATIONAL RECREATION AREA The Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area’s spectacular cliffs, rushing river, and deep gorges make the land a recreational mecca that attracts millions of visitors every year to northeastern Pennsylvania. Now, a new study quantifies how the area’s unique geology and landforms will remain a haven for diverse plant and animal species—even under a changing climate. As a critical wildlife corridor connecting the northern and southern Appalachian regions in the midst of heavy development, the park’s resilient landscapes are vital for maintaining populations of animals—such as black bear, bobcat, fisher, and timber rattlesnake—that require large, undisturbed habitats. Raccoon Ridge, for example, is a well-known resting point for the intercontinental migration of hawks, while the park floor is home to sensitive and rare plant species such as walking fern, native orchids, and the Eastern prickly pear. The April 2016 addition of the properties known as Mosiers Knob, Milford Glen and Rosenkrans (also known as Walpack) to the park will benefit all of this rich ecology. They are, respectively: a 548-acre, mostly forested area with rolling and steep topography culminating in 1,120foot point; 39 entirely forested acres bisected by an Exceptional Value Stream; and, 135 acres on the Delaware River encompassing a rolling topography of open fields, small, steep forested areas and a 20-acre wetland complex. At the Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area as elsewhere, the effects of climate change, such as unpredictable variations in temperature and precipitation, and more intense storms, are disrupting treasured natural communities and shifting species ranges. Yet new science has determined that the very traits that make the park so special for its visitors also mean that it can serve as a linchpin for climate resilience for plants, animals and humans in the Mid-Atlantic region. WHAT IS RESILIENCE AND WHY DOES IT MATTER? “Climate resilience” is the ability of plants, animals and natural processes to persist in the face of changes caused by a warming planet. The science around climate resilience measures how well a site or a region can rebound from disturbance and continue to support diverse forms of 2 life. The climate adaptation plans of the White House and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service both identify protection of the land—such as the Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area—as a first-line defense against the expected loss of biodiversity under climate change. Conservation scientists have developed a method for identifying resilient places based on a landscape’s physical and biological features. This relatively new approach simplifies the task of protecting the thousands of distinct species in a region: Permanently protecting a network of resilient sites can help safeguard the full range of habitats that plants and animals depend on, so they can survive into the future. CHARACTERISTICS OF A RESILIENT SITE Resilience is built on four landscape characteristics: variety of geology and landforms at a site, connections within and between that site, and its biological condition. These traits are referred to as diversity, connectedness, and intactness. Diverse geology (such as limestone, granite and shale) at all elevations (high, medium and low) is the basis for the full range of habitat that supports the numerous species in a region. Such permanent physical features ensure that species diversity can continue to flourish as well. Diverse landforms, or how many slopes, valleys, cliffs and other features a location has helps determine the variety of temperatures and moisture levels there and the impacts of any disturbances. The more of these “microclimates” there are at a site, the more likely plants and animals can adapt in place rather than having to move to find the right type of habitat under climate change. Connectedness means the landscape allows species to move within and through areas where there are few to no human or natural barriers. These local and regional connections provide them with more habitat to seek out food or to reproduce. Intact biological condition means a place contains the quantity and quality of natural resources necessary to support biological diversity today and into the future. By identifying and permanently protecting sites that have a great deal of landform complexity and local and regional connectedness across all geologies and at all elevations, land protection experts can be fairly certain they are securing a diverse range of habitats that support the full diversity of plants and animals into the future. DELAWARE WATER GAP NATIONAL RECREATION AREA RESILIENCE TRAITS Recent climate science identifies the park and its recent additions as a refuge and critical corridor for migration through an otherwise heavily-developed landscape—and across an array of habitat types—that have little-to-no protection elsewhere along the Appalachian spine. According to a “resilience analysis” performed by the Open Space Institute, these lands have robust resilience traits: 3 Overall Resilience More than half of the Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area contains a diversity of landforms and intact habitat blocks that will help sustain ecological function and so enable a diversity of plants and animals to find appropriate habitat locally, even as climate change impacts the region. Geological Diversity The park is a significant stronghold for biodiversity because of its broad range of geologies, which support a range of habitat types and plants and animals. A remarkable 60 percent of the DWGNRA (and 100 percent of Milford Glen and Rosenkrans) are composed of geologies that have been identified as under-protected. These include rich limestone bedrock; mid-elevation shale, which flakes to create a unique dry habitat type; and fine sediments, which are deposited along the Delaware River’s floodplain. Most of these geology types also have resilience characteristics. Landscape Diversity The park lands on the northwestern side of the river have many microclimates due to the undulating and pocketed landscape easily identified at well-known scenic overlooks, like Hawks Nest above the Delaware, and in the park’s deep ravines with high waterfalls, such as Bushkill Falls. Connectedness Despite the development flanking either side of the park, the Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area also provides significant pockets of intact forest habitat. Most notably, however, it offers the only linkage through a heavily developed area between the central and northern Appalachians. Mosiers Knob, at the far southern end of the Park, will help to buffer and protect this important corridor. Some of the most striking resilience characteristics of the park and the new parcels include: Scores AboveAverage for Overall Resilience Contains Underrepresented Geologies Scores AboveAverage for Landform Diversity Mosiers Knob (548 acres) 261 acres (48%) Milford Glen (39 acres) 25 acres (64%) Rosenkrans (135 acres) N/A Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area (56,000 acres) 31,000 acres (56%) 453 acres (83%) 100% 100% 34,000 acres (60%) 350 acres (64%) 34 acres (87%) 98 acres (73%) 35,000 acres (63%) 4 Of course, conservation experts cannot predict the trajectory of every species under climate change. But by protecting places like the Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area, they expect that a diverse array of life will continue to endure there. BENEFITS OF PROTECTING RESILIENT LAND ON HUMAN COMMUNITIES Protecting land as a strategy to mitigate climate effects is a national priority as identified by the President’s strategy on climate adaptation. Protecting natural features—such as wetlands and intact forest—that are also climate-resilient will help mitigate the impacts of disasters associated with climate change, such as flooding and other storm events, to human communities. Under its Resilient Landscapes Initiative, funded by the Doris Duke Foundation, the Open Space Institute has protected nearly 7,000 acres of climate-resilient land, and is on track to conserve much more, around the Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area and other critically valuable areas. In 2014, the President commended the initiative for its investment in natural infrastructure.