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Chapter 3 Supply and Demand INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICS 2e / LIEBERMAN & HALL CHAPTER 3 / SUPPLY AND DEMAND ©2005, South-Western/Thomson Learning Slides by John F. Hall Animations by Anthony Zambelli Supply and Demand Supply and demand is an economic model Designed to explain how prices are determined in certain types of markets What you will learn in this chapter How the model of supply and demand works and how to use it Strengths and limitations of model Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 2 Markets Specific location where buying and selling takes place, such as Supermarket or a flea market In economics, a market is not a place but rather A group of buyers and sellers with the potential to trade with each other Economists think of the economy as a collection of individual markets First step in an economic analysis is to define and characterize the market or collection of markets to analyze Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 3 How Broadly Should We Define the Market Defining the market often requires economists to group things together Aggregation is the combining of a group of distinct things into a single whole Markets can be defined broadly or narrowly, depending on our purpose How broadly or narrowly markets are defined is one of the most important differences between Macroeconomics and Microeconomics Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 4 Defining Macroeconomic Markets Goods and services are aggregated to the highest levels Macro models lump all consumer goods into the single category “consumption goods” Macro models will also analyze all capital goods as one market Macroeconomists take an overall view of the economy without getting bogged down in details Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 5 Defining Microeconomic Markets Markets are defined narrowly Focus on models that define much more specific commodities Always involves some aggregation Stops short of the broad levels of generality that macroeconomics investigates Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 6 Buyers and Sellers Buyers and sellers in a market can be Households Business firms Government agencies All three can be both buyers and sellers in the same market, but are not always For purposes of simplification this text will usually follow these guidelines In markets for consumer goods, we’ll view business firms as the only sellers, and households as only buyers In most of our discussions, we’ll be leaving out the “middleman” Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 7 Competition in Markets In imperfectly competitive markets, individual buyers or sellers can influence the price of the product In perfectly competitive markets (or just competitive markets), each buyer and seller takes the market price as a given What makes some markets imperfectly competitive and others perfectly competitive? Perfectly competitive markets have many small buyers and sellers • Each is a small part of the market, and the product is standardized Imperfectly competitive markets have just a few large buyers and sellers • Or else the product of each seller is unique in some way Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 8 Using Supply and Demand Supply and demand model is designed to explain how prices are determined in perfectly competitive markets Perfect competition is rare but many markets come reasonably close Perfect competition is a matter of degree rather than an all or nothing characteristic Supply and demand is one of the most versatile and widely used models in the economist’s tool kit Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 9 Demand A household’s quantity demanded of a good Specific amount household would choose to buy over some time period, given • A particular price that must be paid for the good • All other constraints on the household Market quantity demanded (or quantity demanded) is the specific amount of a good that all buyers in the market would choose to buy over some time period, given A particular price they must pay for the good All other constraints on households Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 10 Quantity Demanded Implies a choice How much households would like to buy when they take into account the opportunity cost of their decisions? Is hypothetical Makes no assumptions about availability of the good How much would households want to buy, at a specific price, given real-world limits on their spending power? Stresses price Price of the good is one variable among many that influences quantity demanded We’ll assume that all other influences on demand are held constant, so we can explore the relationship between price and quantity demanded Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 11 The Law of Demand States that when the price of a good rises and everything else remains the same, the quantity of the good demanded will fall The words, “everything else remains the same” are important • In the real world many variables change simultaneously • However, in order to understand the economy we must first understand each variable separately • Thus we assume that, “everything else remains the same,” in order to understand how demand reacts to price Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 12 The Demand Schedule and the Demand Curve Demand schedule A list showing the quantity of a good that consumers would choose to purchase at different prices, with all other variables held constant The market demand curve (or just demand curve) shows the relationship between the price of a good and the quantity demanded , holding constant all other variables that influence demand Each point on the curve shows the total buyers would choose to buy at a specific price Law of demand tells us that demand curves virtually always slope downward Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 13 Figure 1: The Demand Curve Price per Bottle $4.00 A When the price is $4.00 per bottle, 40,000 bottles are demanded (point A). B 2.00 At $2.00 per bottle, 60,000 bottles are demanded (point B). D 40,000 Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 60,000 Number of Bottles per Month 14 Shifts vs. Movements along the Demand Curve A change in the price of a good causes a movement along the demand curve In Figure 1 A fall (rise) in price would cause a movement to the right (left) along the demand curve A change in income causes a shift in the demand curve itself In Figure 2 Demand curve has shifted to the right of the old curve (from Figure 1) as income has risen A change in any variable that affects demand—except for the good’s price—causes the demand curve to shift Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 15 Figure 2: A Shift of the Demand Curve An increase in income shifts the demand curve for maple syrup from D1 to D2. At each price, more bottles are demanded after the shift. Price per Bottle B C $2.00 60,000 Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 D1 D2 80,000 Number of Bottles per Month 16 Dangerous Curves: “Change in Quantity Demanded” vs. “Change in Demand” Language is important when discussing demand “Quantity demanded” means • A particular amount that buyers would choose to buy at a specific price • It is a number represented by a single point on a demand curve • When a change in the price of a good moves us along a demand curve, it is a change in quantity demand The term demand means • The entire relationship between price and quantity demanded— and represented by the entire demand curve • When something other than price changes, causing the entire demand curve to shift, it is a change in demand Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 17 Income: Factors That Shift the Demand Curve An increase in income has effect of shifting demand for normal goods to the right However, a rise in income shifts demand for inferior goods to the left A rise in income will increase the demand for a normal good, and decrease the demand for an inferior good Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 18 Wealth: Factors that Shift the Demand Curve Your wealth—at any point in time—is the total value of everything you own minus the total dollar amount you owe An increase in wealth will Increase demand (shift the curve rightward) for a normal good Decrease demand (shift the curve leftward) for an inferior good Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 19 Prices of Related Goods: Factors that Shift the Demand Curve Substitute—good that can be used in place of some other good and that fulfills more or less the same purpose A rise in the price of a substitute increases the demand for a good, shifting the demand curve to the right Complement—used together with the good we are interested in A rise in the price of a complement decreases the demand for a good, shifting the demand curve to the left Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 20 Other Factors that Shift the Demand Curve Population As the population increases in an area • Number of buyers will ordinarily increase • Demand for a good will increase Expected Price An expectation that price will rise (fall) in the future shifts the current demand curve rightward (leftward) Tastes Combination of all the personal factors that go into determining how a buyer feels about a good When tastes change toward a good, demand increases, and the demand curve shifts to the right When tastes change away from a good, demand decreases, and the demand curve shifts to the left Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 21 Figure 3(a): Movements Along and Shifts of the Demand Curve Price Price increase moves us leftward along demand curve P2 Price increase moves us rightward along demand curve P1 P3 Q2 Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 Q1 Q3 Quantity 22 Figure 3(b): Movements Along and Shifts of the Demand Curve Price Entire demand curve shifts rightward when: • income or wealth ↑ • price of substitute ↑ • price of complement ↓ • population ↑ • expected price ↑ • tastes shift toward good D2 D1 Quantity Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 23 Figure 3(c): Movements Along and Shifts of the Demand Curve Price Entire demand curve shifts leftward when: • income or wealth ↓ • price of substitute ↓ • price of complement ↑ • population ↓ • expected price ↓ • tastes shift toward good D1 D2 Quantity Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 24 Supply A firm’s quantity supplied of a good is the specific amount its managers would choose to sell over some time period, given A particular price for the good All other constraints on the firm Market quantity supplied (or quantity supplied) is the specific amount of a good that all sellers in the market would choose to sell over some time period, given A particular price for the good All other constraints on firms Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 25 Quantity Supplied Implies a choice Quantity that gives firms the highest possible profits when they take account of the constraints presented to them by the real world Is hypothetical Does not make assumptions about firms’ ability to sell the good How much would firms’ managers want to sell, given the price of the good and all other constraints they must consider? Stresses price The price of the good is just one variable among many that influences quantity supplied We’ll assume that all other influences on supply are held constant, so we can explore the relationship between price and quantity supplied Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 26 The Law of Supply States that when the price of a good rises and everything else remains the same, the quantity of the good supplied will rise The words, “everything else remains the same” are important • In the real world many variables change • • simultaneously However, in order to understand the economy we must first understand each variable separately We assume “everything else remains the same” in order to understand how supply reacts to price Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 27 The Supply Schedule and The Supply Curve Supply schedule—shows quantities of a good or service firms would choose to produce and sell at different prices, with all other variables held constant Supply curve—graphical depiction of a supply schedule Shows quantity of a good or service supplied at various prices, with all other variables held constant Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 28 Figure 4: The Supply Curve Price per Bottle When the price is $2.00 per bottle, 40,000 bottles are supplied (point F). $4.00 2.00 G At $4.00 per bottle, quantity supplied is 60,000 bottles (point G). F 40,000 Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 S 60,000 Number of Bottles per Month 29 Shifts vs. Movements along the Supply Curve A change in the price of a good causes a movement along the supply curve In Figure 4 • A rise (fall) in price would cause a rightward (leftward) movement along the supply curve A drop in transportation costs will cause a shift in the supply curve itself In Figure 5 • Supply curve has shifted to the right of the old curve (from Figure 4) as transportation costs have dropped • A change in any variable that affects supply—except for the good’s price—causes the supply curve to shift Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 30 Figure 5: A Shift of the Supply Curve Price per Bottle A decrease in transportation costs shifts the supply curve for maple syrup from S1 to S2. S1 S2 At each price, more bottles are supplied after the shift $4.00 G 60,000 Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 J 80,000 Number of Bottles per Month 31 Factors that Shift the Supply Curve Input prices A fall (rise) in the price of an input causes an increase (decrease) in supply, shifting the supply curve to the right (left) Price of Related Goods When the price of an alternate good rises (falls), the supply curve for the good in question shifts rightward (leftward) Technology Cost-saving technological advances increase the supply of a good, shifting the supply curve to the right Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 32 Factors that Shift the Supply Curve Number of firms An increase (decrease) in the number of sellers—with no other changes—shifts the supply curve to the right (left) Expected price An expectation of a future price increase (decrease) shifts the current supply curve to the left (right) Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 33 Factors that Shift the Supply Curve Changes in weather Favorable weather • Increases crop yields • Causes a rightward shift of the supply curve for that crop Unfavorable weather • Destroys crops • Shrinks yields • Shifts the supply curve leftward Other unfavorable natural events may effect all firms in an area Causing a leftward shift in the supply curve Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 34 Figure 6(a): Changes in Supply and in Quantity Supplied Price S Price increase moves us rightward along supply curve P2 P1 Price increase moves us leftward along supply curve P3 Q3 Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 Q1 Q2 Quantity 35 Figure 6(b): Changes in Supply and in Quantity Supplied Price Entire supply curve shifts rightward when: • price of input ↓ • price of alternate good ↓ • number of firms ↑ • expected price ↑ • technological advance • favorable weather Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 S1 S2 Quantity36 Figure 6(c): Changes in Supply and in Quantity Supplied Price Entire supply curve shifts rightward when: • price of input ↑ • price of alternate good ↑ • number of firms ↓ • expected price ↑ • unfavorable weather Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 S2 S1 Quantity37 In Summary: Factors that Shift the Supply Curve The short list of shift-variables for supply that we have discussed is far from exhaustive In some cases, even the threat of such events can cause serious effects on production Basic principle is always the same Anything that makes sellers want to sell more or less of a good at any given price will shift supply curve Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 38 Equilibrium: Putting Supply and Demand Together When a market is in equilibrium Both price of good and quantity bought and sold have settled into a state of rest The equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity are values for price and quantity in the market but, once achieved, will remain constant • Unless and until supply curve or demand curve shifts The equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity can be found on the vertical and horizontal axes, respectively At point where supply and demand curves cross Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 39 Figure 7: Market Equilibrium Price per Bottle 2. causes the price to rise . . . 3. shrinking the excess demand . . . S E $3.00 1.00 H 4. until price reaches its equilibrium value of $3.00 . J Excess Demand D 1. At a price of $1.00 per bottle an excess demand of 50,000 bottles . . . Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 25,000 50,000 75,000 Number of Bottles per Month 40 Excess Demand: Putting Supply and Demand Together Excess demand At a given price, the excess of quantity demanded over quantity supplied Price of the good will rise as buyers compete with each other to get more of the good than is available Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 41 Figure 8: Excess Supply and Price Adjustment Price per Bottle 1. At a price of $5.00 per bottle an excess supply of 30,000 bottles . . . Excess Supply at $5.00 S $5.00 2. causes the price to drop, 3.00 3. shrinking the excess supply . . . L K E 4. until price reaches its equilibrium value of $3.00. D 35,000 50,000 65,000 Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 Number of Bottles per Month 42 Excess Supply: Putting Supply and Demand Together Excess Supply At a given price, the excess of quantity supplied over quantity demanded Price of the good will fall as sellers compete with each other to sell more of the good than buyers want Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 43 Income Rises: What Happens When Things Change Income rises, causing an increase in demand Rightward shift in the demand curve causes rightward movement along the supply curve Equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity both rise Shift of one curve causes a movement along the other curve to new equilibrium point Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 44 Figure 9: A Shift in Demand and a New Equilibrium Price per Bottle 4. Equilibrium price increases 3. to a new equilibrium. S $4.00 3.00 2. moves us along the supply curve . . . F' E 1. An increase in demand . . . D2 D1 5. and equilibrium quantity increases too. Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 50,000 60,000 Number of Bottles of Maple Syrup per Period 45 An Ice Storm Hits: What Happens When Things Change An ice storm causes a decrease in supply Weather is a shift variable for supply curve • Any change that shifts the supply curve leftward in a market will increase the equilibrium price And decrease the equilibrium quantity in that market Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 46 Figure 10: A Shift of Supply and a New Equilibrium Price per Bottle $5.00 3.00 S2 S1 E' E D 35,000 50,000 Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 Number of Bottles 47 Figure 11: Changes in the Market for Handheld PCs Price per Handheld PC 3. moved the market to a new equilibrium. 2. and a decrease in demand . . . 4. Price decreased . . . A $500 B S2002 S2003 1. An increase in supply . . . $400 D2002 5. and quantity decreased as well. D2003 2.45 3.33 Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 Millions of Handheld PCs per Quarter 48 Both Curves Shift When just one curve shifts (and we know the direction of the shift) we can determine the direction that both equilibrium price and quantity will move When both curves shift (and we know the direction of the shifts) we can determine the direction for either price or quantity—but not both Direction of the other will depend on which curve shifts by more Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 49 The Principle of Markets and Equilibrium The supply-and-demand model is just one example of a more general approach To identify a market and examine its equilibrium Basic Principle #4: Markets and Equilibrium To understand how the economy behaves, economists organize the world into separate markets and then examine the equilibrium in each of those markets This approach helps us predict important changes in the economy and prepare for them And it helps us predict important changes in the economy our social goals and avoid policies that are likely to backfire Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 50 Price Ceilings Government-imposed maximum price that prevents the price of a good from rising above a certain level in a market Short side of the Market Smaller of quantity supplied and quantity demanded at a particular price When quantity supplied and quantity demanded differ, short side of market will prevail Price ceiling creates a shortage and increases the time and trouble required to buy the good While the price decreases, the opportunity cost may rise Black Market A market created by unintended consequences of government intervention • Goods are sold illegally at a price above the legal ceiling Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 51 Figure 12: A Price Ceiling in the Market for Maple Syrup 5. With a black market, the lower quantity sells for a higher price than initially. Price per Bottle 3. and decreases quantity supplied. 4. The result is a shortage – the distance between S R and V. T $4.00 3.00 R 2.00 E V 2. increases quantity demanded D 40,000 50,000 60,000 1. A price ceiling lower than the equilibrium price . . . Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 Number of Bottles of Maple Syrup per Period 52 Price Floors Government imposed minimum amount below which price is not permitted to fall Price floors for agricultural goods are commonly called price support programs When sellers produce more of the good than buyers want at the price floor Remaining goods become a surplus that no one wants at the imposed price Government responds by maintaining price floors Uses taxpayer dollars to buy up entire excess supply of the good in question Prevents excess supply from doing what it would ordinarily do • Drive price down to its equilibrium value Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 53 The Principle of Policy Tradeoffs In our discussion of government intervention in markets, you may have noticed something interesting A policy designed to help us achieve one goal causes us to compromise on some other goal In fact, as you will see throughout this text, there are virtually always tradeoffs involved in government policy making For this reason, we consider government policy tradeoffs to be one of the basic principles of economics Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 54 The Principle of Policy Tradeoffs Basic Principle #5: Policy Tradeoffs Government policy is constrained by the reactions of private decision makers As a result, policy makers face tradeoffs • Making progress toward one goal often requires some sacrifice of another goal Economics is famous for making the public aware of policy tradeoffs Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 55 Supply and Demand and Normative Economics Supply and demand offers us important lessons about the economy The lessons are both positive • Telling us what will happen when there is a change in a market And normative • Suggesting what sorts of polices we should or should not pursue Most economists believe that the mechanism of supply and demand is an effective way to allocate resources Why do economists feel this way? Answering this question requires a more thorough understanding of the economy than we can provide after just three chapters of this book • However, when you finish your introductory study of economics, you will know why economists treat supply and demand with such respect Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 56 Using Supply and Demand: The Invasion of Kuwait Why did Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait cause the price of oil to rise? Immediately after the invasion, United States led a worldwide embargo on oil from both Iraq and Kuwait A significant decrease in the oil industry’s productive capacity caused a shift in the supply curve to the left • Price of oil increased Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 57 Figure 13: The Market For Oil Price per Barrel of Oil S2 S1 E' P2 E P1 D Q2 Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 Q1 Barrels of Oil 58 Using Supply and Demand: The Invasion of Kuwait Why did the price of natural gas rise as well? Oil is a substitute for natural gas Rise in the price of a substitute increases demand for a good Rise in price of oil caused demand curve for natural gas to shift to the right • Thus, the price of natural gas rose Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 59 Figure 14: The Market For Natural Gas Price per Cubic Foot of Natural Gas S F' P4 F D2 P3 D1 Q3 Lieberman & Hall; Introduction to Economics, 2005 Q4 Cubic Feet of Natural Gas 60