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Probability and Stochastic Processes A friendly introduction for electrical and computer engineers Chapter 10 Stochastic Processes Dr. Talal Skaik Electrical Engineering department Islamic University of Gaza December 2011 1 •The word stochastic means random. •The word process in this context means function of time. 2 3 Example: X (t ) a cos( 0 t ), where random variable in (0, 2 ), is a uniformly distributed represents a stochastic process. 4 5 Ensemble average: With t fixed at t=t0, X(t0) is a random variable, we have the averages ( expected value and variance) as we studied earlier. Time average: applies to a specific sample function x(t, s0), and produces a typical number for this sample function. 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 For a specific t, X(t) is a random variable with distribution: F ( x, t ) f ( x, t ) F ( x, t ) p[ X (t ) x] x 14 15 16 17 18 19 Autocovariance When Cov[X,Y] is applied to two random variables that are observations of X(t) taken at two different times, t1 and t2 =t1 +τ seconds: The covariance indicates how much the process is likely to change in the τ seconds elapsed between t1 and t2. A high covariance indicates that the sample function is unlikely to change much in the τ-second interval. A covariance near zero suggests rapid change. 20 21 22 Recall in a stochastic process X(t), there is a random variable X(t1) at every time t1 with PDF fX(t1)(x). For most random processes, the PDF fX(t1)(x) depends on t1. For a special class of random processes know as stationary processes, fX(t1)(x) does not depend on t1. Therefore: the statistical properties of the stationary process do not change with time (time-invariant). 23 24 25 26