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Inter-connections between economic data Average Balance of Household Income Payments ($m) ($,000) Current Account Exchange Rate ($m) GDP ($m) Government Budget Surplus ($m) Labour Force Money Supply/M1 (000) ($m) Terms of Trade Unemployment (base year) Rate (%) CPI (base year) Exports ($m) Imports ($m) Real GDP (base year) Different sets of economic data usually have relationships with other sets. One may be calculated using another; one may cause changes in another. The relationship may be in one direction or it may operate in both directions. Data Set 1: Current Account Data Set 2: CPI (base year)/ Money Supply/M1 ($m)?? Relationship: Balance of Payments ($m) Current Account. BOP =Current, Capital, Financial Maybe Current Ac/CPI – Inflation pushes up export prices, OCR Increases – Exchange Rate increases – Exports more exp/Imports less, export revenue decreases, money supply increases – inflationary…..also may be linked to increase in GDP Data Set 1: CPI (base year) Data Set 2: Real GDP (base year) Relationship: Current Account ($m) GDP ($m)/ GDP ($m) Real GDP = Nominal GDP/Price Index (CPI) x Base Year CPI (1000) – Current Account/GDP- Measured as a % of GDP and GDP (Expenditure) measures Net Exports…Bal of G & S… Data Set 1: Unemployment Rate (%) Data Set 2: GDP ($m) Relationship: GDP Increase, Unemployment Decrease – Vice Versa . Need resources to produce g & s Data Set 1: Labour Force (000) Data Set 2: Unemployment Rate (%) Relationship: Increase in Labour Force – Unemployment might increase (too much s not enough d), Vice Versa…Maybe also linked to GDP/CPI…… Data Set 1: Exports ($m) Imports ($m) Data Set 2: Terms of Trade (base year) Relationship: Terms of Trade = Export Price Index/Import Price Index Data Set 1: Average Data Household Set 2: Income ($,000) Money Supply/M1 ($m) Government Budget Surplus ($m) Relationship: Surplus decreases money supply, maybe caused by an increase in direct taxation i.e. Disposable Income decreases – reduction in surplus may increase disposable income and money supply.